County Hazards

States › Maryland › Frederick County

Frederick County, Maryland

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 24021 · 279,835 residents (2021) · 661 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 86Tornado · 38Flood · 311Wind · 692Winter · 236
1957-05-26: Hail1963-07-28: Hail1965-08-26: Hail1968-06-03: Hail1970-05-24: Hail1982-07-27: Hail1988-05-16: Hail1988-06-22: Hail1990-06-09: Hail1990-06-08: Hail1991-09-18: Hail1996-07-30: Hail1996-08-16: Hail1997-03-29: Hail1998-04-17: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-07-16: Hail2001-06-22: Hail2002-08-03: Hail2004-04-23: Hail2004-05-17: Hail2004-05-25: Hail2004-07-14: Hail2006-04-03: Hail2006-07-18: Hail2006-07-18: Hail2007-07-04: Hail2007-07-16: Hail2008-07-26: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-08-21: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2012-10-18: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-06-29: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2013-05-08: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-05-13: Hail2014-05-22: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2017-02-25: Hail2017-08-12: Hail2017-08-12: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2019-08-22: Hail2020-08-07: Hail2020-08-07: Hail2023-06-26: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-08-29: Hail2025-03-16: Hail2025-03-16: Hail1952-04-05: Tornado1952-04-05: Tornado1954-05-03: Tornado1960-11-19: Tornado1961-04-16: Tornado1963-07-19: Tornado1966-06-28: Tornado1966-02-13: Tornado1972-03-03: Tornado1978-07-31: Tornado1978-08-28: Tornado1982-05-30: Tornado1983-05-22: Tornado1990-05-13: Tornado1996-06-04: Tornado1996-07-19: Tornado1998-06-16: Tornado1999-08-14: Tornado2002-06-06: Tornado2004-05-25: Tornado2004-06-14: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2009-07-31: Tornado2009-07-31: Tornado2010-08-12: Tornado2011-05-17: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2015-06-20: Tornado2019-05-30: Tornado2020-02-07: Tornado2021-05-03: Tornado2021-05-03: Tornado2025-07-31: Flood2025-05-14: Flood2025-05-05: Flood2024-08-29: Flood2022-12-23: Flood2022-12-22: Flood2022-05-07: Flood2022-05-07: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-22: Flood2021-09-16: Flood2021-09-16: Flood2021-09-16: Flood2021-09-09: Flood2021-09-08: Flood2021-09-08: Flood2021-09-02: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-05-26: Flood2021-03-02: Flood2020-12-25: Flood2020-12-25: Flood2020-08-12: Flood2020-06-05: Flood2020-06-05: Flood2020-05-01: Flood2020-04-30: Flood2020-04-30: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2019-05-10: Flood2019-05-10: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2019-05-05: Flood2018-12-16: Flood2018-12-16: Flood2018-11-25: Flood2018-11-24: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-28: Flood2018-09-26: Flood2018-09-26: Flood2026-06-14: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-13: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-11-05: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-12: Wind2025-07-12: Wind2025-07-12: Wind2025-07-08: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-17: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-05: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2025-04-19: Wind2024-08-29: Wind2024-08-29: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-03-23: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-08-09: Wind2022-08-09: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind
Frederick County within Maryland. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 1,624 storm events in Frederick County, Maryland, led by damaging wind.

That is 245.8 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Maryland figure of 257.5, and 58.0 per 10,000 residents against 40.6 statewide.

42 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 16 deaths and 23 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $78M and crop damage at $25M.

FEMA has designated the county in 23 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 271 claims since 1978, of which 200 were paid, totalling $2.1M (about $10K per paid claim). FEMA counts 501 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($50M a year across 18 hazards).

27 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

42events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,624events since 195016 deaths, 23 injuries recorded
23disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
271NFIP flood claims$2.1M paid

