County Hazards

States › Missouri › Lincoln County

Lincoln County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29113 · 61,586 residents (2021) · 627 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 123Tornado · 24Flood · 56Wind · 201Winter · 57
1963-06-10: Hail1968-05-08: Hail1970-06-15: Hail1974-06-14: Hail1981-04-08: Hail1982-12-24: Hail1985-05-14: Hail1988-04-05: Hail1989-03-17: Hail1990-05-15: Hail1991-03-17: Hail1991-10-04: Hail1996-06-02: Hail1996-06-12: Hail1996-06-12: Hail1996-06-12: Hail1996-05-23: Hail1996-12-23: Hail1996-12-23: Hail1996-04-19: Hail1997-05-02: Hail1998-06-12: Hail1998-05-22: Hail1999-06-01: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2000-05-08: Hail2001-04-10: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-04-27: Hail2002-04-27: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2004-05-26: Hail2004-05-26: Hail2005-01-12: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-10-20: Hail2005-11-05: Hail2005-11-05: Hail2006-01-02: Hail2006-01-02: Hail2006-03-13: Hail2006-03-13: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-05-24: Hail2006-05-24: Hail2006-05-24: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2008-02-04: Hail2008-02-04: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-07-29: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-08-05: Hail2008-08-05: Hail2008-02-04: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-05-30: Hail2008-05-13: Hail2008-05-13: Hail2008-05-31: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2009-07-23: Hail2010-05-03: Hail2010-05-03: Hail2010-05-03: Hail2010-12-31: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2012-09-07: Hail2012-09-07: Hail2012-09-25: Hail2012-04-13: Hail2012-04-28: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-04-28: Hail2013-11-17: Hail2014-10-06: Hail2014-04-13: Hail2014-04-28: Hail2014-04-28: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-06-29: Hail2016-04-30: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2017-03-30: Hail2017-02-28: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2020-03-27: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2023-04-20: Hail2023-04-20: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2023-06-30: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2024-04-16: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-05-03: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-05-03: Hail1953-03-14: Tornado1955-05-27: Tornado1955-04-23: Tornado1957-12-18: Tornado1962-06-24: Tornado1969-10-10: Tornado1973-03-13: Tornado1983-05-01: Tornado1984-04-29: Tornado1999-02-11: Tornado2000-07-18: Tornado2000-07-18: Tornado2005-06-13: Tornado2006-03-13: Tornado2006-03-13: Tornado2007-10-02: Tornado2008-12-27: Tornado2010-04-23: Tornado2010-04-23: Tornado2010-04-23: Tornado2013-01-29: Tornado2015-06-13: Tornado2024-11-04: Tornado2026-04-17: Tornado2007-08-27: Flood2008-07-27: Flood2008-07-16: Flood2008-06-27: Flood2008-09-14: Flood2008-06-04: Flood2008-06-18: Flood2008-06-19: Flood2009-10-08: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-06-10: Flood2010-07-20: Flood2010-08-12: Flood2010-06-14: Flood2011-07-03: Flood2011-06-26: Flood2013-05-20: Flood2013-06-01: Flood2013-04-16: Flood2014-10-02: Flood2014-09-02: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2015-12-28: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-06-25: Flood2015-06-18: Flood2015-07-09: Flood2015-06-21: Flood2016-01-01: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2019-06-02: Flood2019-08-26: Flood2019-05-04: Flood2020-07-27: Flood2020-08-08: Flood2020-05-28: Flood2021-06-25: Flood2021-07-12: Flood2022-07-26: Flood2025-07-20: Flood2025-07-20: Flood2026-04-27: Wind2026-04-17: Wind2026-04-17: Wind2026-04-17: Wind2026-03-15: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-03-14: Wind2024-05-21: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-04-20: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-03-05: Wind2021-12-10: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-06-20: Wind2021-06-19: Wind2020-08-10: Wind2020-06-22: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-05-25: Wind2019-08-12: Wind2019-07-17: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2018-08-07: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-14: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-05-03: Wind2017-07-23: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-03-06: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2016-05-26: Wind2016-05-11: Wind2016-05-07: Wind2015-04-09: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2014-06-21: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-04-24: Wind2013-11-17: Wind2013-11-17: Wind2013-05-31: Wind2013-05-31: Wind2013-05-30: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2012-10-17: Wind2011-07-03: Wind2011-06-10: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-08-12: Wind2010-08-12: Wind2010-06-19: Wind2009-07-23: Wind2009-06-27: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-08-05: Wind2008-08-05: Wind2008-07-27: Wind2007-10-18: Wind2007-08-12: Wind2007-07-17: Wind2007-07-17: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-19: Wind2006-07-19: Wind2006-06-10: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-10: Wind2005-06-10: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2003-09-26: Wind2002-07-10: Wind2002-07-03: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2002-04-19: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2001-02-09: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-07: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2000-05-22: Wind
Lincoln County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Lincoln County, Missouri, has 537 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 85.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 87.2 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

21 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 31 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $19M and crop damage at $25K.

