States › New Mexico › Lincoln County
Lincoln County, New Mexico
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
The NCEI record lists 346 events for Lincoln County, New Mexico, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.
That is 7.2 events per 100 square miles, below the New Mexico figure of 20.4, and 169.3 per 10,000 residents against 116.9 statewide.
31 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 7 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $97M and crop damage at $5K.
FEMA has designated the county in 35 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides (major disaster, 22 Jul 2025).
National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 269 claims since 1978, of which 211 were paid, totalling $17M (about $81K per paid claim). FEMA counts 267 residential flood policies in force.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($28M a year across 18 hazards).
Compared with New Mexico and the United States
| Measure | Lincoln County | New Mexico | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 346 | 24,740 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 7.2 | 20.4 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 169.3 | 116.9 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 31 | 942 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 7 | 191 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $97M | $3.2B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 13.2 | 0.9 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $81K | $37K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | 71.9 | 5.7 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 289 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 44 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2025 | Debris Flow | Other | — | $50M | — | 3 | 2 | County |
| 26 Jul 2008 | Flood | Flood | — | $25M | — | 1 | — | County |
| 15 May 2015 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | County |
| 30 May 2021 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $60K | — | 1 | — | County |
| 4 Oct 1996 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | — | — | 1 | — | County |
| 25 Jul 1997 | Lightning | Lightning | — | — | — | — | 2 | County |
| 7 Jul 2013 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 11 Sep 2023 | Hail | Hail | 1.75 in | — | — | — | 1 | County |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Debris Flow | Other | — | $10M | — | — | — | County |
| 24 Mar 2002 | Wildfire | Wildfire | — | $5.0M | — | — | — | County |
| 7 May 2000 | Wildfire | Wildfire | — | $2.0M | — | — | — | County |
| 6 Jul 2021 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $750K | — | — | — | County |
| 10 Jul 2024 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $750K | — | — | — | County |
| 15 Sep 2001 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $500K | — | — | — | County |
| 9 Jul 2024 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $500K | — | — | — | County |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Debris Flow | Other | — | $500K | — | — | — | County |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $250K | — | — | — | County |
| 30 Jul 2025 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $250K | — | — | — | County |
| 21 Sep 2014 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $130K | — | — | — | County |
| 15 Sep 2001 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $100K | — | — | — | County |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | DR-4886 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 10 Jul 2025 | EM-3628 | Emergency | Flood | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides | Public assistance |
| 20 Jun 2024 | DR-4795 | Major disaster | Fire | South Fork Fire, Salt Fire, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 18 Jun 2024 | FM-5498 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Salt Fire | Public assistance |
| 17 Jun 2024 | FM-5497 | Fire management assistance | Fire | South Fork Fire | Public assistance |
| 26 May 2024 | FM-5492 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Blue 2 Fire | Public assistance |
| 4 May 2022 | DR-4652 | Major disaster | Fire | Wildfires, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Mudflows, And Debris Flows | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 12 Apr 2022 | FM-5433 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Nogal Canyon Fire | Public assistance |
| 12 Apr 2022 | FM-5432 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Mcbride Fire | Public assistance |
| 27 Apr 2021 | FM-5386 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Three Rivers Fire | Public assistance |
| 5 Apr 2020 | DR-4529 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3460 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 29 Oct 2014 | DR-4199 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 6 Oct 2014 | DR-4197 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 29 Oct 2013 | DR-4152 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides | Public assistance |
| 24 Aug 2012 | DR-4079 | Major disaster | Flood | Flooding | Public assistance |
| 9 Jun 2012 | FM-2979 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Little Bear Fire | Public assistance |
| 30 Jun 2011 | FM-2935 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Donaldson Fire | Public assistance |
| 3 Apr 2011 | FM-2880 | Fire management assistance | Fire | White Fire | Public assistance |
| 24 Mar 2011 | DR-1962 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Extreme Cold Temperatures | Public assistance |
| 14 Aug 2008 | DR-1783 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 30 Aug 2006 | DR-1659 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 7 Sep 2005 | EM-3229 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 25 May 2004 | FM-2518 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Peppin Fire | Public assistance |
| 23 Mar 2002 | FM-2398 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Nm-Kokopelli Fire Complex-3-23-02 | Public assistance |
| 3 Jun 2001 | FM-2364 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Nm -Trap And Skeet Fire - 06/02/2001 | Public assistance |
| 13 May 2000 | DR-1329 | Major disaster | Fire | Severe Forest Fire | Individual assistance |
| 10 May 2000 | EM-3154 | Emergency | Fire | Severe Fire Threats | Public assistance |
| 8 May 2000 | FM-2296 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Cree Fire | Public assistance |
| 29 Jan 1998 | DR-1202 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 18 Jan 1985 | DR-731 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Public assistance |
| 6 Sep 1984 | DR-722 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Public assistance |
| 23 Jun 1979 | DR-589 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Snowmelt & Flooding | Public assistance |
| 29 Jan 1979 | DR-571 | Major disaster | Flood | Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 1 Jul 1965 | DR-202 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
| Year of loss | Claims | Paid claims | Amount paid | Average paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 88 | 77 | $7,936,395 | $103,070 |
| 2024 | 88 | 72 | $6,909,560 | $95,966 |
| 2021 | 15 | 7 | $60,353 | $8,622 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2013 | 4 | 2 | $8,430 | $4,215 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | $6,938 | $3,469 |
| 2008 | 50 | 39 | $2,148,947 | $55,101 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | $9,099 | $9,099 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | $1,776 | $1,776 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | $637 | $637 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 1984 | 5 | 4 | $29,155 | $7,289 |
| 1983 | 1 | 1 | $20,838 | $20,838 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | $460 | $460 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | $180 | $180 |
| 1978 | 2 | 2 | $1,955 | $977 |
OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | $14,534,903 | |
| Inland flooding | $11,886,780 | |
| Lightning | $638,599 | |
| Winter weather | $203,718 | |
| Ice storm | $139,628 | |
| Hail | $117,268 | |
| Strong wind | $96,417 | |
| Cold wave | $68,523 | |
| Tornado | $46,779 | |
| Earthquake | $31,388 | |
| Heat wave | $7,941 | |
| Landslide | $7,057 | |
| Hurricane | $2,516 | |
| Drought | $1,579 | |
| Avalanche | $123 | |
| Volcanic activity | $7 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).
ZIP codes with flood claims
ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in Lincoln County, NM?
NCEI records 135 hail events in Lincoln County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 1.8 recorded events a year. 33 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has Lincoln County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 23 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lincoln County?
22 Jul 2025: Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 35 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lincoln County, and how much was paid?
269 NFIP claims since 1978, 211 of them paid, for $17M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.
Is Lincoln County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does Lincoln County compare with the rest of New Mexico?
7.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 20.4 statewide, and 13.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.