County Hazards

States › New York › Herkimer County

Herkimer County, New York

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 36043 · 59,937 residents (2021) · 1,411 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 100Tornado · 11Flood · 224Wind · 560Winter · 0
1970-06-18: Hail1977-08-29: Hail1983-07-31: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1986-08-07: Hail1990-05-17: Hail1990-06-21: Hail1991-06-12: Hail1998-01-09: Hail1998-09-06: Hail1998-09-07: Hail1998-09-07: Hail1999-07-30: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2004-04-29: Hail2004-04-29: Hail2004-04-29: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-07-01: Hail2004-07-01: Hail2004-07-01: Hail2004-07-01: Hail2005-11-06: Hail2006-05-31: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2007-08-03: Hail2007-08-16: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-07-23: Hail2008-08-18: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-07-16: Hail2009-07-16: Hail2009-07-16: Hail2009-07-16: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-08-16: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-09-04: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2012-05-16: Hail2012-05-16: Hail2013-07-19: Hail2013-06-30: Hail2013-09-02: Hail2013-05-29: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2016-06-28: Hail2017-06-27: Hail2017-08-15: Hail2017-08-15: Hail2017-05-18: Hail2019-04-09: Hail2021-09-06: Hail2021-06-14: Hail2021-06-14: Hail2022-05-16: Hail2023-06-02: Hail2023-06-02: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-08-04: Hail2023-08-04: Hail2023-08-04: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-14: Hail2024-08-14: Hail1970-06-18: Tornado1984-07-11: Tornado1990-08-28: Tornado1990-05-17: Tornado1992-08-04: Tornado2010-06-28: Tornado2011-04-28: Tornado2017-06-30: Tornado2024-06-22: Tornado2024-07-16: Tornado2024-07-16: Tornado2026-04-01: Flood2026-03-31: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2025-05-06: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2022-06-12: Flood2022-04-07: Flood2022-02-23: Flood2022-02-18: Flood2022-02-18: Flood2021-07-20: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-17: Flood2019-10-16: Flood2019-08-17: Flood2018-01-12: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2014-06-13: Flood2014-06-13: Flood2014-06-13: Flood2014-06-13: Flood2014-05-16: Flood2013-07-19: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-07-01: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2013-06-24: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-06-13: Flood2013-06-13: Flood2013-05-29: Flood2013-05-29: Flood2013-05-29: Flood2011-10-14: Flood2011-10-14: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2026-06-30: Wind2026-06-30: Wind2026-06-30: Wind2026-06-30: Wind2026-06-30: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-06-22: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2025-04-29: Wind2024-08-18: Wind2024-08-14: Wind2024-08-14: Wind2024-08-11: Wind2024-08-11: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-10: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-24: Wind2023-07-24: Wind2023-07-15: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2022-09-19: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-07-22: Wind2022-07-22: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-05-16: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-09-06: Wind2021-09-06: Wind2021-09-06: Wind2021-09-06: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-07-20: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind
Herkimer County within New York. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Herkimer County, New York, has 915 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 64.9 events per 100 square miles, below the New York figure of 120.3, and 152.7 per 10,000 residents against 28.6 statewide.

9 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 12 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $21M and crop damage at $14K.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 20 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 422 claims since 1978, of which 362 were paid, totalling $6.1M (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 326 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($21M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

9events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
915events since 19502 deaths, 12 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 20 Mar 2020
422NFIP flood claims$6.1M paid

