County Hazards

States › Texas › Grayson County

Grayson County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48181 · 139,336 residents (2021) · 933 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 486Tornado · 72Flood · 118Wind · 401Winter · 56
2026-05-10: Hail2026-05-10: Hail2026-05-10: Hail2026-05-09: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-26: Hail2026-04-15: Hail2025-09-23: Hail2025-09-23: Hail2025-09-23: Hail2025-09-23: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-09-21: Hail2025-06-08: Hail2025-06-07: Hail2025-05-30: Hail2025-05-30: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-05-19: Hail2025-04-03: Hail2025-04-03: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-25: Hail2025-03-04: Hail2025-03-04: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2024-06-26: Hail2024-05-28: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-23: Hail2024-05-22: Hail2024-05-22: Hail2024-05-21: Hail2024-05-21: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-04-08: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2023-09-21: Hail2023-06-23: Hail2023-06-23: Hail2023-06-23: Hail2023-06-16: Hail2023-06-16: Hail2023-06-16: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-06-15: Hail2023-04-02: Hail2023-03-24: Hail2023-03-24: Hail2023-03-24: Hail2023-03-09: Hail2023-03-09: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2022-11-04: Hail2022-11-04: Hail2022-06-19: Hail2022-04-13: Hail2022-03-14: Hail2022-03-14: Hail1952-04-03: Tornado1952-06-05: Tornado1954-09-29: Tornado1954-09-29: Tornado1954-09-29: Tornado1955-04-06: Tornado1955-04-06: Tornado1955-04-06: Tornado1957-04-18: Tornado1957-04-24: Tornado1957-04-02: Tornado1957-04-02: Tornado1957-04-02: Tornado1958-11-17: Tornado1959-07-13: Tornado1960-05-20: Tornado1960-01-14: Tornado1962-03-24: Tornado1962-03-24: Tornado1963-07-29: Tornado1965-08-06: Tornado1970-06-23: Tornado1971-03-12: Tornado1971-03-12: Tornado1971-03-12: Tornado1971-03-12: Tornado1971-03-12: Tornado1971-12-14: Tornado1973-03-10: Tornado1974-10-30: Tornado1974-05-14: Tornado1975-03-27: Tornado1975-03-28: Tornado1975-03-28: Tornado1976-04-17: Tornado1977-04-18: Tornado1979-04-11: Tornado1979-07-10: Tornado1981-10-16: Tornado1981-03-17: Tornado1982-06-15: Tornado1982-11-22: Tornado1982-11-22: Tornado1983-04-13: Tornado1984-04-20: Tornado1991-04-28: Tornado1992-11-23: Tornado1994-04-26: Tornado1994-04-26: Tornado1995-04-29: Tornado1996-04-21: Tornado1996-04-21: Tornado1996-04-21: Tornado1996-04-21: Tornado1997-05-26: Tornado1997-10-25: Tornado2006-03-30: Tornado2006-03-30: Tornado2006-05-09: Tornado2006-05-09: Tornado2008-12-08: Tornado2008-12-08: Tornado2008-04-09: Tornado2015-05-10: Tornado2015-05-20: Tornado2015-05-25: Tornado2016-04-26: Tornado2016-04-26: Tornado2016-04-26: Tornado2022-03-21: Tornado2025-06-08: Tornado2005-01-03: Flood2006-03-30: Flood2007-04-24: Flood2007-05-30: Flood2007-06-18: Flood2007-06-27: Flood2007-06-20: Flood2007-07-10: Flood2007-07-10: Flood2007-07-10: Flood2007-07-11: Flood2008-05-27: Flood2009-04-29: Flood2009-04-29: Flood2009-04-29: Flood2009-04-29: Flood2009-05-08: Flood2009-10-21: Flood2009-10-21: Flood2010-09-08: Flood2014-07-31: