County Hazards

States › Arizona › Graham County

Graham County, Arizona

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 04009 · 39,050 residents (2021) · 4,622 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 19Tornado · 1Flood · 52Wind · 104Winter · 0
1958-03-12: Hail1982-08-16: Hail1986-10-05: Hail1987-11-01: Hail1991-09-12: Hail1992-05-21: Hail2003-07-25: Hail2004-08-16: Hail2004-09-25: Hail2005-07-20: Hail2006-10-09: Hail2015-10-20: Hail2016-10-08: Hail2016-11-04: Hail2020-08-01: Hail2021-09-05: Hail2023-08-07: Hail2025-09-12: Hail2025-09-12: Hail2015-07-31: Tornado2005-05-28: Flood2005-08-02: Flood2005-08-12: Flood2005-08-02: Flood2007-07-21: Flood2007-07-24: Flood2008-07-21: Flood2008-08-03: Flood2008-08-18: Flood2009-07-08: Flood2010-01-21: Flood2010-08-24: Flood2010-07-31: Flood2014-09-17: Flood2014-09-17: Flood2015-09-21: Flood2016-10-08: Flood2016-11-04: Flood2017-07-23: Flood2017-07-27: Flood2017-07-28: Flood2017-07-30: Flood2017-07-22: Flood2018-09-19: Flood2018-09-01: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-08-14: Flood2018-07-19: Flood2019-07-29: Flood2019-07-29: Flood2019-08-10: Flood2021-09-05: Flood2021-07-22: Flood2021-07-15: Flood2021-07-18: Flood2021-08-16: Flood2021-08-13: Flood2022-08-14: Flood2022-08-22: Flood2024-06-20: Flood1974-10-22: Wind1974-07-01: Wind1974-07-01: Wind1974-06-14: Wind1975-07-25: Wind1975-07-23: Wind1977-02-24: Wind1977-07-10: Wind1981-06-24: Wind1982-08-16: Wind1988-07-24: Wind1990-08-29: Wind1991-08-14: Wind1992-07-10: Wind1992-07-30: Wind1992-08-19: Wind1996-07-25: Wind1997-07-28: Wind1997-06-06: Wind1998-07-21: Wind1998-08-28: Wind2000-08-07: Wind2001-06-25: Wind2001-07-02: Wind2001-08-11: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2002-07-08: Wind2002-07-12: Wind2002-07-14: Wind2002-08-20: Wind2003-07-25: Wind2003-07-25: Wind2003-08-07: Wind2004-04-10: Wind2004-08-09: Wind2004-08-16: Wind2005-08-02: Wind2005-08-21: Wind2006-07-25: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-05-08: Wind2007-08-23: Wind2007-07-14: Wind2008-08-03: Wind2008-08-28: Wind2008-06-29: Wind2008-07-06: Wind2008-07-31: Wind2009-07-08: Wind2009-05-25: Wind2009-07-17: Wind2011-09-14: Wind2011-08-12: Wind2011-08-11: Wind2011-06-29: Wind2013-07-01: Wind2013-08-10: Wind2014-07-26: Wind2014-07-03: Wind2015-06-24: Wind2015-10-04: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-08-11: Wind2016-06-10: Wind2016-08-12: Wind2016-07-27: Wind2016-07-30: Wind2016-07-29: Wind2016-11-04: Wind2017-07-23: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-07-17: Wind2018-08-14: Wind2018-07-19: Wind2018-08-14: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-23: Wind2019-09-23: Wind2019-07-29: Wind2019-07-29: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2021-09-05: Wind2021-06-14: Wind2021-06-28: Wind2021-07-10: Wind2021-07-15: Wind2021-07-15: Wind2021-07-09: Wind2021-07-10: Wind2021-07-02: Wind2021-08-27: Wind2022-08-04: Wind2023-11-18: Wind2023-05-17: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-08-20: Wind2024-08-11: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-09-12: Wind
Graham County within Arizona. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Graham County, Arizona, has 180 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 3.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Arizona figure of 15.7, and 46.1 per 10,000 residents against 24.6 statewide.

