County Hazards

States › Pennsylvania › Sullivan County

Sullivan County, Pennsylvania

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 42113 · 5,868 residents (2021) · 450 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 19Tornado · 13Flood · 37Wind · 121Winter · 111
1977-04-23: Hail1998-06-30: Hail1998-05-29: Hail2000-06-16: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-08-01: Hail2005-08-12: Hail2008-02-06: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-08-01: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2014-05-22: Hail2019-05-19: Hail2020-05-29: Hail2024-06-22: Hail1954-09-19: Tornado1974-04-14: Tornado1977-04-23: Tornado1986-07-13: Tornado1997-08-16: Tornado1997-08-16: Tornado1997-08-16: Tornado1999-07-01: Tornado2000-06-16: Tornado2005-08-12: Tornado2014-07-08: Tornado2019-04-15: Tornado2019-05-29: Tornado2006-11-16: Flood2008-03-05: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2011-04-26: Flood2011-03-10: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-09-07: Flood2016-10-21: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-08-07: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-08-13: Flood2018-08-13: Flood2021-07-16: Flood2021-09-15: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2025-03-05: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-13: Flood1960-09-01: Wind1969-07-17: Wind1973-08-18: Wind1977-07-06: Wind1987-05-28: Wind1988-08-28: Wind1988-08-17: Wind1988-08-17: Wind1989-06-24: Wind1989-11-20: Wind1990-08-13: Wind1990-08-13: Wind1992-08-28: Wind1996-04-23: Wind1997-05-19: Wind1997-05-06: Wind1998-09-07: Wind1998-09-02: Wind1998-08-25: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1999-07-06: Wind1999-07-09: Wind1999-09-30: Wind1999-05-24: Wind2000-06-21: Wind2000-05-18: Wind2000-06-02: Wind2000-05-10: Wind2001-07-01: Wind2001-09-24: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-06-05: Wind2002-06-05: Wind2002-06-05: Wind2005-06-06: Wind2005-07-26: Wind2005-08-12: Wind2005-11-06: Wind2005-11-06: Wind2006-03-13: Wind2006-11-16: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2008-07-26: Wind2009-12-03: Wind2009-06-26: Wind2010-04-08: Wind2010-04-08: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2013-06-24: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-07-28: Wind2013-07-28: Wind2013-07-28: Wind2013-11-18: Wind2013-07-07: Wind2013-07-07: Wind2013-07-07: Wind2014-07-03: Wind2014-07-03: Wind2015-07-19: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2016-08-13: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2017-05-01: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-09-15: Wind2022-07-24: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2022-03-31: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2025-06-19: Wind
Sullivan County within Pennsylvania. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 329 storm events in Sullivan County, Pennsylvania, led by damaging wind.

That is 73.1 events per 100 square miles, below the Pennsylvania figure of 121.6, and 560.7 per 10,000 residents against 42.0 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $12M.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Tropical Storm Debby (major disaster, 11 Sep 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 134 claims since 1978, of which 117 were paid, totalling $3.9M (about $34K per paid claim). FEMA counts 58 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.1M a year across 18 hazards).

17 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
329events since 19501 death, 3 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 11 Sep 2024
134NFIP flood claims$3.9M paid

Compared with Pennsylvania and the United States

MeasureSullivan CountyPennsylvaniaUS
Recorded events since 195032954,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.1121.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents560.742.059.6
Events in the last 12 months72,02862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI190126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$12M$5.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents22.85.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$34K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years24.125.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Tornado: 1Wind: 6
Hail: 5Tornado: 4Flood: 5Wind: 30Winter: 21Drought: 4
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Flood: 10Wind: 26Winter: 50Tropical: 1Cold: 8
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Flood: 14Wind: 31Winter: 21Cold: 9Other: 2
Hail: 2Flood: 8Wind: 24Winter: 19Heat: 1Cold: 2Other: 1
11950s21960s51970s71980s691990s1032000s852010s572020s
Recorded events in Sullivan County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 176 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 142 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind121
Winter111
Flood37
Hail19
Cold19
Tornado13
Drought4
Other3
Tropical1
Heat1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind121—0.5%detail
■ Winter111—1.2%detail
■ Flood37—0.5%detail
■ Hail19—0.3%detail
■ Cold19—1.7%
■ Tornado1311.2%detail
■ Drought4—0.5%
■ Other3—0.4%
■ Tropical1—1.1%
■ Heat1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
16 Aug 1997TornadoTornadoF1——1—County
26 Jul 2012Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$5K——1County
16 Aug 1997TornadoTornadoF1———1County
18 Nov 2022Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
21 Oct 2016Flash FloodFlood—$7.0M———County
28 Aug 2011Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
26 Apr 2011Flash FloodFlood—$1.8M———County
15 Apr 2019TornadoTornadoEF1$500K———County
1 Jul 1999TornadoTornadoF1$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Sep 2024DR-4815Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
30 Mar 2020DR-4506Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3441EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
27 Nov 2018DR-4408Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Dec 2016DR-4292Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Jan 2013DR-4099Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3356EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
12 Sep 2011DR-4030Major disasterFloodTropical Storm LeeIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Sep 2011EM-3340EmergencyFloodRemnants Of Tropical Storm LeePublic assistance
3 Sep 2011DR-4025Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Aug 2011EM-3339EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
13 Jul 2011DR-4003Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Feb 2007DR-1684Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Jun 2006DR-1649Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3235EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1557Major disasterHurricaneTropical Depression IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Sep 2004DR-1555Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression Frances—
6 Aug 2004DR-1538Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding—
21 Jan 1996DR-1093Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1085Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1015Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3105EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Oct 1976DR-523Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 1975DR-485Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Heavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-340Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Sullivan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978134
Paid claims117
Total paid$3.9M
Average paid claim$34K
Repetitive-loss properties202 severe
Residential policies in force581.0% of 5,969 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202533$122,274$40,758
20181111$660,808$60,073
201644$250,671$62,668
20115955$2,320,336$42,188
2010119$180,827$20,092
200622$2,067$1,034
200511$4,670$4,670
20041613$157,861$12,143
199821$5,407$5,407
19962117$212,634$12,508
199311$6,838$6,838
198810$0—
198410$0—
197910$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 10.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.1MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$3,561,228
HurricaneRelatively Low$151,092
Strong windVery Low$84,319
TornadoVery Low$77,756
Cold waveVery Low$68,254
LightningVery Low$43,141
EarthquakeVery Low$34,367
Winter weatherRelatively Low$24,975
Heat waveVery Low$8,136
HailVery Low$5,466
Ice stormVery Low$5,082
LandslideRelatively Low$2,989
AvalancheVery Low$1,859
WildfireVery Low$1,540

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles17
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Isaias202082 mi63 mph
David197912 mi46 mph
Connie195580 mi52 mph
Diane195596 mi40 mph
Hazel195493 mi81 mph
Able195290 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194944 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193363 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192953 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1915100 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190334 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1899100 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189390 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188858 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188546 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187858 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187689 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Sullivan County, PA?

NCEI records 19 hail events in Sullivan County since 1950, in 12 different years; that is about 0.2 recorded events a year. 1 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Sullivan County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 13 tornadoes in Sullivan County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Sullivan County?

11 Sep 2024: Tropical Storm Debby, a major disaster declaration for tropical storm. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Sullivan County, and how much was paid?

134 NFIP claims since 1978, 117 of them paid, for $3.9M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Sullivan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Sullivan County compare with the rest of Pennsylvania?

73.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 121.6 statewide, and 22.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.