County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Williamson County

Williamson County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47187 · 255,735 residents (2021) · 583 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 197Tornado · 26Flood · 97Wind · 446Winter · 71
1961-05-08: Hail1968-04-23: Hail1970-06-05: Hail1973-05-23: Hail1982-04-26: Hail1982-05-17: Hail1984-05-06: Hail1988-04-23: Hail1992-05-19: Hail1996-04-29: Hail1997-01-24: Hail1997-01-24: Hail1997-11-30: Hail1998-05-21: Hail1998-04-16: Hail2000-03-25: Hail2000-04-20: Hail2000-04-20: Hail2000-04-20: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-05-19: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2004-06-02: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-08-16: Hail2006-03-31: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-09-23: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-07-23: Hail2007-07-23: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-03-28: Hail2009-03-28: Hail2009-03-28: Hail2009-05-16: Hail2009-04-10: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-10-12: Hail2011-04-15: Hail2012-04-05: Hail2012-05-19: Hail2012-05-06: Hail2012-05-06: Hail2012-05-06: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2013-06-01: Hail2013-06-10: Hail2013-06-10: Hail2013-06-10: Hail2013-06-10: Hail2014-10-06: Hail2014-06-07: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-07-14: Hail2015-07-14: Hail2016-06-03: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-07-06: Hail2016-07-06: Hail2017-03-01: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-06-17: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-05-06: Hail2019-06-19: Hail2019-08-13: Hail2019-08-13: Hail2019-09-10: Hail2020-06-14: Hail2020-06-14: Hail2021-04-24: Hail2021-04-24: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2021-03-27: Hail1963-01-10: Tornado1968-05-26: Tornado1972-04-21: Tornado1976-02-17: Tornado1985-08-16: Tornado1986-02-17: Tornado1988-12-24: Tornado2001-02-25: Tornado2001-10-24: Tornado2003-05-11: Tornado2003-05-05: Tornado2003-05-11: Tornado2005-11-15: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-02-06: Tornado2012-04-26: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2013-01-30: Tornado2015-04-03: Tornado2017-03-01: Tornado2019-02-06: Tornado2020-09-01: Tornado2021-05-09: Tornado2023-08-12: Tornado2025-03-30: Tornado2009-04-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2011-07-07: Flood2012-03-15: Flood2012-03-17: Flood2012-03-15: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2013-01-13: Flood2014-10-13: Flood2014-09-02: Flood2014-02-04: Flood2014-04-28: Flood2015-05-31: Flood2015-06-08: Flood2015-06-23: Flood2015-02-21: Flood2016-07-07: Flood2017-04-22: Flood2017-04-17: Flood2017-04-22: Flood2017-04-22: Flood2017-04-18: Flood2017-08-31: Flood2017-12-23: Flood2017-11-06: Flood2018-03-01: Flood2018-09-23: Flood2018-10-01: Flood2018-10-01: Flood2018-05-22: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-07-22: Flood2019-12-29: Flood2019-12-29: Flood2020-02-05: Flood2020-07-04: Flood2020-07-04: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2021-03-27: Flood2021-05-03: Flood2022-12-07: Flood2022-12-07: Flood2022-12-07: Flood2023-07-19: Flood2023-08-26: Flood2023-08-26: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-05-20: Flood2025-05-20: Flood2025-05-20: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2024-07-21: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-03-14: Wind2023-08-26: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-10: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-06-30: Wind2023-06-30: Wind2023-06-30: Wind2023-06-30: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-03-24: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-07: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-06: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-07-31: Wind2021-05-06: Wind2021-05-06: Wind2020-09-01: Wind2020-09-01: Wind2020-09-01: Wind2020-08-28: Wind2020-05-22: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-08-06: Wind2019-08-04: Wind2019-07-06: Wind2019-06-27: Wind2019-06-27: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-20: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-05-01: Wind2018-12-31: Wind2018-11-05: Wind2018-11-05: Wind2018-11-05: Wind2018-11-05: Wind2018-11-05: Wind2018-06-17: Wind2018-06-17: Wind2018-06-15: Wind2018-06-15: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2018-02-24: Wind2017-11-18: Wind2017-11-06: Wind2017-11-06: Wind2017-11-06: Wind2017-11-06: Wind2017-09-19: Wind2017-09-19: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-04-30: Wind
Williamson County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 915 events for Williamson County, Tennessee, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 157.0 events per 100 square miles, above the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 35.8 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 23 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $59M and crop damage at $62K.