Compared with New York and the United States

MeasureHerkimer CountyNew YorkUS
Recorded events since 195091556,6751,977,440
Events per 100 square miles64.9120.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents152.728.659.6
Events in the last 12 months91,94862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI257826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$21M$5.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents7.08.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.610.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 5
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Wind: 21
Hail: 9Tornado: 3Flood: 10Wind: 93Lightning: 3
Hail: 44Flood: 59Wind: 87Lightning: 4Other: 2
Hail: 29Tornado: 3Flood: 124Wind: 210Lightning: 3Other: 3
Hail: 13Tornado: 3Flood: 31Wind: 141Lightning: 1Other: 4
01950s51960s61970s251980s1181990s1962000s3722010s1932020s
Recorded events in Herkimer County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 669 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 220 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind560
Flood224
Hail100
Tornado11
Lightning11
Other9
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind560—2.3%detail
■ Flood22413.3%detail
■ Hail100—2.0%detail
■ Tornado1112.0%detail
■ Lightning11—1.9%
■ Other9—1.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
18 Jun 1970TornadoTornado—$250K—11County
31 Oct 2019Flash FloodFlood—$25K—1—County
28 Aug 1990TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M——3County
19 May 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
17 May 1990TornadoTornadoF0$250K——1County
22 Feb 1997Thunderstorm WindWind—$40K——1County
1 Jun 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
28 May 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
27 Jul 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
18 Jun 1990Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph———1County
15 Jul 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$10M———County
1 Jul 2017Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M$1K——County
8 Aug 1996Flash FloodFlood—$700K———County
28 Apr 2011FloodFlood—$572K———County
1 Jul 2017FloodFlood—$500K———County
1 Nov 2019FloodFlood—$380K———County
4 Jul 1999Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
1 Apr 2026FloodFlood—$250K———County
31 Mar 2026FloodFlood—$250K———County
1 Nov 2019FloodFlood—$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
20 Mar 2020DR-4480Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3434EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
19 Dec 2019DR-4472Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Jul 2017DR-4322Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
8 Jul 2014DR-4180Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Jul 2013DR-4129Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3351EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
13 Sep 2011DR-4031Major disasterSevere StormRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeeIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Sep 2011EM-3341EmergencySevere StormRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeePublic assistance
31 Aug 2011DR-4020Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Jun 2011DR-1993Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2006DR-1670Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Jul 2006DR-1650Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Sep 2005EM-3262EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
3 Aug 2004DR-1534Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Aug 2003EM-3186EmergencyOtherPower OutagePublic assistance
25 Feb 2003EM-3173EmergencySnowstormSnowstormsPublic assistance
11 Sep 2001DR-1391Major disasterFireFires And ExplosionsPublic assistance
11 Oct 2000EM-3155EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
21 Jul 2000DR-1335Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Sep 1998DR-1244Major disasterSevere StormNy - Severe Wx, Sept 7, 1998Individual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 1996DR-1095Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3107EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
21 Jul 1976DR-515Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jul 1974DR-447Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Herkimer County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978422
Paid claims362
Total paid$6.1M
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties512 severe
Residential policies in force3261.1% of 28,735 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202532$25,615$12,808
202311$19,301$19,301
202266$108,004$18,001
202121$1,978$1,978
20193532$2,238,868$69,965
201743$38,012$12,671
201433$77,012$25,671
2013158142$2,032,761$14,315
201210$0—
20115646$491,192$10,678
201077$56,431$8,062
200932$4,619$2,310
200711$1,511$1,511
20065452$582,596$11,204
200311$6,008$6,008
200063$32,859$10,953
199932$21,949$10,975
199810$0—
199721$5,492$5,492
199642$201,562$100,781
199499$57,482$6,387
199332$2,449$1,225
199010$0—
198811$1,407$1,407
198710$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 60.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$21MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$18,338,051
TornadoRelatively Low$808,161
Cold waveRelatively Low$635,208
EarthquakeVery Low$300,476
HurricaneRelatively Low$268,817
Strong windRelatively Low$253,734
LightningRelatively Low$249,629
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$181,275
Heat waveVery Low$162,400
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$153,922
HailVery Low$70,370
LandslideRelatively Low$12,411
WildfireVery Low$11,207
AvalancheVery Low$91

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Isaias202092 mi52 mph
David197960 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193888 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192956 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187887 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187675 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Herkimer County, NY?

NCEI records 100 hail events in Herkimer County since 1950, in 28 different years; that is about 1.3 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Herkimer County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Herkimer County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Herkimer County?

20 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Herkimer County, and how much was paid?

422 NFIP claims since 1978, 362 of them paid, for $6.1M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Herkimer County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Herkimer County compare with the rest of New York?

64.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.3 statewide, and 7.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.