County Hazards

States › Virginia › Patrick County

Patrick County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51141 · 17,602 residents (2021) · 483 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 125Tornado · 4Flood · 75Wind · 241Winter · 73
1957-08-01: Hail1970-05-22: Hail1975-05-10: Hail1980-07-17: Hail1988-05-17: Hail1988-05-16: Hail1996-08-16: Hail1997-08-25: Hail1998-06-03: Hail1998-06-03: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-06-15: Hail1998-06-16: Hail1999-05-07: Hail1999-07-29: Hail1999-07-24: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2000-05-13: Hail2000-05-13: Hail2000-06-03: Hail2000-08-08: Hail2002-04-17: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-06-06: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-07-04: Hail2002-09-04: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2005-06-21: Hail2005-08-04: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2007-06-11: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-06-11: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2007-08-30: Hail2007-05-12: Hail2007-05-12: Hail2007-05-12: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2007-07-27: Hail2008-05-08: Hail2008-07-31: Hail2008-06-12: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-09-30: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2010-06-15: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2010-06-27: Hail2011-06-12: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2011-04-05: Hail2011-04-08: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-07-03: Hail2011-06-07: Hail2011-06-07: Hail2011-06-07: Hail2011-06-07: Hail2011-05-10: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2012-03-24: Hail2012-03-24: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-06-30: Hail2012-03-24: Hail2012-03-24: Hail2012-03-24: Hail2012-07-09: Hail2012-07-01: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2013-08-22: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2014-05-05: Hail2014-06-10: Hail2015-09-04: Hail2016-02-24: Hail2016-05-12: Hail2016-09-29: Hail2016-09-30: Hail2017-05-18: Hail2017-05-30: Hail2017-05-19: Hail2017-07-18: Hail2017-07-18: Hail2018-05-10: Hail2018-04-15: Hail2019-05-29: Hail1999-09-29: Tornado1999-09-29: Tornado2005-07-07: Tornado2016-02-24: Tornado2005-01-14: Flood2006-11-16: Flood2008-12-11: Flood2009-05-26: Flood2009-06-16: Flood2009-06-16: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2012-03-24: Flood2012-03-24: Flood2012-03-24: Flood2013-07-04: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2013-08-09: Flood2014-06-16: Flood2015-08-18: Flood2015-08-18: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2017-05-05: Flood2017-05-24: Flood2018-05-19: Flood2018-09-17: Flood2018-12-28: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2019-06-08: Flood2020-05-21: Flood2020-05-21: Flood2020-04-13: Flood2020-08-31: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2021-09-21: Flood2021-09-21: Flood2021-09-21: Flood2022-08-21: Flood2022-08-21: Flood2023-06-20: Flood2023-06-20: Flood2023-06-20: Flood2023-08-28: Flood2023-08-28: Flood2023-08-28: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2024-12-11: Flood2024-12-11: Flood2025-06-19: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-07-04: Wind2024-04-11: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-23: Wind2023-07-23: Wind2023-06-19: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-03-03: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-05-26: Wind2022-05-06: Wind2021-09-22: Wind2021-09-22: Wind2021-09-22: Wind2021-08-18: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-07-26: Wind2021-06-13: Wind2020-07-10: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-09-11: Wind2019-08-21: Wind2019-08-21: Wind2019-08-21: Wind2019-08-13: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-06-30: Wind2019-06-17: Wind2019-06-17: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2018-08-31: Wind2018-08-31: Wind2018-08-01: Wind2018-07-30: Wind2018-07-30: Wind2018-07-21: Wind2018-05-21: Wind2017-10-23: Wind2017-10-23: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-07-04: Wind2017-05-24: Wind2017-05-24: Wind2017-05-18: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2017-05-11: Wind2016-09-30: Wind2016-09-29: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2015-09-04: Wind2014-07-02: Wind2014-06-20: Wind2014-06-20: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2013-07-04: Wind2013-07-04: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2013-04-19: Wind2012-07-03: Wind2012-07-03: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-06-12: Wind2011-09-02: Wind2011-09-02: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-06-11: Wind2011-06-07: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-04-05: Wind
Patrick County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 583 storm events in Patrick County, Virginia, led by damaging wind.

That is 120.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 331.2 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $13M and crop damage at $11M.

FEMA has designated the county in 19 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 45 claims since 1978, of which 34 were paid, totalling $1.1M (about $31K per paid claim). FEMA counts 12 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.4M a year across 18 hazards).

