County Hazards

Storm events on record through

Shelby County, Tennessee Storm events, disaster declarations and flood insurance claims on record

This page is a county record of past events and claims. It does not show the flood zone or the risk of an address. For the flood map of an address, use FEMA's address search (opens in a new tab).

NCEI has 1,466 storm events on record for Shelby County, Tennessee, from 1950 through 30 Jun 2026.

The newest event on record is a heat event on 30 Jun 2026.

FEMA has 28 disaster declarations on record for the county from 1964 through 1 Oct 2026. The newest is DR-4898 of 6 Feb 2026.

OpenFEMA has 1,019 NFIP claims on record for the county from 1978 through 8 Sep 2026. The NFIP paid $25 million on these claims.

The NWS collects event reports from a variety of sources, which include (but are not limited to): county, state, and federal emergency management officials, local law enforcement officials, SKYWARN spotters, NWS damage surveys, newspaper clipping services, the insurance industry, and the general public, among others.

The National Weather Service reports property and crop damage estimates using available data at the time of event reporting. These values should therefore be considered broad estimates. Damage amounts are not adjusted for inflation.

Zone (NWS Forecast Zone): A zone is a geographic area defined by the NWS for issuing forecasts, watches, and warnings. While zones often align with counties, they can also represent smaller or subdivided areas within a county to account for differences in weather conditions, such as elevation or proximity to water. Larger-scale events—such as heat, cold, drought, and winter storms—are typically recorded by zone.

The words of the agency. Source: NOAA NCEI, Storm Events Database, page "Frequently Asked Questions", copied on .

This is raw, unedited data from FEMA's National Emergency Management Information System (NEMIS) and as such is subject to a small percentage of human error.

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset "Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2", copied on . The page gives: last data refresh 2026-10-01.

It is derived from the National Flood Insurance Program system of record, staged in the program's reporting platform and redacted to protect policy holder personally identifiable information.

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset "NFIP Redacted Claims - v3", copied on . The page gives: last data refresh 2026-09-09.

Dates of the data: NCEI storm events through . OpenFEMA disaster declarations through . NFIP claims through .

Since the last update: no change is on record for Shelby County. The site compares the agency data at each update. Updates of the data

The five hazards

Storm events on record for Shelby County by hazard and period (NCEI, through 30 Jun 2026)
Hazard1950 to 20262000 to 20092010 to 20192020 to 2026Newest event
Hail312848649
Tornado56730
Flood227767765
Wind60497158122
Winter61143015
Other event types206Heat, cold, drought, wildfire, lightning, fog, tropical and other types
All storm events1,466303430350

A hazard name opens the page of that hazard for the county. A hazard has a page from 10 events. The year 2026 has the events through 30 Jun 2026 only.

Forecast zones with the name of the county give 271 of the 1,466 events. A county count has the events that NCEI gives to the county. It also has the events of a forecast zone that has the name of the county. A zone with another name counts for the state only.

Rates of Shelby County beside the total of the counties of Tennessee and of the United States
MeasureShelbyAll counties of TennesseeAll counties of the United States
Storm events for each 100 square miles, 1950 to 2026192.8108.949.3
Storm events for each 10,000 residents, 1950 to 202615.964.452.5
NFIP claims for each 1,000 policies in force, 2016 to 202566.7215.6185.3

The columns for the state and the United States total the counties. They count the events of each county in the same way as the county column. The site gives a rate for each 10,000 residents only from 10,000 residents. Residents and area: Census Bureau, 2021.

