County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Davidson County

Davidson County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47037 · 703,953 residents (2021) · 504 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 275Tornado · 53Flood · 170Wind · 1,024Winter · 75
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Tornado1968-05-25: Tornado1968-05-14: Tornado1971-05-24: Tornado1972-04-07: Tornado1973-05-10: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-04-01: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado1998-06-30: Tornado1999-05-05: Tornado1999-05-05: Tornado2000-02-13: Tornado2000-05-26: Tornado2000-05-24: Tornado2000-05-24: Tornado2003-05-11: Tornado2005-11-15: Tornado2006-04-07: Tornado2008-02-06: Tornado2009-04-02: Tornado2010-05-02: Tornado2010-07-26: Tornado2011-04-04: Tornado2011-02-24: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2015-07-02: Tornado2017-03-01: Tornado2017-08-31: Tornado2017-08-31: Tornado2017-11-18: Tornado2017-11-18: Tornado2019-06-21: Tornado2019-06-21: Tornado2020-03-03: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-05-04: Tornado2021-05-04: Tornado2023-12-09: Tornado2023-12-09: Tornado2026-04-28: Tornado2005-06-27: Flood2006-01-22: Flood2006-05-31: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-05-09: Flood2009-04-02: Flood2009-04-02: Flood2009-09-26: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2010-05-14: Flood2010-05-14: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-14: Flood2011-02-28: Flood2011-02-24: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2012-04-05: Flood2012-01-11: Flood2012-07-14: Flood2012-07-14: Flood2012-09-05: Flood2013-06-17: Flood2013-04-28: Flood2013-07-05: Flood2013-07-03: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2014-08-09: Flood2014-10-10: Flood2014-06-06: Flood2014-08-30: Flood2015-06-08: Flood2016-08-03: Flood2016-07-07: Flood2016-11-28: Flood2017-04-22: Flood2017-04-23: Flood2017-04-18: Flood2017-08-31: Flood2017-09-01: Flood2017-11-06: Flood2017-11-07: Flood2017-07-02: Flood2017-07-02: Flood2017-07-15: Flood2017-07-03: Flood2018-04-23: Flood2018-07-06: Flood2018-05-22: Flood2018-05-20: Flood2018-11-05: Flood2019-06-09: Flood2019-02-06: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-06: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-16: Wind2026-04-16: 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Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-16: Wind2024-06-03: Wind2024-05-06: Wind2024-04-02: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind
Davidson County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 1,709 events for Davidson County, Tennessee, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 339.3 events per 100 square miles, above the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 24.3 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

31 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 36 deaths and 417 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $2.9B and crop damage at $58K.

FEMA has designated the county in 28 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 4,787 claims since 1978, of which 3,994 were paid, totalling $186M (about $47K per paid claim). FEMA counts 3,818 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($262M a year across 18 hazards).

