County Hazards

States › Texas › McCulloch County

McCulloch County, Texas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 48307 · 7,533 residents (2021) · 1,066 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 318Tornado · 29Flood · 49Wind · 99Winter · 31
2025-03-04: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-31: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-05-09: Hail2024-03-15: Hail2024-03-15: Hail2024-03-15: Hail2024-03-15: Hail2023-06-21: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-12: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-06-03: Hail2023-05-19: Hail2023-05-19: Hail2023-05-19: Hail2023-05-19: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-04-22: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-05-10: Hail2021-04-28: Hail2021-04-28: Hail2021-04-15: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2021-04-12: Hail2020-04-09: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-04-13: Hail2018-05-14: Hail2018-05-14: Hail2018-05-14: Hail2018-05-14: Hail2017-05-11: Hail2017-04-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-04-29: Hail2016-04-29: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2016-03-08: Hail2015-10-21: Hail2015-05-28: Hail2015-04-18: Hail2015-04-01: Hail2015-03-25: Hail2014-06-12: Hail2014-06-12: Hail2014-06-12: Hail2014-06-12: Hail2014-05-12: Hail2013-05-15: Hail2013-05-10: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail2013-03-09: Hail1955-05-06: Tornado1959-06-03: Tornado1966-04-17: Tornado1971-05-30: Tornado1973-01-20: Tornado1976-05-30: Tornado1981-05-15: Tornado1982-04-16: Tornado1982-04-16: Tornado1988-09-17: Tornado1988-09-17: Tornado1989-05-14: Tornado1991-05-03: Tornado1999-03-12: Tornado2002-05-04: Tornado2003-06-03: Tornado2007-05-01: Tornado2007-05-01: Tornado2007-05-09: Tornado2008-05-14: Tornado2008-05-14: Tornado2016-03-08: Tornado2017-01-15: Tornado2018-10-13: Tornado2019-05-18: Tornado2020-04-12: Tornado2024-03-15: Tornado2003-06-03: Flood2007-03-26: Flood2007-03-26: Flood2007-03-26: Flood2007-05-07: Flood2007-05-27: Flood2007-05-27: Flood2007-05-09: Flood2007-06-03: Flood2007-06-27: Flood2007-07-14: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-06-12: Flood2010-05-25: Flood2015-07-08: Flood2015-07-08: Flood2015-04-01: Flood2018-10-13: Flood2018-10-09: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2025-07-07: Flood2025-07-09: Flood2025-07-13: Flood2025-07-04: Flood2025-07-04: Flood2025-06-04: Flood1969-06-18: Wind1981-06-03: Wind1981-09-14: Wind1981-09-14: Wind1982-05-12: Wind1985-04-20: Wind1990-05-11: Wind1991-04-13: Wind1992-06-11: Wind1992-10-29: Wind1992-06-21: Wind1996-09-03: Wind1997-04-20: Wind1997-06-06: Wind1998-08-31: Wind1998-04-26: Wind1998-05-26: Wind1998-07-18: Wind1998-06-05: Wind2000-07-25: Wind2001-04-11: Wind2001-06-01: Wind2001-05-04: Wind2001-10-12: Wind2001-10-12: Wind2002-03-19: Wind2002-05-04: Wind2002-05-04: Wind2002-05-27: Wind2002-05-27: Wind2003-05-02: Wind2003-06-01: Wind2004-06-21: Wind2004-08-20: Wind2005-06-01: Wind2005-06-01: Wind2005-06-01: Wind2006-06-17: Wind2008-04-10: Wind2008-05-13: Wind2008-05-14: Wind2008-05-14: Wind2009-02-10: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-06-12: Wind2011-04-10: Wind2012-05-07: Wind2012-05-30: Wind2012-10-13: Wind2013-03-09: Wind2013-08-10: Wind2014-07-16: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2014-06-12: Wind2015-10-21: Wind2015-04-18: Wind2015-04-18: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2019-05-08: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2021-06-14: Wind2021-04-28: Wind2021-04-28: Wind2021-04-28: Wind2021-04-28: Wind2022-05-24: Wind2022-05-24: Wind2022-05-24: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2023-04-22: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-31: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2025-04-22: Wind2026-05-10: Wind2026-05-10: Wind
McCulloch County within Texas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 614 storm events in McCulloch County, Texas, led by hail.

