County Hazards

States › Florida › Seminole County

Seminole County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12117 · 470,093 residents (2021) · 309 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 135Tornado · 31Flood · 16Wind · 157Winter · 1
1971-06-08: Hail1975-08-20: Hail1976-05-31: Hail1982-04-08: Hail1982-04-08: Hail1984-05-06: Hail1988-06-07: Hail1992-03-06: Hail1992-03-06: Hail1992-08-20: Hail1992-03-06: Hail1992-02-05: Hail1992-02-05: Hail1992-03-25: Hail1992-03-25: Hail1996-06-25: Hail1996-06-15: Hail1996-06-15: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1997-07-15: Hail1997-08-13: Hail1997-07-31: Hail1997-04-23: Hail1997-04-23: Hail1998-05-05: Hail1998-05-05: Hail1998-02-19: Hail1998-02-22: Hail1999-05-07: Hail1999-05-28: Hail1999-05-09: Hail1999-06-04: Hail2000-04-16: Hail2000-08-25: Hail2000-08-25: Hail2001-03-31: Hail2001-06-17: Hail2001-05-25: Hail2002-04-30: Hail2002-05-30: Hail2002-04-30: Hail2002-04-04: Hail2002-04-04: Hail2002-04-04: Hail2002-06-01: Hail2003-07-30: Hail2003-03-14: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-08-05: Hail2004-06-06: Hail2004-06-06: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2007-07-18: Hail2007-07-19: Hail2007-06-13: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2008-06-09: Hail2009-08-06: Hail2009-04-01: Hail2010-06-02: Hail2010-06-02: Hail2011-03-31: Hail2011-06-18: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-11: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2012-08-03: Hail2012-08-03: Hail2012-08-03: Hail2013-04-30: Hail2013-04-30: Hail2014-02-23: Hail2014-05-01: Hail2014-03-29: Hail2015-06-01: Hail2015-06-01: Hail2015-06-01: Hail2015-06-01: Hail2015-05-20: Hail2015-07-05: Hail2015-08-20: Hail2017-04-04: Hail2017-04-04: Hail2017-03-22: Hail2017-03-22: Hail2018-03-20: Hail2018-03-20: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-07: Hail2019-04-06: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-05-21: Hail2020-06-24: Hail2020-06-24: Hail2021-04-11: Hail2021-04-11: Hail2021-04-11: Hail2021-04-11: Hail2021-04-11: Hail2021-04-11: Hail1966-06-15: Tornado1966-08-23: Tornado1967-06-19: Tornado1970-06-25: Tornado1972-03-31: Tornado1972-03-31: Tornado1972-07-05: Tornado1972-02-03: Tornado1973-07-12: Tornado1975-09-18: Tornado1975-06-11: Tornado1976-03-09: Tornado1977-09-21: Tornado1978-01-08: Tornado1978-01-19: Tornado1980-06-24: Tornado1981-03-18: Tornado1982-04-08: Tornado1983-07-05: Tornado1984-02-27: Tornado1986-12-23: Tornado1990-11-09: Tornado1998-02-23: Tornado1998-02-16: Tornado2006-11-07: Tornado2009-04-01: Tornado2009-05-19: Tornado2019-01-24: Tornado2020-04-20: Tornado2024-08-21: Tornado2025-03-10: Tornado2016-06-30: Flood2016-10-07: Flood2017-09-10: Flood2021-09-19: Flood2022-09-28: Flood2022-11-08: Flood2022-09-29: Flood2024-10-09: Flood2024-10-09: Flood2026-06-13: Flood1969-12-10: Wind1971-06-09: Wind1971-06-15: Wind1975-06-15: Wind1975-06-29: Wind1975-05-01: Wind1975-05-28: Wind1975-08-20: Wind1976-07-28: Wind1976-05-31: Wind1976-06-02: Wind1978-01-19: Wind1981-07-08: Wind1982-04-08: Wind1982-04-08: Wind1983-02-02: Wind1984-02-27: Wind1984-04-14: Wind1986-07-16: Wind1988-06-07: Wind1991-07-25: Wind1992-08-02: Wind1992-08-13: Wind1992-06-14: Wind1996-06-25: Wind1996-03-30: Wind1996-03-18: Wind1996-08-29: Wind1997-08-07: Wind1997-08-13: Wind1997-06-20: Wind1997-05-27: Wind1997-05-27: Wind1997-03-29: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-28: Wind1997-04-28: Wind1997-04-28: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-28: Wind1997-10-27: Wind1998-07-19: Wind1998-07-03: Wind1998-05-05: Wind1998-02-17: Wind1999-01-03: Wind1999-07-09: Wind1999-01-03: Wind1999-05-19: Wind1999-05-28: Wind1999-08-02: Wind1999-07-20: Wind2000-07-19: Wind2000-07-07: Wind2000-07-07: Wind2001-03-29: Wind2001-06-18: Wind2001-06-17: Wind2001-05-25: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-06-03: Wind2001-06-03: Wind2002-07-22: Wind2003-07-19: Wind2003-07-30: Wind2003-07-30: Wind2003-07-31: Wind2003-03-07: Wind2003-05-17: Wind2004-06-19: Wind2004-06-26: Wind2004-05-02: Wind2004-05-02: Wind2004-06-28: Wind2004-08-18: Wind2005-04-07: Wind2005-04-07: Wind2005-05-24: Wind2005-06-16: Wind2005-08-06: Wind2006-07-31: Wind2007-12-16: Wind2007-12-16: Wind2007-12-16: Wind2007-06-12: Wind2007-06-12: Wind2007-06-12: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2007-07-21: Wind2008-06-29: Wind2008-02-26: Wind2008-08-09: Wind2008-02-26: Wind2008-10-09: Wind2010-06-19: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2011-01-25: Wind2011-01-25: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-02-07: Wind2012-04-20: Wind2012-06-14: Wind2012-06-14: Wind2012-06-14: Wind
Seminole County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 391 storm events in Seminole County, Florida, led by damaging wind.

