County Hazards

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Mecklenburg County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51117 · 30,248 residents (2021) · 625 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 50Tornado · 11Flood · 46Wind · 215Winter · 73
1984-03-28: Hail1990-06-23: Hail1996-07-02: Hail1997-07-21: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1998-05-01: Hail1998-06-13: Hail1998-06-13: Hail2001-05-19: Hail2001-05-19: Hail2001-05-19: Hail2001-06-01: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-07-05: Hail2003-07-16: Hail2003-07-16: Hail2003-05-09: Hail2003-05-09: Hail2005-07-07: Hail2008-06-01: Hail2009-09-28: Hail2009-09-28: Hail2009-05-06: Hail2012-07-01: Hail2013-04-19: Hail2013-04-19: Hail2013-04-19: Hail2013-04-19: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2017-05-10: Hail2017-04-22: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2023-05-09: Hail1978-01-26: Tornado1988-08-29: Tornado1990-07-10: Tornado1990-07-11: Tornado2005-01-14: Tornado2005-07-07: Tornado2010-10-27: Tornado2016-02-24: Tornado2017-05-05: Tornado2018-09-17: Tornado2019-10-31: Tornado2008-09-06: Flood2009-06-04: Flood2014-05-15: Flood2016-10-08: Flood2018-05-22: Flood2018-05-18: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2019-06-10: Flood2019-06-10: Flood2020-06-17: Flood2020-08-05: Flood2022-09-12: Flood2022-09-12: Flood2023-05-16: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2023-07-09: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-07-12: Flood2024-07-17: Flood2024-07-17: Flood2024-08-08: Flood2024-08-08: Flood2024-08-08: Flood2025-08-06: Flood2025-07-15: Flood2025-07-15: Flood2025-07-15: Flood2025-07-15: Flood2025-07-10: Flood2026-06-23: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-09-04: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-14: Wind2025-05-14: Wind2024-09-27: Wind2024-09-27: Wind2024-09-27: Wind2024-09-21: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-04-11: Wind2024-01-09: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-06-26: Wind2023-06-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-09: Wind2023-05-09: Wind2022-07-31: Wind2022-07-16: Wind2022-07-16: Wind2022-07-13: Wind2022-07-06: Wind2021-04-14: Wind2020-07-28: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2020-06-19: Wind2020-04-13: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-04: Wind2019-06-20: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2018-06-22: Wind2018-06-22: Wind2018-06-20: Wind2018-06-10: Wind2018-05-10: Wind2018-05-06: Wind2018-05-06: Wind2018-05-06: Wind2018-05-06: Wind2018-04-15: Wind2018-01-12: Wind2017-07-06: Wind2017-07-05: Wind2017-06-19: Wind2017-05-19: Wind2017-04-22: Wind2017-04-22: Wind2016-09-28: Wind2016-09-28: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-05: Wind2016-06-05: Wind2016-05-03: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2014-06-11: Wind2013-07-24: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-06-28: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2012-08-08: Wind2012-07-28: Wind2012-07-28: Wind2012-07-03: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2011-12-07: Wind2011-07-25: Wind2011-07-07: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-04-05: Wind2011-04-05: Wind
Mecklenburg County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 447 events for Mecklenburg County, Virginia, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 71.5 events per 100 square miles, below the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 147.8 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.0M and crop damage at $3.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 20 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 8 claims since 1978, of which 6 were paid, totalling $72K (about $12K per paid claim). FEMA counts 42 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($13M a year across 18 hazards).

54 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 2 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
447events since 19501 death, 3 injuries recorded
20disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
8NFIP flood claims$72K paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureMecklenburg CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195044757,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles71.5146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents147.866.959.6
Events in the last 12 months141,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI123926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.0M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.35.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$12K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.44.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 3
Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 13
Hail: 12Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 28Winter: 5Heat: 1Other: 3
Hail: 18Tornado: 2Flood: 11Wind: 38Winter: 25Tropical: 1Cold: 1Lightning: 2Other: 4
Hail: 15Tornado: 5Flood: 11Wind: 85Winter: 30Heat: 2Cold: 2Other: 16
Hail: 4Flood: 22Wind: 48Winter: 13Heat: 1Lightning: 1Other: 18
01950s31960s11970s151980s531990s1022000s1662010s1072020s
Recorded events in Mecklenburg County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 308 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 122 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind215
Winter73
Hail50
Flood46
Other41
Tornado11
Heat4
Cold3
Lightning3
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind215—0.9%detail
■ Winter73—0.7%detail
■ Hail50—0.8%detail
■ Flood4610.6%detail
■ Other41—1.5%
■ Tornado11—1.2%detail
■ Heat4—0.3%
■ Cold3—0.2%
■ Lightning3—0.6%
■ Tropical1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
9 Jan 2024Flash FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
15 Jun 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
29 Aug 1988TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——1County
18 Sep 2003Tropical StormTropical—$4.0M$3.0M——Forecast zone
24 Feb 2016TornadoTornadoEF1$260K$50K——County
5 May 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$200K———County
16 Sep 1999Flash FloodFlood—$153K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
10 May 2021DR-4602Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
18 Dec 2018DR-4411Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm MichaelPublic assistance
15 Oct 2018DR-4401Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
13 Jul 2006DR-1655Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2003DR-1491Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
18 Sep 1999DR-1293Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1014Major disasterSnowstormSevere Ice Storms, FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
23 Jul 1977EM-3046EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
15 Oct 1976EM-3018EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
10 Oct 1972DR-359Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Mecklenburg County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19788
Paid claims6
Total paid$72K
Average paid claim$12K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force420.3% of 16,390 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201711$4,439$4,439
199611$1,037$1,037
198732$5,999$3,000
198610$0—
198511$60,629$60,629
197811$293$293

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 54.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$13MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,803,232
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$2,803,173
DroughtRelatively High$2,226,135
TornadoRelatively Low$458,353
EarthquakeRelatively Low$434,552
Cold waveRelatively Low$349,071
Heat waveRelatively Low$291,597
Strong windRelatively Low$182,127
HailRelatively Low$155,763
LightningRelatively Low$118,741
Winter weatherRelatively Low$62,139
Ice stormRelatively Low$59,427
WildfireVery Low$7,186
LandslideVery Low$455

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles54
Tracks within 50 miles19
Hurricane strength within 50 miles2
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ophelia202355 mi46 mph
Elsa202154 mi52 mph
Zeta202077 mi52 mph
Nestor201995 mi46 mph
Michael201839 mi58 mph
Hanna200870 mi52 mph
Alberto200695 mi40 mph
Ernesto200665 mi46 mph
Isabel200337 mi75 mph
Helene200091 mi40 mph
Dennis199990 mi40 mph
Earl199885 mi58 mph
Danny199795 mi46 mph
Bertha199676 mi69 mph
Fran199635 mi46 mph
David197989 mi46 mph
Alma197071 mi40 mph
Isbell196490 mi40 mph
Cindy195960 mi40 mph
Diane195522 mi58 mph
Hazel195448 mi92 mph
Able195285 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194511 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194425 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194486 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Mecklenburg County, VA?

NCEI records 50 hail events in Mecklenburg County since 1950, in 18 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 16 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Mecklenburg County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Mecklenburg County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Mecklenburg County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 20 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Mecklenburg County, and how much was paid?

8 NFIP claims since 1978, 6 of them paid, for $72K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Mecklenburg County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Mecklenburg County compare with the rest of Virginia?

71.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 0.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.