County Hazards

States › Arizona › Cochise County

Cochise County, Arizona

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 04003 · 126,050 residents (2021) · 6,210 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 126Tornado · 18Flood · 238Wind · 219Winter · 19
1971-07-22: Hail1979-08-13: Hail1979-08-15: Hail1979-08-14: Hail1984-07-20: Hail1984-07-31: Hail1985-07-06: Hail1985-09-19: Hail1985-09-19: Hail1986-07-14: Hail1986-07-14: Hail1987-08-25: Hail1987-08-07: Hail1988-10-16: Hail1990-08-16: Hail1991-08-03: Hail1991-09-03: Hail1992-08-19: Hail1992-05-24: Hail1996-07-25: Hail1996-08-17: Hail1997-06-06: Hail1997-03-31: Hail1997-09-21: Hail1997-09-21: Hail1998-06-10: Hail1998-07-31: Hail1999-07-03: Hail1999-06-17: Hail2000-06-19: Hail2000-06-17: Hail2000-06-17: Hail2001-08-05: Hail2002-08-16: Hail2002-09-07: Hail2003-07-20: Hail2003-07-20: Hail2003-07-25: Hail2003-09-08: Hail2004-07-13: Hail2005-05-24: Hail2005-05-26: Hail2005-08-02: Hail2005-08-22: Hail2005-08-22: Hail2005-07-17: Hail2005-07-24: Hail2005-10-14: Hail2006-01-25: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-07-25: Hail2006-07-26: Hail2006-07-13: Hail2006-08-09: Hail2006-08-21: Hail2008-12-08: Hail2008-07-25: Hail2008-06-26: Hail2008-07-13: Hail2010-08-23: Hail2010-08-15: Hail2010-08-06: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-09-14: Hail2011-09-09: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2012-05-09: Hail2013-07-09: Hail2013-07-13: Hail2013-07-09: Hail2013-07-13: Hail2013-08-14: Hail2013-08-02: Hail2013-07-10: Hail2014-07-30: Hail2014-07-26: Hail2014-08-09: Hail2014-04-19: Hail2014-07-14: Hail2015-06-30: Hail2015-06-30: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-06-30: Hail2015-10-06: Hail2015-10-20: Hail2015-08-21: Hail2015-08-22: Hail2016-09-30: Hail2017-07-28: Hail2017-07-13: Hail2018-08-19: Hail2018-09-02: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2019-09-23: Hail2019-08-28: Hail2020-06-16: Hail2020-06-15: Hail2020-08-20: Hail2021-09-07: Hail2021-09-07: Hail2021-09-07: Hail2021-09-07: Hail2021-10-05: Hail2021-07-10: Hail2021-07-10: Hail2021-07-28: Hail2022-08-07: Hail2022-08-07: Hail2022-08-07: Hail2022-07-20: Hail2023-08-07: Hail2024-08-21: Hail2024-07-28: Hail1956-07-12: Tornado1963-07-10: Tornado1966-07-28: Tornado1966-08-31: Tornado1971-07-17: Tornado1971-07-16: Tornado1972-09-09: Tornado1974-06-24: Tornado1990-07-16: Tornado1992-08-17: Tornado1993-08-29: Tornado1997-08-23: Tornado2009-11-29: Tornado2014-08-15: Tornado2015-09-22: Tornado2017-07-29: Tornado2019-09-23: Tornado2024-08-21: Tornado2026-06-25: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2025-10-13: Flood2025-09-25: Flood2025-09-25: Flood2025-09-13: Flood2025-09-12: Flood2025-08-31: Flood2025-08-31: Flood2025-08-15: Flood2025-08-09: Flood2025-07-31: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-22: Flood2025-07-18: Flood2025-07-16: Flood2025-07-15: Flood2025-07-05: Flood2025-07-05: Flood2024-08-07: Flood2024-07-29: Flood2024-07-27: Flood2024-07-15: Flood2024-06-25: Flood2022-08-24: Flood2022-08-23: Flood2022-08-23: Flood2022-08-23: Flood2022-08-20: Flood2022-08-07: Flood2022-08-03: Flood2022-08-03: Flood2022-08-02: Flood2022-07-24: Flood2022-07-24: Flood2022-07-04: Flood2021-08-23: Flood2021-08-16: Flood2021-08-16: Flood2021-08-14: Flood2021-08-14: Flood2021-08-13: Flood2021-08-13: Flood2021-08-11: Flood2021-08-10: Flood2021-08-10: Flood2021-08-08: Flood2021-08-08: Flood2021-07-22: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-07-16: Flood2021-07-03: