County Hazards

States › Virginia › Buchanan County

Buchanan County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51027 · 19,816 residents (2021) · 503 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 35Tornado · 0Flood · 65Wind · 115Winter · 85
1977-06-06: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1997-07-09: Hail1997-08-04: Hail1998-09-29: Hail1998-06-03: Hail1998-04-15: Hail2000-05-28: Hail2000-07-28: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2006-04-15: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2009-05-08: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-24: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2018-05-05: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2019-06-16: Hail2022-04-06: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2025-04-14: Hail2005-05-13: Flood2005-07-28: Flood2007-04-15: Flood2009-05-09: Flood2010-06-03: Flood2010-07-17: Flood2012-07-31: Flood2012-07-25: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2013-05-20: Flood2013-09-02: Flood2014-06-11: Flood2014-06-05: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2017-04-23: Flood2018-02-10: Flood2020-03-25: Flood2020-04-29: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2020-08-07: Flood2020-08-31: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2021-07-10: Flood2021-08-19: Flood2021-08-19: Flood2021-08-30: Flood2021-08-30: Flood2022-08-05: Flood2022-07-27: Flood2022-07-12: Flood2023-02-17: Flood2023-02-17: Flood2023-09-09: Flood2024-04-11: Flood2024-04-11: Flood2024-07-24: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-06: Flood1974-04-04: Wind1975-06-05: Wind1982-06-26: Wind1996-11-08: Wind1997-07-02: Wind1997-08-04: Wind1997-08-04: Wind1997-07-04: Wind1997-07-28: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1998-09-29: Wind1998-05-20: Wind1998-05-23: Wind1998-05-23: Wind1998-05-24: Wind1999-08-13: Wind1999-07-30: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2002-06-04: Wind2003-11-12: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2004-06-01: Wind2005-07-03: Wind2006-04-03: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2007-08-25: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-06-14: Wind2010-06-22: Wind2010-06-14: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-08-04: Wind2010-08-04: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-03-23: Wind2011-06-11: Wind2011-06-11: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-05-10: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2013-07-17: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2015-06-18: Wind2015-06-18: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2018-04-04: Wind2018-04-04: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2020-07-17: Wind2021-06-13: Wind2021-07-10: Wind2021-07-10: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2023-02-17: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-16: Wind2025-03-31: Wind2025-03-31: Wind2025-03-31: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-06-12: Wind2026-05-18: Wind
Buchanan County within Virginia. Dots: HailFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 366 storm events in Buchanan County, Virginia, led by damaging wind.

That is 72.8 events per 100 square miles, below the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 184.7 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

18 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $47M.

FEMA has designated the county in 27 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 360 claims since 1978, of which 270 were paid, totalling $4.6M (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 119 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($11M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

