County Hazards

States › Missouri › Lawrence County

Lawrence County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29109 · 38,321 residents (2021) · 612 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 279Tornado · 30Flood · 172Wind · 273Winter · 59
2026-05-30: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2025-04-04: Hail2025-04-04: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2023-08-13: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2020-05-03: Hail2020-05-03: Hail2020-04-24: Hail2020-03-27: Hail2020-03-27: Hail2020-03-01: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-11: Hail2017-05-11: Hail2017-04-04: Hail2017-04-04: Hail2017-04-04: Hail2017-03-21: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-01: Hail2015-04-21: Hail2015-04-03: Hail2015-04-03: Hail2015-04-03: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2015-03-24: Hail2015-03-24: Hail2014-09-17: Hail2014-06-06: Hail2014-06-06: Hail2014-06-05: Hail2014-06-04: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2014-03-27: Hail2013-07-23: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-03-30: Hail2013-03-30: Hail2012-10-12: Hail2012-10-12: Hail2012-08-16: Hail2012-08-16: Hail2012-08-04: Hail2012-08-04: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2012-04-13: Hail2012-04-13: Hail2011-10-12: Hail2011-08-20: Hail2011-08-20: Hail2011-08-20: Hail2011-08-20: Hail2011-08-20: Hail2011-06-14: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-03-13: Hail2010-11-24: Hail2010-06-16: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-05-25: Hail2010-04-30: Hail2009-10-01: Hail2009-10-01: Hail2009-10-01: Hail2009-06-30: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-04-05: Hail2008-12-27: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-01: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail1960-05-19: Tornado1961-04-30: Tornado1971-05-05: Tornado1971-06-08: Tornado1973-09-24: Tornado1974-05-23: Tornado1976-03-26: Tornado1979-10-30: Tornado2001-11-23: Tornado2002-12-17: Tornado2003-05-04: Tornado2005-11-12: Tornado2006-03-12: Tornado2007-10-17: Tornado2008-01-07: Tornado2008-03-31: Tornado2011-05-22: Tornado2014-10-13: Tornado2015-05-17: Tornado2017-05-19: Tornado2017-05-19: Tornado2018-01-21: Tornado2018-12-01: Tornado2018-08-19: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2024-05-08: Tornado2025-04-29: Tornado2025-04-29: Tornado2025-04-29: Tornado2005-01-04: Flood2005-01-05: Flood2005-01-12: Flood2007-05-10: Flood2007-06-02: Flood2007-06-29: Flood2007-06-30: Flood2007-03-20: Flood2007-08-20: Flood2007-06-12: Flood2007-06-11: Flood2007-09-06: Flood2007-09-08: Flood2007-09-08: Flood2008-03-19: Flood2008-03-03: Flood2008-01-07: Flood2008-05-08: Flood2008-06-13: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2009-09-19: Flood2009-09-19: Flood2009-09-20: Flood2010-11-25: Flood2010-03-25: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-05-16: Flood2010-09-01: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2013-06-01: Flood2013-05-30: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2013-05-30: Flood2013-05-30: Flood2013-04-10: Flood2013-08-03: Flood2013-08-03: Flood2013-08-04: Flood2013-07-30: Flood2013-07-30: Flood2013-07-30: Flood2013-07-30: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2014-06-05: Flood2014-06-05: Flood2015-08-10: Flood2015-06-18: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-07-09: Flood2015-11-27: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2016-05-17: Flood2016-07-25: Flood2017-05-03: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-05-11: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2018-02-25: Flood2018-02-25: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2019-01-12: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-05-21: Flood2019-05-21: Flood2020-01-18: Flood2020-03-24: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2026-06-13: Wind2026-06-13: Wind2026-06-13: Wind2026-06-13: Wind2026-06-13: Wind2026-05-30: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-27: Wind2026-04-27: Wind2026-04-24: Wind2026-04-24: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2025-09-18: Wind2025-07-30: Wind2025-06-29: Wind2025-06-29: Wind2025-06-29: Wind2025-06-07: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-20: Wind2025-04-20: Wind2025-03-14: Wind2025-03-14: Wind2024-05-08: Wind2024-04-02: Wind2024-04-01: Wind2024-04-01: Wind2024-04-01: Wind2023-09-04: Wind2023-09-04: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-05-09: Wind2023-02-27: Wind2023-02-27: Wind2022-08-08: Wind2022-08-08: Wind2022-05-25: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2021-09-20: Wind2021-07-31: Wind2021-07-31: Wind2021-05-09: Wind2021-03-17: Wind2020-11-14: Wind2020-08-29: Wind2020-07-16: Wind2020-07-16: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-06-04: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-04-28: Wind2019-10-20: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2019-05-20: Wind2019-05-18: Wind2019-04-30: Wind2019-02-06: Wind2019-02-06: Wind2018-12-01: Wind2018-07-19: Wind2018-07-19: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-28: Wind2017-10-21: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2017-04-04: Wind2017-04-04: Wind2017-03-09: Wind2017-03-06: Wind2017-03-06: Wind2016-06-29: Wind
Lawrence County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Lawrence County, Missouri, has 897 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 146.6 events per 100 square miles, above the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 234.1 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

41 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 14 deaths and 77 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $186M and crop damage at $19M.

