County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Rockcastle County

Rockcastle County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21203 · 16,115 residents (2021) · 317 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 50Tornado · 7Flood · 75Wind · 207Winter · 67
1982-03-20: Hail1991-08-19: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1998-04-16: Hail2000-07-14: Hail2001-06-04: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-08-05: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-19: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-11: Hail2006-09-09: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2009-07-01: Hail2009-04-05: Hail2009-04-05: Hail2011-10-18: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2013-07-13: Hail2014-10-07: Hail2014-04-29: Hail2014-08-02: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2014-10-06: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-05-24: Hail2017-04-29: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2019-01-04: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2021-04-08: Hail2021-01-25: Hail2025-05-16: Hail1974-04-03: Tornado1977-12-05: Tornado1991-04-09: Tornado1996-04-20: Tornado1998-06-10: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado2016-07-04: Tornado2005-04-29: Flood2008-02-06: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2009-09-25: Flood2009-09-26: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2013-09-25: Flood2013-08-31: Flood2013-08-16: Flood2013-12-06: Flood2013-12-06: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2014-07-23: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-07-20: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-08-05: Flood2017-12-23: Flood2017-07-06: Flood2017-07-03: Flood2019-02-17: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-06-06: Flood2019-06-07: Flood2019-11-30: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-08-06: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2022-08-06: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2024-08-07: Flood2024-08-07: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2024-09-24: Wind2024-09-24: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-07-31: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2023-06-11: Wind2023-06-11: Wind2023-06-11: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-02-16: Wind2023-02-16: Wind2022-05-26: Wind2022-05-26: Wind2022-05-03: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2018-11-06: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-03-17: Wind2018-02-25: Wind2017-07-06: Wind2017-05-24: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-05-07: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-10: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2014-10-07: Wind2014-10-07: Wind2014-08-20: Wind2014-08-20: Wind2014-08-20: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-05-27: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2013-12-22: Wind2013-12-22: Wind2013-12-22: Wind
Rockcastle County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Rockcastle County, Kentucky, has 437 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 138.1 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 271.2 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 14 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $9.0M and crop damage at $1.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 35 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 19 claims since 1978, of which 18 were paid, totalling $616K (about $34K per paid claim). FEMA counts 17 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.6M a year across 18 hazards).

7 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
437events since 19501 death, 14 injuries recorded
35disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
19NFIP flood claims$616K paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureRockcastle CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195043755,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles138.1140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents271.2122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months51,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI159926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$9.0M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.26.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$34K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years70.637.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 3Tornado: 4Flood: 4Wind: 12Winter: 4
Hail: 20Flood: 21Wind: 51Winter: 20Cold: 3
Hail: 22Tornado: 1Flood: 31Wind: 71Winter: 27Heat: 5Cold: 8Drought: 3Lightning: 1Fog: 1Other: 2
Hail: 4Flood: 19Wind: 67Winter: 16Cold: 1Lightning: 1Other: 6
01950s11960s41970s41980s271990s1152000s1722010s1142020s
Recorded events in Rockcastle County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 339 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 87 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind207
Flood75
Winter67
Hail50
Cold12
Other8
Tornado7
Heat5
Drought3
Lightning2
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind207—0.9%detail
■ Flood75—0.9%detail
■ Winter67—0.8%detail
■ Hail50—0.8%detail
■ Cold12—0.5%
■ Other8—0.8%
■ Tornado710.5%
■ Heat5—0.2%
■ Drought3—0.3%
■ Lightning2—0.8%
■ Fog1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—110County
2 Jan 2014Winter WeatherWinter————3Forecast zone
5 Jul 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
1 May 2002HailHail2.75 in$4.5M$1.0M——County
1 Jan 2022Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
8 Apr 2020Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$250K$10K——County
9 Apr 1991TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
18 Jun 2011LightningLightning—$250K———County
6 Jun 2019Flash FloodFlood—$125K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4937Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 May 2026DR-4913Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
23 May 2025DR-4875Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 2025DR-4860Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
26 Nov 2024DR-4848Major disasterTropical StormRemnants Of Hurricane HelenePublic assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4804Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidePublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
30 Apr 2015DR-4216Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
7 May 2002DR-1414Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Nov 2001FM-2385Fire management assistanceFireKy - Southeastern Fire Complex - 11/02/01Public assistance
15 Aug 2001DR-1388Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Nov 2000FM-2349Fire management assistanceFireKy - Southeastern District Fire Complex - 11/03/00Public assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailPublic assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
29 Jan 1991DR-893Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-420Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Rockcastle County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197819
Paid claims18
Total paid$616K
Average paid claim$34K
Repetitive-loss properties21 severe
Residential policies in force170.2% of 7,130 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$30,782$30,782
202232$19,353$9,676
202166$325,333$54,222
202011$33,904$33,904
201911$5,392$5,392
201066$199,346$33,224
198411$1,667$1,667

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 36.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,794,451
TornadoRelatively Low$796,780
Cold waveRelatively Low$755,439
Strong windRelatively Moderate$464,549
HailRelatively Low$262,064
Heat waveRelatively Low$154,755
LightningRelatively Low$131,520
EarthquakeVery Low$107,426
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$66,102
Ice stormRelatively Low$33,260
WildfireVery Low$27,514
LandslideRelatively Low$19,800
HurricaneVery Low$14,554
DroughtVery Low$5,114
AvalancheVery Low$8

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles7
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202450 mi46 mph
Opal199590 mi46 mph
Frederic197927 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193290 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191565 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189271 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188858 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Rockcastle County, KY?

NCEI records 50 hail events in Rockcastle County since 1950, in 22 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 11 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Rockcastle County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 7 tornadoes in Rockcastle County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Rockcastle County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 35 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Rockcastle County, and how much was paid?

19 NFIP claims since 1978, 18 of them paid, for $616K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Rockcastle County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Rockcastle County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

138.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 1.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.