County Hazards

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Thayer County, Nebraska

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 31169 · 4,913 residents (2021) · 574 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 286Tornado · 63Flood · 21Wind · 218Winter · 112
2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2024-07-31: Hail2024-06-02: Hail2023-09-21: Hail2023-07-30: Hail2023-07-04: Hail2023-05-06: Hail2023-05-06: Hail2023-05-06: Hail2023-04-14: Hail2022-06-12: Hail2022-04-29: Hail2022-04-29: Hail2021-08-27: Hail2021-08-20: Hail2021-08-20: Hail2021-08-20: Hail2021-05-08: Hail2020-08-16: Hail2020-06-27: Hail2019-09-21: Hail2019-09-21: Hail2019-09-07: Hail2019-09-07: Hail2019-03-28: Hail2018-06-19: Hail2018-06-19: Hail2018-06-19: Hail2018-06-19: Hail2018-06-19: Hail2017-06-28: Hail2017-06-16: Hail2017-06-16: Hail2017-06-15: Hail2017-06-15: Hail2017-06-15: Hail2017-05-16: Hail2017-04-19: Hail2017-04-19: Hail2017-04-09: Hail2016-10-06: Hail2016-10-06: Hail2016-10-04: Hail2016-10-04: Hail2016-05-27: Hail2016-05-27: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-10: Hail2015-09-09: Hail2015-09-07: Hail2015-09-07: Hail2015-09-07: Hail2015-09-07: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-06-23: Hail2015-04-01: Hail2015-04-01: Hail2014-09-09: Hail2014-09-09: Hail2014-09-09: Hail2014-08-31: Hail2014-08-31: Hail2014-08-31: Hail2014-07-07: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2013-05-19: Hail2013-04-17: Hail2012-06-14: Hail2012-05-30: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2012-05-27: Hail2011-07-05: Hail2011-05-19: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2010-09-13: Hail2010-09-01: Hail2010-09-01: Hail2010-08-31: Hail2010-08-31: Hail2010-08-31: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-06-01: Hail2010-05-12: Hail2010-04-29: Hail2010-04-29: Hail2010-04-29: Hail2010-04-29: Hail2010-04-29: Hail2009-08-19: Hail2009-08-19: Hail2009-06-17: Hail1953-05-09: Tornado1955-06-04: Tornado1955-06-04: Tornado1957-05-20: Tornado1957-06-27: Tornado1958-05-14: Tornado1962-08-04: Tornado1964-06-11: Tornado1965-05-08: Tornado1967-06-09: Tornado1967-09-20: Tornado1973-09-25: Tornado1975-12-13: Tornado1975-04-27: Tornado1976-04-14: Tornado1977-08-03: Tornado1978-05-30: Tornado1978-05-30: Tornado1979-10-18: Tornado1980-06-02: Tornado1980-05-29: Tornado1982-06-14: Tornado1984-06-12: Tornado1985-04-21: Tornado1986-04-26: Tornado1989-06-24: Tornado1990-06-15: Tornado1990-06-16: Tornado1990-03-13: Tornado1990-03-13: Tornado1996-05-08: Tornado1998-05-11: Tornado1998-06-13: Tornado2001-04-11: Tornado2001-06-13: Tornado2001-06-13: Tornado2001-06-13: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2003-06-22: Tornado2004-05-29: Tornado2004-05-24: Tornado2004-05-22: Tornado2004-05-22: Tornado2004-05-24: Tornado2004-05-24: Tornado2008-07-08: Tornado2008-05-29: Tornado2012-04-14: Tornado2012-04-14: Tornado2012-05-02: Tornado2015-05-06: Tornado2015-05-06: Tornado2015-05-06: Tornado2015-05-06: Tornado2018-05-01: Tornado2022-04-29: Tornado2022-06-07: Tornado2003-06-22: Flood2006-05-31: Flood2007-08-01: Flood2008-06-11: Flood2008-05-29: Flood2008-09-24: Flood2015-05-06: Flood2016-04-26: Flood2016-05-27: Flood2018-06-19: Flood2018-09-02: Flood2019-06-18: Flood2019-06-22: Flood2019-10-01: Flood2020-07-26: Flood2020-07-29: Flood2025-08-10: Wind2025-08-10: Wind2025-08-09: Wind2025-08-09: Wind2024-07-06: Wind2024-07-06: Wind2024-07-06: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-15: Wind2024-05-24: Wind2024-05-24: Wind2024-05-24: Wind2024-05-03: Wind2024-04-06: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-07-04: Wind2023-07-04: Wind2023-06-08: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2022-07-16: Wind2022-06-12: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-06-07: Wind2022-05-12: Wind2022-04-29: Wind2022-04-29: Wind2022-04-29: Wind2022-04-29: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2021-08-20: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-05-08: Wind2021-05-08: Wind2021-05-08: Wind2020-10-11: Wind2020-10-11: Wind2020-10-11: Wind2020-10-11: Wind2020-08-16: Wind2020-07-26: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-28: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2020-06-03: Wind2019-09-21: Wind2019-07-10: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2018-09-20: Wind2018-09-20: Wind2018-09-20: Wind2018-06-30: Wind2018-06-30: Wind2018-06-19: Wind2018-05-29: Wind2017-05-16: Wind2016-12-25: Wind2016-12-25: Wind2016-08-11: Wind2016-08-11: Wind2016-08-11: Wind2016-08-11: Wind2016-08-11: Wind2015-09-10: Wind2015-09-07: Wind2015-09-07: Wind2015-07-15: Wind2015-05-06: Wind2014-09-09: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2014-06-14: Wind2014-06-14: Wind2014-06-03: Wind2013-05-29: Wind2013-05-29: Wind
Thayer County within Nebraska. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Thayer County, Nebraska, has 802 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 139.8 events per 100 square miles, above the Nebraska figure of 83.3, and 1,632.4 per 10,000 residents against 325.9 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 94 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $55M and crop damage at $146M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 3 Aug 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 25 claims since 1978, of which 24 were paid, totalling $326K (about $14K per paid claim). FEMA counts 17 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($13M a year across 18 hazards).

