County Hazards

States › Missouri › Morgan County

Morgan County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29141 · 21,379 residents (2021) · 598 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 196Tornado · 31Flood · 135Wind · 187Winter · 50
1959-04-19: Hail1980-05-10: Hail1982-05-16: Hail1982-05-14: Hail1982-03-15: Hail1983-04-30: Hail1983-04-30: Hail1983-04-30: Hail1984-04-03: Hail1984-03-15: Hail1985-06-03: Hail1985-05-13: Hail1985-06-03: Hail1987-08-16: Hail1987-09-14: Hail1988-03-24: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1990-06-07: Hail1990-05-15: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1992-09-09: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1992-07-04: Hail1996-04-14: Hail1996-04-21: Hail1996-04-21: Hail1997-04-20: Hail1998-06-19: Hail1998-06-18: Hail1998-05-21: Hail1998-04-15: Hail1998-04-15: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2000-03-26: Hail2000-04-19: Hail2000-05-08: Hail2000-09-11: Hail2001-04-03: Hail2001-04-03: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2001-06-01: Hail2001-08-29: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2001-08-29: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2001-10-23: Hail2001-10-23: Hail2001-10-23: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2002-12-18: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-07-18: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-08-13: Hail2003-08-02: Hail2003-08-02: Hail2003-08-02: Hail2003-09-26: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-06-10: Hail2003-06-05: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-04-06: Hail2003-04-06: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-04-28: Hail2003-04-28: Hail2003-07-09: Hail2003-07-11: Hail2003-07-11: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2004-05-25: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2004-05-25: Hail2004-05-26: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2004-10-18: Hail2005-06-03: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-03-30: Hail2006-03-30: Hail2006-03-30: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2006-03-11: Hail1950-07-19: Tornado1954-04-30: Tornado1954-05-28: Tornado1955-09-21: Tornado1961-03-05: Tornado1961-03-05: Tornado1978-04-06: Tornado1982-05-14: Tornado1982-05-14: Tornado1982-05-14: Tornado1982-05-14: Tornado1982-05-14: Tornado1982-03-15: Tornado2001-10-23: Tornado2003-05-06: Tornado2003-05-06: Tornado2003-05-06: Tornado2006-03-12: Tornado2006-03-12: Tornado2006-03-12: Tornado2013-05-20: Tornado2017-03-06: Tornado2017-05-27: Tornado2017-05-27: Tornado2024-04-27: Tornado2025-04-20: Tornado2026-04-17: Tornado2026-04-17: Tornado2026-04-17: Tornado2005-01-05: Flood2005-01-12: Flood2005-01-04: Flood2005-08-26: Flood2007-05-10: Flood2007-06-30: Flood2007-05-01: Flood2007-06-10: Flood2008-03-19: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-06-13: Flood2008-06-04: Flood2008-09-13: Flood2008-09-12: Flood2008-09-03: Flood2009-11-15: Flood2009-11-15: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-02-11: Flood2009-05-25: Flood2009-06-15: Flood2009-09-05: Flood2009-09-05: Flood2009-06-24: Flood2009-07-28: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-09-10: Flood2010-02-21: Flood2010-02-21: Flood2010-05-13: Flood2010-07-11: Flood2010-07-11: Flood2011-05-20: Flood2011-05-19: Flood2012-04-14: Flood2012-04-14: Flood2012-04-14: Flood2012-04-30: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2013-04-18: Flood2013-06-01: Flood2013-04-11: Flood2014-10-02: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-07-01: Flood2015-07-01: Flood2015-06-16: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2016-05-26: Flood2016-05-26: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-09-09: Flood2016-09-10: Flood2017-05-03: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-08-22: Flood2018-02-20: Flood2018-06-26: Flood2018-12-31: Flood2019-06-17: Flood2019-10-10: Flood2019-08-26: Flood2019-08-26: Flood2019-08-26: Flood2019-08-26: Flood2019-10-10: Flood2019-10-10: Flood2019-10-10: Flood2019-05-23: Flood2020-01-17: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2020-02-24: Flood2020-07-30: Flood2021-01-30: Flood2022-05-05: Flood1955-04-23: Wind1956-08-30: Wind1956-07-12: Wind1968-05-23: Wind1968-07-17: Wind1969-07-06: Wind1971-12-15: Wind1971-03-14: Wind1973-03-13: Wind1975-05-20: Wind1975-05-20: Wind1977-05-30: Wind1978-07-14: Wind1978-04-06: Wind1978-08-25: Wind1980-09-16: Wind1980-07-02: Wind1981-05-18: Wind1982-03-12: Wind1983-04-27: Wind1983-08-22: Wind1983-04-27: Wind1984-04-29: Wind1985-06-21: Wind1987-07-05: Wind1987-07-25: Wind1987-08-16: Wind1988-11-15: Wind1988-07-25: Wind1988-05-08: Wind1990-06-15: Wind1990-06-07: Wind1991-07-11: Wind1991-11-29: Wind1992-07-10: Wind1992-07-10: Wind1992-06-17: Wind1992-07-04: Wind1998-06-19: Wind1999-06-27: Wind1999-06-27: Wind1999-04-08: Wind2000-02-25: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2001-04-14: Wind2001-06-01: Wind2001-09-07: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2002-07-10: Wind2003-08-19: Wind2003-09-18: Wind2003-09-26: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-05-06: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2003-07-11: Wind2003-07-18: Wind2003-07-31: Wind2003-07-31: Wind2004-05-18: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2004-06-12: Wind2005-07-23: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2005-08-13: Wind2006-03-12: Wind2006-08-07: Wind2007-09-30: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-06-27: Wind2008-06-03: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2009-03-08: Wind2009-03-24: Wind2009-03-08: Wind2009-06-27: Wind2009-06-27: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2010-09-10: Wind2010-09-10: Wind2010-07-11: Wind2010-07-11: Wind2010-07-20: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-02-27: Wind2011-07-12: Wind2011-08-19: Wind2012-07-07: Wind2012-07-07: Wind2012-09-06: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-06-27: Wind2013-09-01: Wind2013-05-31: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-05-20: Wind
Morgan County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Morgan County, Missouri, has 655 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 109.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 306.4 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

