County Hazards

States › New Mexico › Valencia County

Valencia County, New Mexico

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 35061 · 77,190 residents (2021) · 1,067 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 32Tornado · 8Flood · 24Wind · 36Winter · 0
1959-08-06: Hail1969-06-15: Hail1992-08-31: Hail1992-08-31: Hail1992-08-11: Hail1998-09-30: Hail1999-05-24: Hail1999-05-24: Hail2004-10-05: Hail2004-10-05: Hail2008-08-17: Hail2008-08-17: Hail2008-07-03: Hail2008-08-17: Hail2012-05-13: Hail2015-07-11: Hail2015-10-19: Hail2017-09-30: Hail2017-09-30: Hail2018-08-01: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2019-06-02: Hail2019-06-02: Hail2020-09-01: Hail2021-07-23: Hail2025-06-04: Hail2025-06-04: Hail2025-09-28: Hail1954-07-31: Tornado1963-08-30: Tornado1966-07-05: Tornado1974-10-10: Tornado1975-05-27: Tornado2004-08-30: Tornado2021-05-17: Tornado2026-06-25: Tornado2008-08-17: Flood2008-07-22: Flood2010-07-31: Flood2010-07-31: Flood2013-07-26: Flood2013-07-26: Flood2013-07-26: Flood2013-09-10: Flood2013-09-13: Flood2013-07-03: Flood2017-09-30: Flood2017-09-29: Flood2017-09-29: Flood2017-10-05: Flood2018-07-05: Flood2021-07-06: Flood2022-06-18: Flood2025-06-24: Flood2025-06-04: Flood2025-07-03: Flood1965-08-03: Wind1969-06-05: Wind1973-06-27: Wind1978-07-10: Wind1987-11-01: Wind1991-07-15: Wind1992-08-11: Wind1997-07-30: Wind1998-09-30: Wind1998-09-30: Wind1999-05-24: Wind1999-05-24: Wind2001-07-02: Wind2002-07-19: Wind2005-07-06: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-08-17: Wind2008-08-15: Wind2013-09-22: Wind2013-09-22: Wind2013-09-22: Wind2014-06-11: Wind2016-04-22: Wind2017-09-30: Wind2017-10-04: Wind2017-05-09: Wind2018-07-05: Wind2019-05-07: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-06-03: Wind2020-07-31: Wind2020-06-05: Wind2021-04-23: Wind2024-07-01: Wind2025-08-08: Wind
Valencia County within New Mexico. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 105 events for Valencia County, New Mexico, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 9.8 events per 100 square miles, below the New Mexico figure of 20.4, and 13.6 per 10,000 residents against 116.9 statewide.

4 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 10 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $13M and crop damage at $301K.

FEMA has designated the county in 15 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides (emergency, 10 Jul 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 125 claims since 1978, of which 57 were paid, totalling $982K (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2,142 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($38M a year across 18 hazards).

4events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
105events since 19501 death, 10 injuries recorded
15disaster declarationslast 10 Jul 2025
125NFIP flood claims$982K paid

Compared with New Mexico and the United States

MeasureValencia CountyNew MexicoUS
Recorded events since 195010524,7401,977,440
Events per 100 square miles9.820.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents13.6116.959.6
Events in the last 12 months494262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI119126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$13M$3.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.60.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$37K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.05.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Wind: 1
Hail: 7Flood: 1Wind: 8
Hail: 6Tornado: 1Flood: 5Wind: 6Other: 3
Hail: 12Flood: 13Wind: 12Lightning: 1
Hail: 5Tornado: 2Flood: 5Wind: 5Other: 1
21950s51960s41970s11980s161990s212000s382010s182020s
Recorded events in Valencia County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 67 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 26 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind36
Hail32
Flood24
Tornado8
Other4
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind36—0.6%detail
■ Hail32—0.6%detail
■ Flood24—1.3%detail
■ Tornado811.2%
■ Other4—0.8%
■ Lightning1—1.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
10 Oct 1974TornadoTornadoF2$250K—18County
24 May 1999Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$1.2M——2County
29 Sep 2017Flash FloodFlood—$7.5M———County
17 Aug 2008HailHail1.75 in$1.0M———County
6 Jul 2021Flash FloodFlood—$500K$250K——County
31 Jul 2006Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
5 Oct 2004HailHail1.75 in$300K———County
25 Jun 2026TornadoTornadoEF0$300K———County
5 Oct 2004HailHail1.75 in$200K———County
13 Sep 2013FloodFlood—$200K———County
5 Jul 2018Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
30 Sep 1998HailHail4.50 in$150K———County
30 Sep 1998Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$100K———County
30 Sep 1998Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$100K———County
22 Jul 2008Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
10 Jul 2025EM-3628EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
22 Jun 2025FM-5594Fire management assistanceFireCotton 2 FirePublic assistance
21 Jun 2025FM-5593Fire management assistanceFireDesert Willow Fire ComplexPublic assistance
18 Apr 2025FM-5579Fire management assistanceFireRio Grande FirePublic assistance
4 May 2022DR-4652Major disasterFireWildfires, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Mudflows, And Debris FlowsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Apr 2022FM-5430Fire management assistanceFireBig Hole FirePublic assistance
5 Apr 2020DR-4529Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3460EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
8 Mar 2019FM-5281Fire management assistanceFireIronworks FirePublic assistance
24 Feb 2007FM-2682Fire management assistanceFireBelen FirePublic assistance
30 Aug 2006DR-1659Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3229EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
10 May 2000EM-3154EmergencyFireSevere Fire ThreatsPublic assistance
20 Apr 2000FM-2295Fire management assistanceFireRio Grande Fire ComplexPublic assistance
11 May 1973DR-380Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snow Melt & FloodingPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Valencia County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978125
Paid claims57
Total paid$982K
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties30 severe
Residential policies in force2,1426.7% of 32,101 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202520$0—
202420$0—
202310$0—
20211712$419,850$34,988
202011$29,914$29,914
201920$0—
201842$24,435$12,217
2017133$161,216$53,739
201610$0—
201522$8,859$4,429
201410$0—
201382$38,306$19,153
201231$14,375$14,375
201111$7,563$7,563
201010$0—
200921$8,234$8,234
200884$46,601$11,650
200711$1,202$1,202
20062215$156,313$10,421
200541$3,219$3,219
200441$4,845$4,845
200310$0—
200221$3,434$3,434
200021$311$311
199953$34,790$11,597

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 82.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$38MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$29,527,045
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$4,395,554
LightningRelatively High$912,505
WildfireRelatively Low$727,480
Heat waveRelatively Low$724,130
HailRelatively Low$348,456
Strong windRelatively Low$209,372
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$189,808
TornadoVery Low$174,776
DroughtRelatively Low$173,675
Cold waveVery Low$130,474
Ice stormVery Low$5,774
LandslideVery Low$19
AvalancheVery Low$16
Volcanic activityVery Low$0

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Valencia County, NM?

NCEI records 32 hail events in Valencia County since 1950, in 16 different years; that is about 0.4 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Valencia County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 8 tornadoes in Valencia County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Valencia County?

10 Jul 2025: Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides, a emergency declaration for flood. The county appears in 15 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Valencia County, and how much was paid?

125 NFIP claims since 1978, 57 of them paid, for $982K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Valencia County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Valencia County compare with the rest of New Mexico?

9.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 20.4 statewide, and 1.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.