Compared with Maryland and the United States

MeasureFrederick CountyMarylandUS
Recorded events since 19501,62425,0021,977,440
Events per 100 square miles245.8257.556.0
Events per 10,000 residents58.040.659.6
Events in the last 12 months4275862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI1622826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$78M$1.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.04.18.1
Average paid NFIP claim$10K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.08.216.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 4
Hail: 3Tornado: 5Wind: 6
Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 13
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 19
Hail: 12Tornado: 7Flood: 19Wind: 66Winter: 22Heat: 8Cold: 2Drought: 9Lightning: 3Other: 3
Hail: 26Tornado: 8Flood: 45Wind: 148Winter: 62Tropical: 1Heat: 19Cold: 21Drought: 3Lightning: 19Fog: 20Other: 19
Hail: 31Tornado: 7Flood: 164Wind: 251Winter: 106Tropical: 1Heat: 15Cold: 33Fog: 51
Hail: 9Tornado: 3Flood: 83Wind: 185Winter: 46Heat: 4Cold: 9Lightning: 1Fog: 20
81950s141960s171970s241980s1511990s3912000s6592010s3602020s
Recorded events in Frederick County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 1,155 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 389 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind692
Flood311
Winter236
Fog91
Hail86
Cold65
Heat46
Tornado38
Lightning23
Other22
Drought12
Tropical2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind69227.1%detail
■ Flood31168.8%detail
■ Winter23615.2%detail
■ Fog9118.3%
■ Hail86—5.4%detail
■ Cold65—6.4%
■ Heat4623.6%
■ Tornado38—8.7%detail
■ Lightning2327.3%
■ Other2222.8%
■ Drought12—2.7%
■ Tropical2—1.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Jun 2006Flash FloodFlood—$500K—51County
7 Jul 2005Heavy RainOther———2—County
19 Jun 1996Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M—1—County
11 Aug 2021LightningLightning—$300K—1—County
31 Dec 2007Freezing FogFog—$5K—1—Forecast zone
2 Jul 2002HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
3 Aug 2002LightningLightning———1—County
5 Dec 2003Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
15 Mar 2015Strong WindWind46 mph——1—Forecast zone
21 Jul 2019Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
23 Dec 2022High WindWind58 mph——1—Forecast zone
1 Aug 2006HeatHeat————5Forecast zone
15 May 2018Flash FloodFlood—$43M———County
10 Jul 2001Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———3County
18 Sep 2003High WindWind58 mph$30K$100K—2Forecast zone
27 Apr 1988Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
3 Aug 2002LightningLightning————2County
12 Jul 2003LightningLightning————2County
19 Jan 1996FloodFlood—$15M———Forecast zone
1 Jul 1997DroughtDrought——$14M——Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3634EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4491Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3430EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Jun 2018DR-4374Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Mar 2016DR-4261Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
20 Nov 2012DR-4091Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3349EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
27 Aug 2011EM-3335EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
6 May 2010DR-1910Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormsPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3251EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
19 Sep 2003DR-1492Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003EM-3179EmergencySevere StormSnowPublic assistance
10 Apr 2000DR-1324Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Sep 1996DR-1139Major disasterHurricaneSevere Storms And Flooding Assoc With Tropical Storm FranIndividual assistance
23 Jan 1996DR-1094Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jan 1996DR-1081Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1016Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Weather And Ice StormsPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3100EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
14 Sep 1979DR-601Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Oct 1976DR-522Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Oct 1975DR-489Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-341Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Aug 1971DR-309Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Frederick County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978271
Paid claims200
Total paid$2.1M
Average paid claim$10K
Repetitive-loss properties256 severe
Residential policies in force5010.6% of 88,569 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202610$0—
202522$7,776$3,888
202411$4,575$4,575
202221$6,337$6,337
202185$88,678$17,736
202010$0—
2019107$52,574$7,511
20184937$434,549$11,745
201711$2,105$2,105
201610$0—
201554$42,563$10,641
201441$5,663$5,663
201310$0—
201253$18,060$6,020
201173$16,480$5,493
201041$16,040$16,040
200941$750$750
200820$0—
200644$79,241$19,810
200421$1,465$1,465
200394$10,082$2,521
200110$0—
200022$18,895$9,447
199821$6,408$6,408
199711$990$990

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 74.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$50MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$32,236,722
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,496,516
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$3,099,251
HurricaneRelatively Low$2,604,152
Strong windRelatively Moderate$2,020,825
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,691,430
LightningRelatively High$1,228,389
HailRelatively Moderate$1,057,605
DroughtRelatively Moderate$898,243
Cold waveRelatively Low$710,396
Winter weatherRelatively High$644,887
Ice stormRelatively Low$151,192
WildfireVery Low$18,765
LandslideRelatively Low$6,643
AvalancheVery Low$66

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles27
Tracks within 50 miles11
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ida202198 mi40 mph
Sandy201248 mi63 mph
Ernesto200648 mi46 mph
Danielle199280 mi40 mph
David197962 mi46 mph
Connie195550 mi58 mph
Diane195528 mi46 mph
Hazel195452 mi81 mph
Able195216 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194974 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194584 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194493 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194332 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193426 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193354 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192965 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192836 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191556 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189995 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189659 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189386 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189365 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189349 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188891 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188546 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Frederick County, MD?

NCEI records 86 hail events in Frederick County since 1950, in 35 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 13 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Frederick County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 38 tornadoes in Frederick County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Frederick County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 23 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Frederick County, and how much was paid?

271 NFIP claims since 1978, 200 of them paid, for $2.1M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Frederick County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Frederick County compare with the rest of Maryland?

245.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 257.5 statewide, and 1.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.1. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.