22 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
583events since 19501 death, 1 injury recorded
19disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
45NFIP flood claims$1.1M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasurePatrick CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195058357,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles120.7146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents331.266.959.6
Events in the last 12 months61,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI123926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$13M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.65.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$31K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years33.34.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1
Hail: 2Wind: 3
Hail: 3Wind: 8
Hail: 17Tornado: 2Flood: 6Wind: 20Winter: 11Cold: 2Drought: 6Lightning: 1
Hail: 38Tornado: 1Flood: 23Wind: 72Winter: 25Tropical: 1Cold: 4Drought: 10Wildfire: 1
Hail: 59Tornado: 1Flood: 26Wind: 98Winter: 27Cold: 2Drought: 1Lightning: 2Other: 7
Hail: 5Flood: 20Wind: 40Winter: 10Tropical: 1Cold: 1Drought: 6Lightning: 1Other: 19
11950s01960s51970s111980s651990s1752000s2232010s1032020s
Recorded events in Patrick County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 405 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 161 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind241
Hail125
Flood75
Winter73
Other26
Drought23
Cold9
Tornado4
Lightning4
Tropical2
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind241—1.1%detail
■ Hail125—2.0%detail
■ Flood7510.9%detail
■ Winter73—0.7%detail
■ Other26—1.0%
■ Drought23—2.7%
■ Cold9—0.5%
■ Tornado4—0.4%
■ Lightning4—0.7%
■ Tropical2—0.6%
■ Wildfire1—2.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Sep 2004Flash FloodFlood———1—County
13 Jan 2000High WindWind—$25K——1Forecast zone
1 Sep 2007DroughtDrought——$10M——Forecast zone
29 Sep 2015Flash FloodFlood—$4.0M———County
14 Apr 2006WildfireWildfire—$3.9M———Forecast zone
29 Sep 2015FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
17 Sep 2018Flash FloodFlood—$466K———County
20 May 2020Heavy RainOther—$464K———County
29 Jun 2012Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$400K———County
9 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$350K——Forecast zone
24 Feb 2016TornadoTornadoEF1$205K$140K——County
1 Oct 1998DroughtDrought——$300K——Forecast zone
21 May 2020FloodFlood—$250K———County
25 Jan 2010Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
27 Sep 2024High WindWind58 mph$135K$40K——Forecast zone
29 Sep 1999TornadoTornadoF1$130K$10K——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
1 Oct 2024DR-4831Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
10 May 2021DR-4602Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
15 Oct 2018DR-4401Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
7 Mar 2016DR-4262Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
15 Apr 2006FM-2637Fire management assistanceFireBull Mountain FirePublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Oct 2004DR-1570Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding From The Remanants Of Hurricane JeanneIndividual assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
11 Apr 1994DR-1021Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 May 1992DR-944Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Sep 1979DR-606Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1976EM-3018EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Patrick County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197845
Paid claims34
Total paid$1.1M
Average paid claim$31K
Repetitive-loss properties30 severe
Residential policies in force120.2% of 7,764 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202011$4,289$4,289
201911$14,136$14,136
201820$0—
201522$121,681$60,840
199610$0—
199410$0—
1992128$383,846$47,981
19851916$475,215$29,701
197966$60,916$10,153

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 20.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.4MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,509,163
Cold waveRelatively Low$637,004
DroughtRelatively Low$278,896
HurricaneRelatively Low$278,189
TornadoVery Low$226,855
Strong windRelatively Low$168,388
EarthquakeVery Low$111,495
HailVery Low$58,027
Ice stormRelatively Low$55,279
LightningVery Low$53,067
Winter weatherVery Low$18,196
Heat waveVery Low$9,466
WildfireVery Low$7,684
LandslideRelatively Low$6,592
AvalancheRelatively Low$3,510

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles22
Tracks within 50 miles7
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Michael201875 mi52 mph
Fran199671 mi46 mph
Hugo198995 mi63 mph
David197934 mi46 mph
Gracie195986 mi40 mph
Diane195589 mi58 mph
Able195222 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194925 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194592 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193294 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191549 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190788 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190222 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189690 mi81 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189339 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188980 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188898 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188660 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188578 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188299 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187829 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm185975 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Patrick County, VA?

NCEI records 125 hail events in Patrick County since 1950, in 33 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Patrick County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 4 tornadoes in Patrick County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Patrick County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 19 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Patrick County, and how much was paid?

45 NFIP claims since 1978, 34 of them paid, for $1.1M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Patrick County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Patrick County compare with the rest of Virginia?

120.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 2.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.