County Hazards

States › Missouri › Carter County

Carter County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29035 · 5,320 residents (2021) · 507 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 95Tornado · 22Flood · 62Wind · 146Winter · 107
1976-03-20: Hail1980-04-11: Hail1984-05-06: Hail1991-03-21: Hail1996-07-22: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-03-16: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-10-21: Hail1997-07-03: Hail1998-06-19: Hail2000-05-12: Hail2000-05-22: Hail2000-05-22: Hail2000-08-03: Hail2001-08-10: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2001-09-08: Hail2002-05-07: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-22: Hail2002-04-22: Hail2003-03-25: Hail2003-04-06: Hail2004-04-21: Hail2004-04-21: Hail2004-03-20: Hail2005-06-30: Hail2005-11-05: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-05-26: Hail2007-02-20: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2009-08-04: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-05-12: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2013-04-16: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-04-26: Hail2018-03-16: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-05-31: Hail2018-05-31: Hail2018-06-26: Hail2018-06-26: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2019-08-21: Hail2020-03-02: Hail2020-03-02: Hail2020-03-12: Hail2020-03-12: Hail2021-05-06: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2021-12-05: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-04-30: Hail2022-09-24: Hail2022-09-24: Hail2023-04-20: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2025-03-30: Hail2025-03-30: Hail2025-05-01: Hail2025-05-01: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-08-19: Hail2026-04-28: Hail1957-05-21: Tornado1964-03-25: Tornado1973-06-04: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1982-12-24: Tornado1982-12-24: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1984-04-29: Tornado1995-06-07: Tornado2002-04-24: Tornado2004-04-24: Tornado2008-06-13: Tornado2010-12-31: Tornado2011-05-25: Tornado2011-05-25: Tornado2015-12-23: Tornado2020-03-12: Tornado2020-05-04: Tornado2023-04-05: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2005-11-28: Flood2006-03-09: Flood2007-09-08: Flood2007-05-03: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2009-12-24: Flood2009-06-09: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2009-10-08: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-26: Flood2013-01-13: Flood2013-12-21: Flood2014-06-29: Flood2015-03-13: Flood2015-12-29: Flood2016-06-01: Flood2016-09-15: Flood2016-08-14: Flood2016-07-28: Flood2017-03-09: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-05-11: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2019-05-21: Flood2019-02-07: Flood2019-06-26: Flood2019-11-22: Flood2020-05-25: Flood2020-05-04: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-07-22: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-10-28: Flood2020-06-03: Flood2021-01-25: Flood2021-12-18: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-08-20: Flood2023-02-08: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2024-05-26: Flood2024-05-26: Flood2024-11-04: Flood2024-11-06: Flood2025-09-23: Flood1976-03-04: Wind1982-04-16: Wind1983-08-05: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-05-05: Wind1996-03-05: Wind1996-03-05: Wind1997-07-27: Wind1997-03-01: Wind1998-07-22: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-04-03: Wind1999-05-17: Wind2000-01-03: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2004-06-12: Wind2005-05-19: Wind2005-06-30: Wind2005-09-14: Wind2006-03-12: Wind2007-03-01: Wind2007-04-03: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2010-04-30: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-05-12: Wind2011-08-06: Wind2011-08-07: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-08-07: Wind2012-09-06: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2016-05-09: Wind2016-05-09: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2018-07-01: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-08-16: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-05-04: Wind2020-08-31: Wind2021-05-27: Wind2021-07-10: Wind
Carter County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 744 events for Carter County, Missouri, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 146.6 events per 100 square miles, above the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 1,398.5 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

25 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 10 deaths and 92 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $53M and crop damage at $30K.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 21 May 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 123 claims since 1978, of which 101 were paid, totalling $5.4M (about $54K per paid claim). FEMA counts 37 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($11M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

