County Hazards

States › Maryland › Carroll County

Carroll County, Maryland

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 24013 · 173,873 residents (2021) · 448 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 71Tornado · 27Flood · 149Wind · 462Winter · 232
1969-07-12: Hail1991-09-18: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-16: Hail1998-06-26: Hail1998-06-16: Hail1998-06-30: Hail2000-05-24: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-13: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-13: Hail2000-05-13: Hail2001-06-12: Hail2002-08-03: Hail2006-04-03: Hail2006-07-18: Hail2008-03-08: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-08-14: Hail2008-08-14: Hail2009-08-02: Hail2009-07-24: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-08-18: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-08-14: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2014-07-09: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2017-05-18: Hail2017-02-25: Hail2018-12-21: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-10: Hail2018-05-12: Hail2022-03-31: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2024-05-27: Hail2024-07-15: Hail2024-07-15: Hail2025-03-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail1969-07-27: Tornado1975-06-19: Tornado1976-04-25: Tornado1979-05-23: Tornado1979-09-05: Tornado1983-05-22: Tornado1995-10-14: Tornado1996-09-28: Tornado1996-07-19: Tornado1998-06-16: Tornado2009-07-31: Tornado2011-04-28: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2012-06-01: Tornado2012-06-01: Tornado2018-11-02: Tornado2020-02-07: Tornado2020-04-13: Tornado2021-05-03: Tornado2024-06-05: Tornado2024-06-05: Tornado2024-06-05: Tornado2026-03-11: Tornado2026-03-16: Tornado2005-01-14: Flood2005-03-28: Flood2005-07-16: Flood2005-07-08: Flood2006-11-16: Flood2007-03-02: Flood2008-05-12: Flood2008-09-06: Flood2009-06-10: Flood2009-08-28: Flood2009-08-28: Flood2009-08-27: Flood2009-08-28: Flood2011-11-23: Flood2011-11-23: Flood2011-11-23: Flood2011-11-23: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-04-28: Flood2012-10-02: Flood2012-06-01: Flood2012-06-01: Flood2012-06-01: Flood2012-06-22: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2012-07-19: Flood2012-07-19: Flood2012-07-19: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2015-06-27: Flood2016-02-24: Flood2016-02-24: Flood2016-07-30: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2018-12-16: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-21: Flood2018-06-03: Flood2018-07-22: Flood2018-06-03: Flood2018-07-22: Flood2018-07-23: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-05-27: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-26: Flood2018-07-24: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-24: Flood2018-07-24: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-24: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-07-25: Flood2018-08-21: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-04: Flood2018-08-21: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-11-02: Flood2018-11-24: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2020-12-24: Flood2021-06-10: Flood2021-06-10: Flood2021-06-10: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2024-09-22: Wind2024-09-22: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-06: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-01: Wind2022-07-01: Wind2022-07-01: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-09-22: Wind2021-09-22: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-10: Wind2021-08-10: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-10: Wind2021-06-03: Wind2021-06-03: Wind2021-06-03: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-03: Wind
Carroll County within Maryland. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 1,149 events for Carroll County, Maryland, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 256.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Maryland figure of 257.5, and 66.1 per 10,000 residents against 40.6 statewide.

40 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 5 deaths and 37 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $63M and crop damage at $5.8M.

FEMA has designated the county in 19 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 138 claims since 1978, of which 90 were paid, totalling $1.2M (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 177 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($32M a year across 18 hazards).

30 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 2 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

40events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,149events since 19505 deaths, 37 injuries recorded
19disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
138NFIP flood claims$1.2M paid