5 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

31events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,709events since 195036 deaths, 417 injuries recorded
28disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
4,787NFIP flood claims$186M paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureDavidson CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 19501,70946,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles339.3112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents24.366.459.6
Events in the last 12 months311,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI3680426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$2.9B$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.82.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$47K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years26.120.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 4Tornado: 3Wind: 9
Hail: 13Tornado: 3Wind: 27
Hail: 10Tornado: 5Wind: 18
Hail: 8Wind: 26
Hail: 42Tornado: 6Flood: 24Wind: 102Winter: 4Lightning: 2Other: 1
Hail: 61Tornado: 10Flood: 44Wind: 159Winter: 6Drought: 8Lightning: 3Other: 4
Hail: 97Tornado: 15Flood: 59Wind: 460Winter: 51Heat: 3Cold: 1Drought: 7Lightning: 27Other: 18
Hail: 40Tornado: 11Flood: 43Wind: 223Winter: 14Heat: 5Cold: 1Drought: 14Lightning: 15Other: 3
161950s431960s331970s341980s1811990s2952000s7382010s3692020s
Recorded events in Davidson County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 1,187 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 391 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind1,024
Hail275
Flood170
Winter75
Tornado53
Lightning47
Drought29
Other26
Heat8
Cold2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind1,02454.8%detail
■ Hail275—3.8%detail
■ Flood170163.9%detail
■ Winter7551.3%detail
■ Tornado5373.1%detail
■ Lightning47—9.6%
■ Drought29—1.5%
■ Other26—6.9%
■ Heat820.4%
■ Cold210.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
1 May 2010FloodFlood—$1.5B$1K10—County
27 Mar 2021Flash FloodFlood—$20M—5—County
3 Mar 2020TornadoTornadoEF3$1.1B—2170County
24 Jan 2026Winter StormWinter———4—Forecast zone
9 Dec 2023TornadoTornadoEF2$10M—321County
16 Apr 1998TornadoTornadoF3$100M—160County
1 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF2$3K—112County
21 Jul 2006Thunderstorm WindWind49 mph$10K—13County
1 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$25M—1—County
31 Oct 2013High WindWind60 mph$50K—1—Forecast zone
7 Dec 2013Winter WeatherWinter—$10K—1—Forecast zone
30 Jan 2013Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$5K—1—County
25 Nov 2024Strong WindWind45 mph$5K—1—Forecast zone
7 Aug 2012HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
30 Apr 2017Strong WindWind45 mph——1—Forecast zone
1 Jan 2018Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
23 May 2018HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
9 Feb 2011Winter WeatherWinter————48Forecast zone
4 Aug 2010Excessive HeatHeat—$100K——25Forecast zone
7 Apr 1972TornadoTornadoF2$250K——15County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Jun 2025DR-4878Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Dec 2023DR-4751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 May 2023DR-4712Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoPublic assistance
8 Mar 2023DR-4691Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
14 Jan 2022DR-4637Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 May 2021DR-4601Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jan 2021EM-3552EmergencyOtherExplosionPublic assistance
9 Jul 2020DR-4550Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
5 Mar 2020DR-4476Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Apr 2015DR-4211Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1978Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
4 May 2010DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Apr 2006DR-1634Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
12 Jun 2000DR-1331Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 May 1999DR-1275Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Mar 1997DR-1167Major disasterTornadoHeavy Rains, Tornadoes, Flooding, Hail, High WindsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
7 May 1979DR-585Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
22 Mar 1975DR-459Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Davidson County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19784,787
Paid claims3,994
Total paid$186M
Average paid claim$47K
Repetitive-loss properties32144 severe
Residential policies in force3,8181.7% of 222,214 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
20261611$160,180$14,562
202511386$4,252,656$49,449
2024126$116,042$19,340
202331$60,870$60,870
2022107$111,818$15,974
2021493426$23,178,879$54,411
20201715$264,911$17,661
201910083$2,343,799$28,239
20182011$111,180$10,107
2017214174$5,780,743$33,223
20162216$213,658$13,354
2015104$36,112$9,028
201482$6,180$3,090
2013195162$5,241,025$32,352
20122616$91,504$5,719
2011155$15,541$3,108
20102,3152,115$136,717,485$64,642
20097255$679,633$12,357
200872$23,150$11,575
200710$0—
200674$37,052$9,263
200520$0—
20043227$297,835$11,031
20038269$1,003,016$14,536
20024128$352,420$12,586

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 97.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$262MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$160,328,176
EarthquakeRelatively High$57,883,811
TornadoRelatively High$23,591,585
Cold waveRelatively High$7,508,536
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$6,494,473
Strong windRelatively High$3,996,594
HailRelatively Moderate$1,454,883
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$417,289
LightningRelatively Low$270,997
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$233,397
HurricaneVery Low$106,808
WildfireVery Low$71,591
DroughtVery Low$15,712
LandslideRelatively Low$5,485

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles5
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Frederic197968 mi46 mph
Audrey195744 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191581 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189288 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188861 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Davidson County, TN?

NCEI records 275 hail events in Davidson County since 1950, in 55 different years; that is about 3.6 recorded events a year. 48 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Davidson County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 53 tornadoes in Davidson County since 1950, 12 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 7.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Davidson County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 28 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Davidson County, and how much was paid?

4,787 NFIP claims since 1978, 3,994 of them paid, for $186M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Davidson County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Davidson County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

339.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 6.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.