County Hazards

States › Texas › Clay County

Clay County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48077 · 10,263 residents (2021) · 1,089 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 450Tornado · 43Flood · 25Wind · 153Winter · 26
2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-25: Hail2026-04-25: Hail2026-04-15: Hail2025-11-19: Hail2025-11-19: Hail2025-10-23: Hail2025-06-03: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-04-29: Hail2025-04-19: Hail2025-04-18: Hail2025-04-05: Hail2025-04-05: Hail2024-05-28: Hail2024-05-28: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-03: Hail2024-05-03: Hail2024-03-24: Hail2024-03-24: Hail2024-03-24: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-05-18: Hail2021-11-10: Hail2021-05-16: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2020-04-28: Hail2019-05-29: Hail2018-03-26: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2018-03-25: Hail2017-09-16: Hail2017-09-16: Hail2017-05-22: Hail2017-05-22: Hail2017-05-19: Hail2017-05-19: Hail2017-05-19: Hail2017-05-18: Hail2016-07-03: Hail2016-05-23: Hail2016-04-11: Hail2016-04-11: Hail2016-04-11: Hail2016-04-11: Hail2016-04-11: Hail2015-05-27: Hail2015-05-26: Hail2015-05-26: Hail2015-05-26: Hail2015-05-19: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2014-07-23: Hail2014-05-07: Hail2014-05-07: Hail2014-05-07: Hail2014-05-07: Hail2014-05-07: Hail2014-04-13: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-05-15: Hail2013-04-09: Hail2013-04-09: Hail2013-04-09: Hail2013-04-09: Hail2013-04-09: Hail2013-03-29: Hail2013-03-29: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-06-11: Hail2012-05-04: Hail2012-05-04: Hail2012-05-04: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-02-03: Hail2011-09-17: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2010-05-13: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-08-05: Hail1954-05-01: Tornado1955-04-06: Tornado1955-04-05: Tornado1956-08-08: Tornado1958-04-02: Tornado1964-04-03: Tornado1967-05-20: Tornado1968-05-16: Tornado1970-09-27: Tornado1972-08-08: Tornado1972-08-13: Tornado1979-04-10: Tornado1986-05-14: Tornado1990-05-27: Tornado1990-05-27: Tornado1993-05-08: Tornado1993-05-08: Tornado1995-04-19: Tornado1997-06-16: Tornado1997-05-08: Tornado1997-05-08: Tornado1998-04-26: Tornado2000-07-12: Tornado2001-05-30: Tornado2004-04-30: Tornado2006-04-24: Tornado2007-08-18: Tornado2015-05-19: Tornado2015-05-19: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2019-04-30: Tornado2020-05-22: Tornado2020-05-22: Tornado2023-06-15: Tornado2023-05-04: Tornado2024-11-03: Tornado2024-05-25: Tornado2024-05-25: Tornado2026-04-25: Tornado2026-04-25: Tornado2026-04-25: Tornado2026-04-25: Tornado2005-08-16: Flood2005-08-16: Flood2006-10-17: Flood2007-06-26: Flood2007-06-26: Flood2007-06-26: Flood2007-09-09: Flood2008-08-19: Flood2008-08-19: Flood2016-06-01: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2025-04-29: Flood1955-04-05: Wind1965-05-27: Wind1969-08-22: Wind1975-05-10: Wind1976-04-15: Wind1981-04-30: Wind1982-06-27: Wind1982-06-27: Wind1982-06-02: Wind1983-06-05: Wind1983-10-03: Wind1984-09-08: Wind1984-09-08: Wind1984-09-08: Wind1986-05-14: Wind1986-05-14: Wind1987-08-13: Wind1989-05-04: Wind1990-03-14: Wind1992-06-05: Wind1992-09-20: Wind1992-06-20: Wind1992-06-23: Wind1996-08-11: Wind1997-07-15: Wind1997-06-16: Wind1997-06-16: Wind1997-07-15: Wind1997-06-16: Wind1997-05-08: Wind1997-03-29: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1998-07-13: Wind1998-07-13: Wind1998-03-30: Wind1998-03-30: Wind1998-06-09: Wind1998-04-26: Wind1998-06-11: Wind1998-06-09: Wind1998-06-09: Wind1998-06-09: Wind1998-06-09: Wind1998-05-08: Wind1999-06-06: Wind1999-06-19: Wind1999-06-19: Wind2000-03-07: Wind2000-03-07: Wind2000-04-30: Wind2000-09-11: Wind2001-05-18: Wind2001-05-27: Wind2002-04-07: Wind2002-06-15: Wind2002-08-27: Wind2003-08-09: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-06-12: Wind2004-06-02: Wind2004-07-03: Wind2004-07-03: Wind2004-12-06: Wind2005-07-14: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2006-03-30: Wind2006-05-10: Wind2006-05-10: Wind2007-03-30: Wind2007-06-01: Wind2007-05-08: Wind2007-06-20: Wind2008-05-07: Wind2009-06-13: Wind
Clay County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 865 storm events in Clay County, Texas, led by hail.

