County Hazards

States › New Mexico › Otero County

Otero County, New Mexico

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 35035 · 68,537 residents (2021) · 6,613 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 123Tornado · 18Flood · 70Wind · 92Winter · 0
1959-08-17: Hail1959-05-14: Hail1960-05-30: Hail1960-05-30: Hail1962-07-30: Hail1965-06-17: Hail1965-05-12: Hail1965-06-18: Hail1967-09-04: Hail1969-06-09: Hail1969-06-09: Hail1969-06-09: Hail1969-06-15: Hail1974-06-25: Hail1975-06-28: Hail1977-04-13: Hail1977-07-31: Hail1987-05-23: Hail1988-11-08: Hail1988-08-04: Hail1988-09-22: Hail1989-05-27: Hail1991-05-21: Hail1991-06-08: Hail1991-06-08: Hail1991-06-29: Hail1992-05-22: Hail1997-07-27: Hail1997-05-15: Hail1999-05-24: Hail1999-05-24: Hail1999-05-24: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-10-26: Hail2003-07-09: Hail2003-07-06: Hail2003-07-09: Hail2003-05-25: Hail2003-06-30: Hail2003-06-27: Hail2004-06-27: Hail2004-06-27: Hail2004-09-29: Hail2004-09-29: Hail2005-07-06: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-10-09: Hail2006-10-15: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2007-09-28: Hail2007-08-09: Hail2007-05-19: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-06-03: Hail2008-05-28: Hail2008-05-28: Hail2008-05-28: Hail2008-05-28: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2009-07-28: Hail2009-07-28: Hail2009-08-21: Hail2010-05-26: Hail2010-05-27: Hail2010-10-20: Hail2010-10-20: Hail2011-09-16: Hail2012-05-11: Hail2012-05-11: Hail2012-05-11: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2012-05-21: Hail2012-07-05: Hail2013-07-03: Hail2013-07-03: Hail2015-05-04: Hail2015-06-17: Hail2015-06-17: Hail2015-10-07: Hail2015-10-20: Hail2015-10-20: Hail2015-10-21: Hail2016-09-15: Hail2016-09-15: Hail2016-09-15: Hail2016-09-15: Hail2016-09-15: Hail2016-07-09: Hail2017-01-14: Hail2017-01-14: Hail2017-01-14: Hail2017-04-12: Hail2017-04-12: Hail2017-04-12: Hail2018-06-13: Hail2019-03-12: Hail2019-05-31: Hail2019-06-01: Hail2019-06-04: Hail2019-08-28: Hail2020-09-08: Hail2020-09-08: Hail2020-06-24: Hail2020-06-24: Hail2021-07-11: Hail2021-07-11: Hail2021-07-11: Hail2021-07-11: Hail2023-07-15: Hail2023-07-22: Hail2025-07-12: Hail2025-07-13: Hail1959-06-03: Tornado1959-06-03: Tornado1972-07-19: Tornado1979-08-02: Tornado1981-08-02: Tornado1981-08-05: Tornado1982-05-27: Tornado1987-06-26: Tornado1989-07-22: Tornado1991-04-04: Tornado2003-06-05: Tornado2006-10-15: Tornado2007-05-02: Tornado2007-05-02: Tornado2007-06-25: Tornado2015-07-26: Tornado2019-06-04: Tornado2020-03-13: Tornado2005-08-09: