County Hazards

States › Missouri › Phelps County

Phelps County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29161 · 44,937 residents (2021) · 672 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 203Tornado · 35Flood · 119Wind · 182Winter · 54
2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2026-04-27: Hail2025-03-14: Hail2024-06-09: Hail2024-06-09: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2024-04-18: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-05-08: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2022-08-03: Hail2022-05-21: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2022-04-11: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2020-08-10: Hail2019-08-20: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2018-06-26: Hail2018-06-26: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-02: Hail2018-04-02: Hail2018-04-02: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2016-10-19: Hail2016-05-28: Hail2016-05-28: Hail2016-05-11: Hail2016-04-27: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-03-30: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2013-07-05: Hail2013-04-10: Hail2013-04-10: Hail2013-04-10: Hail2012-03-17: Hail2012-03-17: Hail2012-03-17: Hail2012-03-17: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-01-17: Hail2011-07-24: Hail2011-07-24: Hail2011-07-24: Hail2011-06-10: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-23: Hail2011-05-12: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2010-10-24: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-05-27: Hail2009-05-27: Hail2008-12-27: Hail2008-08-05: Hail2008-08-05: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-05-07: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-03-26: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-03-30: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-07-19: Hail2006-07-19: Hail2006-07-19: Hail1951-06-08: Tornado1960-11-15: Tornado1966-12-08: Tornado1966-04-27: Tornado1966-05-11: Tornado1967-07-28: Tornado1969-08-20: Tornado1973-06-04: Tornado1978-05-12: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1999-06-01: Tornado1999-06-01: Tornado1999-06-01: Tornado2003-05-06: Tornado2003-05-04: Tornado2006-03-11: Tornado2006-09-22: Tornado2007-08-24: Tornado2008-01-07: Tornado2008-01-07: Tornado2010-12-31: Tornado2010-12-31: Tornado2012-02-29: Tornado2012-02-29: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-05-21: Tornado2022-05-19: Tornado2022-05-19: Tornado2024-05-07: Tornado2024-04-01: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2005-01-05: Flood2005-01-05: Flood2007-05-10: Flood2007-09-07: Flood2007-03-30: Flood2008-12-27: Flood2008-02-05: Flood2008-03-19: Flood2008-06-06: Flood2008-06-06: Flood2008-01-07: Flood2008-02-17: Flood2008-03-31: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-08-28: Flood2008-09-03: Flood2008-09-14: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2010-04-03: Flood2010-04-02: Flood2010-03-25: Flood2010-05-12: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-05-14: Flood2010-07-29: Flood2010-07-19: Flood2010-07-19: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2012-03-15: Flood2012-03-15: Flood2013-03-17: Flood2013-04-10: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-03-17: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2015-07-02: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2015-12-28: Flood2015-12-26: Flood2017-04-26: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-03-27: Flood2018-03-27: Flood2018-08-29: Flood2019-08-13: Flood2019-07-17: Flood2020-03-19: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-11-21: Flood2020-06-04: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2021-01-25: Flood2022-04-13: Flood2022-04-13: Flood2022-05-21: Flood2022-05-21: Flood2022-05-19: Flood2022-03-30: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-24: Flood2023-03-03: Flood2023-03-04: Flood2024-06-09: Flood2024-06-09: Flood2024-11-05: Flood2025-04-20: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-06-30: Flood2025-06-29: Flood2025-06-29: Flood2025-06-06: Flood2026-03-05: Flood2026-06-26: Flood2026-06-26: Flood2026-03-05: Flood2026-04-27: Flood1961-03-04: Wind1965-09-13: Wind1974-06-09: Wind1975-06-16: Wind1976-02-21: Wind1977-06-11: Wind1977-06-30: Wind1978-07-09: Wind1978-04-17: Wind1979-10-31: Wind1982-04-16: Wind1982-06-15: Wind1983-08-30: Wind1983-10-04: Wind1983-08-25: Wind1984-06-15: Wind1984-03-15: Wind1985-06-02: Wind1987-07-05: Wind1988-11-15: Wind1988-04-05: Wind1991-11-29: Wind1992-08-10: Wind1996-05-05: Wind1996-07-08: Wind1998-03-27: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-07-27: Wind1999-06-27: Wind1999-06-27: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-07-11: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2001-04-09: Wind2001-05-20: Wind2002-05-12: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2002-07-10: Wind2003-08-18: Wind2003-05-10: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-08-20: Wind2004-08-26: Wind2005-06-02: Wind2005-06-09: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-08-13: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2006-03-11: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-06-22: Wind2006-06-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2007-09-25: Wind2007-08-24: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-05-25: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-06-06: Wind2008-06-06: Wind2008-03-26: Wind2008-08-05: Wind2008-08-05: Wind2008-08-05: Wind2008-06-06: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2009-03-08: Wind2009-05-27: Wind2009-02-26: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-03-08: Wind2010-07-11: Wind2010-07-11: Wind2010-07-18: Wind2011-04-10: Wind2011-04-10: Wind2011-04-10: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-12: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-07-24: Wind2011-07-24: Wind2011-07-24: Wind2011-07-24: Wind2011-08-20: Wind2011-08-20: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2012-02-29: Wind2012-09-06: Wind2013-05-30: Wind2014-09-09: Wind2014-09-09: Wind2014-09-09: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-13: Wind
Phelps County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 678 events for Phelps County, Missouri, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 100.9 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 150.9 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