Newest storm events on record

Heat

On record for the forecast zone

Heat

On record for the forecast zone

Flash Flood

1 mile NNE of BARTLETT

Flash Flood

1 mile NNW of LENOW

Flash Flood

2 miles S of CORDOVA

Flash Flood

At SHELBY FARMS

Flash Flood

1 mile NNW of MEMPHIS

Flash Flood

1 mile NE of MEMPHIS

Flash Flood

1 mile NE of AULON

Flash Flood

1 mile ENE of AULON

Flash Flood

1 mile NNE of SHELBY CENTER

Flash Flood

3 miles SSE of BRUNSWICK

Flash Flood

1 mile N of EAST JCT. Damage estimate: $1 thousand

Hail0.75 in, penny size

1 mile E of SHELBY FARMS

Flash Flood

At SHELBY FARMS

Flash Flood

1 mile NNW of MALLORY

Thunderstorm Wind58 mph (50 knots, estimated gust)

2 miles ESE of WHITE STATION. Damage estimate: $3 thousand

Thunderstorm Wind58 mph (50 knots, estimated gust)

At MILLINGTON. Damage estimate: $5 thousand

Hail1.00 in, quarter size

1 mile S of PISGAH

Hail1.00 in, quarter size

1 mile WNW of ELLENDALE

Drought

On record for the forecast zone

Thunderstorm Wind58 mph (50 knots, estimated gust)

1 mile SW of BINGHAMTON. Damage estimate: $5 thousand

Thunderstorm Wind58 mph (50 knots, estimated gust)

1 mile S of NATIONAL CEMETERY. Damage estimate: $1 thousand

Thunderstorm Wind58 mph (50 knots, estimated gust)

2 miles NE of EAST ACRES. Damage estimate: $10 thousand

Cold/Wind Chill

On record for the forecast zone

The 25 events above are the newest in the NCEI record. A place is the text of the NCEI record: a distance and a direction from a reference place. Wind speed is in miles per hour, with the knots that NCEI gives. The site does not show a place text that names a private property or reads as a person. Download these events (CSV)

Storm events on record for Shelby County by year, 1950 to 2026
DecadeYear that ends in 0Year that ends in 1Year that ends in 2Year that ends in 3Year that ends in 4Year that ends in 5Year that ends in 6Year that ends in 7Year that ends in 8Year that ends in 9All
1950s100001424214
1960s1313842119648
1970s199312125846785
1980s728314610491679
1990s510712161826142524157
2000s12233525221928395446303
2010s90653814193039554139430
2020s233236104418430 (part of the year)350

A darker cell has a larger count. The number is in each cell.

NCEI recorded tornado events from 1950, and hail and thunderstorm wind events from 1955. It recorded all event types from 1996. A count before 1996 has fewer event types.

FEMA disaster declarations

FEMA has 28 disaster declarations on record for Shelby County from 1964 through 1 Oct 2026. The newest is DR-4898: SEVERE WINTER STORM.

Disaster declarations that name Shelby County (OpenFEMA, through 1 Oct 2026)
DeclaredNumberTypeIncident typeTitle in the FEMA recordAssistance
DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSEVERE WINTER STORMIndividual, Public
EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSEVERE WINTER STORMPublic
DR-4878Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGPublic
EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGPublic
DR-4735Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSPublic
DR-4729Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSPublic
DR-4691Major disasterWinter StormSEVERE WINTER STORMPublic
DR-4645Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE WINTER STORMPublic
DR-4594Major disasterSevere Ice StormSEVERE WINTER STORMSPublic
DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCOVID-19 PANDEMICIndividual, Public
EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCOVID-19Public
DR-4320Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGPublic
DR-4171Major disasterSevere Ice StormSEVERE WINTER STORMPublic
DR-1979Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGIndividual, Public
DR-1978Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDSPublic
EM-3321EmergencyFloodFLOODINGPublic
DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODINGPublic
DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOESIndividual, Public
DR-1851Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGPublic
DR-1745Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODINGIndividual, Public
EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATIONPublic
DR-1482Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINIndividual, Public
DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODINGIndividual
DR-1387Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGIndividual
DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODINGIndividual
DR-1167Major disasterTornadoHEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDSIndividual, Public
DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODINGPublic
DR-382Major disasterFloodSEVERE STORMS & FLOODINGIndividual, Public

DR is a major disaster declaration. EM is an emergency declaration. FM is a fire management assistance declaration. A declaration for the whole state is on the Tennessee page. What a disaster declaration is

The dataset includes declared recovery programs and geographic areas (county not available before 1964; Fire Management records are considered partial due to historical nature of the dataset).

