County Hazards

States › Virginia › Madison County

Madison County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51113 · 13,942 residents (2021) · 321 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 24Tornado · 9Flood · 145Wind · 203Winter · 164
1998-06-16: Hail1998-06-16: Hail1999-07-22: Hail2000-05-10: Hail2000-07-10: Hail2003-09-02: Hail2007-06-11: Hail2007-08-25: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2009-05-16: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2011-06-01: Hail2011-06-17: Hail2014-06-19: Hail2015-09-02: Hail2016-05-23: Hail2016-07-19: Hail2021-09-28: Hail2021-08-11: Hail2022-07-12: Hail2022-07-12: Hail1960-05-17: Tornado1976-03-21: Tornado1976-06-12: Tornado1992-11-23: Tornado1997-09-10: Tornado2000-08-09: Tornado2004-05-02: Tornado2004-09-17: Tornado2005-08-30: Tornado2006-11-16: Flood2007-03-16: Flood2007-04-15: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-03-13: Flood2011-05-17: Flood2011-09-06: Flood2011-04-12: Flood2011-12-07: Flood2012-07-21: Flood2014-05-01: Flood2014-05-16: Flood2014-05-16: Flood2014-04-30: Flood2015-04-20: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2017-05-05: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-12-15: Flood2018-06-03: Flood2018-06-03: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-21: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-08-21: Flood2018-08-21: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-06-22: Flood2018-05-30: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2018-05-30: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-05-30: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2018-08-01: Flood2018-08-03: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-12-15: Flood2019-08-15: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-12-24: Flood2020-04-13: Flood2020-11-30: Flood2020-11-30: Flood2020-11-30: Flood2020-08-05: Flood2020-08-05: Flood2020-08-05: Flood2020-08-06: Flood2020-08-31: Flood2020-08-31: Flood2020-08-31: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2021-06-11: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-08-20: Flood2021-08-20: Flood2021-08-20: Flood2021-08-20: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2021-10-29: Flood2026-06-12: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-07-01: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-08: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2022-07-25: Wind2022-07-17: Wind2022-07-16: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-06-22: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-07-15: Wind2021-07-15: Wind2021-07-14: Wind2021-07-14: Wind2020-07-21: Wind2020-07-21: Wind2020-07-20: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2019-09-11: Wind2019-09-11: Wind2019-08-19: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-07-31: Wind2019-06-28: Wind2019-06-24: Wind2019-06-24: Wind2019-06-24: Wind2019-05-30: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2018-08-17: Wind2018-08-12: Wind2018-08-12: Wind2018-08-12: Wind2018-08-02: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2017-07-06: Wind2017-06-30: Wind2017-06-30: Wind2017-06-30: Wind2017-06-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2015-09-02: Wind2015-09-02: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2014-07-03: Wind2014-07-03: Wind2013-06-26: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2012-09-18: Wind2012-09-18: Wind2012-09-18: Wind2012-09-18: Wind2012-09-18: Wind
Madison County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 713 storm events in Madison County, Virginia, led by damaging wind.

That is 222.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 511.4 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

17 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.2M and crop damage at $8.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 19 claims since 1978, of which 14 were paid, totalling $128K (about $9K per paid claim). FEMA counts 30 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.6M a year across 18 hazards).

29 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

17events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
713events since 19501 death, 0 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
19NFIP flood claims$128K paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureMadison CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195071357,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles222.4146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents511.466.959.6
Events in the last 12 months171,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI123926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.2M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.45.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$9K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years3.34.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Flood: 19Wind: 16Winter: 19Heat: 8Cold: 2Drought: 8Wildfire: 1Other: 1
Hail: 10Tornado: 4Flood: 15Wind: 46Winter: 40Heat: 15Cold: 15Drought: 3Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Fog: 12Other: 13
Hail: 7Flood: 51Wind: 82Winter: 74Tropical: 1Heat: 9Cold: 19Fog: 30
Hail: 4Flood: 60Wind: 56Winter: 31Heat: 2Cold: 10Fog: 16
01950s11960s41970s11980s791990s1762000s2732010s1792020s
Recorded events in Madison County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 508 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 192 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind203
Winter164
Flood145
Fog58
Cold46
Heat34
Hail24
Other14
Drought11
Tornado9
Wildfire2
Lightning2
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind203—0.9%detail
■ Winter164—1.6%detail
■ Flood14511.8%detail
■ Fog58—3.4%
■ Cold46—2.6%
■ Heat34—2.5%
■ Hail24—0.4%detail
■ Other14—0.5%
■ Drought11—1.3%
■ Tornado9—1.0%
■ Wildfire2—4.7%
■ Lightning2—0.4%
■ Tropical1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
30 May 2018Flash FloodFlood———1—County
1 Aug 1999DroughtDrought——$4.0M——Forecast zone
6 Sep 1996FloodFlood—$1.0M$2.0M——Forecast zone
6 Sep 1996Flash FloodFlood—$400K$700K——County
6 Sep 1996High WindWind—$20K$750K——Forecast zone
18 Sep 2003High WindWind58 mph$250K$200K——Forecast zone
21 Mar 1976TornadoTornado—$250K———County
10 Apr 1997Frost/FreezeCold——$200K——Forecast zone
17 Sep 2004TornadoTornadoF2$200K———County
30 May 2018Flash FloodFlood—$107K———County
7 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
1 Oct 2024DR-4831Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
11 Mar 2022DR-4644Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
7 Mar 2016DR-4262Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
26 Nov 2012DR-4092Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
27 Jul 2012DR-4072Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
27 Apr 2010DR-1905Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormsPublic assistance
16 Feb 2010DR-1874Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2003DR-1491Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
1 Jul 1995DR-1059Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Apr 1994DR-1021Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Nov 1985DR-755Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jul 1977EM-3046EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
10 Oct 1972DR-359Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-339Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Madison County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197819
Paid claims14
Total paid$128K
Average paid claim$9K
Repetitive-loss properties20 severe
Residential policies in force300.6% of 5,190 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201811$6,137$6,137
200311$9,434$9,434
199697$49,824$7,118
199574$58,850$14,713
198511$3,880$3,880

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 8.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,583,000
HurricaneRelatively Low$657,866
Strong windRelatively Low$353,285
DroughtRelatively Low$262,854
EarthquakeVery Low$214,987
TornadoVery Low$130,950
Heat waveVery Low$123,894
Cold waveVery Low$79,528
LightningVery Low$77,895
HailVery Low$76,761
WildfireVery Low$27,583
Winter weatherVery Low$11,626
Ice stormVery Low$5,426
LandslideVery Low$1,380
AvalancheVery Low$789

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles29
Tracks within 50 miles9
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Isaias202094 mi69 mph
Zeta202042 mi52 mph
Hanna200896 mi52 mph
Ernesto200687 mi46 mph
Isabel200336 mi58 mph
David197956 mi46 mph
Diane195528 mi52 mph
Able195228 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194914 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194570 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194464 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194391 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193463 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193361 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192970 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192884 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192851 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191537 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190258 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189967 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189676 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm18934 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189322 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188894 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188543 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Madison County, VA?

NCEI records 24 hail events in Madison County since 1950, in 13 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Madison County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 9 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Madison County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Madison County, and how much was paid?

19 NFIP claims since 1978, 14 of them paid, for $128K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Madison County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Madison County compare with the rest of Virginia?

222.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 1.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.