County Hazards

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Hardeman County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48197 · 3,552 residents (2021) · 695 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 284Tornado · 42Flood · 8Wind · 158Winter · 38
2026-05-08: Hail2025-04-28: Hail2025-04-28: Hail2025-04-28: Hail2025-03-02: Hail2024-05-25: Hail2024-04-27: Hail2024-04-15: Hail2024-04-15: Hail2024-03-07: Hail2023-10-04: Hail2023-09-19: Hail2023-09-19: Hail2023-09-19: Hail2023-06-23: Hail2023-06-22: Hail2023-06-22: Hail2021-05-27: Hail2021-05-27: Hail2021-05-27: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2021-04-23: Hail2020-07-01: Hail2020-05-15: Hail2020-05-15: Hail2020-05-15: Hail2020-05-07: Hail2020-05-07: Hail2020-05-07: Hail2020-05-07: Hail2020-05-07: Hail2019-05-24: Hail2019-05-24: Hail2018-05-19: Hail2018-05-19: Hail2018-05-02: Hail2017-10-21: Hail2017-10-21: Hail2017-08-16: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2016-10-06: Hail2016-10-06: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-05-22: Hail2016-05-13: Hail2016-05-13: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-05-16: Hail2015-04-17: Hail2015-04-17: Hail2014-04-26: Hail2014-04-20: Hail2014-04-20: Hail2013-05-09: Hail2013-04-17: Hail2012-04-02: Hail2012-04-02: Hail2012-04-02: Hail2012-04-02: Hail2012-04-02: Hail2012-03-18: Hail2011-10-11: Hail2011-10-11: Hail2011-10-11: Hail2011-05-19: Hail2010-10-10: Hail2010-06-02: Hail2010-05-12: Hail2009-10-08: Hail2009-06-14: Hail2009-06-14: Hail2009-06-06: Hail2009-06-06: Hail2009-06-06: Hail2009-05-12: Hail2009-05-12: Hail2009-04-29: Hail2009-04-29: Hail2009-04-29: Hail2009-04-26: Hail2009-04-26: Hail2009-04-12: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-14: Hail2008-06-05: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2007-06-01: Hail2007-06-01: Hail2007-06-01: Hail2006-06-17: Hail2006-06-17: Hail2006-06-17: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-02: Hail2006-04-28: Hail2006-04-28: Hail2006-04-01: Hail2006-04-01: Hail2006-04-01: Hail2006-04-01: Hail1954-06-30: Tornado1955-05-17: Tornado1962-06-05: Tornado1970-08-18: Tornado1972-03-14: Tornado1972-03-14: Tornado1976-05-30: Tornado1976-05-30: Tornado1977-05-05: Tornado1977-05-05: Tornado1978-04-03: Tornado1978-04-03: Tornado1979-05-20: Tornado1980-05-29: Tornado1982-05-27: Tornado1983-06-27: Tornado1986-05-16: Tornado1986-05-16: Tornado1986-05-16: Tornado1987-05-25: Tornado1992-06-28: Tornado1994-05-25: Tornado1995-06-09: Tornado1995-06-09: Tornado2001-05-29: Tornado2001-05-29: Tornado2002-05-24: Tornado2003-04-15: Tornado2006-05-02: Tornado2015-05-16: Tornado2021-04-23: Tornado2021-04-23: Tornado2021-04-23: Tornado2021-04-23: Tornado2021-03-13: Tornado2021-03-13: Tornado2006-10-15: Flood2006-10-16: Flood2007-09-09: Flood2010-07-08: Flood2015-05-23: Flood2015-05-23: Flood2015-05-23: Flood1956-07-08: Wind1957-06-12: Wind1957-09-20: Wind1962-06-18: Wind1964-08-26: Wind1969-05-04: Wind1970-04-16: Wind1975-02-22: Wind1976-04-15: Wind1980-06-19: Wind1983-06-26: Wind1983-06-27: Wind1985-05-19: Wind1985-05-19: Wind1986-05-16: Wind1988-09-15: Wind1989-05-04: Wind1989-05-04: Wind1990-03-14: Wind1991-06-12: Wind1996-05-22: Wind1996-06-18: Wind1996-08-11: Wind1996-08-04: Wind1996-09-03: Wind1997-06-16: Wind1997-06-16: Wind1997-08-10: Wind1998-05-24: Wind1998-05-24: Wind1998-11-09: Wind1999-05-16: Wind2000-03-07: Wind2001-05-29: Wind2001-05-29: Wind2001-05-29: Wind2001-05-18: Wind2002-05-24: Wind2002-06-15: Wind2003-04-15: Wind2003-04-15: Wind2003-04-15: Wind2003-05-24: Wind2004-04-29: Wind2004-04-29: Wind2004-06-22: Wind2004-09-30: Wind2005-04-20: Wind2006-05-02: Wind2006-05-30: Wind2006-05-10: Wind2006-08-14: Wind2007-03-11: Wind2007-03-11: Wind2007-06-19: Wind2007-06-01: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2008-06-14: Wind2008-06-14: Wind2008-06-05: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2009-04-29: Wind2009-07-29: Wind2009-06-06: Wind2009-04-29: Wind2010-08-21: Wind2011-10-11: Wind2012-04-09: Wind2013-06-08: Wind2013-04-01: Wind2013-08-07: Wind2013-06-17: Wind2014-06-23: Wind2015-05-08: Wind2015-05-16: Wind2016-08-23: Wind2016-05-26: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-10-06: Wind2017-05-10: Wind2017-08-16: Wind2018-05-25: Wind2019-06-15: Wind2020-08-16: Wind
Hardeman County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 686 storm events in Hardeman County, Texas, led by hail.