Compared with Maryland and the United States

MeasureCarroll CountyMarylandUS
Recorded events since 19501,14925,0021,977,440
Events per 100 square miles256.7257.556.0
Events per 10,000 residents66.140.659.6
Events in the last 12 months4075862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI522826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$63M$1.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.84.18.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.38.216.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Tornado: 4Wind: 14
Tornado: 1Wind: 21
Hail: 11Tornado: 6Flood: 13Wind: 66Winter: 23Heat: 8Cold: 2Drought: 6Lightning: 3Other: 1
Hail: 27Tornado: 1Flood: 31Wind: 84Winter: 64Heat: 15Cold: 14Drought: 1Lightning: 10Fog: 16Other: 11
Hail: 22Tornado: 6Flood: 70Wind: 137Winter: 104Tropical: 1Heat: 14Cold: 27Fog: 51
Hail: 10Tornado: 8Flood: 35Wind: 137Winter: 41Heat: 1Cold: 9Lightning: 1Fog: 14Other: 3
01950s51960s181970s221980s1391990s2742000s4322010s2592020s
Recorded events in Carroll County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 779 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 306 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind462
Winter232
Flood149
Fog81
Hail71
Cold52
Heat38
Tornado27
Other15
Lightning14
Drought7
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind46224.7%detail
■ Winter232—5.1%detail
■ Flood14914.2%detail
■ Fog81—7.4%
■ Hail71—4.5%detail
■ Cold52—5.2%
■ Heat3822.9%
■ Tornado27—6.2%detail
■ Other15—1.9%
■ Lightning14—4.5%
■ Drought7—1.6%
■ Tropical1—0.7%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
8 Jul 2014Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph—$50018County
25 Jun 2002HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
18 Jul 2006HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
22 Jul 2019Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph——1—County
31 Jul 2025Flash FloodFlood———1—County
9 Jul 2002Thunderstorm WindWind—$5K——10County
27 Jul 2006LightningLightning————5County
7 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$20M——2County
19 Jul 1996TornadoTornadoF3$5.0M$20K—3County
29 Oct 2012High WindWind60 mph$626K——1Forecast zone
7 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$250K——1County
18 Sep 2003High WindWind58 mph$75K$50K—1Forecast zone
13 May 1990Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
4 Jun 1996LightningLightning————1County
13 May 2000LightningLightning————1County
13 Jul 2000LightningLightning————1County
7 Aug 2006LightningLightning————1County
31 Jul 2009TornadoTornadoEF0———1County
7 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind85 mph$10M———County
1 Jul 1997DroughtDrought——$5.6M——Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3634EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4491Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3430EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
4 Mar 2016DR-4261Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
10 Apr 2014DR-4170Major disasterSevere StormSnowstormPublic assistance
20 Nov 2012DR-4091Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3349EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
27 Aug 2011EM-3335EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
6 May 2010DR-1910Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormsPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3251EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
19 Sep 2003DR-1492Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003EM-3179EmergencySevere StormSnowPublic assistance
23 Jan 1996DR-1094Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
11 Jan 1996DR-1081Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3100EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
14 Oct 1976DR-522Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Oct 1975DR-489Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-341Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Aug 1971DR-309Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carroll County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978138
Paid claims90
Total paid$1.2M
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties102 severe
Residential policies in force1770.3% of 59,125 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$10,727$10,727
202440$0—
202164$85,307$21,327
202043$10,842$3,614
201911$5,608$5,608
2018119$211,893$23,544
201531$14,902$14,902
201411$7,632$7,632
201342$21,292$10,646
201241$9,457$9,457
201153$70,363$23,454
201010$0—
200933$132,715$44,238
200510$0—
200355$45,002$9,000
200111$466$466
19963733$335,185$10,157
199320$0—
199110$0—
199010$0—
198921$6,706$6,706
198711$294$294
198553$14,717$4,906
198431$1,200$1,200
198310$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 59.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$32MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$17,745,275
Strong windRelatively High$4,292,262
HurricaneRelatively Low$1,989,975
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,799,544
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,173,716
TornadoRelatively Low$1,131,570
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,076,530
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,052,418
LightningRelatively Moderate$1,018,150
HailRelatively Low$538,260
Winter weatherRelatively High$453,648
Ice stormRelatively Low$52,373
WildfireVery Low$7,257
LandslideVery Low$4,382
AvalancheVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles30
Tracks within 50 miles10
Hurricane strength within 50 miles2
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ida202177 mi40 mph
Sandy201249 mi63 mph
Ernesto200629 mi46 mph
Danielle199259 mi40 mph
David197983 mi46 mph
Connie195539 mi58 mph
Diane19557 mi46 mph
Hazel195445 mi81 mph
Able19526 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194988 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194587 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194486 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194312 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193441 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193360 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192945 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192853 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191570 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189974 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189679 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189370 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189383 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189360 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188877 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188895 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carroll County, MD?

NCEI records 71 hail events in Carroll County since 1950, in 22 different years; that is about 0.9 recorded events a year. 11 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carroll County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 27 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carroll County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 19 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carroll County, and how much was paid?

138 NFIP claims since 1978, 90 of them paid, for $1.2M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carroll County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carroll County compare with the rest of Maryland?

256.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 257.5 statewide, and 0.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.1. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.