County Hazards

States › Missouri › Butler County

Butler County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29023 · 42,101 residents (2021) · 695 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 145Tornado · 48Flood · 116Wind · 285Winter · 101
1964-08-11: Hail1967-04-23: Hail1967-04-23: Hail1970-06-18: Hail1971-07-14: Hail1972-06-26: Hail1972-04-07: Hail1972-04-07: Hail1973-05-10: Hail1973-05-22: Hail1974-04-01: Hail1974-05-20: Hail1980-05-29: Hail1981-05-18: Hail1982-05-21: Hail1984-05-08: Hail1984-05-06: Hail1986-05-14: Hail1986-05-14: Hail1986-04-06: Hail1986-05-13: Hail1990-05-21: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1996-05-02: Hail1996-06-12: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-03-16: Hail1997-07-03: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1998-06-14: Hail1998-06-20: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1998-07-30: Hail1999-05-05: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2002-01-23: Hail2002-05-07: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-05-04: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2003-05-01: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-07-28: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-08-04: Hail2003-08-05: Hail2004-03-20: Hail2004-03-20: Hail2004-10-18: Hail2005-03-30: Hail2005-03-30: Hail2005-05-19: Hail2005-05-19: Hail2005-08-26: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-05-20: Hail2006-05-01: Hail2006-05-20: Hail2006-05-20: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-27: Hail2007-02-20: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-05-07: Hail2007-02-20: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-06-20: Hail2009-04-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2011-04-15: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-24: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-11-14: Hail2011-08-03: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2012-12-09: Hail2012-04-05: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-07-08: Hail2012-07-27: Hail2012-03-23: Hail2012-09-26: Hail2012-09-26: Hail2012-08-16: Hail2012-08-16: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2014-08-06: Hail2014-08-06: Hail2015-03-31: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2018-03-16: Hail2018-04-03: Hail1968-05-15: Tornado1970-04-30: Tornado1970-03-25: Tornado1973-06-19: Tornado1973-05-07: Tornado1973-12-04: Tornado1975-06-05: Tornado1976-02-21: Tornado1976-03-20: Tornado1981-05-18: Tornado1990-05-17: Tornado1994-04-27: Tornado1995-06-20: Tornado1996-03-05: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1997-06-17: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado2002-04-24: Tornado2002-04-24: Tornado2006-09-22: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2010-12-31: Tornado2010-05-01: Tornado2011-05-25: Tornado2011-04-27: Tornado2011-04-23: Tornado2012-09-01: Tornado2012-09-01: Tornado2013-04-10: Tornado2013-01-29: Tornado2013-10-31: Tornado2013-10-31: Tornado2014-04-03: Tornado2014-04-03: Tornado2017-03-09: Tornado2017-03-09: Tornado2017-05-27: Tornado2018-05-16: Tornado2020-03-12: Tornado2021-08-08: Tornado2022-03-06: Tornado2024-08-31: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2025-03-30: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2006-03-10: Flood2006-03-09: Flood2007-05-03: Flood2007-01-13: Flood2007-05-03: Flood2007-05-04: Flood2008-01-08: Flood2008-04-01: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-05-02: Flood2008-04-11: Flood2008-04-12: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-03: Flood2008-03-20: Flood2008-06-20: Flood2009-02-12: Flood2009-12-24: Flood2009-12-24: Flood2009-12-25: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2009-05-08: Flood2009-11-01: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2010-04-23: Flood2010-04-30: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-06-01: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-26: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-05-03: Flood2012-09-01: Flood2013-12-21: Flood2013-12-21: Flood2013-12-21: Flood2013-06-02: Flood2014-04-28: Flood2014-04-27: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-01-03: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-03-13: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-18: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2016-03-31: Flood2016-05-27: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-08-14: Flood2016-08-15: Flood2016-07-09: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-05-18: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2018-02-22: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-25: Flood2019-06-27: Flood2019-06-06: Flood2019-06-19: Flood2020-05-04: Flood2020-05-25: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-08-11: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-07-30: Flood2021-08-13: Flood2021-10-02: Flood2022-02-17: Flood2022-03-06: Flood2023-01-03: Flood2023-03-03: Flood2023-03-25: Flood2024-05-27: Flood2024-06-26: Flood2024-05-26: Flood2025-07-07: Flood2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-27: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2023-08-26: Wind2023-07-05: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-06-04: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2023-05-08: Wind2023-04-15: Wind2022-02-22: Wind2021-08-08: Wind2021-08-08: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2020-08-31: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-03-12: Wind2020-03-02: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-06-27: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-16: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-21: Wind2019-05-21: Wind2019-03-09: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-12: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2017-11-18: Wind2017-05-20: Wind2017-04-20: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-07-28: Wind2016-07-06: Wind
Butler County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 1,035 storm events in Butler County, Missouri, led by damaging wind.

That is 149.0 events per 100 square miles, above the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 245.8 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

35 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 16 deaths and 97 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $109M and crop damage at $7.7M.