That is 126.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Florida figure of 73.8, and 8.3 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 19 deaths and 71 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $962M and crop damage at $11M.

FEMA has designated the county in 39 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,562 claims since 1978, of which 1,025 were paid, totalling $54M (about $53K per paid claim). FEMA counts 6,283 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($129M a year across 18 hazards).

106 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 13 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
391events since 195019 deaths, 71 injuries recorded
39disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
1,562NFIP flood claims$54M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureSeminole CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195039139,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles126.473.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents8.318.259.6
Events in the last 12 months61,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI1989026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$962M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.320.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$53K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.118.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 12Wind: 11
Hail: 4Tornado: 6Wind: 8
Hail: 28Tornado: 3Wind: 36Tropical: 1Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1
Hail: 30Tornado: 3Flood: 6Wind: 50Tropical: 1Cold: 2Lightning: 8Other: 3
Hail: 32Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 31Winter: 1Tropical: 3Cold: 4Lightning: 2Other: 8
Hail: 38Tornado: 3Flood: 7Wind: 20Tropical: 5Heat: 1Lightning: 4Other: 7
01950s41960s261970s181980s701990s1032000s852010s852020s
Recorded events in Seminole County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 203 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 139 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind157
Hail135
Tornado31
Other18
Flood16
Lightning15
Tropical10
Cold6
Winter1
Heat1
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind15711.0%detail
■ Hail135—2.4%detail
■ Tornado31120.8%detail
■ Other18—0.6%
■ Flood1610.5%detail
■ Lightning1530.8%
■ Tropical1020.4%
■ Cold6—0.5%
■ Winter1—0.6%
■ Heat1—0.3%
■ Wildfire1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
23 Feb 1998TornadoTornadoF3$30M—1236County
10 Sep 2017Tropical StormTropical—$543M—1—Forecast zone
25 Sep 2003LightningLightning———12County
18 Aug 2022LightningLightning———12County
7 Oct 2016Tropical DepressionTropical—$15M—1—Forecast zone
8 Oct 2018Thunderstorm WindWind40 mph——11County
15 Sep 2001FloodFlood———1—County
10 Sep 2020LightningLightning———1—County
28 Sep 2022FloodFlood—$241M———County
8 Apr 1982TornadoTornadoF2$250K——10County
1 Jul 1998WildfireWildfire—$30M——2County
13 Aug 2004High WindWind92 mph$47M———Forecast zone
30 Jun 2002LightningLightning————4County
23 Aug 1966TornadoTornadoF2$25K——3County
9 Oct 2024FloodFlood—$27M———County
2 Aug 1999Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$80K——2County
4 Sep 2004High WindWind70 mph$5.0M$6.9M——Forecast zone
18 Mar 1981TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
13 Jun 2012LightningLightning—$200K——1County
11 Sep 1993Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$50K——1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyPublic assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaPublic assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
1 Aug 2020EM-3533EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
21 Oct 2019DR-4468Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
8 Oct 2016DR-4283Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MatthewIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Oct 2016EM-3377EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MatthewPublic assistance
