County Hazards

States › Texas › Aransas County

Aransas County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48007 · 24,510 residents (2021) · 252 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 21Tornado · 15Flood · 70Wind · 43Winter · 3
1986-05-17: Hail1986-03-13: Hail1998-01-31: Hail1998-01-31: Hail1998-03-07: Hail2000-03-18: Hail2000-03-18: Hail2007-03-13: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2012-05-15: Hail2012-05-15: Hail2012-12-04: Hail2017-05-23: Hail2017-06-05: Hail2017-06-05: Hail2017-06-05: Hail2019-05-09: Hail1967-09-20: Tornado1968-05-11: Tornado1973-06-13: Tornado1973-04-15: Tornado1978-09-11: Tornado1999-08-22: Tornado2007-09-11: Tornado2009-08-30: Tornado2010-06-02: Tornado2010-07-01: Tornado2010-06-30: Tornado2012-05-10: Tornado2018-03-29: Tornado2024-06-19: Tornado2024-06-19: Tornado2005-03-06: Flood2005-09-11: Flood2007-07-04: Flood2009-11-19: Flood2010-01-15: Flood2010-09-20: Flood2010-09-19: Flood2013-09-29: Flood2015-03-21: Flood2015-09-11: Flood2015-05-22: Flood2015-06-17: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2016-05-16: Flood2016-05-16: Flood2017-06-27: Flood2018-06-20: Flood2018-09-14: Flood2019-05-10: Flood2020-06-01: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-05-16: Flood2021-05-16: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2021-07-08: Flood2021-07-06: Flood2021-07-08: Flood2021-07-08: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2021-05-19: Flood2021-05-19: Flood2022-08-29: Flood2023-05-10: Flood2024-06-19: Flood2024-06-19: Flood2025-05-28: Flood2025-11-23: Flood2026-06-21: Flood2026-06-21: Flood2026-06-21: Flood2026-06-16: Flood2026-06-16: Flood2026-06-16: Flood1956-08-20: Wind1968-05-10: Wind1980-05-13: Wind1981-10-31: Wind1983-03-23: Wind1985-05-20: Wind1985-05-20: Wind1986-05-17: Wind1986-08-21: Wind1986-08-21: Wind1991-06-29: Wind1998-01-31: Wind1998-10-06: Wind1999-05-12: Wind1999-05-18: Wind1999-05-18: Wind2000-03-14: Wind2002-09-19: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2007-03-13: Wind2009-10-25: Wind2010-06-02: Wind2011-01-09: Wind2012-05-10: Wind2012-05-10: Wind2012-12-04: Wind2015-05-24: Wind2015-04-17: Wind2016-06-02: Wind2016-03-09: Wind2017-05-23: Wind2017-02-14: Wind2017-06-04: Wind2018-04-14: Wind2020-04-29: Wind2021-11-03: Wind2022-05-25: Wind2026-02-14: Wind2026-05-11: Wind
Aransas County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 233 events for Aransas County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; floods and flash floods account for the largest share.

That is 92.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 95.1 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 68 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $2.0B and crop damage at $105K.

FEMA has designated the county in 31 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Beryl (major disaster, 9 Jul 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 4,128 claims since 1978, of which 2,113 were paid, totalling $64M (about $30K per paid claim). FEMA counts 3,808 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($15M a year across 18 hazards).