That is 98.7 events per 100 square miles, above the Texas figure of 63.3, and 1,931.3 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

31 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.5M and crop damage at $1.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 16 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storms (major disaster, 19 Feb 2021).

OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($2.5M a year across 18 hazards).

31events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
686events since 19500 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
16disaster declarationslast 19 Feb 2021
0NFIP flood claims$0 paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureHardeman CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950686165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles98.763.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents1,931.356.059.6
Events in the last 12 months314,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI02,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.5M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.013.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim—$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—24.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2Wind: 3
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 5Tornado: 10Wind: 3
Hail: 13Tornado: 7Wind: 9
Hail: 81Tornado: 9Wind: 39Winter: 5Fog: 1
Hail: 97Tornado: 6Flood: 4Wind: 40Winter: 10Heat: 1Drought: 14Lightning: 1Fog: 3Other: 1
Hail: 50Tornado: 1Flood: 4Wind: 22Winter: 17Drought: 68Wildfire: 1
Hail: 33Tornado: 6Wind: 39Winter: 6Heat: 17Cold: 3Drought: 44Wildfire: 1Other: 1
51950s91960s181970s291980s1351990s1772000s1632010s1502020s
Recorded events in Hardeman County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 372 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 248 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail284
Wind158
Drought126
Tornado42
Winter38
Heat18
Flood8
Fog4
Cold3
Wildfire2
Other2
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail284—0.5%detail
■ Wind158—0.4%detail
■ Drought126—0.7%
■ Tornado42—0.4%detail
■ Winter38—0.5%detail
■ Heat18—0.3%
■ Flood8—0.1%
■ Fog4—1.4%
■ Cold3—0.1%
■ Wildfire2—0.1%
■ Other2—0.1%
■ Lightning1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
29 May 2001TornadoTornadoF1$60K——1County
18 Aug 1970TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
16 Aug 2019WildfireWildfire—$2.2M———Forecast zone
1 Aug 2006DroughtDrought—$20K$500K——Forecast zone
29 May 2001Thunderstorm WindWind—$300K———County
1 Sep 2006DroughtDrought—$20K$250K——Forecast zone
1 Apr 2006DroughtDrought——$250K——Forecast zone
11 Mar 2007Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$107K———County
15 Mar 2026Dust StormOther—$100K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
18 Aug 2019FM-5288Fire management assistanceFireCopper Breaks FirePublic assistance
9 Feb 2016DR-4255Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Jul 2011DR-1999Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
23 Feb 1996EM-3117EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 8.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$2.5MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
DroughtRelatively Moderate$628,397
Strong windRelatively Moderate$530,071
TornadoRelatively Low$395,071
Inland floodingVery Low$380,648
HailRelatively Low$243,955
Heat waveVery Low$103,998
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$87,960
Cold waveVery Low$66,634
WildfireVery Low$56,644
EarthquakeVery Low$21,854
Winter weatherVery Low$12,348
LightningVery Low$7,412
HurricaneVery Low$4,328
LandslideVery Low$54

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Hardeman County, TX?

NCEI records 284 hail events in Hardeman County since 1950, in 49 different years; that is about 3.7 recorded events a year. 83 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Hardeman County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 42 tornadoes in Hardeman County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Hardeman County?

19 Feb 2021: Severe Winter Storms, a major disaster declaration for severe ice storm. The county appears in 16 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Hardeman County, and how much was paid?

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.

Is Hardeman County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Hardeman County compare with the rest of Texas?

98.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.