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset "Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2", copied on . The page gives: last data refresh 2026-10-01.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

OpenFEMA has 1,019 NFIP claims on record for Shelby County from 1978 through 8 Sep 2026.

The NFIP paid $25,097,240 on 781 claims.

The county has 66.7 NFIP claims for each 1,000 policies in force. The rate uses 132 claims with a year of loss from 2016 to 2025. FEMA counts 1,978 residential policies in force on 3 Aug 2026. The claims have every type of building. FEMA counts residential policies only.

NFIP claims in Shelby County by year of loss, 1978 to 2026
DecadeYear that ends in 0Year that ends in 1Year that ends in 2Year that ends in 3Year that ends in 4Year that ends in 5Year that ends in 6Year that ends in 7Year that ends in 8Year that ends in 9All
1970s18101119
1980s3572720146352185187
1990s75331436111576
2000s050161014820936145
2010s12174922119102061238431
2020s693133225 (part of the year)61

A darker cell has a larger count. The number is in each cell.

NFIP claims by year of loss with the amount paid: 47 years
NFIP claims in Shelby County by year of loss, with the amount paid (OpenFEMA, through 8 Sep 2026)
Year of lossClaimsClaims with a paymentAmount paid
20265not shownnot shown
20252217$357,256
20243not shownnot shown
20231313$1,253,377
20223not shownnot shown
20219not shownnot shown
20206not shownnot shown
20193834$2,614,772
2018126$180,401
20176not shownnot shown
20162016$382,580
201510not shownnot shown
2014119100$3,794,539
20132219$1,379,878
20129not shownnot shown
20117447$2,463,573
2010121111$7,225,566
20093621$1,108,189
200897$202,947
20062not shownnot shown
200585$154,659
20041411$186,233
2003108$162,880
20021610$189,006
20015046$475,888
19995not shownnot shown
19981not shownnot shown
1997118$138,700
19963632$412,290
19954not shownnot shown
19941not shownnot shown
19933not shownnot shown
19923not shownnot shown
19915not shownnot shown
19907not shownnot shown
19895not shownnot shown
1988188$47,565
19875248$655,356
19863not shownnot shown
198560$0
1984146$12,256
19832014$65,616
19822722$71,195
19817not shownnot shown
19803524$71,577
197910184$475,339
19781812$34,260

A year with fewer than 5 claims shows the count of claims and no amount. A year with 1 to 4 claims with a payment shows no amount either. Such an amount could point to one property. The amount is the sum of the building, contents and increased cost of compliance payments. FEMA counts 95 multiple-loss properties in the county (2 Aug 2026). How FEMA redacts NFIP claims

This dataset is not intended to be an official federal report, and should not be considered an official federal report.

Note, the County Code field may not reflect the individual county the property is located as projects can be associated with more than one county

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset "NFIP Redacted Claims - v3", copied on . The page gives: last data refresh 2026-09-09.

FEMA cannot verify the quality and/or timeliness of any data or any analysis derived therefrom after the data has been retrieved from FEMA.gov.

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, OpenFEMA Terms and Conditions, copied on . The page gives: last updated 2025-01-22.

National Risk Index

Risk Index rating
Relatively High
Risk Index score
99.4 of 100
Expected Annual Loss rating
Relatively High
Expected Annual Loss
$555 million
Social Vulnerability rating
Relatively High
Community Resilience rating
Relatively Moderate
National Risk Index of Shelby County by hazard type (FEMA, December 2025 release)
Hazard typeRisk Index ratingExpected Annual Loss
Cold waveVery High$62,241,832
DroughtRelatively Low$39,451
EarthquakeRelatively High$215,183,553
HailVery Low$32,923
Heat waveRelatively High$48,569,914
HurricaneRelatively Low$349,654
Ice stormRelatively High$818,435
Inland floodingRelatively High$153,711,620
LandslideRelatively Moderate$62,987
LightningRelatively High$1,713,240
Strong windRelatively High$1,397,673
TornadoVery High$70,123,556
WildfireRelatively Low$145,014
Winter weatherRelatively High$289,893

The National Risk Index dataset leverages available source data for natural hazard and community risk factors to develop a baseline relative risk measurement for each United States county and Census tract.

