County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Magoffin County

Magoffin County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21153 · 11,497 residents (2021) · 308 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 63Tornado · 3Flood · 71Wind · 185Winter · 83
1983-04-02: Hail1983-09-12: Hail1983-08-11: Hail1996-05-24: Hail1996-05-24: Hail1996-05-24: Hail1997-05-14: Hail1998-01-08: Hail1998-06-10: Hail1998-06-22: Hail1998-06-24: Hail1998-06-24: Hail1999-01-18: Hail2001-04-10: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2003-06-11: Hail2003-06-11: Hail2004-12-10: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-08-04: Hail2004-08-04: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-05-19: Hail2005-08-06: Hail2005-10-21: Hail2006-06-04: Hail2006-07-21: Hail2006-10-11: Hail2007-07-23: Hail2007-07-23: Hail2007-05-02: Hail2007-07-23: Hail2008-05-11: Hail2008-06-28: Hail2009-07-25: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-08: Hail2011-04-08: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2013-06-09: Hail2014-10-07: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2017-03-01: Hail2017-05-20: Hail2017-05-31: Hail2017-06-13: Hail2017-08-02: Hail2018-03-17: Hail2019-05-31: Hail2019-06-05: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2021-04-08: Hail2025-04-14: Hail2001-07-08: Tornado2012-03-02: Tornado2023-05-16: Tornado2005-04-30: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2010-02-05: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-05-03: Flood2013-12-06: Flood2013-08-10: Flood2013-08-10: Flood2013-08-10: Flood2013-08-10: Flood2014-07-23: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2016-05-01: Flood2016-05-01: Flood2016-05-02: Flood2017-05-20: Flood2017-06-14: Flood2017-07-28: Flood2017-07-28: Flood2018-05-18: Flood2019-01-19: Flood2019-01-19: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2022-07-27: Flood2022-07-26: Flood2022-07-26: Flood2023-02-16: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-04: Flood1983-09-12: Wind1983-08-11: Wind1983-08-12: Wind1985-07-10: Wind1986-02-06: Wind1987-08-22: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1991-07-12: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-03-02: Wind1997-01-05: Wind1998-05-23: Wind1998-05-20: Wind1998-02-17: Wind1999-01-18: Wind1999-01-18: Wind2000-05-19: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-07-14: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2000-07-29: Wind2000-07-10: Wind2000-08-08: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2001-05-21: Wind2001-05-21: Wind2001-06-21: Wind2001-08-23: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2003-11-12: Wind2003-06-11: Wind2003-06-11: Wind2003-07-10: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-27: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-06-01: Wind2004-06-01: Wind2004-08-04: Wind2004-08-04: Wind2005-05-19: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2006-01-02: Wind2006-04-07: Wind2006-05-18: Wind2006-04-13: Wind2006-07-04: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2007-06-24: Wind2007-06-24: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2007-05-02: Wind2008-07-05: Wind2008-06-12: Wind2008-06-28: Wind2008-06-28: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-06-27: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-07-11: Wind2011-07-11: Wind2011-07-11: Wind2012-04-30: Wind2012-07-24: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-09-12: Wind2013-09-12: Wind2013-08-31: Wind2013-08-31: Wind2013-06-09: Wind2013-11-01: Wind2014-10-07: Wind2014-10-07: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-10-06: Wind2015-06-25: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind
Magoffin County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 433 events for Magoffin County, Kentucky, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 140.4 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 376.6 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

1 event fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 33 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $32M and crop damage at $99K.