FEMA has designated the county in 29 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 1 Sep 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 2,253 claims since 1978, of which 1,991 were paid, totalling $37M (about $19K per paid claim). FEMA counts 167 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($32M a year across 18 hazards).

21events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
537events since 19502 deaths, 31 injuries recorded
29disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2021
2,253NFIP flood claims$37M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureLincoln CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195053773,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles85.7106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents87.2118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months211,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI21,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$19M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents36.68.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$19K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years186.251.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4Wind: 4
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 5Tornado: 2Wind: 17
Hail: 18Tornado: 1Wind: 44Winter: 13Heat: 2
Hail: 47Tornado: 7Flood: 24Wind: 59Winter: 23Heat: 24Cold: 2Drought: 3Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 32Tornado: 5Flood: 24Wind: 42Winter: 14Heat: 26Cold: 2Drought: 9
Hail: 17Tornado: 2Flood: 8Wind: 26Winter: 7Heat: 4Cold: 1
81950s81960s81970s241980s781990s1922000s1542010s652020s
Recorded events in Lincoln County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 285 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 202 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind201
Hail123
Winter57
Flood56
Heat56
Tornado24
Drought12
Cold5
Other2
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind201—0.9%detail
■ Hail123—0.6%detail
■ Winter57—0.9%detail
■ Flood56—0.5%detail
■ Heat5621.5%
■ Tornado24—0.8%detail
■ Drought12—0.5%
■ Cold5—0.3%
■ Other2—0.2%
■ Lightning1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
24 Jul 2017HeatHeat———11Forecast zone
20 Jul 2005HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
28 Aug 2000HeatHeat————7Forecast zone
13 Mar 2006TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M——6County
21 Aug 2001HeatHeat————4Forecast zone
18 Jul 1999HeatHeat————3Forecast zone
1 Sep 2000HeatHeat————3Forecast zone
14 Mar 1953TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
18 Dec 1957TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
13 Mar 1973TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
18 Jul 1998HeatHeat————1Forecast zone
26 Jul 2002HeatHeat————1Forecast zone
1 Aug 2002HeatHeat————1Forecast zone
3 Jul 2003HeatHeat————1Forecast zone
2 Jun 2019Flash FloodFlood—$5.4M———County
20 Jul 2025Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
4 May 2019FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
4 Jun 2008FloodFlood—$1.6M———County
27 Jun 2008Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
19 Jun 2008Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2021DR-4612Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
9 Jul 2019DR-4451Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jan 2016DR-4250Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
18 Jul 2013DR-4130Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Nov 2008DR-1809Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And A TornadoIndividual assistance, Public assistance
25 Jun 2008DR-1773Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Dec 2007DR-1736Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
15 Jan 2007DR-1676Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Mar 2006DR-1631Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2003DR-1463Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Jun 1995DR-1054Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingIndividual assistance
21 Apr 1994DR-1023Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 May 1993DR-989Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Dec 1982DR-672Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
21 Apr 1979DR-579Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Torrential Rain & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Jun 1965DR-198Major disasterSevere StormFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lincoln County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19782,253
Paid claims1,991
Total paid$37M
Average paid claim$19K
Repetitive-loss properties17428 severe
Residential policies in force1670.6% of 27,653 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202644$60,392$15,098
202598$267,001$33,375
20241414$141,315$10,094
202366$92,163$15,360
202287$178,657$25,522
202199$156,708$17,412
20202422$280,654$12,757
2019176161$6,072,569$37,718
20183937$138,539$3,744
20172220$173,987$8,699
2016118$25,516$3,189
201512395$1,612,590$16,975
20143627$184,496$6,833
20138769$810,662$11,749
20112521$101,149$4,817
20103731$86,108$2,778
20092723$70,307$3,057
2008296275$10,080,832$36,658
200777$25,477$3,640
200510$0—
200443$3,937$1,312
200332$13,073$6,537
20022620$72,800$3,640
20016659$1,149,960$19,491
2000124$13,786$3,446

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 67.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$32MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$15,943,622
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$4,809,514
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,377,131
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,573,657
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,651,714
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,584,281
HailRelatively Moderate$937,282
LightningRelatively Moderate$433,762
DroughtRelatively Low$107,832
WildfireVery Low$95,925
Winter weatherRelatively Low$95,640
Ice stormRelatively Low$40,305
LandslideRelatively Low$27,119
HurricaneVery Low$3,561

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lincoln County, MO?

NCEI records 123 hail events in Lincoln County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 29 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lincoln County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 24 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lincoln County?

1 Sep 2021: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 29 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lincoln County, and how much was paid?

2,253 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,991 of them paid, for $37M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lincoln County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lincoln County compare with the rest of Missouri?

85.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 36.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.