County Hazards

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McDonald County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29119 · 23,383 residents (2021) · 539 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 207Tornado · 24Flood · 227Wind · 190Winter · 47
2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-25: Hail2025-03-22: Hail2024-07-04: Hail2024-06-04: Hail2024-06-04: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2023-09-08: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2022-07-27: Hail2022-04-20: Hail2021-09-20: Hail2021-05-09: Hail2021-05-09: Hail2021-05-09: Hail2021-05-09: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2021-03-17: Hail2020-05-04: Hail2020-05-04: Hail2020-05-04: Hail2020-05-04: Hail2020-05-04: Hail2020-04-20: Hail2020-04-20: Hail2020-03-27: Hail2020-03-27: Hail2020-03-11: Hail2020-03-11: Hail2019-05-20: Hail2019-04-30: Hail2019-04-30: Hail2019-02-06: Hail2018-07-21: Hail2018-07-21: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-11: Hail2017-04-16: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2016-04-29: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2015-05-29: Hail2015-04-02: Hail2015-04-01: Hail2015-04-01: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2015-03-24: Hail2014-10-02: Hail2014-06-05: Hail2014-05-12: Hail2013-06-01: Hail2013-04-18: Hail2012-09-26: Hail2012-09-26: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-26: Hail2011-04-14: Hail2011-04-14: Hail2011-04-14: Hail2011-04-10: Hail2010-09-02: Hail2010-08-01: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-04-18: Hail2008-12-09: Hail2008-11-06: Hail2008-11-06: Hail2008-07-03: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-05-31: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2007-05-28: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2006-09-23: Hail2006-09-23: Hail2006-06-05: Hail2006-06-05: Hail1954-03-24: Tornado1954-03-24: Tornado1956-04-03: Tornado1959-05-09: Tornado1967-06-10: Tornado1971-12-14: Tornado1986-04-07: Tornado1988-11-15: Tornado1989-05-18: Tornado1993-10-08: Tornado1997-05-26: Tornado2008-12-27: Tornado2008-06-28: Tornado2008-01-07: Tornado2008-01-07: Tornado2011-05-22: Tornado2011-05-11: Tornado2015-04-02: Tornado2017-05-18: Tornado2017-05-19: Tornado2017-04-04: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-05-22: Tornado2026-06-22: Flood2026-06-14: Flood2026-06-08: Flood2026-05-19: Flood2025-09-23: Flood2025-06-06: Flood2025-05-19: Flood2025-04-30: Flood2025-04-20: Flood2025-04-20: Flood2025-04-20: Flood2025-04-19: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2024-05-07: Flood2024-05-07: Flood2024-05-07: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-23: Flood2023-03-23: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-05: Flood2022-05-04: Flood2022-04-21: Flood2022-04-21: Flood2022-04-21: Flood2022-04-21: Flood2021-12-17: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2021-07-17: Flood2021-05-27: Flood2021-05-27: Flood2021-05-27: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2020-07-17: Flood2020-07-17: Flood2020-05-26: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-01-10: Flood2019-11-06: Flood2019-10-11: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-06-23: Flood2019-05-20: Flood2019-05-03: Flood2019-05-01: Flood2018-03-27: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-23: Flood2017-05-19: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2017-04-16: Flood2017-04-16: Flood2016-07-26: Flood2016-07-26: Flood2016-07-03: Flood2016-07-03: Flood2016-07-03: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2015-12-13: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-07-09: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2015-06-19: Flood2015-06-19: Flood2015-06-19: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-03-26: Flood2015-03-26: Flood2015-03-26: Flood2015-03-25: Flood2015-03-14: Flood2014-10-13: Flood1955-05-26: Wind1957-05-21: Wind1968-12-27: Wind1970-06-24: Wind1971-05-22: Wind1971-12-14: Wind1973-08-10: Wind1974-06-08: Wind1975-04-29: Wind1975-06-05: Wind1975-07-06: Wind1975-06-05: Wind1980-08-20: Wind1985-05-29: Wind1986-04-07: Wind1992-08-03: Wind1996-07-29: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-02-20: Wind1998-08-04: Wind1998-08-04: Wind1998-06-30: Wind1999-04-22: Wind1999-09-07: Wind1999-03-05: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-05-17: Wind2000-03-26: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-06-30: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2001-02-09: Wind2001-02-09: Wind2001-04-11: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-05-20: Wind2001-06-03: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-07-28: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-05-06: Wind2002-07-10: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-05-16: Wind2003-05-16: Wind2003-07-11: Wind2003-07-11: Wind2004-06-13: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-10-29: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-09: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-07-23: Wind2005-08-13: Wind2006-05-26: Wind2006-07-10: Wind2006-07-10: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-04-17: Wind2008-12-09: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2008-11-06: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-05-23: Wind2009-02-09: Wind2009-04-18: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-06-09: Wind2009-06-09: Wind2009-07-13: Wind2010-08-01: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-07-12: Wind2010-09-02: Wind2010-07-12: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-02-29: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2013-07-30: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-06-28: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2015-05-29: Wind2015-05-17: Wind
McDonald County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 779 events for McDonald County, Missouri, between 1950 and 2026; floods and flash floods account for the largest share.

