County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Hot Spring County

Hot Spring County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05059 · 33,148 residents (2021) · 615 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 194Tornado · 40Flood · 65Wind · 311Winter · 55
1967-06-28: Hail1972-04-03: Hail1974-06-06: Hail1975-05-06: Hail1976-03-29: Hail1979-07-09: Hail1982-04-19: Hail1982-04-16: Hail1982-04-15: Hail1984-08-29: Hail1985-06-30: Hail1985-04-23: Hail1986-04-08: Hail1986-04-04: Hail1987-12-14: Hail1988-04-18: Hail1988-04-18: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1992-06-14: Hail1992-06-14: Hail1992-06-19: Hail1992-03-05: Hail1992-06-03: Hail1996-02-27: Hail1997-06-16: Hail1997-06-16: Hail1997-03-30: Hail1998-07-23: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-02-11: Hail1999-03-05: Hail1999-03-05: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-02-11: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-03-05: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-08-02: Hail1999-05-04: Hail1999-05-17: Hail1999-04-26: Hail1999-12-04: Hail1999-08-26: Hail1999-10-09: Hail2000-09-01: Hail2000-09-01: Hail2001-02-24: Hail2001-04-14: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2002-12-18: Hail2002-05-03: Hail2002-05-09: Hail2002-04-29: Hail2002-04-29: Hail2002-04-29: Hail2002-04-29: Hail2002-03-30: Hail2002-03-30: Hail2003-07-29: Hail2003-08-26: Hail2003-05-07: Hail2003-05-10: Hail2003-05-10: Hail2004-03-17: Hail2004-03-17: Hail2004-03-17: Hail2004-06-21: Hail2005-03-26: Hail2005-03-26: Hail2005-05-24: Hail2005-05-24: Hail2005-11-27: Hail2006-08-15: Hail2007-04-10: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2008-05-22: Hail2008-05-22: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-04-03: Hail2008-04-03: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-10-06: Hail2008-03-13: Hail2008-03-13: Hail2008-04-08: Hail2008-03-30: Hail2008-03-30: Hail2008-03-15: Hail2008-04-25: Hail1950-03-26: Tornado1957-05-13: Tornado1957-01-22: Tornado1958-11-17: Tornado1961-05-08: Tornado1965-03-17: Tornado1967-05-01: Tornado1975-07-07: Tornado1976-03-29: Tornado1978-04-22: Tornado1979-05-03: Tornado1982-04-25: Tornado1982-12-23: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1983-05-14: Tornado1988-11-15: Tornado1996-09-26: Tornado1997-03-01: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-03-05: Tornado1999-03-05: Tornado1999-12-04: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado2002-12-18: Tornado2002-05-17: Tornado2003-05-16: Tornado2003-05-07: Tornado2005-11-27: Tornado2008-04-03: Tornado2008-04-03: Tornado2008-09-13: Tornado2011-04-25: Tornado2011-05-20: Tornado2013-05-30: Tornado2017-03-24: Tornado2022-11-04: Tornado2025-05-20: Tornado2025-10-18: Tornado2006-04-01: Flood2007-07-13: Flood2007-01-13: Flood2007-05-09: Flood2007-07-13: Flood2007-07-12: Flood2007-07-09: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2008-04-04: Flood2008-04-08: Flood2008-04-08: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-04: Flood2008-09-03: Flood2008-09-02: Flood2009-12-24: Flood2009-12-23: Flood2009-12-23: Flood2009-05-09: Flood2009-05-06: Flood2009-05-06: Flood2009-05-02: Flood2009-08-01: Flood2010-07-26: Flood2011-04-20: Flood2011-11-21: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-26: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2012-09-01: Flood2013-06-01: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2014-05-31: Flood2014-04-14: Flood2015-05-09: Flood2015-11-28: Flood2015-11-28: Flood2017-06-23: Flood2018-02-28: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2018-02-21: Flood2018-02-23: Flood2018-02-21: Flood2018-03-01: Flood2018-03-01: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2020-02-18: Flood2020-06-29: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-06-01: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2026-03-07: Flood2026-06-25: Flood2026-03-15: Wind2025-08-19: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2024-05-24: Wind2024-04-26: Wind2024-01-12: Wind2023-09-06: Wind2023-03-24: Wind2022-07-28: Wind2022-07-28: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-04-16: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2020-06-29: Wind2020-06-29: Wind2020-06-05: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-03-12: Wind2020-01-10: Wind2019-10-21: Wind2019-10-21: Wind2019-10-21: Wind2019-10-21: Wind2019-05-18: Wind2019-05-18: Wind2018-08-08: Wind2018-06-13: Wind2018-06-09: Wind2018-05-16: Wind2018-02-24: Wind2017-07-01: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-05-28: Wind2017-05-28: Wind2017-04-29: Wind2017-04-29: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-05-09: Wind2016-04-29: Wind2016-04-11: Wind2015-05-29: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-06-07: Wind2014-06-07: Wind2014-05-15: Wind2014-04-03: Wind2013-07-31: Wind2013-07-31: Wind2013-07-31: Wind2013-07-23: Wind2013-07-23: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-07-11: Wind2013-02-18: Wind2013-02-18: Wind2013-02-18: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2012-12-20: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-08-08: Wind2012-08-06: Wind2012-08-05: Wind2012-08-05: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-02-01: Wind2012-02-01: Wind2011-08-12: Wind2011-08-12: Wind2011-08-12: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-05-20: Wind2011-05-20: Wind2011-05-20: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-04-15: Wind2011-04-15: Wind2011-04-15: Wind2011-04-11: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2010-11-25: Wind2009-08-18: Wind2009-08-18: Wind2009-07-26: Wind2009-07-26: Wind2009-07-26: Wind2009-07-16: Wind2009-06-30: Wind2009-06-30: Wind2009-06-30: Wind2009-06-30: Wind2009-06-30: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-05-05: Wind2009-04-02: Wind2009-04-02: Wind2008-10-06: Wind
Hot Spring County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 728 events for Hot Spring County, Arkansas, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 118.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 219.6 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 70 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $47M and crop damage at $1.1M.