FEMA has designated the county in 49 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 260 claims since 1978, of which 218 were paid, totalling $2.8M (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 61 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.8M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

1events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
433events since 19500 deaths, 33 injuries recorded
49disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
260NFIP flood claims$2.8M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureMagoffin CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195043355,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles140.4140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents376.6122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months11,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI059926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$32M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents22.66.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years72.137.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 3Wind: 6
Hail: 12Flood: 5Wind: 14Winter: 7
Hail: 27Tornado: 1Flood: 26Wind: 57Winter: 26Cold: 3Other: 1
Hail: 19Tornado: 1Flood: 30Wind: 60Winter: 37Heat: 2Cold: 9Drought: 4Fog: 1Other: 6
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Flood: 10Wind: 48Winter: 13Cold: 1Other: 1
01950s01960s01970s91980s381990s1412000s1692010s762020s
Recorded events in Magoffin County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 305 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 120 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind185
Winter83
Flood71
Hail63
Cold13
Other8
Drought4
Tornado3
Heat2
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind185—0.8%detail
■ Winter83—1.0%detail
■ Flood71—0.9%detail
■ Hail63—1.0%detail
■ Cold13—0.6%
■ Other8—0.8%
■ Drought4—0.4%
■ Tornado3—0.2%
■ Heat2—0.1%
■ Fog1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
2 Mar 2012TornadoTornadoEF3$25M——30County
15 Feb 2010Winter WeatherWinter—$10K——3Forecast zone
1 Jun 2004FloodFlood—$2.5M———Forecast zone
31 May 2004FloodFlood—$2.0M———Forecast zone
15 Feb 2003FloodFlood—$750K———Forecast zone
8 Jun 1996Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
23 Feb 2019Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
16 Jun 2003Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 2025DR-4860Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
26 Nov 2024DR-4848Major disasterTropical StormRemnants Of Hurricane HelenePublic assistance
9 May 2023DR-4711Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 Jul 2022DR-4663Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2020DR-4540Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Apr 2018DR-4358Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidePublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
1 May 2015DR-4217Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
30 Apr 2015DR-4216Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
6 Mar 2012DR-4057Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
25 Jul 2011DR-4008Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2009DR-1841Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jul 2003DR-1475Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 May 2002DR-1414Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Apr 2002DR-1407Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Nov 2001FM-2386Fire management assistanceFireKy - Eastern Fire Complex - 11/02/2001Public assistance
4 Nov 2000FM-2350Fire management assistanceFireKy - Eastern District Fire Complex - 11/03/00Public assistance
29 Apr 1998DR-1216Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes,And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailPublic assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
29 Jan 1991DR-893Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
30 Oct 1989DR-846Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Mudslides & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Jun 1989DR-834Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1984DR-705Major disasterSevere StormHigh Winds, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Apr 1977DR-529Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Mar 1967DR-226Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Magoffin County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978260
Paid claims218
Total paid$2.8M
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties396 severe
Residential policies in force611.6% of 3,930 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202584$51,771$12,943
202321$11,215$11,215
202299$182,928$20,325
20211212$262,376$21,865
2019108$165,245$20,656
201733$12,399$4,133
201611$5,252$5,252
201533$28,498$9,499
201222$42,307$21,153
20091918$424,928$23,607
200566$50,748$8,458
20044436$890,912$24,748
200388$40,648$5,081
199711$13,832$13,832
199610$0—
199411$3,171$3,171
199310$0—
199211$6,500$6,500
199154$7,275$1,819
199042$8,500$4,250
198921$6,500$6,500
19843827$114,607$4,245
198310$0—
19815749$328,941$6,713
197911$215$215

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 35.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,422,683
WildfireRelatively Low$356,221
Strong windRelatively Low$209,590
TornadoVery Low$201,240
Cold waveVery Low$138,639
Heat waveVery Low$121,842
EarthquakeVery Low$111,394
LightningRelatively Low$72,643
HailVery Low$65,635
Winter weatherRelatively Low$38,948
LandslideRelatively Moderate$33,739
HurricaneVery Low$17,372
Ice stormVery Low$9,666
DroughtVery Low$2,469

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Opal199560 mi46 mph
Hugo198988 mi46 mph
Frederic197992 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193448 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193275 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191550 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Magoffin County, KY?

NCEI records 63 hail events in Magoffin County since 1950, in 25 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 3 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Magoffin County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 3 tornadoes in Magoffin County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Magoffin County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 49 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Magoffin County, and how much was paid?

260 NFIP claims since 1978, 218 of them paid, for $2.8M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Magoffin County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Magoffin County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

140.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 22.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.