24 Aug 2008DR-1785Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FayIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
2 May 2007FM-2687Fire management assistanceFireDeland Fire ComplexPublic assistance
3 Feb 2007DR-1679Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
20 Oct 1999DR-1306Major disasterHurricaneFl-Hurricane Irene-Dr-ReqIndividual assistance
15 Oct 1999EM-3150EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm Irene - FloridaPublic assistance
27 Apr 1999EM-3139EmergencyFireFl-Fires 04/15/99Public assistance
15 Apr 1999FM-2253Fire management assistanceFireFl-Fires 04/13/99Public assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jan 1990DR-851Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
18 Mar 1985DR-732Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
29 Mar 1984DR-698Major disasterFreezingFreezing TemperaturesIndividual assistance
31 Jan 1977DR-526Major disasterFreezingSevere Winter WeatherIndividual assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Seminole County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,562
Paid claims1,025
Total paid$54M
Average paid claim$53K
Repetitive-loss properties12810 severe
Residential policies in force6,2834.0% of 155,478 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202620$0—
202582$63,109$31,555
20247952$1,871,287$35,986
202341$254,911$254,911
2022615501$41,090,451$82,017
202194$107,795$26,949
202060$0—
201940$0—
201863$55,311$18,437
2017213139$5,486,715$39,473
2016113$24,375$8,125
2015101$8,365$8,365
201492$11,733$5,867
201320$0—
201274$25,678$6,419
2011113$9,890$3,297
201042$9,594$4,797
200973$10,571$3,524
2008210141$3,581,333$25,400
200721$8,875$8,875
200641$15,953$15,953
2005104$67,972$16,993
200412360$761,499$12,692
2003137$114,397$16,342
2002114$51,089$12,772

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 91.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$129MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$66,232,376
TornadoRelatively High$25,773,357
HurricaneRelatively High$24,572,966
Strong windRelatively High$4,533,682
LightningRelatively High$2,567,302
WildfireRelatively Moderate$2,489,878
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,682,485
EarthquakeRelatively Low$785,990
Cold waveRelatively Low$483,866
HailVery Low$95,784
DroughtVery Low$3,004
LandslideVery Low$140

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles106
Tracks within 50 miles43
Hurricane strength within 50 miles13
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Milton202442 mi81 mph
Ian202238 mi75 mph
Nicole202256 mi75 mph
Isaias202080 mi69 mph
Irma201773 mi75 mph
Julia201622 mi52 mph
Matthew201652 mi121 mph
Fay200832 mi63 mph
Ernesto200648 mi52 mph
Ophelia200593 mi69 mph
Tammy200558 mi52 mph
Charley200450 mi86 mph
Frances200471 mi92 mph
Jeanne200474 mi86 mph
Edouard200249 mi40 mph
Gabrielle200115 mi52 mph
Irene199975 mi75 mph
Erin199558 mi86 mph
Jerry199545 mi40 mph
Gordon199484 mi63 mph
Chris198877 mi46 mph
Keith198856 mi46 mph
Bob198552 mi69 mph
Isabel198580 mi46 mph
Diana198478 mi69 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Seminole County, FL?

NCEI records 135 hail events in Seminole County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.8 recorded events a year. 36 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Seminole County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 31 tornadoes in Seminole County since 1950, 7 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 12.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Seminole County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 39 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Seminole County, and how much was paid?

1,562 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,025 of them paid, for $54M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Seminole County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Seminole County compare with the rest of Florida?

126.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 3.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.