County Hazards

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Aitkin County, Minnesota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 27001 · 15,887 residents (2021) · 1,821 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 143Tornado · 22Flood · 29Wind · 182Winter · 0
1972-08-05: Hail1972-08-05: Hail1976-07-06: Hail1976-07-22: Hail1980-06-05: Hail1985-06-25: Hail1986-08-04: Hail1987-05-10: Hail1987-06-01: Hail1990-07-17: Hail1990-09-13: Hail1990-09-05: Hail1991-06-09: Hail1998-06-01: Hail1998-06-16: Hail1999-06-06: Hail1999-06-06: Hail2000-08-14: Hail2000-08-14: Hail2000-07-08: Hail2001-06-13: Hail2001-06-13: Hail2003-06-28: Hail2005-06-27: Hail2005-08-09: Hail2006-05-29: Hail2006-05-29: Hail2006-07-30: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-04-22: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2008-06-27: Hail2008-06-27: Hail2008-08-28: Hail2009-04-22: Hail2010-09-02: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2011-08-08: Hail2012-05-28: Hail2012-05-28: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-08-04: Hail2012-08-04: Hail2012-08-04: Hail2013-08-29: Hail2013-08-29: Hail2013-08-29: Hail2014-07-26: Hail2014-07-26: Hail2014-07-26: Hail2014-07-26: Hail2014-07-05: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2015-08-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-06-25: Hail2016-06-19: Hail2016-09-21: Hail2017-07-06: Hail2017-07-21: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-06-15: Hail2018-05-29: Hail2018-07-08: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-08-31: Hail2018-09-14: Hail2018-07-28: Hail2018-08-26: Hail2018-08-26: Hail2018-08-26: Hail2018-06-17: Hail2018-05-28: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2020-07-08: Hail2020-07-08: Hail2020-07-08: Hail2020-07-08: Hail2020-08-09: Hail2021-09-16: Hail2021-09-16: Hail2021-09-16: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-05-18: Hail2022-05-18: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2022-08-17: Hail2022-06-23: Hail2022-06-23: Hail2022-06-23: Hail2022-06-23: Hail2022-06-23: Hail2022-06-23: Hail1952-07-16: Tornado1955-07-03: Tornado1968-06-30: Tornado1969-08-06: Tornado1969-08-06: Tornado1971-09-17: Tornado1977-09-08: Tornado1978-07-28: Tornado1983-06-12: Tornado1985-07-03: Tornado1985-07-03: Tornado1990-09-13: Tornado1994-06-30: Tornado2010-06-17: Tornado2013-08-29: Tornado2016-06-19: Tornado2019-08-26: Tornado2020-08-14: Tornado2024-06-12: Tornado2024-06-12: Tornado2024-06-12: Tornado2009-07-14: Flood2010-11-01: Flood2010-12-07: Flood2011-04-11: Flood2011-05-05: Flood2012-06-01: Flood2012-05-26: Flood2012-06-17: Flood2012-06-20: Flood2012-07-01: Flood2012-06-01: Flood2012-07-01: Flood2013-05-01: Flood2013-04-30: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2018-06-17: Flood2018-06-17: Flood2018-05-24: Flood2018-07-12: Flood2018-07-12: Flood2018-07-12: Flood2019-09-30: Flood2019-06-30: Flood2020-08-14: Flood1972-08-05: Wind1973-06-25: Wind1974-07-13: Wind1975-07-02: Wind1975-07-02: Wind1975-07-02: Wind1976-07-22: Wind1977-06-07: Wind1977-06-07: Wind1978-08-14: Wind1978-08-14: Wind1984-06-06: Wind1985-06-21: Wind1986-07-04: Wind1986-06-03: Wind1989-08-30: Wind1990-09-05: Wind1990-08-26: Wind1991-06-27: Wind1991-06-28: Wind1992-09-17: Wind1996-06-29: Wind1996-05-17: Wind1996-08-25: Wind1996-08-06: Wind1997-06-28: Wind1998-05-15: Wind1998-06-01: Wind1999-07-25: Wind1999-07-25: Wind1999-07-04: Wind1999-07-25: Wind1999-06-26: Wind1999-07-23: Wind1999-07-23: Wind2000-08-14: Wind2000-08-14: Wind2000-08-14: Wind2000-08-14: Wind2000-08-14: Wind2001-06-11: Wind2001-06-13: Wind2001-07-17: Wind2001-08-08: Wind2001-08-08: Wind2002-04-16: Wind2002-07-08: Wind2002-07-21: Wind2003-08-20: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2004-04-28: Wind2004-09-23: Wind2005-06-27: Wind2005-08-09: Wind2006-07-29: Wind2006-07-29: Wind2007-09-24: Wind2008-05-17: Wind2008-05-17: Wind2008-07-11: Wind2008-07-11: Wind2010-08-20: Wind2011-07-10: Wind2011-05-30: Wind2012-06-19: Wind2012-06-19: Wind2012-07-02: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-31: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2015-07-05: Wind2016-06-25: Wind2016-06-25: Wind2016-06-25: Wind2016-06-26: Wind2016-08-04: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2016-07-24: Wind2017-09-20: Wind2017-09-22: Wind2017-07-06: Wind2017-07-21: Wind2017-07-17: Wind2017-07-21: Wind2018-06-17: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-17: Wind2018-05-29: Wind2018-07-08: Wind2018-09-02: Wind2018-09-02: Wind2018-08-31: Wind2018-08-31: Wind2018-09-14: Wind2018-08-31: Wind2018-08-31: Wind
Aitkin County within Minnesota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 380 events for Aitkin County, Minnesota, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 20.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Minnesota figure of 71.0, and 239.2 per 10,000 residents against 99.0 statewide.