20 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 19 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $27M and crop damage at $6.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Wildfires (major disaster, 21 May 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 305 claims since 1978, of which 272 were paid, totalling $12M (about $42K per paid claim). FEMA counts 76 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($19M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

20events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
678events since 19503 deaths, 19 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 21 May 2025
305NFIP flood claims$12M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasurePhelps CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195067873,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles100.9106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents150.9118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months201,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI31,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$27M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.88.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$42K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years48.751.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 4Tornado: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 6Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 8
Hail: 11Tornado: 2Wind: 11
Hail: 22Tornado: 3Flood: 4Wind: 20Winter: 5Heat: 2Drought: 1
Hail: 73Tornado: 7Flood: 42Wind: 50Winter: 16Heat: 4Cold: 3Drought: 2Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 3
Hail: 50Tornado: 8Flood: 43Wind: 47Winter: 10Heat: 3Drought: 5Lightning: 3Other: 23
Hail: 39Tornado: 6Flood: 30Wind: 44Winter: 23Cold: 6Drought: 15Wildfire: 1Other: 11
51950s111960s111970s241980s571990s2032000s1922010s1752020s
Recorded events in Phelps County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 462 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 153 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail203
Wind182
Flood119
Winter54
Other37
Tornado35
Drought23
Heat9
Cold9
Lightning5
Wildfire2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail203—1.0%detail
■ Wind182—0.8%detail
■ Flood119—1.1%detail
■ Winter5410.8%detail
■ Other37—2.9%
■ Tornado3521.1%detail
■ Drought23—0.9%
■ Heat9—0.2%
■ Cold9—0.5%
■ Lightning5—1.8%
■ Wildfire2—1.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
31 Dec 2010TornadoTornadoEF3$1.0M—26County
1 Feb 2011BlizzardWinter———1—Forecast zone
22 Sep 2006TornadoTornadoF1$1.5M——2County
15 Feb 2019Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
17 Feb 2022Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
14 Mar 2025TornadoTornadoEF2$2.5M——1County
19 Apr 2002Flash FloodFlood—$300K——1County
4 Jun 1973TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
15 Nov 1960TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
6 Jan 2022Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
23 Feb 2022Winter StormWinter————1Forecast zone
24 Jan 2023Winter StormWinter————1Forecast zone
12 Jan 2007Ice StormWinter—$5.0M———Forecast zone
7 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$4.4M——Forecast zone
1 Jun 1999TornadoTornadoF3$3.5M———County
12 May 1978TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M———County
26 Dec 2015Flash FloodFlood—$2.5M———County
5 Nov 2024FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
30 Apr 2017Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
20 Apr 2021Frost/FreezeCold——$1.0M——Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
21 May 2025DR-4867Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And WildfiresIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Jan 2025DR-4855Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Jun 2017DR-4317Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jan 2016DR-4250Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jan 2016EM-3374EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Sep 2013DR-4144Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1980Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Jun 2009DR-1847Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Mar 2008DR-1749Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2008DR-1742Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
15 Jan 2007DR-1676Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Mar 2006DR-1631Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 May 2003DR-1463Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
21 Apr 1994DR-1023Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Dec 1982DR-672Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Phelps County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978305
Paid claims272
Total paid$12M
Average paid claim$42K
Repetitive-loss properties4417 severe
Residential policies in force760.4% of 17,145 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202476$401,820$66,970
201910$0—
20172929$2,897,502$99,914
201611$1,611$1,611
20153836$2,267,020$62,973
20133935$2,168,101$61,946
20111212$193,788$16,149
201011$205$205
200975$16,774$3,355
20084141$1,778,389$43,375
200711$1,917$1,917
200377$272,556$38,937
20021310$198,266$19,827
19983325$372,458$14,898
19971513$110,995$8,538
199611$8,470$8,470
199422$1,500$750
19932928$777,829$27,780
199155$21,314$4,263
199010$0—
198611$1,061$1,061
1985159$49,676$5,520
198411$258$258
198210$0—
198132$12,375$6,187

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 53.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$19MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$7,448,075
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$3,302,992
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$3,187,838
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,648,491
TornadoRelatively Low$843,369
Strong windRelatively Moderate$759,278
Ice stormRelatively High$715,859
LightningRelatively Moderate$348,056
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$190,252
HailRelatively Low$150,682
WildfireVery Low$78,739
DroughtVery Low$25,523
HurricaneVery Low$11,147
LandslideRelatively Low$5,901

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200847 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192326 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190233 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Phelps County, MO?

NCEI records 203 hail events in Phelps County since 1950, in 45 different years; that is about 2.6 recorded events a year. 29 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Phelps County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 35 tornadoes in Phelps County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Phelps County?

21 May 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Wildfires, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Phelps County, and how much was paid?

305 NFIP claims since 1978, 272 of them paid, for $12M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Phelps County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Phelps County compare with the rest of Missouri?

100.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 6.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.