Flood2014-07-31: Flood2015-05-10: Flood2015-05-09: Flood2015-05-09: Flood2015-05-07: Flood2015-05-07: Flood2015-05-24: Flood2015-04-24: Flood2015-05-09: Flood2015-05-09: Flood2015-05-10: Flood2015-05-08: Flood2015-05-07: Flood2015-05-10: Flood2015-05-20: Flood2015-05-20: Flood2015-06-21: Flood2015-06-21: Flood2015-06-21: Flood2015-06-21: Flood2015-04-13: Flood2015-04-24: Flood2015-04-24: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-11-05: Flood2015-11-28: Flood2015-11-27: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-06-02: Flood2016-07-09: Flood2016-07-09: Flood2017-04-17: Flood2017-08-13: Flood2017-08-13: Flood2017-08-13: Flood2017-08-17: Flood2017-08-17: Flood2018-09-22: Flood2019-09-20: Flood2019-09-20: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2021-05-25: Flood2022-04-24: Flood2022-04-24: Flood2022-04-24: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-03-09: Flood2023-06-15: Flood2023-09-21: Flood2024-05-23: Flood2024-05-12: Flood2024-05-25: Flood2024-05-22: Flood2024-05-12: Flood2024-07-23: Flood2024-07-23: Flood2024-05-09: Flood2024-06-05: Flood2024-06-02: Flood2024-06-05: Flood2024-06-05: Flood2024-12-24: Flood2025-08-30: Flood2025-04-30: Flood2026-02-14: Flood2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-15: Wind2025-09-21: Wind2025-09-21: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-06-08: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-03-04: Wind2025-03-04: Wind2024-11-03: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-05: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2023-09-03: Wind2023-06-23: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-05-04: Wind2023-05-04: Wind2023-03-24: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-03-02: Wind2023-02-26: Wind2022-10-16: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-03-21: Wind2021-10-10: Wind2021-05-03: Wind2020-08-16: Wind2020-08-16: Wind2020-08-16: Wind2020-07-30: Wind2020-07-30: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2020-05-22: Wind2020-05-22: Wind2020-03-18: Wind2020-03-18: Wind2019-10-20: Wind2019-10-20: Wind2019-08-13: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-22: Wind2019-06-16: Wind2019-04-30: Wind2019-03-13: Wind2019-03-13: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-03: Wind2017-08-12: Wind2017-06-30: Wind2017-06-30: Wind2017-05-28: Wind2017-04-21: Wind2017-04-17: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-04-26: Wind2016-03-07: Wind2016-03-07: Wind2015-12-13: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-05-17: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-08-08: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-09: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-02-10: Wind2013-02-10: Wind2012-10-13: Wind2012-10-13: Wind2012-08-14: Wind2012-08-14: Wind2012-08-14: Wind2012-08-07: Wind2012-06-11: Wind2012-05-28: Wind2012-05-04: Wind2011-11-21: Wind
Grayson County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 1,300 events for Grayson County, Texas, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 139.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 93.3 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

