County Hazards

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Goochland County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51075 · 25,488 residents (2021) · 282 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 29Tornado · 10Flood · 7Wind · 177Winter · 100
1986-06-02: Hail1990-04-02: Hail1990-06-30: Hail1990-04-02: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-05-04: Hail1998-02-17: Hail1998-02-17: Hail1999-02-12: Hail1999-04-23: Hail1999-04-23: Hail2000-04-21: Hail2000-05-19: Hail2001-05-26: Hail2001-08-27: Hail2005-05-23: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-19: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2012-06-01: Hail2013-06-13: Hail2015-06-20: Hail2016-09-28: Hail1962-05-08: Tornado1977-07-09: Tornado1983-10-13: Tornado1985-07-25: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2011-04-27: Tornado2012-06-25: Tornado2022-06-16: Tornado2022-06-16: Tornado2018-05-18: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2022-08-05: Flood1967-05-15: Wind1970-06-25: Wind1976-07-15: Wind1980-08-03: Wind1983-07-04: Wind1983-08-23: Wind1983-08-22: Wind1984-05-08: Wind1986-08-02: Wind1989-06-02: Wind1989-06-16: Wind1989-11-16: Wind1989-11-16: Wind1990-06-18: Wind1991-08-04: Wind1996-01-19: Wind1996-11-08: Wind1996-10-18: Wind1997-07-22: Wind1998-06-15: Wind1998-06-15: Wind1999-07-29: Wind1999-02-12: Wind1999-04-09: Wind2000-06-14: Wind2000-08-04: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2001-08-27: Wind2001-08-30: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2004-05-26: Wind2004-06-17: Wind2005-01-14: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2006-04-03: Wind2006-04-03: Wind2007-07-16: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2008-03-04: Wind2008-03-04: Wind2009-06-19: Wind2009-06-19: Wind2009-06-19: Wind2009-06-19: Wind2009-08-24: Wind2010-06-16: Wind2010-12-01: Wind2010-12-01: Wind2010-05-14: Wind2010-05-14: Wind2010-08-04: Wind2010-05-12: Wind2010-06-03: Wind2010-06-03: Wind2011-04-28: Wind2011-04-05: Wind2011-04-28: Wind2011-04-28: Wind2012-07-15: Wind2012-06-25: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2013-06-26: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-06-10: Wind2014-06-19: Wind2014-08-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2018-05-10: Wind2018-05-10: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-08-08: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2019-08-13: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2020-01-12: Wind2020-04-24: Wind2020-04-24: Wind2020-04-24: Wind2020-08-06: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-07-28: Wind2021-07-28: Wind2021-07-28: Wind2021-07-28: Wind2021-07-17: Wind2021-08-28: Wind
Goochland County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 355 storm events in Goochland County, Virginia, led by damaging wind.

That is 125.9 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 139.3 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

20 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 4 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $1.2M and crop damage at $2.3M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 18 claims since 1978, of which 12 were paid, totalling $157K (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 46 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($8.0M a year across 18 hazards).

49 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

20events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
355events since 19502 deaths, 4 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
18NFIP flood claims$157K paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureGoochland CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195035557,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles125.9146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents139.366.959.6
Events in the last 12 months201,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI223926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$1.2M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.75.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years4.34.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 10
Hail: 13Flood: 1Wind: 17Winter: 12Heat: 1Drought: 2Other: 3
Hail: 9Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 25Winter: 39Tropical: 1Cold: 1Other: 4
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 48Winter: 38Heat: 2Cold: 2Other: 9
Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 74Winter: 11Heat: 1Other: 6
01950s21960s31970s131980s491990s832000s1092010s962020s
Recorded events in Goochland County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 233 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 108 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind177
Winter100
Hail29
Other22
Tornado10
Flood7
Heat4
Cold3
Drought2
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind17710.8%detail
■ Winter100—1.0%detail
■ Hail29—0.5%detail
■ Other22—0.8%
■ Tornado1011.1%detail
■ Flood7—0.1%
■ Heat4—0.3%
■ Cold3—0.2%
■ Drought2—0.2%
■ Tropical1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
8 May 1962TornadoTornadoF2$250—12County
24 Feb 2012Strong WindWind35 mph$2K—1—Forecast zone
4 May 2021Thunderstorm WindWind64 mph$30K——2County
1 Nov 1998DroughtDrought——$1.0M——Forecast zone
1 Oct 1998DroughtDrought——$1.0M——Forecast zone
18 Sep 2003Tropical StormTropical——$283K——Forecast zone
9 Jul 1977TornadoTornado—$250K———County
13 Oct 1983TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
16 Jun 2022TornadoTornadoEF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
11 Mar 2022DR-4644Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
10 May 2021DR-4602Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
4 Nov 2011DR-4042Major disasterEarthquakeEarthquakeIndividual assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2003DR-1491Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
11 Apr 1994DR-1021Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1014Major disasterSnowstormSevere Ice Storms, FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Nov 1985DR-755Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
23 Jul 1977EM-3046EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
15 Oct 1976EM-3018EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-339Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Aug 1969DR-274Major disasterHurricaneSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Goochland County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197818
Paid claims12
Total paid$157K
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force460.5% of 10,127 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202010$0—
201810$0—
201422$8,015$4,007
200322$2,054$1,027
199611$17,488$17,488
198721$27,892$27,892
198575$100,407$20,081
197911$838$838
197810$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 15.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$8.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$4,390,049
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,143,580
DroughtRelatively Moderate$700,776
Strong windRelatively Low$583,905
TornadoVery Low$470,694
HurricaneRelatively Low$280,732
Heat waveVery Low$161,588
LightningRelatively Low$119,088
HailVery Low$56,437
Ice stormRelatively Low$48,708
Cold waveVery Low$11,658
Winter weatherVery Low$8,210
WildfireVery Low$3,915
LandslideVery Low$501

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles49
Tracks within 50 miles11
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Elsa202170 mi52 mph
Isaias202061 mi69 mph
Zeta202016 mi52 mph
Nestor201983 mi46 mph
Michael201885 mi58 mph
Andrea201397 mi46 mph
Hanna200867 mi52 mph
Ernesto200662 mi46 mph
Gaston200481 mi40 mph
Isabel200371 mi75 mph
Bertha199687 mi69 mph
Fran199692 mi46 mph
David197987 mi46 mph
Alma197098 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196399 mi46 mph
Brenda196092 mi58 mph
Connie195594 mi69 mph
Diane195549 mi58 mph
Able195246 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194963 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194564 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194429 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194470 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194390 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193498 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Goochland County, VA?

NCEI records 29 hail events in Goochland County since 1950, in 15 different years; that is about 0.4 recorded events a year. 7 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Goochland County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 10 tornadoes in Goochland County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Goochland County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Goochland County, and how much was paid?

18 NFIP claims since 1978, 12 of them paid, for $157K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Goochland County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Goochland County compare with the rest of Virginia?

125.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 0.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.