FEMA has designated the county in 16 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,103 claims since 1978, of which 936 were paid, totalling $31M (about $33K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,284 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($98M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
915events since 19506 deaths, 23 injuries recorded
16disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
1,103NFIP flood claims$31M paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureWilliamson CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195091546,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles157.0112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents35.866.459.6
Events in the last 12 months141,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI680426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$59M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.32.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$33K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years21.420.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 6
Hail: 4Tornado: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 11Flood: 14Wind: 48Winter: 4Lightning: 3
Hail: 46Tornado: 8Flood: 15Wind: 70Winter: 4Drought: 9Lightning: 4Other: 3
Hail: 46Tornado: 7Flood: 40Wind: 215Winter: 46Heat: 1Drought: 5Lightning: 20Other: 6
Hail: 86Tornado: 4Flood: 28Wind: 103Winter: 17Heat: 3Cold: 1Drought: 15Lightning: 4Other: 4
01950s51960s101970s101980s801990s1592000s3862010s2652020s
Recorded events in Williamson County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 700 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 188 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind446
Hail197
Flood97
Winter71
Lightning31
Drought29
Tornado26
Other13
Heat4
Cold1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind44642.1%detail
■ Hail197—2.7%detail
■ Flood9712.2%detail
■ Winter71—1.2%detail
■ Lightning31—6.3%
■ Drought29—1.5%
■ Tornado2611.5%detail
■ Other13—3.4%
■ Heat4—0.2%
■ Cold1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
24 Dec 1988TornadoTornadoF4$25M—17County
1 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$50K$1K1—County
12 Oct 2022Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$10K—1—County
11 Jun 2003Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph——1—County
27 Apr 2011Thunderstorm WindWind63 mph——1—County
3 May 2020Thunderstorm WindWind64 mph——1—County
26 Apr 2012TornadoTornadoEF0$75K——6County
30 Jul 2024LightningLightning—$250K——4County
21 Apr 1972TornadoTornadoF1$250K——3County
8 Aug 2001LightningLightning————2County
11 May 2003TornadoTornadoF3$2.2M——1County
2 May 2010FloodFlood—$10M$1K——County
1 Mar 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$7.3M———County
5 May 2003TornadoTornadoF1$3.0M———County
24 Oct 2010LightningLightning—$1.8M———County
27 Mar 2021Flash FloodFlood—$1.5M———County
3 Mar 2023High WindWind58 mph$1.0M———Forecast zone
3 May 2020Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$703K———County
5 May 1999Thunderstorm WindWind—$476K———County
13 Sep 2020Flash FloodFlood—$400K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 May 2021DR-4601Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
4 May 2010DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Feb 2008DR-1745Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 May 1999DR-1275Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
7 May 1979DR-585Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Mar 1975DR-459Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Williamson County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,103
Paid claims936
Total paid$31M
Average paid claim$33K
Repetitive-loss properties7615 severe
Residential policies in force1,2842.4% of 53,519 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202641$52,302$52,302
202543$84,541$28,180
202422$152,740$76,370
202310$0—
202242$43,533$21,766
2021198180$8,311,947$46,177
20202119$686,929$36,154
2019108$80,654$10,082
201830$0—
20172822$454,554$20,662
201533$44,603$14,868
20131414$200,169$14,298
20111813$202,642$15,588
2010439395$18,199,757$46,075
200932$27,622$13,811
200821$4,903$4,903
2004109$78,445$8,716
20036053$617,672$11,654
200111$8,811$8,811
20001412$68,724$5,727
19991413$194,414$14,955
19983631$231,068$7,454
1997126$32,134$5,356
199620$0—
1995159$32,427$3,603

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 85.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$98MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$56,972,085
Cold waveRelatively High$13,411,043
TornadoRelatively Moderate$11,550,093
EarthquakeRelatively Low$8,483,524
Strong windRelatively High$3,371,808
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,777,140
Ice stormRelatively High$1,010,072
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$468,932
LightningRelatively Low$467,821
HailRelatively Low$331,692
DroughtRelatively Low$77,213
HurricaneVery Low$55,402
WildfireVery Low$44,664
LandslideVery Low$3,157

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Frederic197948 mi46 mph
Audrey195761 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193487 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191562 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189286 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188865 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Williamson County, TN?

NCEI records 197 hail events in Williamson County since 1950, in 39 different years; that is about 2.6 recorded events a year. 47 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Williamson County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 26 tornadoes in Williamson County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Williamson County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 16 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Williamson County, and how much was paid?

1,103 NFIP claims since 1978, 936 of them paid, for $31M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Williamson County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Williamson County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

157.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 4.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.