County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Lawrence County

Lawrence County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05075 · 16,292 residents (2021) · 588 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 100Tornado · 24Flood · 119Wind · 170Winter · 73
1962-05-08: Hail1972-04-30: Hail1973-05-26: Hail1974-05-08: Hail1976-08-23: Hail1977-03-11: Hail1980-08-03: Hail1984-04-03: Hail1985-06-05: Hail1988-06-08: Hail1988-05-03: Hail1991-03-22: Hail1991-05-12: Hail1991-11-19: Hail1991-11-19: Hail1992-07-05: Hail1992-03-18: Hail1996-07-22: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-03-27: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1999-01-17: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2000-05-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2002-04-30: Hail2002-08-18: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-06-13: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2004-04-22: Hail2004-08-23: Hail2004-08-10: Hail2005-02-21: Hail2006-03-09: Hail2006-03-31: Hail2006-03-31: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-11-10: Hail2008-03-14: Hail2008-04-25: Hail2008-03-31: Hail2008-03-31: Hail2010-12-31: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-27: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-04-07: Hail2010-05-24: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-08-23: Hail2011-08-12: Hail2012-03-31: Hail2012-12-09: Hail2012-01-22: Hail2012-01-22: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-06-03: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2014-05-09: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2018-05-20: Hail2018-05-20: Hail2018-05-20: Hail2018-05-31: Hail2018-03-26: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2020-04-20: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2022-10-12: Hail2022-10-12: Hail2022-04-15: Hail2022-04-15: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-08-09: Hail2023-08-09: Hail2026-04-27: Hail1952-06-04: Tornado1954-04-30: Tornado1955-11-15: Tornado1975-04-30: Tornado1976-03-29: Tornado1976-03-29: Tornado1977-09-14: Tornado1979-04-11: Tornado1985-07-05: Tornado1996-01-18: Tornado1996-03-05: Tornado1997-05-26: Tornado1997-03-01: Tornado1998-05-09: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-04-05: Tornado2000-05-09: Tornado2004-10-18: Tornado2017-03-07: Tornado2026-03-15: Tornado2007-01-13: Flood2008-03-19: Flood2008-03-19: Flood2008-03-31: Flood2008-03-31: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-01: Flood2009-08-10: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-04-23: Flood2010-05-20: Flood2010-06-25: Flood2010-04-30: Flood2011-02-24: Flood2011-02-24: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2013-01-13: Flood2013-06-01: Flood2014-04-27: Flood2014-04-28: Flood2016-03-30: Flood2016-08-14: Flood2016-08-19: Flood2017-05-03: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-04-26: Flood2017-04-26: Flood2017-07-14: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2019-03-01: Flood2019-03-09: Flood2019-04-14: Flood2019-06-28: Flood2019-02-06: Flood2019-06-01: Flood2019-05-01: Flood2019-11-08: Flood2020-03-01: Flood2020-03-14: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-05-01: Flood2020-04-01: Flood2020-04-21: Flood2020-04-24: Flood2020-02-04: Flood2020-02-01: Flood2020-11-01: Flood2020-08-27: Flood2020-08-27: Flood2020-09-02: Flood2020-09-02: Flood2020-09-02: Flood2020-09-01: Flood2020-10-29: Flood2020-06-01: Flood2021-03-13: Flood2021-04-01: Flood2021-04-14: Flood2021-12-22: Flood2021-01-26: Flood2021-02-01: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-06-01: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2021-03-03: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-02-18: Flood2022-04-01: Flood2022-05-01: Flood2022-03-01: Flood2022-03-22: Flood2023-03-03: Flood2023-01-02: Flood2023-01-02: Flood2023-01-03: Flood2023-02-08: Flood2023-04-21: Flood2023-04-01: Flood2024-01-12: Flood2024-02-01: Flood2024-05-18: Flood2024-05-26: Flood2024-06-11: Flood2024-06-01: Flood2024-12-26: Flood2024-12-18: Flood2024-11-05: Flood2024-07-16: Flood2024-07-16: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-01-01: Flood2025-01-30: Flood2025-05-01: Flood2025-05-24: Flood2025-02-12: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-01: Flood2025-01-30: Flood2025-04-02: Flood2025-06-01: Flood2025-06-16: Flood2025-06-28: Flood2025-06-30: Flood2025-07-01: Flood2025-10-18: Flood2025-06-15: Flood1956-02-25: Wind1961-04-25: Wind1962-07-23: Wind1963-08-28: Wind1964-04-12: Wind1965-09-21: Wind1965-07-03: Wind1968-09-08: Wind1968-03-11: Wind1969-06-21: Wind1973-06-19: Wind1974-07-12: Wind1974-07-21: Wind1976-02-21: Wind1982-12-24: Wind1984-07-15: Wind1984-02-26: Wind1986-05-15: Wind1986-08-01: Wind1987-07-30: Wind1987-06-02: Wind1988-05-08: Wind1988-11-15: Wind1988-08-27: Wind1990-07-10: Wind1990-09-07: Wind1991-06-22: Wind1991-03-22: Wind1991-03-22: Wind1991-03-22: Wind1991-05-05: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-07-22: Wind1996-12-23: Wind1996-03-24: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-01-17: Wind1999-07-27: Wind1999-04-05: Wind2000-05-09: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-26: Wind2000-10-05: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2002-01-23: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-04-30: Wind2002-05-09: Wind2003-07-19: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-10-18: Wind2004-10-18: Wind2005-07-04: Wind2005-11-15: Wind2005-11-05: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-06-16: Wind2006-08-14: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2007-04-24: Wind2008-03-18: Wind2008-01-08: Wind2008-03-18: Wind2008-04-03: Wind2008-05-25: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-07-11: Wind2010-05-16: Wind2010-04-23: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-04-26: Wind2011-06-28: Wind2011-06-28: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2013-05-30: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2013-02-18: Wind2013-02-18: Wind2014-06-05: Wind2015-05-24: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-12-23: Wind2015-06-05: Wind2015-06-05: Wind2016-06-15: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-07: Wind2017-03-07: Wind2017-03-07: Wind2017-03-07: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-06-23: Wind
Lawrence County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 550 storm events in Lawrence County, Arkansas, led by damaging wind.

