States › Missouri › Randolph County
Randolph County, Missouri
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
The NCEI record lists 308 events for Randolph County, Missouri, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.
That is 63.8 events per 100 square miles, below the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 124.4 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.
5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 29 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.6M and crop damage at $756K.
FEMA has designated the county in 18 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 30 Jun 2026).
National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 3 claims since 1978, of which 1 were paid, totalling $2K (about $2K per paid claim). FEMA counts 8 residential flood policies in force.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($12M a year across 18 hazards).
Compared with Missouri and the United States
| Measure | Randolph County | Missouri | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 308 | 73,339 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 63.8 | 106.7 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 124.4 | 118.9 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 5 | 1,920 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 8 | 1,009 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $6.6M | $12B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 0.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $2K | $23K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | 0.0 | 51.0 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 195 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 80 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2006 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $5.0M | — | 4 | 26 | County |
| 14 Jul 2003 | Heat | Heat | — | — | — | 2 | — | Forecast zone |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Winter Weather | Winter | — | $10K | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Winter Weather | Winter | — | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 4 Dec 2017 | Tornado | Tornado | EF1 | $200K | — | — | 2 | County |
| 26 Mar 1976 | Tornado | Tornado | F1 | $25K | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 Mar 2007 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 75 mph | — | $750K | — | — | County |
| 30 Jan 2002 | Ice Storm | Winter | — | $500K | — | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 4 Jul 1995 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $400K | — | — | — | County |
| 27 Feb 2011 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 81 mph | $200K | — | — | — | County |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | DR-4924 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 26 Mar 2020 | DR-4490 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3482 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 9 Jul 2019 | DR-4451 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 23 Mar 2011 | DR-1961 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm | Public assistance |
| 3 Feb 2011 | EM-3317 | Emergency | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 30 Jan 2009 | EM-3303 | Emergency | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 13 Nov 2008 | DR-1809 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, And A Tornado | Public assistance |
| 25 Jun 2008 | DR-1773 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 12 Dec 2007 | EM-3281 | Emergency | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms | Public assistance |
| 16 Mar 2006 | DR-1631 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 10 Sep 2005 | EM-3232 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 11 Jun 2004 | DR-1524 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance |
| 6 May 2003 | DR-1463 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance |
| 6 Feb 2002 | DR-1403 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Ice Storm | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 9 Jul 1993 | DR-995 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance |
| 24 Sep 1976 | EM-3017 | Emergency | Drought | Drought | Public assistance |
| 19 Apr 1973 | DR-372 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Heavy Rains, Tornadoes & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
| Year of loss | Claims | Paid claims | Amount paid | Average paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | $1,988 | $1,988 |
OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | $4,780,968 | |
| Tornado | $2,549,734 | |
| Cold wave | $2,015,189 | |
| Heat wave | $1,534,954 | |
| Earthquake | $502,902 | |
| Strong wind | $407,075 | |
| Lightning | $236,714 | |
| Hail | $185,502 | |
| Drought | $108,185 | |
| Ice storm | $52,277 | |
| Wildfire | $25,404 | |
| Winter weather | $11,066 | |
| Landslide | $6,059 | |
| Hurricane | $3,900 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in Randolph County, MO?
NCEI records 90 hail events in Randolph County since 1950, in 30 different years; that is about 1.2 recorded events a year. 21 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has Randolph County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Randolph County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 4.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for Randolph County?
30 Jun 2026: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 18 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Randolph County, and how much was paid?
3 NFIP claims since 1978, 1 of them paid, for $2K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.
Is Randolph County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does Randolph County compare with the rest of Missouri?
63.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.