25events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
744events since 195010 deaths, 92 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 21 May 2025
123NFIP flood claims$5.4M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureCarter CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195074473,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles146.6106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents1,398.5118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months251,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI101,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$53M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents23.18.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$54K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years89.251.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 5Wind: 2
Hail: 19Tornado: 1Flood: 2Wind: 16Winter: 7Heat: 5Cold: 3Drought: 6Lightning: 1Fog: 4
Hail: 29Tornado: 3Flood: 19Wind: 28Winter: 34Heat: 12Cold: 25Drought: 8Fog: 15Other: 2
Hail: 22Tornado: 4Flood: 23Wind: 57Winter: 44Heat: 41Cold: 23Drought: 19Wildfire: 4Fog: 37Other: 10
Hail: 22Tornado: 6Flood: 18Wind: 42Winter: 22Heat: 33Cold: 24Drought: 13Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Fog: 23Other: 1
11950s11960s31970s91980s641990s1752000s2842010s2072020s
Recorded events in Carter County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 574 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 145 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind146
Winter107
Hail95
Heat91
Fog79
Cold75
Flood62
Drought46
Tornado22
Other13
Wildfire5
Lightning3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind14610.7%detail
■ Winter107—1.6%detail
■ Hail95—0.5%detail
■ Heat91—2.4%
■ Fog79—7.4%
■ Cold75—4.5%
■ Flood6210.6%detail
■ Drought46—1.9%
■ Tornado2280.7%detail
■ Other13—1.0%
■ Wildfire5—4.9%
■ Lightning3—1.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 May 1957TornadoTornadoF4$250K—775County
21 Jun 2019Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$20K—12County
24 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M—11County
9 Mar 2006Flash FloodFlood—$25K—1—County
24 Apr 2004TornadoTornadoF2$600K——5County
24 Apr 2002TornadoTornadoF4$15M——2County
2 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF1$25K——2County
22 Jul 1998LightningLightning————2County
31 Jul 2021LightningLightning————2County
11 Jan 2015Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
1 May 2017FloodFlood—$10M———County
14 Mar 2025WildfireWildfire—$10M———Forecast zone
24 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M———County
29 Apr 1984TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M———County
14 Sep 2008High WindWind58 mph$2.0M———Forecast zone
14 Mar 2025TornadoTornadoEF3$2.0M———County
11 Feb 2008Winter StormWinter—$1.0M———Forecast zone
18 Mar 2008FloodFlood—$700K———County
14 Mar 2025TornadoTornadoEF1$500K———County
18 Mar 2008FloodFlood—$300K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
21 May 2025DR-4872Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 May 2025DR-4867Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And WildfiresIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Jan 2025DR-4855Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4803Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 2020DR-4552Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1980Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Feb 2009DR-1822Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Nov 2008DR-1809Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And A TornadoPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Mar 2008DR-1748Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Dec 1993DR-1006Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Dec 1982DR-672Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carter County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978123
Paid claims101
Total paid$5.4M
Average paid claim$54K
Repetitive-loss properties112 severe
Residential policies in force371.2% of 3,058 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202310$0—
20173229$4,120,454$142,085
201564$55,897$13,974
201465$150,809$30,162
201310$0—
201197$37,131$5,304
200911$8,515$8,515
20082117$495,716$29,160
200711$16,492$16,492
200321$2,496$2,496
20021312$100,037$8,336
19931413$339,218$26,094
199211$4,395$4,395
1985127$96,984$13,855
198322$7,533$3,767
198211$13,300$13,300

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 53.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$11MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,510,795
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,042,843
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,256,252
TornadoRelatively Low$518,467
Strong windRelatively Moderate$471,010
Heat waveRelatively Low$438,645
LightningRelatively Moderate$198,418
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$149,174
Winter weatherRelatively Low$29,042
WildfireVery Low$24,527
HailVery Low$18,757
HurricaneVery Low$9,150
LandslideRelatively Low$8,403
DroughtVery Low$960

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200845 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194166 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192357 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191547 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190638 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190287 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carter County, MO?

NCEI records 95 hail events in Carter County since 1950, in 31 different years; that is about 1.2 recorded events a year. 19 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carter County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 22 tornadoes in Carter County since 1950, 10 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 8.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carter County?

21 May 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carter County, and how much was paid?

123 NFIP claims since 1978, 101 of them paid, for $5.4M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carter County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carter County compare with the rest of Missouri?

146.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 23.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.