That is 57.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Texas figure of 63.3, and 815.1 per 10,000 residents against 56.0 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $7.9M and crop damage at $3.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 19 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding (major disaster, 6 Jul 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1 claim since 1978, of which 1 were paid, totalling $19K (about $19K per paid claim). FEMA counts 16 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($3.7M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
614events since 19500 deaths, 0 injuries recorded
19disaster declarationslast 6 Jul 2025
1NFIP flood claims$19K paid

Compared with Texas and the United States

MeasureMcCulloch CountyTexasUS
Recorded events since 1950614165,4761,977,440
Events per 100 square miles57.663.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents815.156.059.6
Events in the last 12 months104,72362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI02,42926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$7.9M$111B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.113.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$19K$55K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years6.324.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 2
Hail: 10Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 14Tornado: 3
Hail: 13Tornado: 6Wind: 5
Hail: 52Tornado: 4Flood: 4Wind: 20Winter: 4Drought: 2Wildfire: 1
Hail: 91Tornado: 7Flood: 30Wind: 30Winter: 7Tropical: 1Cold: 3Drought: 10Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 61Tornado: 4Flood: 9Wind: 19Winter: 14Cold: 2Drought: 31Wildfire: 1Other: 1
Hail: 76Tornado: 2Flood: 6Wind: 24Winter: 6Cold: 3Drought: 28Lightning: 1Other: 1
31950s121960s171970s241980s871990s1822000s1422010s1472020s
Recorded events in McCulloch County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 373 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 189 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail318
Wind99
Drought71
Flood49
Winter31
Tornado29
Cold8
Wildfire3
Other3
Lightning2
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail318—0.6%detail
■ Wind99—0.2%detail
■ Drought71—0.4%
■ Flood49—0.3%detail
■ Winter31—0.4%detail
■ Tornado29—0.3%detail
■ Cold8—0.3%
■ Wildfire3—0.2%
■ Other3—0.2%
■ Lightning2—0.2%
■ Tropical1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 May 2026LightningLightning—$6.0M———County
1 Aug 1998DroughtDrought——$3.0M——Forecast zone
22 Jun 1997Flash FloodFlood—$200K$100K——County
30 May 1976TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
20 Apr 1997Thunderstorm WindWind—$250K———County
14 May 2008TornadoTornadoEF0$250K———County
13 Oct 2018TornadoTornadoEF0$150K———County
12 Mar 1999TornadoTornadoF2$100K———County
4 May 2002HailHail2.75 in$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Jul 2025DR-4879Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 May 2024DR-4781Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Feb 2021DR-4586Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
14 Feb 2021EM-3554EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4485Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3458EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
25 Feb 2019DR-4416Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Sep 2011DR-4029Major disasterFireWildfiresPublic assistance
14 Mar 2008EM-3284EmergencyFireWildfiresPublic assistance
29 Jun 2007DR-1709Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Jan 2006DR-1624Major disasterFireExtreme Wildfire ThreatPublic assistance
24 Sep 2005DR-1606Major disasterHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
21 Sep 2005EM-3261EmergencyHurricaneHurricane RitaPublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3216EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 Sep 2000FM-2335Fire management assistanceFireTx-Deep Creek Fire-9/8/00Public assistance
1 Sep 1999EM-3142EmergencyFireExtreme Fire HazardsPublic assistance
26 Aug 1998DR-1239Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm Charley—
10 Sep 1993EM-3113EmergencyDroughtExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
19 May 1989DR-828Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in McCulloch County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781
Paid claims1
Total paid$19K
Average paid claim$19K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force160.5% of 3,546 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$18,990$18,990

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 10.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$3.7MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$1,541,742
DroughtRelatively Moderate$859,124
TornadoRelatively Low$378,675
HailRelatively Low$231,598
LightningRelatively Low$135,038
WildfireRelatively Low$128,177
Heat waveVery Low$126,184
Strong windRelatively Low$117,924
Cold waveVery Low$101,679
Winter weatherRelatively Low$31,547
HurricaneVery Low$11,297
EarthquakeVery Low$4,478
Ice stormVery Low$1,434
LandslideVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm194279 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188620 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm185152 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in McCulloch County, TX?

NCEI records 318 hail events in McCulloch County since 1950, in 51 different years; that is about 4.1 recorded events a year. 133 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has McCulloch County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 29 tornadoes in McCulloch County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for McCulloch County?

6 Jul 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 19 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in McCulloch County, and how much was paid?

1 NFIP claim since 1978, 1 of them paid, for $19K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is McCulloch County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does McCulloch County compare with the rest of Texas?

57.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 63.3 statewide, and 0.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 13.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.