4 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.6M and crop damage at $4.8M.

FEMA has designated the county in 13 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 4 Apr 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 43 claims since 1978, of which 33 were paid, totalling $355K (about $11K per paid claim). FEMA counts 209 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($18M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

4events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
180events since 19501 death, 1 injury recorded
13disaster declarationslast 4 Apr 2020
43NFIP flood claims$355K paid

Compared with Arizona and the United States

MeasureGraham CountyArizonaUS
Recorded events since 195018017,8921,977,440
Events per 100 square miles3.915.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents46.124.659.6
Events in the last 12 months479362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI13,14726,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.6M$4.3B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.10.78.1
Average paid NFIP claim$11K$18K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years2.43.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1
Wind: 8
Hail: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 2Flood: 2Wind: 11
Hail: 5Flood: 20Wind: 30Other: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Flood: 21Wind: 29Lightning: 1
Hail: 5Flood: 9Wind: 23Lightning: 1Other: 1
11950s01960s81970s61980s151990s562000s552010s392020s
Recorded events in Graham County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 116 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 52 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind104
Flood52
Hail19
Lightning2
Other2
Tornado1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind104—2.0%detail
■ Flood5211.3%detail
■ Hail19—1.4%detail
■ Lightning2—0.8%
■ Other2—0.1%
■ Tornado1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
22 Jul 2021Flash FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
29 Jul 2019LightningLightning————1County
8 Oct 2016HailHail2.50 in$1.5M$4.5M——County
5 Sep 2021Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$500K———County
19 Sep 2018Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
30 Jul 2017Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
25 Jul 2003Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$60K$100K——County
8 Oct 2016Flash FloodFlood—$150K———County
4 Nov 2016Flash FloodFlood——$100K——County
28 Jun 2021LightningLightning—$100K———County
15 Jul 2021Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
4 Apr 2020DR-4524Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3442EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
7 Sep 2006DR-1660Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3241EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
14 Apr 2005DR-1586Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Jan 1993DR-977Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Dec 1990DR-884Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
5 Oct 1983DR-691Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Dec 1978DR-570Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Mar 1978DR-551Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Apr 1977EM-3038EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
25 Oct 1972DR-360Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Apr 1966DR-217Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Graham County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197843
Paid claims33
Total paid$355K
Average paid claim$11K
Repetitive-loss properties31 severe
Residential policies in force2091.6% of 13,248 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202611$3,341$3,341
202511$10,399$10,399
202420$0—
201810$0—
201674$207,699$51,925
201531$3,316$3,316
200311$161$161
200022$5,534$2,767
199910$0—
199811$4,888$4,888
199711$8,121$8,121
199611$2,199$2,199
199511$4,494$4,494
199332$2,191$1,096
199222$5,638$2,819
199111$9,373$9,373
198322$14,933$7,466
19781212$72,343$6,029

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 64.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$18MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$9,037,003
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$4,596,000
WildfireRelatively Moderate$2,202,447
LightningRelatively High$1,152,333
DroughtRelatively Moderate$676,503
EarthquakeVery Low$185,049
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$116,754
HailVery Low$98,770
Strong windVery Low$94,816
TornadoVery Low$3,895
Cold waveVery Low$3,060
HurricaneVery Low$2,455
LandslideVery Low$608
AvalancheVery Low$591

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Lester199274 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Graham County, AZ?

NCEI records 19 hail events in Graham County since 1950, in 16 different years; that is about 0.2 recorded events a year. 4 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Graham County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 1 tornado in Graham County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Graham County?

4 Apr 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 13 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Graham County, and how much was paid?

43 NFIP claims since 1978, 33 of them paid, for $355K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Graham County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Graham County compare with the rest of Arizona?

3.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 15.7 statewide, and 1.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.7. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.