That is 93.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 337.6 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 33 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $27M and crop damage at $1.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 23 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 48 claims since 1978, of which 41 were paid, totalling $897K (about $22K per paid claim). FEMA counts 84 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($19M a year across 18 hazards).

5 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
550events since 19504 deaths, 33 injuries recorded
23disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
48NFIP flood claims$897K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureLawrence CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195055048,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles93.694.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents337.6161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months101,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI466826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$27M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.93.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$22K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years17.923.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3Wind: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 9
Hail: 5Tornado: 5Wind: 4
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Wind: 10
Hail: 18Tornado: 10Wind: 28Winter: 2
Hail: 27Tornado: 3Flood: 19Wind: 37Winter: 18Tropical: 1Heat: 1Cold: 2Drought: 3
Hail: 30Tornado: 1Flood: 30Wind: 50Winter: 34Heat: 33Drought: 17Wildfire: 1Other: 1
Hail: 14Tornado: 1Flood: 70Wind: 31Winter: 19Tropical: 1Fog: 1Other: 3
41950s101960s141970s161980s581990s1112000s1972010s1402020s
Recorded events in Lawrence County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 388 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 121 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind170
Flood119
Hail100
Winter73
Heat34
Tornado24
Drought20
Other4
Tropical2
Cold2
Wildfire1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind17011.0%detail
■ Flood119—2.1%detail
■ Hail100—0.8%detail
■ Winter7311.6%detail
■ Heat34—1.3%
■ Tornado2410.9%detail
■ Drought20—1.1%
■ Other410.6%
■ Tropical2—0.7%
■ Cold2—0.4%
■ Wildfire1—0.6%
■ Fog1—11.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
10 Apr 2016Dust StormOther—$300K—114Forecast zone
14 Sep 1977TornadoTornadoF2$25K—13County
5 Jun 2014Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph——13County
3 Dec 2002Ice StormWinter—$1.1M—1—Forecast zone
15 Nov 1955TornadoTornadoF3$250K——9County
1 Mar 1997TornadoTornadoF3$500K$1.1M—2County
21 Jan 1999TornadoTornadoF0$10K——1County
30 May 2013Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
18 Mar 2008FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
1 Apr 2008FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
1 May 2017FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
3 May 2017Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
23 Sep 2006Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
28 Apr 2014Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
26 Jun 1994Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$500K———County
26 Jun 1994Thunderstorm WindWind100 mph$500K———County
27 Apr 2014Flash FloodFlood—$488K———County
11 Apr 1979TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
9 May 2000Thunderstorm WindWind66 mph$250K———County
24 Feb 2011Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 May 2025DR-4873Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 May 2025DR-4865Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
15 Jun 2017DR-4318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2016DR-4254Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Apr 2014DR-4174Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 2009DR-1861Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2009DR-1819Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3301EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Apr 2006DR-1636Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 Jan 2003DR-1450Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Ice StormPublic assistance
2 Mar 1997DR-1162Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
13 Dec 1982DR-673Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
27 Apr 1973DR-375Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Feb 1969DR-254Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lawrence County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197848
Paid claims41
Total paid$897K
Average paid claim$22K
Repetitive-loss properties82 severe
Residential policies in force841.5% of 5,671 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202532$209,905$104,952
202111$32,658$32,658
2017119$234,620$26,069
201611$17,225$17,225
20111817$272,903$16,053
200922$46,811$23,406
200832$21,331$10,666
200611$34,059$34,059
200211$10,084$10,084
200111$2,078$2,078
199810$0—
199711$5,931$5,931
198310$0—
198211$8,573$8,573
197922$578$289

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 67.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$19MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$5,541,563
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,012,852
TornadoRelatively Moderate$3,395,831
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,145,044
Ice stormRelatively High$1,048,730
Heat waveRelatively Low$919,332
DroughtRelatively Moderate$876,035
Strong windRelatively Moderate$712,028
LightningRelatively Low$164,790
Winter weatherRelatively Low$54,017
HurricaneVery Low$52,621
HailVery Low$45,405
WildfireVery Low$14,096
LandslideVery Low$242

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles5
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm19413 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192329 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191512 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190973 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190655 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lawrence County, AR?

NCEI records 100 hail events in Lawrence County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 1.3 recorded events a year. 30 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lawrence County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 24 tornadoes in Lawrence County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lawrence County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 23 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lawrence County, and how much was paid?

48 NFIP claims since 1978, 41 of them paid, for $897K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lawrence County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lawrence County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

93.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 2.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.