County Hazards

States › Oregon › Josephine County

Josephine County, Oregon

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 41033 · 88,346 residents (2021) · 1,639 sq mi · dominant hazard Wildfire

Hail · 9Tornado · 0Flood · 13Wind · 12Winter · 0
1997-09-10: Hail1997-09-10: Hail1997-09-10: Hail1998-04-29: Hail2003-08-04: Hail2011-03-13: Hail2012-06-04: Hail2015-05-31: Hail2012-01-19: Flood2012-03-30: Flood2012-11-19: Flood2012-11-29: Flood2015-02-06: Flood2016-12-14: Flood2016-01-17: Flood1969-05-18: Wind1982-06-24: Wind1991-07-22: Wind1991-07-22: Wind2003-05-29: Wind2009-06-02: Wind2011-03-13: Wind2012-04-23: Wind2012-08-05: Wind2026-05-03: Wind2026-05-03: Wind
Josephine County within Oregon. Dots: HailFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 69 events for Josephine County, Oregon, between 1950 and 2026; wildfire account for the largest share.

That is 4.2 events per 100 square miles, below the Oregon figure of 11.7, and 7.8 per 10,000 residents against 26.5 statewide.

2 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $4.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Fielder Mountain Fire (fire management assistance, 14 Aug 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 81 claims since 1978, of which 45 were paid, totalling $688K (about $15K per paid claim). FEMA counts 393 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($70M a year across 18 hazards).

2events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
69events since 19500 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 14 Aug 2026
81NFIP flood claims$688K paid

Compared with Oregon and the United States

MeasureJosephine CountyOregonUS
Recorded events since 19506911,2341,977,440
Events per 100 square miles4.211.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents7.826.559.6
Events in the last 12 months29462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI036026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$4.1M$5.0B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.91.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$15K$24K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.33.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Wind: 1
Hail: 5Flood: 3Wind: 2Wildfire: 6Lightning: 1
Hail: 1Flood: 3Wind: 3Wildfire: 21Lightning: 4Other: 3
Hail: 3Flood: 7Wind: 3
Wind: 2
01950s11960s01970s11980s171990s352000s132010s22020s
Recorded events in Josephine County by decade and hazard group. HailFloodWindWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 15 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 50 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wildfire27
Flood13
Wind12
Hail9
Lightning5
Other3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wildfire27—3.6%
■ Flood13—1.5%detail
■ Wind12—0.3%detail
■ Hail9—1.1%
■ Lightning5—4.2%
■ Other3—0.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
3 May 2026Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$68K——2County
29 Nov 2012FloodFlood—$4.0M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
14 Aug 2026FM-5670Fire management assistanceFireFielder Mountain FirePublic assistance
22 Jul 2025DR-4881Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
15 Sep 2020DR-4562Major disasterFireWildfires And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
10 Sep 2020FM-5369Fire management assistanceFireSlater FirePublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4499Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3429EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
3 Sep 2018FM-5275Fire management assistanceFireHugo Road FirePublic assistance
19 Jul 2018FM-5256Fire management assistanceFireGarner Fire ComplexPublic assistance
8 Aug 2017DR-4328Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
25 Jan 2017DR-4296Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Aug 2016FM-5153Fire management assistanceFireGold Canyon FirePublic assistance
9 Aug 2015FM-5096Fire management assistanceFireKrauss Lane FirePublic assistance
2 Aug 2013FM-5039Fire management assistanceFireBrimstone FirePublic assistance
28 Jul 2013FM-5037Fire management assistanceFireDouglas Fire ComplexPublic assistance
19 Jul 2013FM-5036Fire management assistanceFirePacifica FirePublic assistance
20 Mar 2006DR-1632Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3228EmergencyCoastal StormHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
25 Aug 2005FM-2579Fire management assistanceFireDeer Creek FirePublic assistance
4 Aug 2004FM-2539Fire management assistanceFireOr-Redwood Highway Wildfire-08-04-2004Public assistance
28 Jul 2002FM-2453Fire management assistanceFireOr - Biscuit Fire - 07/28/02Public assistance
23 Jan 1997DR-1160Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Land And Mudslides, FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Feb 1996DR-1099Major disasterFloodHigh Winds, Severe Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
29 Apr 1977EM-3039EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
25 Jan 1974DR-413Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Dec 1964DR-184Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Josephine County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197881
Paid claims45
Total paid$688K
Average paid claim$15K
Repetitive-loss properties50 severe
Residential policies in force3931.0% of 38,858 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202533$130,283$43,428
202410$0—
201910$0—
201631$109$109
201564$65,310$16,327
200910$0—
200710$0—
200620$0—
200595$49,889$9,978
200221$1,124$1,124
200110$0—
199810$0—
19973023$335,262$14,577
199653$89,186$29,729
199531$2,376$2,376
199320$0—
199011$6,440$6,440
198510$0—
198220$0—
198153$7,572$2,524
197910$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 90.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$70MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$32,017,791
WildfireRelatively High$22,758,093
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$12,408,871
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,375,837
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$171,911
LightningRelatively Low$87,813
Strong windVery Low$68,978
HailVery Low$52,633
LandslideRelatively Low$26,848
TornadoVery Low$15,322
Ice stormVery Low$6,047
Cold waveVery Low$628
AvalancheVery Low$301
DroughtVery Low$206
Volcanic activityVery Low$0

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Josephine County, OR?

NCEI records 9 hail events in Josephine County since 1950, in 7 different years; that is about 0.1 recorded events a year. 1 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Josephine County had a tornado?

NCEI records no tornado in Josephine County since 1950.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Josephine County?

14 Aug 2026: Fielder Mountain Fire, a fire management assistance declaration for fire. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Josephine County, and how much was paid?

81 NFIP claims since 1978, 45 of them paid, for $688K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Josephine County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Josephine County compare with the rest of Oregon?

4.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 11.7 statewide, and 0.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 1.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.