That is 144.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 333.1 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

34 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 31 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $44M and crop damage at $19M.

FEMA has designated the county in 26 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 9 Jun 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 386 claims since 1978, of which 337 were paid, totalling $13M (about $38K per paid claim). FEMA counts 53 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($25M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

34events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
779events since 19506 deaths, 31 injuries recorded
26disaster declarationslast 9 Jun 2025
386NFIP flood claims$13M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureMcDonald CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195077973,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles144.4106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents333.1118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months341,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI61,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$44M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents16.58.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$38K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years324.551.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 4Wind: 2
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Wind: 9
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 38Tornado: 3Flood: 9Wind: 22Winter: 4Heat: 2Drought: 1
Hail: 63Tornado: 4Flood: 46Wind: 60Winter: 14Heat: 4Cold: 3Drought: 7Lightning: 1
Hail: 48Tornado: 8Flood: 108Wind: 48Winter: 9Heat: 3Drought: 13Other: 23
Hail: 48Flood: 64Wind: 45Winter: 20Cold: 5Drought: 15Other: 7
81950s21960s131970s111980s791990s2022000s2602010s2042020s
Recorded events in McDonald County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 522 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 198 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood227
Hail207
Wind190
Winter47
Drought36
Other30
Tornado24
Heat9
Cold8
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood22752.1%detail
■ Hail207—1.0%detail
■ Wind190—0.9%detail
■ Winter47—0.7%detail
■ Drought36—1.5%
■ Other30—2.4%
■ Tornado24—0.8%detail
■ Heat910.2%
■ Cold8—0.5%
■ Lightning1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
4 Jan 2005Flash FloodFlood———2—County
23 Jun 2019Flash FloodFlood—$800K—1—County
8 Aug 2013Flash FloodFlood—$500K—1—County
12 Jun 2007Flash FloodFlood—$10K—1—County
23 Jul 1999HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
15 Apr 2001Thunderstorm WindWind—$125K——9County
11 Apr 2001Thunderstorm WindWind—$25K——4County
14 Dec 1971TornadoTornadoF1$250K——3County
28 Jun 2014Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$5K——3County
28 Apr 2026HailHail2.00 in$22M$800K——County
22 May 2011TornadoTornadoEF3$1.0M——2County
28 Jun 2008TornadoTornadoEF0$25K——2County
28 Jul 2001Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$20K——2County
29 Jan 2023Winter StormWinter————2Forecast zone
1 Aug 2011DroughtDrought——$12M——Forecast zone
24 Mar 1954TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
3 Apr 1956TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
17 Aug 1997Thunderstorm WindWind—$5K——1County
27 Dec 2015FloodFlood—$10M———County
5 Feb 2020Heavy SnowWinter————1Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jun 2025DR-4876Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4803Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
9 Jul 2019DR-4451Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jan 2016DR-4250Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Sep 2013DR-4144Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1980Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Mar 2011DR-1961Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2008DR-1742Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Dec 2007DR-1736Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
15 Jan 2007DR-1676Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2003DR-1463Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jun 1995DR-1054Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Oct 1986DR-779Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in McDonald County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978386
Paid claims337
Total paid$13M
Average paid claim$38K
Repetitive-loss properties4314 severe
Residential policies in force530.4% of 12,448 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202522$9,043$4,522
202444$22,840$5,710
20231515$262,251$17,483
20221414$179,284$12,806
202143$21,231$7,077
202043$9,000$3,000
20196358$1,920,828$33,118
20181111$165,393$15,036
20175553$2,868,446$54,122
20155344$2,952,121$67,094
20132424$641,766$26,740
20116052$2,226,220$42,812
20091615$130,722$8,715
20085533$1,195,871$36,239
200511$1,817$1,817
200111$2,816$2,816
199544$169,522$42,381

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 64.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$25MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$16,355,064
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,003,660
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,398,563
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,194,313
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,189,119
Ice stormRelatively High$701,397
DroughtRelatively Moderate$532,386
WildfireRelatively Low$229,709
HailRelatively Low$166,365
LightningRelatively Low$150,331
EarthquakeVery Low$149,501
Winter weatherRelatively Low$58,402
HurricaneVery Low$17,088
LandslideRelatively Low$9,393

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200886 mi40 mph
Carla196148 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190258 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in McDonald County, MO?

NCEI records 207 hail events in McDonald County since 1950, in 44 different years; that is about 2.7 recorded events a year. 32 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has McDonald County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 24 tornadoes in McDonald County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for McDonald County?

9 Jun 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 26 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in McDonald County, and how much was paid?

386 NFIP claims since 1978, 337 of them paid, for $13M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is McDonald County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does McDonald County compare with the rest of Missouri?

144.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 16.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.