FEMA has designated the county in 23 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 21 May 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 517 claims since 1978, of which 414 were paid, totalling $10M (about $24K per paid claim). FEMA counts 261 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($46M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

35events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,035events since 195016 deaths, 97 injuries recorded
23disaster declarationslast 21 May 2025
517NFIP flood claims$10M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureButler CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 19501,03573,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles149.0106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents245.8118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months351,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI161,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$109M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents12.38.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$24K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years30.351.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 9Tornado: 8Wind: 23
Hail: 9Tornado: 1Wind: 11
Hail: 23Tornado: 8Flood: 12Wind: 28Winter: 10Heat: 5Cold: 3Drought: 7Fog: 4Other: 2
Hail: 49Tornado: 5Flood: 44Wind: 55Winter: 29Heat: 16Cold: 20Drought: 8Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1Fog: 18Other: 12
Hail: 32Tornado: 17Flood: 43Wind: 88Winter: 44Heat: 46Cold: 22Drought: 19Wildfire: 1Fog: 44Other: 21
Hail: 20Tornado: 8Flood: 17Wind: 77Winter: 18Heat: 34Cold: 18Drought: 11Fog: 24Other: 3
11950s61960s401970s211980s1021990s2582000s3772010s2302020s
Recorded events in Butler County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 736 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 215 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind285
Hail145
Flood116
Winter101
Heat101
Fog90
Cold63
Tornado48
Drought45
Other38
Wildfire2
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind28521.3%detail
■ Hail145—0.7%detail
■ Flood11681.1%detail
■ Winter10111.5%detail
■ Heat10132.7%
■ Fog90—8.4%
■ Cold63—3.8%
■ Tornado4821.5%detail
■ Drought45—1.8%
■ Other38—3.0%
■ Wildfire2—1.9%
■ Lightning1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
30 Oct 2009FloodFlood———31County
8 May 2009Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$45K—2—County
21 Feb 1976TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—113County
14 Mar 2025TornadoTornadoEF3$15M—1—County
1 May 2017FloodFlood—$2.5M$100K1—County
14 Aug 2016FloodFlood—$150K$50K1—County
3 Apr 2015Flash FloodFlood—$20K—1—County
30 Apr 2017FloodFlood—$20K—1—County
19 Jul 2006HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
15 Dec 2008Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
24 Dec 2009Flash FloodFlood———1—County
10 Jul 2011Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
18 Jul 2016Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
21 Jul 2005HeatHeat————40Forecast zone
24 Apr 2002TornadoTornadoF4$30M——14County
7 May 1973TornadoTornadoF3$250K——7County
19 Apr 1993TornadoTornadoF2$5.0M——4County
5 Jun 1975TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——4County
3 Jun 2020Thunderstorm WindWind49 mph———3County
14 Sep 2008High WindWind66 mph$8.5M$5.0M—1Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
21 May 2025DR-4872Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 May 2025DR-4867Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And WildfiresIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4803Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 2020DR-4552Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1980Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Feb 2009DR-1822Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Nov 2008DR-1809Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And A TornadoPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Mar 2008DR-1748Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
5 Apr 2006DR-1635Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Dec 1993DR-1006Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Dec 1982DR-672Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Butler County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978517
Paid claims414
Total paid$10M
Average paid claim$24K
Repetitive-loss properties746 severe
Residential policies in force2611.4% of 19,255 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202555$230,634$46,127
202411$20,910$20,910
201911$1,833$1,833
201822$21,478$10,739
20177062$2,244,879$36,208
2016139$238,194$26,466
201594$21,119$5,280
201422$11,203$5,601
201333$61,976$20,659
2011136104$2,421,280$23,282
201061$5,303$5,303
200966$88,579$14,763
2008158138$4,361,252$31,603
200722$21,811$10,906
200666$47,325$7,888
200511$3,845$3,845
200410$0—
200310$0—
2002147$53,487$7,641
2001108$48,779$6,097
199943$18,202$6,067
199811$6,563$6,563
199722$15,250$7,625
199611$6,570$6,570
199464$31,235$7,809

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 83.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$46MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$17,169,069
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$13,392,332
TornadoRelatively Moderate$6,603,267
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$4,250,554
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,336,212
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,146,942
Ice stormRelatively High$986,894
LightningRelatively Moderate$367,925
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$227,341
DroughtRelatively Low$176,173
HailVery Low$123,658
HurricaneVery Low$38,454
WildfireVery Low$22,989
LandslideRelatively Low$9,578

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Olga201971 mi46 mph
Ike200869 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194163 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192389 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191526 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm19068 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Butler County, MO?

NCEI records 145 hail events in Butler County since 1950, in 44 different years; that is about 1.9 recorded events a year. 41 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Butler County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 48 tornadoes in Butler County since 1950, 14 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Butler County?

21 May 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 23 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Butler County, and how much was paid?

517 NFIP claims since 1978, 414 of them paid, for $10M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Butler County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Butler County compare with the rest of Missouri?

149.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 12.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.