20 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 7 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $4.2M and crop damage at $1K.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 19 Jul 2023).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 95 claims since 1978, of which 75 were paid, totalling $755K (about $10K per paid claim). FEMA counts 101 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($15M a year across 18 hazards).

20events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
380events since 19503 deaths, 7 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 19 Jul 2023
95NFIP flood claims$755K paid

Compared with Minnesota and the United States

MeasureAitkin CountyMinnesotaUS
Recorded events since 195038056,5241,977,440
Events per 100 square miles20.971.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents239.299.059.6
Events in the last 12 months201,95662,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI329326,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$4.2M$5.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.02.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$10K$16K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.013.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Tornado: 3
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Wind: 12
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Wind: 5
Hail: 8Tornado: 2Wind: 24
Hail: 23Flood: 2Wind: 26Lightning: 2
Hail: 57Tornado: 4Flood: 26Wind: 60Other: 1
Hail: 46Tornado: 4Flood: 1Wind: 55Lightning: 1
21950s31960s201970s131980s341990s532000s1482010s1072020s
Recorded events in Aitkin County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 272 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 70 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind182
Hail143
Flood29
Tornado22
Lightning3
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind182—1.2%detail
■ Hail143—0.9%detail
■ Flood29—1.1%detail
■ Tornado2210.9%detail
■ Lightning3—1.0%
■ Other120.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
8 May 2018Heavy RainOther———23County
6 Aug 1969TornadoTornadoF3$250K—13County
31 Aug 2018Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
6 Aug 1969TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M———County
12 Jun 2024TornadoTornadoEF1$500K———County
8 Sep 1977TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
28 Jul 1978TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
3 Jul 1985TornadoTornadoF0$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
19 Jul 2023DR-4722Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Aug 2022DR-4666Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 Jul 2022DR-4658Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2020DR-4531Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3453EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
5 Sep 2018DR-4390Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Jul 2012DR-4069Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3242EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
16 May 2001DR-1370Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Jul 1999DR-1283Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 Apr 1997DR-1175Major disasterFloodSevere Flooding, High Winds,Severe StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Jun 1996DR-1116Major disasterFloodFlooding And Severe StormsPublic assistance
18 Aug 1995DR-1064Major disasterSevere StormSevere Thunderstorms, Winds, Flooding, Tornadoes, And HeatPublic assistance
11 Jun 1993DR-993Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Apr 1979DR-582Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Jun 1976EM-3013EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
5 Jul 1975DR-473Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Aug 1972DR-347Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-255Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Mar 1966DR-215Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Apr 1965DR-188Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Aitkin County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197895
Paid claims75
Total paid$755K
Average paid claim$10K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force1010.5% of 18,533 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202311$9,820$9,820
201910$0—
201610$0—
20125646$661,320$14,377
200311$4,445$4,445
20011813$56,382$4,337
199721$12,256$12,256
198321$4,045$4,045
198211$130$130
19791211$6,389$581

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 56.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$15MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$10,380,749
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$3,775,811
Strong windRelatively Low$275,237
TornadoVery Low$270,824
Heat waveRelatively Low$217,396
LightningRelatively Low$192,741
HailRelatively Low$175,356
DroughtRelatively Low$72,091
WildfireVery Low$59,159
Ice stormRelatively Low$31,701
Winter weatherVery Low$15,225
LandslideRelatively Low$4,560
EarthquakeVery Low$1,679

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Aitkin County, MN?

NCEI records 143 hail events in Aitkin County since 1950, in 35 different years; that is about 1.9 recorded events a year. 32 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Aitkin County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 22 tornadoes in Aitkin County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Aitkin County?

19 Jul 2023: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Aitkin County, and how much was paid?

95 NFIP claims since 1978, 75 of them paid, for $755K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Aitkin County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Aitkin County compare with the rest of Minnesota?

20.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 71.0 statewide, and 6.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.