States › Virginia › Page County

Page County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51139 · 23,807 residents (2021) · 310 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 42Tornado · 3Flood · 71Wind · 191Winter · 192

Page County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 732 storm events in Page County, Virginia, led by winter storms and snow.

That is 236.1 events per 100 square miles, above the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 307.5 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

21 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $13M and crop damage at $15M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 188 claims since 1978, of which 157 were paid, totalling $3.6M (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 103 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($9.6M a year across 18 hazards).

25 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

21events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026

732events since 19500 deaths, 0 injuries recorded

24disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026

188NFIP flood claims$3.6M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

Measure	Page County	Virginia	US
Recorded events since 1950	732	57,789	1,977,440
Events per 100 square miles	236.1	146.4	56.0
Events per 10,000 residents	307.5	66.9	59.6
Events in the last 12 months	21	1,941	62,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI	0	239	26,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)	$13M	$2.7B	$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents	7.9	5.9	8.1
Average paid NFIP claim	$23K	$19K	$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years	3.9	4.3	16.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1

Wind: 2

Hail: 2Tornado: 1Flood: 13Wind: 12Winter: 20Heat: 8Cold: 2Drought: 8Wildfire: 1Other: 1

Hail: 29Tornado: 1Flood: 12Wind: 53Winter: 56Heat: 14Cold: 16Wildfire: 2Lightning: 2Fog: 7Other: 14

Hail: 6Flood: 32Wind: 61Winter: 79Tropical: 1Heat: 6Cold: 27Fog: 85

Hail: 5Tornado: 1Flood: 14Wind: 60Winter: 37Heat: 8Cold: 12Wildfire: 1Fog: 18

01950s11960s21970s21980s681990s2062000s2972010s1562020s

Recorded events in Page County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 531 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 184 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter192

Wind191

Fog110

Flood71

Cold57

Hail42

Heat36

Other15

Drought8

Wildfire4

Tornado3

Lightning2

Tropical1

Hazard	Events	Deaths	Share of state's events
■ Winter	192	—	1.8%	detail
■ Wind	191	—	0.8%	detail
■ Fog	110	—	6.4%
■ Flood	71	—	0.9%	detail
■ Cold	57	—	3.2%
■ Hail	42	—	0.7%	detail
■ Heat	36	—	2.7%
■ Other	15	—	0.6%
■ Drought	8	—	0.9%
■ Wildfire	4	—	9.3%
■ Tornado	3	—	0.3%
■ Lightning	2	—	0.4%
■ Tropical	1	—	0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

Date	Event type	Group	Magnitude	Property damage	Crop damage	Deaths	Injuries	Geography
6 Sep 1996	Flood	Flood	—	$2.0M	$5.0M	—	—	Forecast zone
1 Jul 1999	Drought	Drought	—	—	$6.0M	—	—	Forecast zone
18 Sep 2003	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$2.0M	—	—	—	County
18 Sep 2003	Flood	Flood	—	$2.0M	—	—	—	Forecast zone
6 Sep 1996	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$500K	$1.4M	—	—	County
6 Sep 1996	High Wind	Wind	—	$15K	$1.5M	—	—	Forecast zone
19 Jan 1996	Flood	Flood	—	$1.5M	$11K	—	—	Forecast zone
18 Sep 2003	High Wind	Wind	58 mph	$500K	$500K	—	—	Forecast zone
22 Jun 2026	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	85 mph	$1.0M	—	—	—	County
19 Jan 1996	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$700K	—	—	—	County
20 Mar 2024	Wildfire	Wildfire	—	$559K	—	—	—	Forecast zone
27 Sep 1993	Tornado	Tornado	F1	$500K	—	—	—	County
10 Apr 1997	Frost/Freeze	Cold	—	—	$500K	—	—	Forecast zone
3 Jun 2009	Tornado	Tornado	EF1	$300K	—	—	—	County
4 Jun 2008	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	90 mph	$237K	—	—	—	County
6 Jul 1995	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	0 mph	$210K	—	—	—	County
4 Feb 1998	Ice Storm	Winter	—	$25K	$150K	—	—	Forecast zone
25 Aug 2007	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	58 mph	$175K	—	—	—	County
22 Aug 2003	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	81 mph	$120K	—	—	—	County
16 Jul 2025	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	75 mph	$100K	—	—	—	County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

