County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Randolph County

Randolph County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05121 · 18,865 residents (2021) · 652 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 103Tornado · 22Flood · 99Wind · 124Winter · 70
1973-05-23: Hail1990-04-16: Hail1990-04-16: Hail1990-05-12: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1992-03-18: Hail1992-03-18: Hail1996-07-07: Hail1996-12-23: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-03-05: Hail1996-03-06: Hail1996-03-15: Hail1996-04-19: Hail1997-07-27: Hail1997-02-28: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1997-04-21: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-06: Hail1998-05-01: Hail1999-01-17: Hail2000-04-16: Hail2000-05-18: Hail2000-08-23: Hail2000-08-07: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2001-08-24: Hail2001-09-23: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-04-06: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-04-24: Hail2003-05-01: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2004-10-18: Hail2006-02-16: Hail2006-03-09: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-25: Hail2006-04-25: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-11-10: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2007-11-21: Hail2008-04-10: Hail2008-04-10: Hail2008-03-15: Hail2008-04-25: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-06-09: Hail2009-07-15: Hail2009-06-15: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2011-04-04: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-24: Hail2011-06-28: Hail2011-06-16: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2012-03-31: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2014-10-09: Hail2016-02-21: Hail2018-03-26: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2021-05-06: Hail2021-05-06: Hail2023-04-05: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail1955-04-22: Tornado1961-05-14: Tornado1982-12-03: Tornado1984-11-01: Tornado1994-07-02: Tornado1999-04-05: Tornado2004-10-18: Tornado2004-10-18: Tornado2004-10-18: Tornado2004-10-18: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2006-09-22: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2019-05-29: Tornado2020-08-27: Tornado2022-03-06: Tornado2023-06-18: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2025-04-02: Tornado2006-10-27: Flood2007-04-03: Flood2007-01-13: Flood2008-03-31: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-04-01: Flood2009-10-09: Flood2009-05-08: Flood2009-08-10: Flood2009-07-11: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-06-15: Flood2010-03-11: Flood2011-02-24: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2013-07-22: Flood2014-04-27: Flood2015-06-05: Flood2016-03-30: Flood2016-08-14: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-05-03: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-04-30: Flood2017-04-26: Flood2018-02-22: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2019-03-01: Flood2019-03-15: Flood2019-04-20: Flood2019-06-01: Flood2019-07-05: Flood2019-08-18: Flood2019-05-01: Flood2019-05-02: Flood2019-02-11: Flood2019-05-22: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-03-17: Flood2020-01-12: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2020-05-08: Flood2020-05-13: Flood2020-04-01: Flood2020-02-09: Flood2020-06-01: Flood2021-03-15: Flood2021-04-01: Flood2021-04-30: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2021-05-01: Flood2022-01-02: Flood2022-02-21: Flood2022-01-09: Flood2022-05-03: Flood2022-04-02: Flood2022-04-14: Flood2022-05-01: Flood2022-05-03: Flood2022-05-06: Flood2022-03-01: Flood2022-03-07: Flood2023-03-03: Flood2023-03-25: Flood2023-03-25: Flood2023-03-25: Flood2023-02-08: Flood2023-02-10: Flood2023-04-01: Flood2023-03-04: Flood2024-01-29: Flood2024-05-29: Flood2024-06-01: Flood2024-12-30: Flood2024-11-05: Flood2024-11-08: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-01-01: Flood2025-05-25: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-01-30: Flood1964-11-27: Wind1970-08-03: Wind1976-02-21: Wind1977-02-23: Wind1984-08-29: Wind1984-07-04: Wind1985-08-10: Wind1985-08-10: Wind1986-05-28: Wind1986-05-28: Wind1986-08-01: Wind1989-03-20: Wind1989-06-01: Wind1990-05-12: Wind1990-09-07: Wind1991-03-22: Wind1992-07-16: Wind1992-04-20: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-03-05: Wind1998-05-09: Wind1998-08-10: Wind1998-05-01: Wind1999-01-17: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-07-27: Wind1999-07-28: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-18: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-10-05: Wind2000-08-07: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-12-18: Wind2002-06-24: Wind2002-06-05: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2002-08-24: Wind2003-05-07: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2005-07-04: Wind2005-07-04: Wind2005-09-28: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-08-03: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-11-10: Wind2006-11-10: Wind2007-06-29: Wind2007-10-18: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-08-06: Wind2009-05-14: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-07-15: Wind2009-07-15: Wind2009-07-11: Wind2009-07-11: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2010-03-10: Wind2010-04-30: Wind2011-07-07: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-06-15: Wind2011-06-28: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2012-12-09: Wind2012-06-03: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2016-02-21: Wind2016-05-09: Wind2016-05-09: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2018-06-02: Wind2018-08-06: Wind2018-08-06: Wind2018-02-20: Wind2018-02-24: Wind2019-08-18: Wind2019-08-18: Wind2020-05-25: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2022-02-22: Wind2022-02-22: Wind2022-02-22: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2022-03-06: Wind
Randolph County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Randolph County, Arkansas, has 477 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 73.2 events per 100 square miles, below the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 252.8 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

0 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 8 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $36M and crop damage at $6K.