Flood2007-07-11: Flood2008-07-09: Flood2008-07-17: Flood2008-07-27: Flood2009-07-05: Flood2009-06-23: Flood2009-06-23: Flood2009-08-23: Flood2010-08-23: Flood2011-07-13: Flood2013-09-16: Flood2013-07-03: Flood2013-07-11: Flood2013-09-15: Flood2013-09-19: Flood2013-09-17: Flood2014-09-12: Flood2014-09-24: Flood2014-08-01: Flood2014-07-31: Flood2015-07-22: Flood2015-08-10: Flood2015-07-24: Flood2017-04-12: Flood2017-07-27: Flood2018-08-01: Flood2019-06-04: Flood2019-08-14: Flood2021-07-05: Flood2021-07-06: Flood2021-08-14: Flood2022-08-20: Flood2022-08-21: Flood2022-08-11: Flood2022-07-24: Flood2022-07-27: Flood2022-07-29: Flood2022-06-27: Flood2022-08-20: Flood2023-08-23: Flood2024-07-19: Flood2024-07-20: Flood2025-06-23: Flood2025-06-25: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2025-07-31: Flood2025-07-13: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-24: Flood2025-07-27: Flood2025-07-28: Flood1957-10-12: Wind1959-07-12: Wind1961-06-27: Wind1965-05-30: Wind1966-08-07: Wind1966-08-09: Wind1966-05-19: Wind1966-05-26: Wind1968-06-19: Wind1974-06-25: Wind1974-08-14: Wind1981-07-27: Wind1981-06-23: Wind1984-06-15: Wind1986-07-16: Wind1987-05-23: Wind1988-08-27: Wind1989-05-09: Wind1992-07-24: Wind1998-08-04: Wind2002-07-02: Wind2003-07-26: Wind2003-06-05: Wind2003-06-09: Wind2003-06-27: Wind2004-09-29: Wind2006-06-22: Wind2007-08-09: Wind2007-07-13: Wind2008-07-02: Wind2008-05-28: Wind2008-08-10: Wind2009-07-05: Wind2009-07-21: Wind2009-07-27: Wind2009-08-04: Wind2009-08-06: Wind2010-06-06: Wind2010-10-20: Wind2011-06-01: Wind2011-06-01: Wind2011-06-01: Wind2011-09-21: Wind2012-06-15: Wind2013-06-02: Wind2013-06-06: Wind2013-06-14: Wind2013-06-30: Wind2014-07-01: Wind2014-07-17: Wind2014-07-30: Wind2015-08-16: Wind2015-05-21: Wind2017-06-07: Wind2018-05-21: Wind2018-08-22: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-06-01: Wind2019-06-04: Wind2019-06-04: Wind2020-09-08: Wind2020-03-18: Wind2020-06-23: Wind2020-06-23: Wind2020-06-26: Wind2020-06-26: Wind2020-06-23: Wind2020-06-23: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-31: Wind2020-08-01: Wind2021-05-19: Wind2021-09-15: Wind2021-07-11: Wind2021-07-11: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2023-10-02: Wind2024-07-22: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-08-21: Wind2025-06-29: Wind2025-07-08: Wind2025-07-08: Wind2025-07-28: Wind2025-09-23: Wind2025-09-23: Wind2025-09-29: Wind2026-06-03: Wind
Otero County within New Mexico. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 315 storm events in Otero County, New Mexico, led by hail.