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
802events since 19506 deaths, 94 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 3 Aug 2026
25NFIP flood claims$326K paid

Compared with Nebraska and the United States

MeasureThayer CountyNebraskaUS
Recorded events since 195080264,0021,977,440
Events per 100 square miles139.883.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents1,632.4325.959.6
Events in the last 12 months101,59062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI618226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$55M$5.1B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents5.13.18.1
Average paid NFIP claim$14K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years11.823.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 3Tornado: 6
Hail: 10Tornado: 5Wind: 8
Hail: 13Tornado: 8Wind: 8
Hail: 14Tornado: 7Wind: 12
Hail: 41Tornado: 7Flood: 1Wind: 24Winter: 20Cold: 4Lightning: 1
Hail: 88Tornado: 20Flood: 10Wind: 29Winter: 30Cold: 3Drought: 2Lightning: 1Other: 10
Hail: 93Tornado: 8Flood: 8Wind: 52Winter: 40Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 14Other: 34
Hail: 24Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 85Winter: 22Heat: 1Cold: 4Drought: 22Other: 4
91950s231960s291970s331980s981990s1932000s2512010s1662020s
Recorded events in Thayer County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 494 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 215 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail286
Wind218
Winter112
Tornado63
Other48
Drought38
Flood21
Cold12
Heat2
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail286—1.1%detail
■ Wind218—1.3%detail
■ Winter112—1.4%detail
■ Tornado6361.9%detail
■ Other48—4.4%
■ Drought38—1.1%
■ Flood21—0.9%detail
■ Cold12—0.5%
■ Heat2—0.3%
■ Lightning2—1.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
9 May 1953TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—580County
22 Jun 2003TornadoTornadoF2$10M$1.0M17County
12 Jun 1984TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M——5County
9 Aug 2025Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$2.5M$25M——County
1 Dec 2002DroughtDrought——$20M——Forecast zone
9 Jul 2021Thunderstorm WindWind71 mph$2.0M$10M——County
11 Apr 2001TornadoTornadoF1$30K——1County
10 Feb 1999Winter StormWinter—$15K——1Forecast zone
1 Sep 2000DroughtDrought——$10M——Forecast zone
22 Jun 2003Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M$5.0M——County
23 Jun 2003FloodFlood—$1.0M$5.0M——Forecast zone
10 Sep 2015HailHail3.00 in$1.0M$5.0M——County
25 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind63 mph$100K$5.0M——County
1 Oct 2012DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
6 May 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.5M$2.5M——County
22 Jun 2003Heavy RainOther—$500K$3.0M——County
10 Sep 2015HailHail3.00 in$500K$3.0M——County
7 Jul 2014HailHail1.75 in$100K$3.0M——County
7 Jul 2014Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$100K$3.0M——County
20 Aug 2021HailHail1.50 in$100K$3.0M——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
3 Aug 2026DR-4928Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
22 Oct 2025DR-4896Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
21 May 2025DR-4868Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter Storm And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
23 Feb 2022DR-4641Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
4 Apr 2020DR-4521Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3483EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
21 Mar 2019DR-4420Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Jun 2015DR-4225Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Feb 2010DR-1878Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormPublic assistance
16 Dec 2009DR-1864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Jun 2008DR-1770Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Jan 2008DR-1739Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3245EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacueesPublic assistance
25 May 2004DR-1517Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jul 2003DR-1480Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesPublic assistance
1 Nov 1997DR-1190Major disasterSevere StormSevere Snow Storms, Rain, And Strong WindsPublic assistance
19 Jul 1993DR-998Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Aug 1992DR-954Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
4 Jul 1990DR-873Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jul 1984DR-716Major disasterTornadoTornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
24 Mar 1978DR-552Major disasterFloodStorms, Ice Jams, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Apr 1976DR-500Major disasterSevere Ice StormIce Storms & High WindsPublic assistance
20 Oct 1973DR-406Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Jul 1967DR-228Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Thayer County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197825
Paid claims24
Total paid$326K
Average paid claim$14K
Repetitive-loss properties30 severe
Residential policies in force170.4% of 4,356 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201911$1,904$1,904
201711$8,486$8,486
201611$327$327
201599$163,417$18,157
200711$14,405$14,405
200344$127,703$31,926
199332$5,664$2,832
199222$1,388$694
198533$2,545$848

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 38.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$13MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HailRelatively High$4,619,892
Inland floodingVery Low$2,804,262
Strong windRelatively High$2,042,746
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,347,295
TornadoRelatively Low$1,281,226
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$166,724
LightningRelatively Low$129,403
Heat waveVery Low$96,617
Winter weatherRelatively Low$95,740
Cold waveVery Low$65,525
WildfireVery Low$35,894
EarthquakeVery Low$11,148
LandslideVery Low$13

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Thayer County, NE?

NCEI records 286 hail events in Thayer County since 1950, in 57 different years; that is about 3.7 recorded events a year. 81 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Thayer County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 63 tornadoes in Thayer County since 1950, 17 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 6.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Thayer County?

3 Aug 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Thayer County, and how much was paid?

25 NFIP claims since 1978, 24 of them paid, for $326K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Thayer County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Thayer County compare with the rest of Nebraska?

139.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 83.3 statewide, and 5.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.1. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.