County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Fayette County

Fayette County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47047 · 42,832 residents (2021) · 705 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 110Tornado · 23Flood · 32Wind · 196Winter · 54
1956-04-15: Hail1962-11-11: Hail1969-07-02: Hail1984-04-28: Hail1984-04-21: Hail1987-04-11: Hail1989-03-30: Hail1990-06-09: Hail1990-06-09: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1996-01-18: Hail1996-05-28: Hail1996-05-28: Hail1996-05-28: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-05-27: Hail1996-10-17: Hail1997-02-28: Hail1997-02-28: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1997-05-27: Hail1997-04-30: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1998-05-06: Hail1999-03-02: Hail1999-03-02: Hail1999-01-22: Hail1999-01-17: Hail1999-01-22: Hail1999-01-22: Hail2000-02-18: Hail2000-04-27: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-09: Hail2001-02-21: Hail2001-04-04: Hail2001-05-21: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2003-04-20: Hail2003-04-20: Hail2003-05-16: Hail2004-04-23: Hail2004-06-02: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2008-03-14: Hail2009-04-10: Hail2009-06-12: Hail2009-06-12: Hail2009-06-12: Hail2010-04-24: Hail2010-05-24: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2011-06-15: Hail2011-06-15: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2011-05-01: Hail2011-03-26: Hail2011-05-01: Hail2011-04-26: Hail2011-06-16: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-08-16: Hail2014-04-04: Hail2016-06-27: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-07-23: Hail2020-06-05: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-09-06: Hail2023-05-10: Hail2024-04-08: Hail2024-04-08: Hail2024-04-08: Hail2025-03-30: Hail2025-03-30: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail2025-04-02: Hail1952-03-21: Tornado1965-02-11: Tornado1971-05-24: Tornado1972-04-15: Tornado1973-11-27: Tornado1988-01-19: Tornado1989-06-04: Tornado1989-06-11: Tornado1994-06-09: Tornado1994-06-26: Tornado1994-06-26: Tornado1998-11-10: Tornado1999-01-17: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2013-04-27: Tornado2020-01-11: Tornado2021-01-25: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2025-04-03: Tornado2007-02-24: Flood2008-08-25: Flood2008-03-31: Flood2008-05-10: Flood2009-06-14: Flood2009-07-30: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-07-26: Flood2011-03-05: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2011-12-05: Flood2013-05-21: Flood2014-07-09: Flood2016-03-10: Flood2016-05-26: Flood2018-02-21: Flood2018-03-01: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2023-07-21: Flood1955-10-28: Wind1955-03-20: Wind1965-07-03: Wind1967-05-01: Wind1973-11-27: Wind1974-04-07: Wind1974-04-07: Wind1982-06-30: Wind1984-04-28: Wind1984-05-02: Wind1984-08-28: Wind1984-04-03: Wind1984-10-20: Wind1986-03-12: Wind1986-08-27: Wind1986-08-27: Wind1986-08-27: Wind1986-08-27: Wind1988-12-27: Wind1989-04-03: Wind1989-06-12: Wind1989-06-12: Wind1989-05-20: Wind1990-06-09: Wind1990-06-22: Wind1991-06-21: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1991-03-27: Wind1991-03-27: Wind1992-06-10: Wind1992-03-18: Wind1992-07-04: Wind1992-07-05: Wind1992-07-14: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-07-22: Wind1996-07-22: Wind1996-05-28: Wind1996-05-06: Wind1996-11-07: Wind1996-10-17: Wind1996-03-06: Wind1996-03-06: Wind1997-07-14: Wind1997-07-28: Wind1997-04-30: Wind1997-06-27: Wind1998-04-03: Wind1998-04-08: Wind1998-06-21: Wind1998-03-19: Wind1998-06-05: Wind1998-05-07: Wind1999-02-07: Wind1999-01-22: Wind1999-01-22: Wind1999-03-05: Wind1999-05-05: Wind1999-05-05: Wind2000-02-18: Wind2000-06-26: Wind2000-06-26: Wind2000-11-08: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-08-10: Wind2000-08-10: Wind2001-11-24: Wind2001-11-26: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-06-03: Wind2001-06-04: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-07-10: Wind2002-07-02: Wind2002-07-23: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2003-04-20: Wind2003-06-11: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2005-11-15: Wind2005-09-25: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-06-18: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2007-11-13: Wind2007-06-26: Wind2007-04-13: Wind2007-06-25: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-08-18: Wind2007-08-18: Wind
Fayette County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 553 events for Fayette County, Tennessee, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 78.5 events per 100 square miles, below the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 129.1 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

29 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 15 deaths and 108 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 26 claims since 1978, of which 20 were paid, totalling $830K (about $42K per paid claim). FEMA counts 75 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($30M a year across 18 hazards).