That is 79.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 842.8 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

32 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 44 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $7.9M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 17 May 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 48 claims since 1978, of which 40 were paid, totalling $1.7M (about $42K per paid claim). FEMA counts 38 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($5.7M a year across 18 hazards).

2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

32events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
865events since 19501 death, 44 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 17 May 2024
48NFIP flood claims$1.7M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureClay CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950865165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles79.463.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents842.856.059.6
Events in the last 12 months324,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI12,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$7.9M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.713.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$42K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years10.524.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 5Wind: 1
Hail: 6Tornado: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 5Tornado: 4Wind: 3
Hail: 31Tornado: 1Wind: 13
Hail: 145Tornado: 10Flood: 4Wind: 65Winter: 5Lightning: 1Fog: 1
Hail: 144Tornado: 5Flood: 14Wind: 37Winter: 12Heat: 1Drought: 14Wildfire: 1Fog: 3Other: 1
Hail: 64Tornado: 4Flood: 6Wind: 24Winter: 7Drought: 57Wildfire: 1
Hail: 53Tornado: 11Flood: 1Wind: 8Winter: 2Heat: 54Cold: 6Drought: 24Wildfire: 4
81950s111960s121970s451980s2311990s2322000s1632010s1632020s
Recorded events in Clay County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 386 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 409 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail450
Wind153
Drought95
Heat55
Tornado43
Winter26
Flood25
Cold6
Wildfire6
Fog4
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail450—0.8%detail
■ Wind15310.4%detail
■ Drought95—0.5%
■ Heat55—0.8%
■ Tornado43—0.4%detail
■ Winter26—0.3%detail
■ Flood25—0.2%detail
■ Cold6—0.3%
■ Wildfire6—0.4%
■ Fog4—1.4%
■ Lightning1—0.1%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
4 May 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
10 Apr 1979TornadoTornadoF4———40County
17 Aug 1997Thunderstorm WindWind—$2.3M——2County
26 Apr 1998TornadoTornadoF1$50K——2County
14 May 1986TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M———County
8 May 1993TornadoTornadoF1$500K———County
21 Apr 1996HailHail1.75 in$380K———County
10 May 2006Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$300K———County
6 Apr 1955TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
2 Apr 1958TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
27 May 2000HailHail1.75 in$250K———County
16 Jun 1997TornadoTornadoF1$150K———County
30 Apr 2004HailHail0.88 in$150K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
17 May 2024DR-4781Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Sep 2011DR-4029Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
1 Jul 2011DR-1999Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
20 Jun 2011FM-2928Fire management assistanceFireMcdonald 2 FirePublic assistance
21 Apr 2011FM-2899Fire management assistanceFire148/2332 FirePublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
2 May 1990DR-863Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 May 1989DR-828Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Apr 1979DR-575Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms & TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Clay County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197848
Paid claims40
Total paid$1.7M
Average paid claim$42K
Repetitive-loss properties30 severe
Residential policies in force380.8% of 4,991 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202521$3,668$3,668
201922$151,238$75,619
201655$333,969$66,794
201532$264,436$132,218
200775$229,862$45,972
200411$815$815
200351$4,629$4,629
19901515$542,036$36,136
198911$27,119$27,119
198522$39,782$19,891
198222$18,665$9,332
198122$62,693$31,347
197911$762$762

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 14.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$5.7MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$1,686,730
TornadoRelatively Low$1,304,083
WildfireRelatively Low$978,506
DroughtRelatively Moderate$476,612
Strong windRelatively Low$317,017
HailRelatively Low$292,974
Heat waveRelatively Low$289,679
Cold waveVery Low$197,692
Ice stormRelatively Low$47,738
EarthquakeVery Low$45,367
Winter weatherVery Low$16,287
LightningVery Low$13,947
HurricaneVery Low$11,347
LandslideVery Low$276

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles2
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Carla196177 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190036 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Clay County, TX?

NCEI records 450 hail events in Clay County since 1950, in 53 different years; that is about 5.8 recorded events a year. 112 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Clay County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 43 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Clay County?

17 May 2024: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Clay County, and how much was paid?

48 NFIP claims since 1978, 40 of them paid, for $1.7M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Clay County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Clay County compare with the rest of Texas?

79.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 4.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.