Declared	Number	Type	Incident	Title	Programs
23 Jan 2026	EM-3631	Emergency	Winter Storm	Severe Winter Storm	Public assistance
4 Apr 2025	DR-4863	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Winter Storms And Flooding	Public assistance
2 Apr 2020	DR-4512	Major disaster	Biological	Covid-19 Pandemic	Individual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020	EM-3448	Emergency	Biological	Covid-19	Public assistance
11 Sep 2018	EM-3403	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Florence	Public assistance
7 Mar 2016	DR-4262	Major disaster	Snowstorm	Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm	Public assistance
29 Oct 2012	EM-3359	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Sandy	Public assistance
27 Jul 2012	DR-4072	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms And Straight-Line Winds	Public assistance
27 Apr 2010	DR-1905	Major disaster	Snowstorm	Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms	Public assistance
16 Feb 2010	DR-1874	Major disaster	Snowstorm	Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm	Public assistance
12 Sep 2005	EM-3240	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Katrina Evacuation	Public assistance
18 Sep 2003	DR-1491	Major disaster	Hurricane	Hurricane Isabel	Individual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2002	FM-2397	Fire management assistance	Fire	Va - Fultz Run Fire - 02-28-2002	Public assistance
28 Feb 2000	DR-1318	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Winter Storms	Public assistance
6 Sep 1996	DR-1135	Major disaster	Hurricane	Hurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm Cond	Individual assistance, Public assistance
27 Jan 1996	DR-1098	Major disaster	Flood	Flooding, High Winds, And Wind Driven Rain	Individual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996	DR-1086	Major disaster	Snowstorm	Blizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)	Public assistance
25 Mar 1993	EM-3112	Emergency	Snowstorm	Severe Winter Storm	Public assistance
19 May 1992	DR-944	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
9 Nov 1985	DR-755	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jul 1977	EM-3046	Emergency	Drought	Drought	Public assistance
15 Oct 1976	EM-3018	Emergency	Drought	Drought	Public assistance
10 Oct 1972	DR-359	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jun 1972	DR-339	Major disaster	Flood	Tropical Storm Agnes	Individual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026

NFIP claims by year of loss in Page County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).

Claims since 1978188

Paid claims157

Total paid$3.6M

Average paid claim$23K

Repetitive-loss properties215 severe

Residential policies in force1030.9% of 10,917 structures

Year of loss	Claims	Paid claims	Amount paid	Average paid
2024	1	1	$11,420	$11,420
2018	3	2	$10,573	$5,286
2013	1	1	$13,164	$13,164
2011	2	2	$13,915	$6,958
2010	1	1	$13,706	$13,706
2006	1	0	$0	—
2004	1	1	$6,578	$6,578
2003	28	22	$336,238	$15,284
1999	2	0	$0	—
1998	1	1	$3,409	$3,409
1997	1	0	$0	—
1996	122	109	$2,820,970	$25,880
1994	1	0	$0	—
1992	2	0	$0	—
1985	20	17	$360,906	$21,230
1979	1	0	$0	—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 37.9 of 100

Expected annual loss$9.6MVery Low

Social vulnerabilityRelatively High

Community resilienceRelatively Low

Hazard (NRI)	Risk rating	Expected annual loss
Inland flooding	Relatively Low	$6,533,198
Hurricane	Relatively Low	$1,044,233
Strong wind	Relatively Moderate	$557,621
Drought	Relatively Moderate	$318,188
Cold wave	Relatively Low	$312,802
Tornado	Very Low	$174,439
Earthquake	Very Low	$149,567
Heat wave	Very Low	$145,673
Hail	Relatively Low	$134,701
Lightning	Relatively Low	$113,797
Wildfire	Very Low	$45,701
Winter weather	Relatively Low	$25,853
Ice storm	Very Low	$8,341
Landslide	Relatively Low	$8,265
Avalanche	Very Low	$1,509

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles25

Tracks within 50 miles9

Hurricane strength within 50 miles1

Storm	Year	Closest approach	Max wind while within 100 mi
Zeta	2020	59 mi	52 mph
Ernesto	2006	98 mi	46 mph
Isabel	2003	22 mi	58 mph
David	1979	40 mi	46 mph
Diane	1955	24 mi	52 mph
Able	1952	37 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1949	16 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1945	84 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1944	82 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1934	63 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1933	70 mi	63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1929	84 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1928	100 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1928	69 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1915	43 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1902	76 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1899	84 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1896	61 mi	69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1893	22 mi	63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1893	22 mi	75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1893	99 mi	40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1885	37 mi	46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1878	55 mi	58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1878	74 mi	92 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1876	71 mi	69 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

22835 106
22849 34
22851 23
22650 8

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Page County, VA?

NCEI records 42 hail events in Page County since 1950, in 15 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 5 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Page County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 3 tornadoes in Page County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Page County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Page County, and how much was paid?

188 NFIP claims since 1978, 157 of them paid, for $3.6M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Page County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Page County compare with the rest of Virginia?

236.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 7.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.