States › North Carolina › Orange County
Orange County, North Carolina
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
The NCEI record lists 584 events for Orange County, North Carolina, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.
That is 146.9 events per 100 square miles, above the North Carolina figure of 112.5, and 39.2 per 10,000 residents against 51.8 statewide.
44 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 18 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $81M and crop damage at $5.0M.
FEMA has designated the county in 26 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).
National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 568 claims since 1978, of which 456 were paid, totalling $36M (about $80K per paid claim). FEMA counts 621 residential flood policies in force.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($50M a year across 18 hazards).
59 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 2 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.
Compared with North Carolina and the United States
| Measure | Orange County | North Carolina | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 584 | 54,696 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 146.9 | 112.5 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 39.2 | 51.8 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 44 | 1,437 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 7 | 622 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $81M | $15B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 3.8 | 10.4 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $80K | $28K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | 46.5 | 24.1 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 409 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 143 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 1992 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $250K | — | 2 | 10 | County |
| 28 Jun 2020 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 58 mph | $50K | — | 1 | — | County |
| 6 Jul 2025 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $20K | — | 1 | — | County |
| 13 Jun 2013 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 70 mph | $3K | — | 1 | — | County |
| 22 Aug 2003 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | 1 | — | County |
| 11 Jun 2006 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | 1 | — | County |
| 17 Sep 2018 | Flood | Flood | — | $26M | $5.0M | — | — | County |
| 6 Jul 2025 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $30M | — | — | — | County |
| 9 Dec 2009 | Strong Wind | Wind | 46 mph | $30K | — | — | 2 | Forecast zone |
| 25 May 2000 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 69 mph | — | — | — | 2 | County |
| 13 Jul 1975 | Tornado | Tornado | F1 | $3K | — | — | 1 | County |
| 9 Jul 2022 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $2K | — | — | 1 | County |
| 14 Aug 1999 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 Jun 2002 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 58 mph | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 23 Jul 2000 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $6.4M | — | — | — | County |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $3.6M | — | — | — | County |
| 6 Mar 2014 | Ice Storm | Winter | — | $2.7M | — | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 19 Apr 2019 | Tornado | Tornado | EF2 | $2.0M | — | — | — | County |
| 11 Dec 2008 | Lightning | Lightning | — | $1.5M | — | — | — | County |
| 25 Feb 2015 | Winter Storm | Winter | — | $1.0M | — | — | — | Forecast zone |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | EM-3637 | Emergency | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 11 Sep 2025 | DR-4889 | Major disaster | Tropical Depression | Tropical Depression Chantal | Public assistance |
| 26 Sep 2024 | EM-3617 | Emergency | Tropical Storm | Hurricane Helene | Public assistance |
| 6 Aug 2024 | EM-3608 | Emergency | Tropical Storm | Tropical Storm Debby | Public assistance |
| 1 Oct 2022 | EM-3586 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Ian | Public assistance |
| 2 Aug 2020 | EM-3534 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Isaias | Public assistance |
| 25 Mar 2020 | DR-4487 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3471 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 3 Sep 2019 | EM-3423 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Dorian | Public assistance |
| 31 Jan 2019 | DR-4412 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Tropical Storm Michael | Public assistance |
| 14 Sep 2018 | DR-4393 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 10 Sep 2018 | EM-3401 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence | Public assistance |
| 7 Oct 2016 | EM-3380 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Matthew | Public assistance |
| 31 Mar 2014 | DR-4167 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 5 Sep 2005 | EM-3222 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 18 Sep 2003 | DR-1490 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Hurricane Isabel | Public assistance |