FEMA has designated the county in 27 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 234 claims since 1978, of which 217 were paid, totalling $9.6M (about $44K per paid claim). FEMA counts 84 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($20M a year across 18 hazards).

7 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

0events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
477events since 19503 deaths, 8 injuries recorded
27disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
234NFIP flood claims$9.6M paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureRandolph CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195047748,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.294.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents252.8161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months01,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI366826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$36M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents12.43.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$44K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years129.823.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 3
Tornado: 2Wind: 9
Hail: 34Tornado: 2Flood: 2Wind: 22Winter: 2
Hail: 40Tornado: 7Flood: 22Wind: 45Winter: 17Tropical: 1Heat: 1Cold: 2Drought: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 19Tornado: 1Flood: 28Wind: 29Winter: 37Heat: 31Drought: 18Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 9Tornado: 8Flood: 47Wind: 15Winter: 14
11950s21960s41970s111980s621990s1392000s1652010s932020s
Recorded events in Randolph County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 337 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 127 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind124
Hail103
Flood99
Winter70
Heat32
Tornado22
Drought21
Cold2
Lightning2
Tropical1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind124—0.7%detail
■ Hail103—0.8%detail
■ Flood9921.7%detail
■ Winter70—1.5%detail
■ Heat32—1.2%
■ Tornado22—0.9%detail
■ Drought21—1.1%
■ Cold2—0.4%
■ Lightning2—0.5%
■ Tropical1—0.4%
■ Other110.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
1 Apr 2008FloodFlood—$2.3M—1—County
1 May 2011FloodFlood—$525K—1—County
30 Apr 2010Heavy RainOther———1—County
5 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF1$200K——4County
1 May 2017FloodFlood—$15M———County
2 Jul 1994TornadoTornadoF2$500K——1County
17 Jan 1999Thunderstorm WindWind—$50K——1County
3 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
17 Jan 2011Winter WeatherWinter————1Forecast zone
3 May 2017Flash FloodFlood—$3.0M———County
23 Sep 2006Flash FloodFlood—$2.5M———County
18 Mar 2008FloodFlood—$2.3M———County
5 Apr 1999TornadoTornadoF2$2.0M———County
27 Apr 2014Flash FloodFlood—$1.6M———County
2 Apr 2006TornadoTornadoF3$1.0M———County
26 Jan 2009Ice StormWinter—$1.0M———Forecast zone
3 Dec 2002Ice StormWinter—$925K———Forecast zone
25 Apr 2011FloodFlood—$525K———County
27 Aug 2020TornadoTornadoEF2$200K———County
6 Mar 2022TornadoTornadoEF1$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 May 2025DR-4873Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 May 2025DR-4865Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
30 May 2024DR-4788Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
15 Jun 2017DR-4318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2016DR-4254Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Apr 2014DR-4174Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 2009DR-1861Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2009DR-1819Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3301EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Feb 2008DR-1744Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Apr 2006DR-1636Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 Jan 2003DR-1450Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Ice StormPublic assistance
23 Jan 1999DR-1266Major disasterSevere StormAr Severe Weather 1-21-99Public assistance
13 Dec 1982DR-673Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
3 Dec 1976EM-3019EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
7 Jun 1975DR-471Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Apr 1973DR-375Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Feb 1969DR-254Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Randolph County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978234
Paid claims217
Total paid$9.6M
Average paid claim$44K
Repetitive-loss properties4812 severe
Residential policies in force841.0% of 8,691 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202598$485,715$60,714
201922$57,824$28,912
20179896$6,282,178$65,439
201686$55,000$9,167
201533$33,492$11,164
201466$146,852$24,475
20115954$1,440,754$26,681
200911$10,900$10,900
20083328$867,038$30,966
200666$171,094$28,516
200211$2,807$2,807
199810$0—
199711$371$371
199411$9,366$9,366
199311$8,501$8,501
198311$950$950
198221$132$132
197811$333$333

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 67.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$20MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$6,130,428
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,537,453
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$3,885,317
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,790,773
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,392,806
Ice stormRelatively High$703,506
DroughtRelatively Moderate$308,984
Strong windRelatively Low$257,715
LightningRelatively Low$185,715
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$73,241
HurricaneVery Low$54,352
HailVery Low$35,376
WildfireVery Low$20,309
LandslideVery Low$2,070

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles7
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Olga201997 mi46 mph
Ike200887 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194124 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192349 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191514 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190994 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190639 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Randolph County, AR?

NCEI records 103 hail events in Randolph County since 1950, in 28 different years; that is about 1.3 recorded events a year. 28 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Randolph County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 22 tornadoes in Randolph County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Randolph County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 27 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Randolph County, and how much was paid?

234 NFIP claims since 1978, 217 of them paid, for $9.6M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Randolph County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Randolph County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

73.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 12.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.