23 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 8 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $7.7M and crop damage at $6.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 28 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 15 claims since 1978, of which 9 were paid, totalling $162K (about $18K per paid claim). FEMA counts 72 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($22M a year across 18 hazards).

2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

23events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
655events since 19502 deaths, 8 injuries recorded
28disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
15NFIP flood claims$162K paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureMorgan CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195065573,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles109.6106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents306.4118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months231,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI21,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$7.7M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.78.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$18K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years4.251.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 5Wind: 3
Tornado: 2Wind: 3
Tornado: 1Wind: 9
Hail: 16Tornado: 6Wind: 15
Hail: 26Tornado: 1Flood: 14Wind: 19Winter: 3Heat: 2Drought: 1
Hail: 86Tornado: 7Flood: 44Wind: 52Winter: 18Heat: 4Cold: 3Drought: 3Wildfire: 2Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 44Tornado: 4Flood: 56Wind: 57Winter: 8Heat: 3Cold: 1Drought: 4Other: 9
Hail: 23Tornado: 5Flood: 21Wind: 29Winter: 21Cold: 6Drought: 12Lightning: 1Other: 3
91950s51960s101970s371980s661990s2212000s1862010s1212020s
Recorded events in Morgan County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 358 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 225 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail196
Wind187
Flood135
Winter50
Tornado31
Drought20
Other13
Cold10
Heat9
Wildfire2
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail196—1.0%detail
■ Wind187—0.9%detail
■ Flood13511.2%detail
■ Winter5010.8%detail
■ Tornado31—1.0%detail
■ Drought20—0.8%
■ Other13—1.0%
■ Cold10—0.6%
■ Heat9—0.2%
■ Wildfire2—1.9%
■ Lightning2—0.7%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
29 Jan 2023Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
29 Jul 1996Flash FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
12 Mar 2006TornadoTornadoF2$850K——5County
28 May 1954TornadoTornadoF2$25K——2County
26 Jul 1998FloodFlood—$1.1M$2.0M——Forecast zone
1 Aug 2012DroughtDrought—$25K$2.1M——Forecast zone
7 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$1.5M——Forecast zone
1 Oct 2022DroughtDrought—$580K———Forecast zone
15 Apr 1994Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$500K$500——County
15 Apr 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$500K$500——County
27 Dec 2015FloodFlood—$500K———County
1 Nov 2024DroughtDrought——$260K——Forecast zone
5 Mar 1961TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
5 Mar 1961TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
15 Mar 1982TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
17 Jul 2023HailHail2.50 in$250K———County
16 Apr 1995TornadoTornadoF1$175K———County
21 Jul 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$140K$30K——County
1 Jan 2024DroughtDrought——$150K——Forecast zone
27 Apr 2026HailHail3.00 in$150K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4939Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Aug 2026DR-4929Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Sep 2023DR-4741Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Jan 2016DR-4250Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Mar 2011DR-1961Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Jun 2008DR-1773Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Dec 2007DR-1736Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
11 Jun 2007DR-1708Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
16 Mar 2006DR-1631Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2003DR-1463Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 Feb 2002DR-1403Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance
14 Oct 1998DR-1253Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And TornadoesPublic assistance
2 Jun 1995DR-1054Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingIndividual assistance
21 Apr 1994DR-1023Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Oct 1986DR-779Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Morgan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197815
Paid claims9
Total paid$162K
Average paid claim$18K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force720.4% of 17,962 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202110$0—
202010$0—
201811$10,203$10,203
201565$131,109$26,222
201342$16,431$8,216
200921$4,154$4,154

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 75.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$22MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$13,722,698
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,351,158
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,575,812
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,494,502
Ice stormRelatively High$762,748
EarthquakeRelatively Low$425,967
Strong windRelatively Moderate$368,844
LightningRelatively Moderate$244,946
DroughtRelatively Moderate$234,748
HailRelatively Low$185,195
WildfireRelatively Low$130,404
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$125,353
HurricaneVery Low$14,487
LandslideRelatively Low$13,190

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles2
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm192390 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190265 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Morgan County, MO?

NCEI records 196 hail events in Morgan County since 1950, in 42 different years; that is about 2.5 recorded events a year. 40 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Morgan County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 31 tornadoes in Morgan County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Morgan County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 28 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Morgan County, and how much was paid?

15 NFIP claims since 1978, 9 of them paid, for $162K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Morgan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Morgan County compare with the rest of Missouri?

109.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.