53 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 13 deaths and 157 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $81M and crop damage at $1.7M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storms (major disaster, 19 Feb 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 743 claims since 1978, of which 614 were paid, totalling $18M (about $30K per paid claim). FEMA counts 281 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($43M a year across 18 hazards).

4 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

53events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,300events since 195013 deaths, 157 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 19 Feb 2021
743NFIP flood claims$18M paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureGrayson CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 19501,300165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles139.463.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents93.356.059.6
Events in the last 12 months534,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI132,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$81M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents5.313.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$30K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years26.324.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 10Tornado: 15Wind: 3
Hail: 6Tornado: 6Wind: 10
Hail: 9Tornado: 17Wind: 10
Hail: 34Tornado: 7Wind: 48
Hail: 104Tornado: 12Flood: 13Wind: 89Winter: 5Heat: 2Cold: 1Drought: 2Lightning: 2Other: 5
Hail: 65Tornado: 7Flood: 33Wind: 93Winter: 20Tropical: 1Heat: 3Drought: 23Wildfire: 1Lightning: 7Other: 1
Hail: 111Tornado: 6Flood: 42Wind: 86Winter: 23Heat: 7Cold: 1Drought: 35Wildfire: 5Lightning: 4Other: 1
Hail: 147Tornado: 2Flood: 30Wind: 62Winter: 8Heat: 42Cold: 6Drought: 16Lightning: 2
281950s221960s361970s891980s2351990s2542000s3212010s3152020s
Recorded events in Grayson County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 743 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 394 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail486
Wind401
Flood118
Drought76
Tornado72
Winter56
Heat54
Lightning15
Cold8
Other7
Wildfire6
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail486—0.9%detail
■ Wind40110.9%detail
■ Flood11850.7%detail
■ Drought76—0.4%
■ Tornado7230.7%detail
■ Winter5620.7%detail
■ Heat54—0.8%
■ Lightning1511.5%
■ Cold8—0.3%
■ Other710.4%
■ Wildfire6—0.4%
■ Tropical1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
18 Jun 2007Flash FloodFlood—$20M—2—County
24 Dec 2024FloodFlood—$50K—2—County
6 Apr 1955TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—127County
21 Mar 2022TornadoTornadoEF2——111County
26 Jun 2024Thunderstorm WindWind49 mph——17County
9 May 2006TornadoTornadoF3$500K—14County
29 Apr 2009Flash FloodFlood—$50K—11County
8 Jun 2025LightningLightning———11County
9 Feb 2021Winter WeatherWinter—$400K—1—Forecast zone
12 Dec 2013Winter WeatherWinter—$30K—1—Forecast zone
28 Feb 2011Heavy RainOther———1—County
5 Dec 2013Winter StormWinter—$7.0M——36Forecast zone
15 Dec 2008Winter WeatherWinter————15Forecast zone
13 Jan 2007Ice StormWinter—$30K——10Forecast zone
30 Nov 2006Winter StormWinter————6Forecast zone
26 Apr 2016TornadoTornadoEF0$450K——5County
8 Dec 2008TornadoTornadoEF2$750K——3County
14 Jan 1960TornadoTornadoF1$250K——3County
10 Mar 1973TornadoTornadoF3———3County
2 Apr 1957TornadoTornadoF3$250K——2County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 May 2015DR-4223Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Sep 2011DR-4029Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
10 Sep 2008EM-3294EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IkePublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
29 Jun 2007DR-1709Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
1 Feb 2003EM-3171EmergencyOtherLoss Of The Space Shuttle ColumbiaPublic assistance
8 Jan 2001DR-1356Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
2 May 1990DR-863Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
19 May 1989DR-828Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Oct 1981DR-648Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Grayson County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978743
Paid claims614
Total paid$18M
Average paid claim$30K
Repetitive-loss properties5818 severe
Residential policies in force2810.5% of 57,645 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202577$381,505$54,501
202433$139,918$46,639
202322$100,075$50,038
202221$949$949
202132$21,635$10,818
202031$39,307$39,307
201964$36,633$9,158
201854$79,483$19,871
20174340$2,211,310$55,283
201622$19,843$9,921
20159171$5,949,414$83,795
201310$0—
201220$0—
201064$14,796$3,699
20091210$127,012$12,701
2007125112$6,177,683$55,158
200632$6,855$3,427
200510$0—
200154$14,369$3,592
200022$38,202$19,101
1995107$106,336$15,191
19933330$279,758$9,325
199131$16,123$16,123
19901712$294,030$24,503
1989107$22,636$3,234

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 80.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$43MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$19,019,131
TornadoRelatively High$9,211,921
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$4,202,099
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$4,048,143
HailRelatively Moderate$2,331,122
Ice stormRelatively High$1,096,921
WildfireRelatively Low$774,883
EarthquakeRelatively Low$662,161
Strong windRelatively Moderate$644,197
LightningRelatively Low$290,569
DroughtRelatively Low$124,557
HurricaneVery Low$103,364
Winter weatherRelatively Low$82,285
LandslideVery Low$2,806

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles4
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Carla196150 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191897 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190257 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190067 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Grayson County, TX?

NCEI records 486 hail events in Grayson County since 1950, in 58 different years; that is about 6.3 recorded events a year. 135 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Grayson County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 72 tornadoes in Grayson County since 1950, 22 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 3.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Grayson County?

19 Feb 2021: Severe Winter Storms, a major disaster declaration for severe ice storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Grayson County, and how much was paid?

743 NFIP claims since 1978, 614 of them paid, for $18M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Grayson County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Grayson County compare with the rest of Texas?

139.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 5.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.