65 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 16 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
233events since 19502 deaths, 68 injuries recorded
31disaster declarationslast 9 Jul 2024
4,128NFIP flood claims$64M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureAransas CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950233165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles92.463.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents95.156.059.6
Events in the last 12 months104,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI22,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$2.0B$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents168.413.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$30K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years72.624.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Tornado: 3
Hail: 2Wind: 8
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Flood: 10Wind: 6
Hail: 7Tornado: 2Flood: 15Wind: 9Winter: 1Tropical: 3Drought: 28Wildfire: 6Fog: 1
Hail: 8Tornado: 5Flood: 17Wind: 13Winter: 2Tropical: 6Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 23Lightning: 2Other: 5
Tornado: 2Flood: 28Wind: 5Other: 5
11950s31960s31970s101980s211990s722000s832010s402020s
Recorded events in Aransas County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 163 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 50 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood70
Drought51
Wind43
Hail21
Tornado15
Other10
Tropical9
Wildfire6
Winter3
Lightning2
Heat1
Cold1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood70—0.4%detail
■ Drought51—0.3%
■ Wind43—0.1%detail
■ Hail21—0.0%detail
■ Tornado15—0.1%detail
■ Other10—0.5%
■ Tropical921.6%
■ Wildfire6—0.4%
■ Winter3—0.0%
■ Lightning2—0.2%
■ Heat1—0.0%
■ Cold1—0.0%
■ Fog1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
25 Aug 2017Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$1.8B—264Forecast zone
25 Aug 2017Storm Surge/TideTropical—$200M———Forecast zone
20 Sep 1967TornadoTornadoF3$250K——3County
11 Jul 2010HeatHeat————1Forecast zone
5 Jul 2006Flash FloodFlood—$1.5M———County
7 Jul 2021Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
9 Jan 2011Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$400K———County
2 Jun 2010TornadoTornadoEF2$250K———County
10 May 2012Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$250K———County
16 May 2016Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
5 Jun 2017HailHail2.50 in$250K———County
12 Sep 2008Storm Surge/TideTropical—$235K———Forecast zone
5 Apr 2009WildfireWildfire—$200K———Forecast zone
8 May 2004Flash FloodFlood—$127K———County
10 May 2012Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$100K———County
17 Jun 2015Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
17 Apr 2015Thunderstorm WindWind64 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
9 Jul 2024DR-4798Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BerylPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Aug 2020EM-3540EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storms Marco And LauraPublic assistance
26 Jul 2020EM-3530EmergencyHurricaneHurricane HannaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Aug 2017DR-4332Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HarveyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Jun 2010EM-3313EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm AlexPublic assistance
5 Apr 2009FM-2803Fire management assistanceFireHoliday Beach FirePublic assistance
13 Sep 2008DR-1791Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
29 Aug 2008EM-3290EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
24 Jul 2008DR-1780Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DollyPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
18 Aug 2007EM-3277EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DeanPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Jul 2003DR-1479Major disasterHurricaneHurricane ClaudetteIndividual assistance
5 Nov 2002DR-1439Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
22 Aug 1999DR-1287Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BretIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
26 Dec 1991DR-930Major disasterFloodSevere ThunderstormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Aug 1980DR-627Major disasterHurricaneHurricane AllenIndividual assistance, Public assistance
25 Sep 1979DR-603Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1971DR-313Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, High Winds & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Aug 1970DR-292Major disasterHurricaneHurricane CeliaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jul 1968DR-246Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, High Winds & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 1967DR-232Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BeulahIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Aransas County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19784,128
Paid claims2,113
Total paid$64M
Average paid claim$30K
Repetitive-loss properties11312 severe
Residential policies in force3,80825.5% of 14,941 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202675$77,433$15,487
20244533$647,890$19,633
202332$56,874$28,437
202211$3,225$3,225
2021152123$5,766,394$46,881
2020209$101,208$11,245
201922$36,556$18,278
20183724$393,117$16,380
20172,4991,027$50,160,352$48,842
20163418$599,646$33,314
20154834$352,847$10,378
201430$0—
201310$0—
201295$83,185$16,637
201140$0—
20103317$186,670$10,981
20093621$420,510$20,024
20085831$455,399$14,690
2007135$17,293$3,459
20064639$822,438$21,088
200562$5,307$2,653
20045036$500,467$13,902
2003146$36,119$6,020
20023017$137,414$8,083
200165$24,582$4,916

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 61.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$15MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$6,514,779
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,684,173
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,511,591
TornadoRelatively Low$1,156,652
Coastal floodingRelatively Moderate$647,417
Heat waveRelatively Low$379,379
Strong windRelatively Low$105,637
LightningRelatively Low$78,657
WildfireVery Low$65,960
HailVery Low$49,337
Ice stormRelatively Low$21,564
Winter weatherVery Low$9,972
EarthquakeVery Low$5,730
DroughtVery Low$1,108
LandslideVery Low$1

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles65
Tracks within 50 miles28
Hurricane strength within 50 miles16
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Beryl202465 mi92 mph
Harold202375 mi58 mph
Nicholas202148 mi75 mph
Hanna202085 mi92 mph
Beta202039 mi52 mph
Imelda201995 mi40 mph
Harvey20179 mi132 mph
Bill201517 mi58 mph
Don201178 mi40 mph
Hermine201075 mi52 mph
Erin200779 mi40 mph
Claudette200333 mi92 mph
Fay200248 mi58 mph
Bret199989 mi115 mph
Charley199824 mi69 mph
Frances19987 mi63 mph
Arlene199375 mi40 mph
Allison198971 mi46 mph
Danielle198091 mi40 mph
Elena197976 mi40 mph
Amelia197876 mi46 mph
Delia197359 mi58 mph
Fern19719 mi69 mph
Celia197024 mi138 mph
Candy196819 mi69 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Aransas County, TX?

NCEI records 21 hail events in Aransas County since 1950, in 11 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 4 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Aransas County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 15 tornadoes in Aransas County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Aransas County?

9 Jul 2024: Hurricane Beryl, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 31 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Aransas County, and how much was paid?

4,128 NFIP claims since 1978, 2,113 of them paid, for $64M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Aransas County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Aransas County compare with the rest of Texas?

92.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 168.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.