| 27 Mar 2003 | DR-1457 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Ice Storm | Public assistance |
| 12 Dec 2002 | DR-1448 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Ice Storm | Public assistance |
| 31 Jan 2000 | DR-1312 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 16 Sep 1999 | DR-1292 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster Declarations | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 15 Sep 1999 | EM-3146 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Floyd Emergency Declarations | Public assistance |
| 6 Sep 1996 | DR-1134 | Major disaster | Hurricane | Hurricane Fran | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Jan 1996 | DR-1087 | Major disaster | Snowstorm | Blizzard Of 96 | Public assistance |
| 17 Mar 1993 | EM-3110 | Emergency | Snowstorm | Severe Snowfall & Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 11 Aug 1977 | EM-3049 | Emergency | Drought | Drought | Public assistance |
| 2 Mar 1977 | EM-3033 | Emergency | Snowstorm | Drought & Freezing | Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
| Year of loss | Claims | Paid claims | Amount paid | Average paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 177 | 162 | $21,052,462 | $129,953 |
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | $702,347 | $100,335 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | $74,024 | $37,012 |
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | $53,358 | $26,679 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | $35,819 | $35,819 |
| 2019 | 9 | 5 | $368,136 | $73,627 |
| 2018 | 89 | 75 | $5,476,410 | $73,019 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | $30,000 | $30,000 |
| 2016 | 15 | 9 | $275,606 | $30,623 |
| 2015 | 9 | 5 | $275,273 | $55,055 |
| 2014 | 2 | 2 | $56,986 | $28,493 |
| 2013 | 75 | 55 | $4,616,935 | $83,944 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2008 | 10 | 9 | $246,323 | $27,369 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | $807 | $807 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | $10,872 | $5,436 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | $4,591 | $4,591 |
| 2000 | 54 | 41 | $2,032,990 | $49,585 |
| 1999 | 5 | 4 | $41,297 | $10,324 |
| 1998 | 4 | 4 | $14,763 | $3,691 |
| 1996 | 49 | 35 | $587,672 | $16,791 |
| 1995 | 16 | 16 | $332,706 | $20,794 |
| 1993 | 7 | 6 | $38,768 | $6,461 |
| 1989 | 1 | 1 | $5,131 | $5,131 |
OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | $33,258,852 | |
| Tornado | $5,219,377 | |
| Hurricane | $2,999,336 | |
| Heat wave | $2,395,069 | |
| Strong wind | $1,356,939 | |
| Lightning | $1,171,816 | |
| Hail | $905,903 | |
| Earthquake | $743,556 | |
| Cold wave | $691,422 | |
| Winter weather | $372,502 | |
| Ice storm | $331,168 | |
| Drought | $248,719 | |
| Wildfire | $15,875 | |
| Landslide | $911 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
| Storm | Year | Closest approach | Max wind while within 100 mi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ophelia | 2023 | 92 mi | 46 mph |
| Claudette | 2021 | 73 mi | 46 mph |
| Elsa | 2021 | 39 mi | 52 mph |
| Isaias | 2020 | 93 mi | 69 mph |
| Nestor | 2019 | 67 mi | 46 mph |
| Michael | 2018 | 59 mi | 58 mph |
| Andrea | 2013 | 66 mi | 46 mph |
| Hanna | 2008 | 62 mi | 52 mph |
| Alberto | 2006 | 99 mi | 40 mph |
| Isabel | 2003 | 90 mi | 75 mph |
| Helene | 2000 | 78 mi | 40 mph |
| Dennis | 1999 | 89 mi | 40 mph |
| Fran | 1996 | 45 mi | 75 mph |
| Diana | 1984 | 97 mi | 46 mph |
| David | 1979 | 56 mi | 46 mph |
| Alma | 1970 | 34 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1965 | 73 mi | 40 mph |
| Isbell | 1964 | 89 mi | 40 mph |
| Cindy | 1959 | 69 mi | 40 mph |
| Diane | 1955 | 38 mi | 63 mph |
| Hazel | 1954 | 46 mi | 92 mph |
| Able | 1952 | 57 mi | 46 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1949 | 86 mi | 58 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1945 | 34 mi | 52 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1944 | 57 mi | 52 mph |
HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.
ZIP codes with flood claims
ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in Orange County, NC?
NCEI records 84 hail events in Orange County since 1950, in 37 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 15 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has Orange County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 12 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for Orange County?
24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 26 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Orange County, and how much was paid?
568 NFIP claims since 1978, 456 of them paid, for $36M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.
Is Orange County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does Orange County compare with the rest of North Carolina?
146.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.5 statewide, and 3.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 10.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.