Flood2021-07-02: Flood2020-09-09: Flood2020-09-08: Flood2020-07-02: Flood2019-11-28: Flood2019-11-27: Flood2019-09-24: Flood2019-09-08: Flood2019-08-23: Flood2019-08-22: Flood2019-08-09: Flood2018-10-21: Flood2018-09-02: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2017-07-28: Flood2017-07-27: Flood2017-07-19: Flood2017-07-13: Flood2016-09-07: Flood2016-09-02: Flood2016-08-09: Flood2016-08-02: Flood2016-07-31: Flood2016-07-31: Flood2016-07-01: Flood2015-09-19: Flood2015-08-22: Flood2015-08-08: Flood2015-07-29: Flood2014-09-21: Flood2014-09-18: Flood2014-09-08: Flood2014-08-26: Flood2014-08-19: Flood2014-08-01: Flood2014-07-30: Flood2014-07-12: Flood2014-07-11: Flood2013-08-29: Flood2013-08-01: Flood2013-07-27: Flood2013-07-23: Flood2013-07-13: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-07-09: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-07-05: Flood2012-09-03: Flood2012-09-03: Flood2012-07-30: Flood2012-07-28: Flood2012-07-16: Flood2012-07-15: Flood2012-07-15: Flood2012-07-13: Flood2012-07-05: Flood2012-07-03: Flood2011-08-21: Flood2011-08-20: Flood2025-09-12: Wind2025-09-12: Wind2025-08-09: Wind2025-07-30: Wind2025-07-21: Wind2025-07-13: Wind2025-07-13: Wind2025-07-13: Wind2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-15: Wind2025-06-01: Wind2025-06-01: Wind2024-09-15: Wind2024-08-21: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2024-07-29: Wind2024-07-28: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-11: Wind2024-07-01: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-06-29: Wind2024-06-25: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2023-08-21: Wind2023-08-21: Wind2023-06-28: Wind2023-05-14: Wind2022-09-28: Wind2022-08-16: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-06: Wind2022-08-06: Wind2022-08-03: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-19: Wind2022-07-19: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2021-08-17: Wind2021-08-08: Wind2021-08-08: Wind2021-07-22: Wind2021-07-10: Wind2021-07-07: Wind2020-09-06: Wind2020-08-22: Wind2020-08-16: Wind2020-08-15: Wind2020-07-14: Wind2020-07-11: Wind2020-07-11: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2019-09-23: Wind2019-08-31: Wind2019-08-23: Wind2019-08-23: Wind2019-08-04: Wind2019-08-04: Wind2019-08-03: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-17: Wind2019-06-10: Wind2018-08-16: Wind2018-08-05: Wind2018-07-30: Wind2018-07-26: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-06-08: Wind2017-07-15: Wind2017-07-13: Wind2017-07-13: Wind2016-08-06: Wind2016-07-27: Wind2016-07-24: Wind2016-06-29: Wind2015-08-20: Wind2015-08-01: Wind2015-07-12: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-25: Wind2015-06-22: Wind2015-06-16: Wind2014-07-30: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-25: Wind2014-07-08: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2013-09-02: Wind2013-08-06: Wind2013-08-02: Wind2013-07-13: Wind2013-07-09: Wind2013-07-09: Wind2013-07-08: Wind2013-07-06: Wind2013-07-05: Wind2013-07-02: Wind2013-07-01: Wind2012-08-27: Wind2012-08-19: Wind2012-08-08: Wind2012-08-07: Wind2012-07-30: Wind2012-07-30: Wind2012-07-28: Wind2012-07-15: Wind2011-09-01: Wind2011-08-21: Wind2011-07-20: Wind2011-07-17: Wind2011-07-11: Wind2011-07-06: Wind2011-06-29: Wind2010-08-24: Wind2010-08-24: Wind
Cochise County within Arizona. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Cochise County, Arizona, has 680 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them floods and flash floods.