That is 4.8 events per 100 square miles, below the New Mexico figure of 20.4, and 46.0 per 10,000 residents against 116.9 statewide.

20 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 5 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $7.2M and crop damage at $30K.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides (major disaster, 22 Jul 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 130 claims since 1978, of which 77 were paid, totalling $1.5M (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 757 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($43M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

20events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
315events since 19500 deaths, 5 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 22 Jul 2025
130NFIP flood claims$1.5M paid

Compared with New Mexico and the United States

MeasureOtero CountyNew MexicoUS
Recorded events since 195031524,7401,977,440
Events per 100 square miles4.820.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents46.0116.959.6
Events in the last 12 months2094262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI019126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$7.2M$3.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.90.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$37K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.85.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 11Wind: 7
Hail: 4Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 5Tornado: 5Wind: 7
Hail: 10Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 33Tornado: 5Flood: 23Wind: 17
Hail: 43Tornado: 2Flood: 20Wind: 23Other: 7
Hail: 15Tornado: 1Flood: 24Wind: 32Other: 5
61950s181960s81970s171980s161990s782000s952010s772020s
Recorded events in Otero County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 222 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 52 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail123
Wind92
Flood70
Tornado18
Other12
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail123—2.3%detail
■ Wind92—1.4%detail
■ Flood70—3.7%detail
■ Tornado18—2.6%detail
■ Other12—2.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
6 Jun 2010Thunderstorm WindWind82 mph$1K——4County
4 Jun 2019TornadoTornadoEF1$250K——1County
28 May 2008HailHail2.50 in$2.5M$20K——County
22 Jun 2006Flash FloodFlood—$1.3M———County
16 Aug 2006Flash FloodFlood—$600K———County
1 Aug 2006Flash FloodFlood—$400K———County
28 May 2008Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$360K$10K——County
13 Aug 2006Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
27 May 1982TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
17 Jul 2008Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
23 Jun 2009Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
27 Jul 2008Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
15 Sep 2013Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
1 Aug 2014Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
22 Jul 2025DR-4886Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
10 Jul 2025EM-3628EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
20 Jun 2024DR-4795Major disasterFireSouth Fork Fire, Salt Fire, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Jun 2024FM-5498Fire management assistanceFireSalt FirePublic assistance
17 Jun 2024FM-5497Fire management assistanceFireSouth Fork FirePublic assistance
5 Apr 2020DR-4529Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3460EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
8 Jun 2018FM-5240Fire management assistanceFireSoldier Canyon FirePublic assistance
14 Jul 2016FM-5134Fire management assistanceFireTimberon FirePublic assistance
29 Oct 2014DR-4199Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Oct 2014DR-4197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Oct 2013DR-4152Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 Jun 2011FM-2934Fire management assistanceFireLittle Lewis FirePublic assistance
24 Mar 2011DR-1962Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And Extreme Cold TemperaturesPublic assistance
7 May 2009FM-2818Fire management assistanceFireBuckwood FirePublic assistance
14 Aug 2008DR-1783Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Aug 2006DR-1659Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3229EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
1 May 2002FM-2402Fire management assistanceFireNm - Penasco Fire - 05-01-02Public assistance
3 Jun 2001FM-2364Fire management assistanceFireNm -Trap And Skeet Fire - 06/02/2001Public assistance
14 May 2000FM-2297Fire management assistanceFireScott Able FirePublic assistance
13 May 2000DR-1329Major disasterFireSevere Forest FireIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 May 2000EM-3154EmergencyFireSevere Fire ThreatsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1984DR-722Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Otero County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978130
Paid claims77
Total paid$1.5M
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties40 severe
Residential policies in force7572.7% of 28,117 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202510$0—
202410$0—
202230$0—
202122$21,243$10,621
202010$0—
201922$93,428$46,714
201743$40,609$13,536
201631$13,776$13,776
201520$0—
2014178$123,394$15,424
201210$0—
201140$0—
201055$250,075$50,015
200910$0—
200841$2,581$2,581
200730$0—
20065240$808,404$20,210
200544$17,700$4,425
200411$1,489$1,489
200221$437$437
200111$15,151$15,151
200011$92,167$92,167
1999106$49,931$8,322
199621$8,981$8,981
199510$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 84.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$43MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$26,845,397
WildfireRelatively High$11,817,934
LightningRelatively High$1,134,250
Heat waveRelatively Low$689,963
DroughtRelatively Moderate$586,987
HailRelatively Moderate$557,836
Winter weatherRelatively High$414,227
Strong windRelatively Low$314,168
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$299,593
EarthquakeVery Low$297,043
Cold waveRelatively Low$256,375
TornadoVery Low$63,956
HurricaneVery Low$6,625
LandslideRelatively Low$4,209
AvalancheVery Low$162
Volcanic activityVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm192971 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Otero County, NM?

NCEI records 123 hail events in Otero County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 23 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Otero County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in Otero County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Otero County?

22 Jul 2025: Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Otero County, and how much was paid?

130 NFIP claims since 1978, 77 of them paid, for $1.5M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Otero County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Otero County compare with the rest of New Mexico?

4.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 20.4 statewide, and 1.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.