County Hazards

States › Minnesota › Nobles County

Nobles County, Minnesota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 27105 · 21,991 residents (2021) · 715 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 222Tornado · 46Flood · 34Wind · 191Winter · 212
2026-05-17: Hail2026-05-17: Hail2026-05-17: Hail2026-05-17: Hail2026-05-17: Hail2026-04-13: Hail2026-04-13: Hail2026-04-13: Hail2025-08-06: Hail2025-06-02: Hail2025-04-28: Hail2025-04-28: Hail2024-08-29: Hail2024-05-20: Hail2024-05-20: Hail2023-07-22: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2022-08-18: Hail2022-08-18: Hail2022-05-29: Hail2022-05-29: Hail2021-06-16: Hail2021-06-16: Hail2021-06-16: Hail2021-04-26: Hail2021-04-05: Hail2021-04-05: Hail2020-10-11: Hail2020-07-11: Hail2019-09-24: Hail2019-09-24: Hail2019-06-24: Hail2019-05-14: Hail2018-07-04: Hail2018-07-03: Hail2018-06-06: Hail2018-04-13: Hail2018-04-13: Hail2017-08-18: Hail2017-08-18: Hail2017-08-18: Hail2017-08-13: Hail2017-08-13: Hail2017-06-27: Hail2017-06-27: Hail2017-06-13: Hail2016-06-15: Hail2015-09-09: Hail2015-06-19: Hail2015-05-25: Hail2015-04-12: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-05-30: Hail2013-10-02: Hail2013-10-02: Hail2013-10-02: Hail2013-10-02: Hail2013-08-31: Hail2013-07-25: Hail2012-05-23: Hail2012-05-23: Hail2012-05-23: Hail2012-05-05: Hail2012-05-05: Hail2012-05-05: Hail2012-05-04: Hail2011-07-25: Hail2011-07-25: Hail2011-07-01: Hail2011-07-01: Hail2010-06-25: Hail2010-04-12: Hail2010-04-12: Hail2009-07-14: Hail2009-07-09: Hail2009-07-09: Hail2009-07-09: Hail2009-07-09: Hail2009-07-09: Hail2009-05-06: Hail2008-08-13: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2007-10-06: Hail2007-08-20: Hail2007-05-19: Hail2007-05-19: Hail2006-08-01: Hail2006-06-24: Hail2006-06-24: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2005-09-08: Hail2005-09-08: Hail2005-08-03: Hail2005-06-29: Hail2005-06-29: Hail2005-06-29: Hail2005-06-29: Hail2005-06-13: Hail2005-06-13: Hail2005-05-08: Hail2005-05-06: Hail2005-04-10: Hail2004-08-03: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-31: Hail1955-04-27: Tornado1956-05-10: Tornado1964-08-10: Tornado1966-07-02: Tornado1966-07-09: Tornado1968-05-28: Tornado1975-05-11: Tornado1977-05-27: Tornado1979-07-29: Tornado1979-05-17: Tornado1982-10-05: Tornado1986-04-26: Tornado1992-06-16: Tornado1996-10-29: Tornado1998-03-29: Tornado1998-03-29: Tornado1998-03-29: Tornado1998-03-29: Tornado1998-03-29: Tornado2000-07-25: Tornado2000-07-25: Tornado2000-07-25: Tornado2000-07-25: Tornado2000-07-25: Tornado2001-06-12: Tornado2004-04-18: Tornado2004-05-09: Tornado2004-07-31: Tornado2004-07-31: Tornado2008-07-06: Tornado2008-06-11: Tornado2012-05-04: Tornado2012-05-04: Tornado2012-05-04: Tornado2017-08-18: Tornado2017-08-18: Tornado2017-08-18: Tornado2019-08-17: Tornado2020-08-14: Tornado2022-05-30: Tornado2023-09-23: Tornado2023-08-13: Tornado2025-04-28: Tornado2026-05-17: Tornado2026-05-17: Tornado2005-06-13: Flood2005-06-20: Flood2005-09-24: Flood2006-04-07: Flood2007-08-20: Flood2008-06-05: Flood2009-07-09: Flood2010-09-22: Flood2010-06-26: Flood2010-06-26: Flood2010-06-25: Flood2011-04-01: Flood2011-03-16: Flood2011-07-11: Flood2011-06-14: Flood2012-05-27: Flood2014-06-15: Flood2014-06-16: Flood2019-06-01: Flood2019-03-13: Flood2019-09-12: Flood2020-06-18: Flood2020-06-18: Flood2020-07-06: Flood2024-06-21: Flood2024-06-21: Flood1955-08-23: Wind1962-06-16: Wind1968-06-21: Wind1969-07-03: Wind1970-05-12: Wind1974-09-07: Wind1975-08-11: Wind1977-06-15: Wind1978-07-06: Wind1979-06-16: Wind1979-06-19: Wind1980-08-20: Wind1980-08-07: Wind1980-08-18: Wind1980-06-04: Wind1980-05-29: Wind1982-10-05: Wind1982-10-05: Wind1983-06-13: Wind1983-06-13: Wind1983-07-01: Wind1984-06-22: Wind1984-06-19: Wind1984-06-04: Wind1985-04-21: Wind1986-07-28: Wind1986-07-28: Wind1986-04-26: Wind1986-09-18: Wind1988-05-31: Wind1992-06-16: Wind1992-07-01: Wind1992-07-01: Wind1992-05-10: Wind1992-05-15: Wind1992-05-15: Wind1996-05-18: Wind1996-06-19: Wind1998-07-18: Wind1998-06-24: Wind1999-08-15: Wind2001-04-07: Wind2001-04-30: Wind2001-06-12: Wind2001-06-12: Wind2001-06-13: Wind2001-06-13: Wind2001-06-13: Wind2001-06-12: Wind2001-06-12: Wind2002-04-16: Wind2002-04-16: Wind2002-04-16: Wind2002-04-16: Wind2002-06-07: Wind2002-06-07: Wind2002-06-07: Wind2002-06-07: Wind2002-08-11: Wind2002-08-11: Wind2002-08-11: Wind2002-07-24: Wind2003-08-18: Wind2003-07-03: Wind2004-04-18: Wind2004-05-29: Wind2004-05-09: Wind2004-05-29: Wind2004-05-29: Wind2004-05-29: Wind2004-05-09: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2004-08-03: Wind2005-06-20: Wind2005-06-20: Wind2005-06-20: Wind2008-06-05: Wind2009-07-14: Wind2009-07-09: Wind2010-05-24: Wind2010-08-10: Wind2010-06-26: Wind2010-06-26: Wind2010-07-17: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-07-23: Wind2010-08-10: Wind2011-06-20: Wind2011-07-10: Wind2012-05-27: Wind2012-05-04: Wind2012-05-04: Wind
Nobles County within Minnesota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 812 events for Nobles County, Minnesota, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 113.5 events per 100 square miles, above the Minnesota figure of 71.0, and 369.2 per 10,000 residents against 99.0 statewide.