FEMA has designated the county in 20 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 20 claims since 1978, of which 15 were paid, totalling $294K (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 53 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).

10 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
728events since 19502 deaths, 70 injuries recorded
20disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
20NFIP flood claims$294K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureHot Spring CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195072848,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles118.494.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents219.6161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months71,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI266826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$47M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.63.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years7.523.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 5Tornado: 4Wind: 5
Hail: 14Tornado: 6Wind: 35
Hail: 49Tornado: 8Flood: 3Wind: 85Winter: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 59Tornado: 8Flood: 29Wind: 79Winter: 14Tropical: 3Heat: 1Cold: 5Drought: 1Lightning: 5Other: 2
Hail: 49Tornado: 4Flood: 26Wind: 80Winter: 28Tropical: 2Heat: 9Cold: 2Drought: 20Wildfire: 5Other: 6
Hail: 17Tornado: 3Flood: 7Wind: 24Winter: 10Tropical: 1
51950s61960s141970s551980s1491990s2062000s2312010s622020s
Recorded events in Hot Spring County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 397 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 271 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind311
Hail194
Flood65
Winter55
Tornado40
Drought21
Heat10
Other8
Cold7
Tropical6
Lightning6
Wildfire5
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind31111.8%detail
■ Hail194—1.6%detail
■ Flood65—1.1%detail
■ Winter55—1.2%detail
■ Tornado40—1.6%detail
■ Drought21—1.1%
■ Heat10—0.4%
■ Other8—1.2%
■ Cold7—1.5%
■ Tropical6—2.2%
■ Lightning611.6%
■ Wildfire5—2.8%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
2 Oct 2014Thunderstorm WindWind40 mph$50K—11County
9 Jun 2008LightningLightning—$25K—1—County
23 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF3$25M——29County
26 Sep 1996TornadoTornadoF2$2.1M——15County
1 Mar 1997TornadoTornadoF4$2.0M——11County
15 Nov 1988TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——4County
18 Feb 2013Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$175K——4County
17 May 2002TornadoTornadoF1———2County
2 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF1$250K——1County
28 May 2006LightningLightning————1County
10 May 2006LightningLightning————1County
1 Jul 2012WildfireWildfire————1Forecast zone
25 Dec 2012Winter StormWinter—$5.0M———Forecast zone
27 Apr 1998LightningLightning—$2.3M———County
1 May 2011FloodFlood—$500K$1.0M——County
13 Sep 2008Tropical StormTropical—$750K———Forecast zone
2 Sep 2008Tropical DepressionTropical—$530K———Forecast zone
30 Aug 2012Tropical DepressionTropical—$500K———Forecast zone
2 Sep 2008Flash FloodFlood—$260K———County
13 May 1957TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 May 2025DR-4873Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 May 2025DR-4865Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
29 Jan 2013DR-4100Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Jun 2009DR-1845Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
18 Sep 2008DR-1793Major disasterHurricaneSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Hurricane GustavPublic assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
13 Mar 2001DR-1363Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Dec 2000DR-1354Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Dec 2000EM-3159EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
2 Mar 1997DR-1162Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1990DR-865Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Nov 1988DR-817Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms & TornadoesIndividual assistance
13 Dec 1982DR-673Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Hot Spring County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197820
Paid claims15
Total paid$294K
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force530.4% of 13,455 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202533$196,079$65,360
202310$0—
201410$0—
200911$4,301$4,301
200833$11,695$3,898
200710$0—
199911$1,517$1,517
199733$6,724$2,241
199311$12,714$12,714
199032$57,217$28,608
198321$3,961$3,961

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 55.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$14MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,320,112
TornadoRelatively Moderate$1,743,331
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,022,956
Heat waveRelatively Low$983,773
Ice stormRelatively High$964,743
EarthquakeRelatively Low$924,180
LightningRelatively High$716,961
HailRelatively Moderate$599,691
Cold waveVery Low$110,386
HurricaneVery Low$76,322
Winter weatherRelatively Low$56,992
WildfireVery Low$46,807
DroughtVery Low$11,465
LandslideRelatively Low$2,405

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles10
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Laura202026 mi40 mph
Ike200892 mi40 mph
Betsy1965100 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194158 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191568 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190556 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189156 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188677 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187920 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186522 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Hot Spring County, AR?

NCEI records 194 hail events in Hot Spring County since 1950, in 46 different years; that is about 2.5 recorded events a year. 60 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Hot Spring County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 40 tornadoes in Hot Spring County since 1950, 14 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Hot Spring County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 20 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Hot Spring County, and how much was paid?

20 NFIP claims since 1978, 15 of them paid, for $294K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Hot Spring County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Hot Spring County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

118.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 0.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.