That is 11.0 events per 100 square miles, below the Arizona figure of 15.7, and 53.9 per 10,000 residents against 24.6 statewide.

42 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 25 deaths and 69 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $15M and crop damage at $30K.

FEMA has designated the county in 14 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 4 Apr 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 115 claims since 1978, of which 57 were paid, totalling $641K (about $11K per paid claim). FEMA counts 728 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($91M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

42events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
680events since 195025 deaths, 69 injuries recorded
14disaster declarationslast 4 Apr 2020
115NFIP flood claims$641K paid

Compared with Arizona and the United States

MeasureCochise CountyArizonaUS
Recorded events since 195068017,8921,977,440
Events per 100 square miles11.015.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents53.924.659.6
Events in the last 12 months4279362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI253,14726,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$15M$4.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.90.78.1
Average paid NFIP claim$11K$18K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.53.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 3Wind: 5
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Wind: 9
Hail: 10Wind: 5
Hail: 20Tornado: 4Flood: 29Wind: 30Winter: 1Lightning: 3Fog: 4Other: 3
Hail: 30Tornado: 1Flood: 71Wind: 39Winter: 15Heat: 2Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 17
Hail: 38Tornado: 4Flood: 74Wind: 73Winter: 3Lightning: 9Other: 12
Hail: 24Tornado: 1Flood: 64Wind: 57Lightning: 1Other: 6
21950s81960s171970s151980s941990s1782000s2132010s1532020s
Recorded events in Cochise County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 446 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 197 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood238
Wind219
Hail126
Other38
Winter19
Tornado18
Lightning15
Fog4
Heat2
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood238146.1%detail
■ Wind219—4.2%detail
■ Hail12619.5%detail
■ Other3832.2%
■ Winter19—1.4%detail
■ Tornado18—5.9%detail
■ Lightning1535.9%
■ Fog4—3.6%
■ Heat240.1%
■ Wildfire1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
6 Aug 1997Flash FloodFlood———6—County
7 Aug 2006Flash FloodFlood—$10K—2—County
20 May 2005HeatHeat———2—Forecast zone
2 Jul 2005HeatHeat———2—Forecast zone
6 Jan 2003Dust StormOther—$64K—125Forecast zone
6 Jan 2003Dust StormOther—$32K—14Forecast zone
25 Jul 2003Flash FloodFlood—$80K—11County
1 Mar 2014Heavy RainOther—$15K—11County
14 Aug 2018Flash FloodFlood—$10K—1—County
20 Jul 2007Flash FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
19 Sep 2015Flash FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
12 Sep 2025Flash FloodFlood—$2K—1—County
20 May 1997LightningLightning———1—County
20 May 1997LightningLightning———1—County
6 Sep 2007Flash FloodFlood———1—County
8 Dec 2008HailHail0.50 in——1—County
30 Jun 2015LightningLightning———1—County
23 Sep 2019TornadoTornadoEF1$250K——5County
24 Aug 2010Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$1.0M——3County
7 Mar 2000Dust StormOther—$80K——3Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
4 Apr 2020DR-4524Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3442EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
11 Jun 2017FM-5183Fire management assistanceFireLizard FirePublic assistance
12 Jun 2011FM-2919Fire management assistanceFireMonument FirePublic assistance
9 May 2011FM-2907Fire management assistanceFireHorseshoe Two FirePublic assistance
18 May 2009FM-2821Fire management assistanceFireMule Pass FirePublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3241EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
21 Jun 2003FM-2471Fire management assistanceFireAsh FirePublic assistance
27 Oct 2000DR-1347Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
15 Oct 1999DR-1304Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, High WindsIndividual assistance
19 Jan 1993DR-977Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Oct 1983DR-691Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Apr 1977EM-3038EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
22 Sep 1970DR-294Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FlashIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Cochise County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978115
Paid claims57
Total paid$641K
Average paid claim$11K
Repetitive-loss properties20 severe
Residential policies in force7281.3% of 58,070 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202611$18,060$18,060
202310$0—
202253$49,440$16,480
202011$23,286$23,286
201921$39,277$39,277
201810$0—
201641$12,438$12,438
201563$34,005$11,335
201487$140,411$20,059
201321$1,595$1,595
201230$0—
201184$19,524$4,881
201074$62,133$15,533
200920$0—
200810$0—
200710$0—
200643$49,398$16,466
200351$22,600$22,600
200176$38,434$6,406
200031$8,926$8,926
1999105$58,927$11,785
199811$4,288$4,288
199410$0—
199320$0—
199210$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 92.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$91MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$44,284,506
Heat waveRelatively High$22,286,320
WildfireRelatively High$19,437,911
LightningVery High$1,777,175
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,187,828
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,015,046
Strong windRelatively Moderate$682,496
TornadoVery Low$49,988
HailVery Low$37,093
HurricaneVery Low$13,964
Winter weatherVery Low$13,401
Cold waveVery Low$11,422
LandslideVery Low$1,363
AvalancheVery Low$557

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Lester199244 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Cochise County, AZ?

NCEI records 126 hail events in Cochise County since 1950, in 41 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 12 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Cochise County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in Cochise County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Cochise County?

4 Apr 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 14 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Cochise County, and how much was paid?

115 NFIP claims since 1978, 57 of them paid, for $641K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Cochise County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Cochise County compare with the rest of Arizona?

11.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 15.7 statewide, and 0.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.7. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.