33 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 19 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $67M and crop damage at $30M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 28 Jun 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 83 claims since 1978, of which 63 were paid, totalling $209K (about $3K per paid claim). FEMA counts 18 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($13M a year across 18 hazards).

33events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
812events since 19506 deaths, 19 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 28 Jun 2024
83NFIP flood claims$209K paid

Compared with Minnesota and the United States

MeasureNobles CountyMinnesotaUS
Recorded events since 195081256,5241,977,440
Events per 100 square miles113.571.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents369.299.059.6
Events in the last 12 months331,95662,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI629326,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$67M$5.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.82.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$3K$16K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years77.813.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 5Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 4Wind: 3
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Wind: 7
Hail: 9Tornado: 2Wind: 19
Hail: 40Tornado: 8Flood: 2Wind: 20Winter: 16Cold: 1Drought: 2
Hail: 86Tornado: 12Flood: 13Wind: 52Winter: 55Cold: 2Drought: 3Lightning: 3Other: 1
Hail: 44Tornado: 7Flood: 14Wind: 40Winter: 95Heat: 9Cold: 21Drought: 10Other: 5
Hail: 32Tornado: 7Flood: 5Wind: 49Winter: 46Heat: 9Cold: 16Drought: 16Wildfire: 1Other: 8
81950s91960s151970s301980s891990s2272000s2452010s1892020s
Recorded events in Nobles County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 478 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 262 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail222
Winter212
Wind191
Tornado46
Cold40
Flood34
Drought31
Heat18
Other14
Lightning3
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail222—1.4%detail
■ Winter21241.7%detail
■ Wind19121.3%detail
■ Tornado46—1.9%detail
■ Cold40—0.9%
■ Flood34—1.3%detail
■ Drought31—2.1%
■ Heat18—2.2%
■ Other14—1.0%
■ Lightning3—1.0%
■ Wildfire1—3.7%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
12 Oct 2009Winter WeatherWinter———21Forecast zone
8 Jan 2009Winter WeatherWinter———13Forecast zone
26 Nov 2006Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
11 May 2022Thunderstorm WindWind85 mph——1—County
9 Dec 2023Strong WindWind45 mph——1—Forecast zone
16 Mar 2023BlizzardWinter————5Forecast zone
16 Jun 1992TornadoTornadoF5$25M———County
9 Apr 2013Winter StormWinter—$25M———Forecast zone
26 Apr 1986TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——2County
16 Nov 2018Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
1 Jun 2019FloodFlood——$18M——County
11 Feb 2003High WindWind66 mph$10K——1Forecast zone
7 Feb 2010Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
25 Jan 2010BlizzardWinter————1Forecast zone
5 Nov 2019Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
3 Jan 2020Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
1 Oct 2023DroughtDrought——$4.3M——Forecast zone
21 Jun 2024FloodFlood—$3.6M———County
14 Nov 1996Ice StormWinter—$2.5M———Forecast zone
11 Oct 2022DroughtDrought——$2.3M——Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
28 Jun 2024DR-4797Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Aug 2022DR-4666Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 Jul 2022DR-4658Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2020DR-4531Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3453EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Jun 2019DR-4442Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2018DR-4390Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Jul 2014DR-4182Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 May 2013DR-4113Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Oct 2010DR-1941Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Jun 2008DR-1772Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3242EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
16 May 2001DR-1370Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
1 Apr 1998DR-1212Major disasterTornadoTornadoes And Severe StormsIndividual assistance
16 Jan 1997DR-1158Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
7 Jan 1997DR-1151Major disasterSevere StormSevere Ice StormPublic assistance
11 Jun 1993DR-993Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Jun 1992DR-946Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
17 Jun 1976EM-3013EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
5 Aug 1969DR-268Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-255Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Nobles County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197883
Paid claims63
Total paid$209K
Average paid claim$3K
Repetitive-loss properties50 severe
Residential policies in force180.2% of 8,099 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202466$31,226$5,204
201885$15,300$3,060
201421$4,380$4,380
201176$30,050$5,008
20101813$45,986$3,537
200810$0—
200710$0—
200633$7,119$2,373
200563$31,159$10,386
200175$14,287$2,857
199411$1,700$1,700
19931512$25,062$2,088
198311$223$223
197944$2,056$514
197833$881$294

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 50.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$13MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,160,550
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,362,932
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,163,463
HailRelatively Moderate$1,615,560
Strong windRelatively Moderate$767,440
Winter weatherRelatively High$362,793
DroughtRelatively Moderate$341,724
Heat waveRelatively Low$218,406
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$205,641
LightningRelatively Low$92,616
EarthquakeVery Low$24,236
WildfireVery Low$6,167
LandslideVery Low$168

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Nobles County, MN?

NCEI records 222 hail events in Nobles County since 1950, in 47 different years; that is about 2.9 recorded events a year. 62 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Nobles County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 46 tornadoes in Nobles County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Nobles County?

28 Jun 2024: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Nobles County, and how much was paid?

83 NFIP claims since 1978, 63 of them paid, for $209K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Nobles County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Nobles County compare with the rest of Minnesota?

113.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 71.0 statewide, and 3.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.