12 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

29events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
553events since 195015 deaths, 108 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
26NFIP flood claims$830K paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureFayette CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195055346,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles78.5112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents129.166.459.6
Events in the last 12 months291,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI1580426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.0M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.62.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$42K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.720.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Tornado: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 4Tornado: 3Wind: 16
Hail: 34Tornado: 7Flood: 8Wind: 53Winter: 3
Hail: 26Tornado: 3Flood: 11Wind: 51Winter: 13Tropical: 1Heat: 1Cold: 2Drought: 6Lightning: 3
Hail: 17Tornado: 1Flood: 12Wind: 28Winter: 24Heat: 29Drought: 9Lightning: 1
Hail: 26Tornado: 4Flood: 1Wind: 41Winter: 14Heat: 71Cold: 9Drought: 6
41950s51960s61970s231980s1051990s1172000s1212010s1722020s
Recorded events in Fayette County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightning NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 340 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 181 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind196
Hail110
Heat101
Winter54
Flood32
Tornado23
Drought21
Cold11
Lightning4
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind196—0.9%detail
■ Hail110—1.5%detail
■ Heat101—4.5%
■ Winter54—0.9%detail
■ Flood32—0.7%detail
■ Tornado23131.3%detail
■ Drought21—1.1%
■ Cold1111.9%
■ Lightning410.8%
■ Tropical1—1.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 Mar 1952TornadoTornadoF4$250K—750County
19 Jan 1988TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—324County
3 Apr 2025TornadoTornadoEF2$100K—23County
5 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF3$100K—1—County
14 Jul 2018LightningLightning———1—County
1 Feb 2026Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
24 May 1971TornadoTornadoF2$250K——22County
2 Apr 2006TornadoTornadoF1$200K——2County
26 Nov 2001Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K——2County
22 Jul 2003Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$1.0M——1County
27 Nov 1973TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
27 Apr 2013TornadoTornadoEF1$100K——1County
8 Nov 2000Thunderstorm WindWind—$40K——1County
20 Jul 2000Thunderstorm WindWind—$5K——1County
14 Jun 2009Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
10 Nov 1998TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
1 May 2010Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$250K———County
1 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
27 Apr 2011FloodFlood—$250K———County
25 Jun 2023Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Jun 2025DR-4878Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Sep 2023DR-4735Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
17 Aug 2023DR-4729Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
11 Mar 2022DR-4645Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
23 Jun 2017DR-4320Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Apr 2014DR-4171Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
1 May 2011DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated FloodingPublic assistance
4 May 2010DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jul 2009DR-1851Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Feb 2008DR-1745Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Apr 2006DR-1634Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
29 Jul 2003DR-1482Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, And Heavy RainIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
19 Jan 1999DR-1262Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And High WindsIndividual assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Fayette County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197826
Paid claims20
Total paid$830K
Average paid claim$42K
Repetitive-loss properties51 severe
Residential policies in force750.4% of 18,319 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202311$350,000$350,000
201811$25,117$25,117
201621$150,829$150,829
201511$50,527$50,527
201422$76,950$38,475
201220$0—
201132$24,059$12,029
201033$80,828$26,943
200211$12,600$12,600
200111$2,512$2,512
199911$4,423$4,423
199822$23,030$11,515
199722$28,071$14,035
199610$0—
199111$1,137$1,137
198610$0—
198411$48$48

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 76.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$30MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$12,898,812
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,829,305
TornadoRelatively Moderate$5,727,342
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,234,654
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,449,120
LightningRelatively Moderate$505,203
Strong windRelatively Low$347,477
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$305,053
DroughtRelatively Low$208,624
HailVery Low$79,614
WildfireVery Low$77,796
HurricaneVery Low$61,940
Winter weatherVery Low$8,623
LandslideRelatively Low$4,345

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles12
Tracks within 50 miles7
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Olga201970 mi46 mph
Katrina200589 mi46 mph
Camille196948 mi40 mph
Audrey195742 mi40 mph
Baker195049 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193469 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192324 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191697 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190644 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188848 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188186 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186039 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Fayette County, TN?

NCEI records 110 hail events in Fayette County since 1950, in 36 different years; that is about 1.4 recorded events a year. 18 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Fayette County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 23 tornadoes in Fayette County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 13.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Fayette County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Fayette County, and how much was paid?

26 NFIP claims since 1978, 20 of them paid, for $830K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Fayette County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Fayette County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

78.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 0.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.