The rating is a qualitative categorization that describes the community in comparison to all other communities at the same level, ranging from “Very Low” to “Very High.”

The National Risk Index data are meant for planning purposes only.

The words of the agency. Source: FEMA, National Risk Index Data: Frequently Asked Questions (December 2025, v1.20), copied on .

The labels and the ratings are those of FEMA. Expected Annual Loss is a figure for a whole county. It is not a figure for a property. How to read the National Risk Index

Tropical storm and hurricane tracks

The HURDAT2 record of the National Hurricane Center has 14 tracks within 100 miles of the centre point of the county, through the 2025 season. 0 of them were within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

Storm names, years and distances: 14 tracks
Tropical storm and hurricane tracks within 100 miles of the centre point of Shelby County (NHC HURDAT2)
Storm nameYearNearest point of the trackHighest wind within 100 miles
Olga201978 miles46 mph
Camille196934 miles40 mph
Audrey195761 miles40 mph
Baker195073 miles40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194188 miles40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193474 miles40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192392 miles52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192345 miles40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1916100 miles46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190980 miles46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190633 miles46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188829 miles63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188196 miles46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186056 miles46 mph

A name is the storm name that the National Hurricane Center gave. The distance is from the centre line of the track. It does not show how far the wind, the rain or the surge of a storm went.

ZIP Codes, cities and towns of Shelby County

Each ZIP Code below has a page with its NFIP claims by year. 10 more ZIP Codes have fewer than 5 claims and no page.

A city or town has no page of its own. This page is the record for the whole county, which has these places:

  • Arlington
  • Bartlett
  • Collierville
  • Germantown
  • Lakeland
  • Memphis
  • Millington

Official channels

These links open the pages of the agencies. The site checked the links on .

Cite this page

County Hazards. "Shelby County, Tennessee: storm events, disaster declarations and flood insurance claims on record". https://countyhazards.com/county/tn/shelby/. Data: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database through 30 Jun 2026; FEMA OpenFEMA disaster declarations through 1 Oct 2026; FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP claims through 8 Sep 2026. Page made on .

Where the data comes from

  • Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026.
  • Disaster declarations: OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, read on 1 Oct 2026.
  • NFIP claims: OpenFEMA NFIP Claims, as of 8 Sep 2026. Multiple-loss properties: 2 Aug 2026. Policies in force: 3 Aug 2026.
  • National Risk Index: FEMA, December 2025 release. Storm tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through the 2025 season.
  • Residents, area, places and adjacent counties: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage.

How the counts are made · Corrections · Hazards in all states: hail, tornado, flood, wind, winter

Questions

How many tornado events are on record for Shelby County?
NCEI has 56 tornado events on record for Shelby County from 1950 through 30 Jun 2026. 18 events have a rating of EF2 or F2, or a higher rating.
How large is the hail on record for Shelby County?
NCEI has 312 hail events on record from 1955 through 30 Jun 2026. 60 events have a hail size of 1.75 inches or more. NCEI names 1.75 inches a golf ball.
Which month has the most storm events on record for Shelby County?
July has 229 of the 1,466 storm events on record from 1950 through 30 Jun 2026.
How many NFIP claims are there for each 1,000 policies in force in Shelby County?
The county has 66.7 NFIP claims for each 1,000 policies in force. The rate uses 132 claims with a year of loss from 2016 to 2025. FEMA counts 1,978 residential policies in force on 3 Aug 2026. The claims have every type of building. FEMA counts residential policies only.