FEMA has designated the county in 20 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 9 Jun 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 34 claims since 1978, of which 26 were paid, totalling $657K (about $25K per paid claim). FEMA counts 53 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($22M a year across 18 hazards).

2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

41events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
897events since 195014 deaths, 77 injuries recorded
20disaster declarationslast 9 Jun 2025
34NFIP flood claims$657K paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureLawrence CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195089773,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles146.6106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents234.1118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months411,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI141,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$186M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.98.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$25K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years37.751.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 2Wind: 11
Hail: 14Tornado: 6Wind: 12
Hail: 18Wind: 14
Hail: 44Flood: 10Wind: 28Winter: 5Heat: 2Drought: 1
Hail: 98Tornado: 8Flood: 51Wind: 60Winter: 18Heat: 4Cold: 3Drought: 6Other: 4
Hail: 61Tornado: 10Flood: 56Wind: 64Winter: 11Heat: 4Cold: 1Drought: 10Wildfire: 4Other: 15
Hail: 39Tornado: 4Flood: 55Wind: 84Winter: 25Cold: 6Drought: 19Other: 5
11950s171960s321970s321980s901990s2522000s2362010s2372020s
Recorded events in Lawrence County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 542 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 252 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail279
Wind273
Flood172
Winter59
Drought36
Tornado30
Other24
Heat10
Cold10
Wildfire4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail279—1.4%detail
■ Wind273—1.3%detail
■ Flood17241.6%detail
■ Winter59—0.9%detail
■ Drought36—1.5%
■ Tornado3091.0%detail
■ Other24—1.9%
■ Heat1010.3%
■ Cold10—0.6%
■ Wildfire4—3.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
4 May 2003TornadoTornadoF3$28M—533County
17 Dec 2002TornadoTornadoF2$500K—217County
12 Mar 2006TornadoTornadoF3$5.0M—11County
26 Dec 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.5M—1—County
1 Dec 2018TornadoTornadoEF1$250K—1—County
18 Mar 2008Flash FloodFlood—$100K—1—County
27 Aug 2000HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
12 Jan 2005FloodFlood———1—Forecast zone
31 May 2013FloodFlood———1—County
28 Apr 2026HailHail4.00 in$118M$2.2M——County
22 Dec 2022Winter StormWinter————8Forecast zone
22 Dec 2022Winter WeatherWinter————8Forecast zone
17 May 2021Flash FloodFlood—$200K——3County
26 Mar 1976TornadoTornadoF3$250K——2County
29 Jan 2023Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
12 Nov 2005TornadoTornadoF1$750K——1County
31 Jan 2023Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
12 Jan 2023Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
1 Aug 2012DroughtDrought—$2K$8.6M——Forecast zone
18 Nov 2003HailHail2.75 in$6.0M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jun 2025DR-4876Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Jan 2016DR-4250Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1980Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Jun 2009DR-1847Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
21 Sep 2007DR-1728Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
15 Jan 2007DR-1676Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Mar 2006DR-1631Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2003DR-1463Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lawrence County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197834
Paid claims26
Total paid$657K
Average paid claim$25K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force530.3% of 17,813 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202220$0—
20211815$423,081$28,205
201566$178,260$29,710
201311$15,314$15,314
200830$0—
199511$1,114$1,114
199311$9,872$9,872
198211$24,641$24,641
198111$4,953$4,953

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 66.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$22MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$10,098,130
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,287,231
Strong windRelatively High$2,016,321
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,711,818
Cold waveRelatively Low$878,434
Ice stormRelatively High$810,122
EarthquakeRelatively Low$742,098
DroughtRelatively Moderate$601,538
HailRelatively Low$364,445
LightningRelatively Moderate$259,740
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$138,306
WildfireVery Low$49,569
HurricaneVery Low$25,343
LandslideVery Low$146

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles2
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Carla196146 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190291 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lawrence County, MO?

NCEI records 279 hail events in Lawrence County since 1950, in 54 different years; that is about 3.6 recorded events a year. 71 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lawrence County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 30 tornadoes in Lawrence County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 9.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lawrence County?

9 Jun 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 20 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lawrence County, and how much was paid?

34 NFIP claims since 1978, 26 of them paid, for $657K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lawrence County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lawrence County compare with the rest of Missouri?

146.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.