18events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
366events since 19507 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
27disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
360NFIP flood claims$4.6M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureBuchanan CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195036657,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles72.8146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents184.766.959.6
Events in the last 12 months181,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI723926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$47M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents18.25.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years45.44.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Wind: 2
Wind: 1
Hail: 7Flood: 7Wind: 17Winter: 15Heat: 7Cold: 11Drought: 4Other: 2
Hail: 8Flood: 19Wind: 17Winter: 14Heat: 8Cold: 9Drought: 10Other: 5
Hail: 15Flood: 13Wind: 36Winter: 31Cold: 4Lightning: 1
Hail: 4Flood: 26Wind: 42Winter: 25Cold: 2Drought: 3
01950s01960s31970s11980s701990s902000s1002010s1022020s
Recorded events in Buchanan County by decade and hazard group. HailFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 219 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 130 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind115
Winter85
Flood65
Hail35
Cold26
Drought17
Heat15
Other7
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind115—0.5%detail
■ Winter85—0.8%detail
■ Flood6570.8%detail
■ Hail35—0.6%detail
■ Cold26—1.5%
■ Drought17—2.0%
■ Heat15—1.1%
■ Other7—0.3%
■ Lightning1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
2 May 2002Flash FloodFlood—$25M—2—County
19 Nov 2003FloodFlood—$500K—2—Forecast zone
30 Aug 2021Flash FloodFlood—$2.5M—1—County
13 Jul 2000Flash FloodFlood—$75K—1—County
4 Mar 2015FloodFlood—$50K—1—County
12 Jul 2022Flash FloodFlood—$1.8M——1County
13 Jun 2021Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$5K——1County
15 Feb 2025Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
15 Feb 2025Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
8 Aug 2000Flash FloodFlood—$850K———County
15 Feb 2003FloodFlood—$850K———Forecast zone
27 Jan 1998Heavy SnowWinter—$750K———Forecast zone
18 Dec 2009Heavy SnowWinter—$750K———Forecast zone
26 Jul 2001Flash FloodFlood—$600K———County
15 Feb 2025Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
2 Oct 1996Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
29 Oct 2012Heavy SnowWinter—$250K———Forecast zone
29 Jun 2012Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$250K———County
10 Jun 1998Flash FloodFlood—$220K———County
20 May 2013Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Apr 2025DR-4863Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Oct 2024DR-4831Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
29 Sep 2024EM-3621EmergencyTropical StormPost-Tropical Cyclone HelenePublic assistance
30 Sep 2022DR-4674Major disasterSevere StormFlooding And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Oct 2021DR-4628Major disasterFloodFlooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
16 Feb 2010DR-1874Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
15 Jun 2004DR-1525Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Dec 2003DR-1502Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
27 Mar 2003DR-1458Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, And MudslideIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 May 2002DR-1411Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Nov 2001FM-2390Fire management assistanceFireVa - Far Southwest Fire Complex - 11/16/2001Public assistance
12 Jul 2001DR-1386Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1014Major disasterSnowstormSevere Ice Storms, FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
8 Nov 1989DR-847Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Mudslides & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 May 1984DR-707Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Jul 1979DR-593Major disasterFloodStorms & Flash FloodsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Nov 1977DR-543Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Apr 1977DR-530Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Buchanan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978360
Paid claims270
Total paid$4.6M
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties190 severe
Residential policies in force1191.5% of 8,086 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202610$0—
20252320$1,250,229$62,511
20221413$612,834$47,141
202187$172,202$24,600
202042$16,984$8,492
201911$1,630$1,630
201831$986$986
201511$2,194$2,194
201420$0—
201322$36,277$18,139
201221$5,906$5,906
201011$3,941$3,941
200911$1,369$1,369
200720$0—
200521$5,134$5,134
200453$104,981$34,994
20032818$275,731$15,318
20022216$547,108$34,194
200175$38,795$7,759
200022$3,317$1,658
199832$12,447$6,223
199611$6,893$6,893
199010$0—
198920$0—
198795$12,277$2,455

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 50.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$11MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$8,528,018
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,394,639
Strong windRelatively Low$174,430
EarthquakeVery Low$161,855
WildfireRelatively Low$133,006
LandslideRelatively Moderate$112,415
LightningRelatively Low$56,117
TornadoVery Low$41,495
HurricaneVery Low$32,703
HailVery Low$21,461
Winter weatherRelatively Low$16,965
Heat waveVery Low$14,049
AvalancheRelatively Low$7,657
Ice stormVery Low$4,436

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Hugo198986 mi63 mph
Gracie195991 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1949100 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193425 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193213 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191567 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Buchanan County, VA?

NCEI records 35 hail events in Buchanan County since 1950, in 17 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Buchanan County had a tornado?

NCEI records no tornado in Buchanan County since 1950.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Buchanan County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 27 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Buchanan County, and how much was paid?

360 NFIP claims since 1978, 270 of them paid, for $4.6M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Buchanan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Buchanan County compare with the rest of Virginia?

72.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 18.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.