County Hazards

States › Indiana › Jay County

Jay County, Indiana

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 18075 · 20,248 residents (2021) · 384 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 37Tornado · 19Flood · 18Wind · 113Winter · 65
1959-05-10: Hail1967-07-19: Hail1971-04-27: Hail1971-04-27: Hail1971-04-27: Hail1971-04-27: Hail1982-05-27: Hail1987-06-29: Hail1988-04-03: Hail1989-06-01: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-04-16: Hail2000-08-02: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2001-04-09: Hail2003-08-01: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2004-05-21: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-06-30: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2010-10-13: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-05-10: Hail2011-05-10: Hail2012-07-01: Hail2015-07-13: Hail2017-03-30: Hail2018-06-09: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2026-03-22: Hail1957-04-05: Tornado1961-07-28: Tornado1973-06-03: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1980-04-08: Tornado1992-11-22: Tornado1994-06-23: Tornado1994-06-23: Tornado1998-06-11: Tornado2003-08-01: Tornado2011-04-19: Tornado2017-11-05: Tornado2021-06-18: Tornado2023-03-31: Tornado2023-03-31: Tornado2024-09-22: Tornado2024-09-22: Tornado2026-03-11: Tornado2026-06-11: Tornado2005-01-12: Flood2008-02-06: Flood2009-05-01: Flood2011-02-28: Flood2011-05-14: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2015-07-13: Flood2015-07-13: Flood2015-06-26: Flood2025-07-26: Flood2025-07-26: Flood1958-06-08: Wind1958-06-08: Wind1959-05-10: Wind1971-12-10: Wind1974-06-20: Wind1976-07-15: Wind1976-07-15: Wind1976-03-20: Wind1980-06-02: Wind1981-06-24: Wind1981-04-28: Wind1984-07-10: Wind1984-07-10: Wind1984-06-13: Wind1984-06-23: Wind1985-09-09: Wind1986-07-11: Wind1986-05-06: Wind1986-03-10: Wind1986-05-15: Wind1986-08-26: Wind1987-07-26: Wind1989-05-25: Wind1989-05-25: Wind1990-06-03: Wind1990-08-28: Wind1990-08-28: Wind1991-03-27: Wind1992-10-08: Wind1992-07-02: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1996-10-29: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1998-07-19: Wind1998-06-29: Wind1998-06-19: Wind1998-07-21: Wind1999-04-09: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-05-31: Wind2001-06-12: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2002-09-20: Wind2003-06-29: Wind2003-07-06: Wind2004-05-27: Wind2004-05-23: Wind2005-11-06: Wind2007-08-24: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-08-01: Wind2010-06-04: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-08-13: Wind2012-06-16: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-08-04: Wind2013-07-10: Wind2013-07-10: Wind2013-07-10: Wind2013-07-02: Wind2013-07-02: Wind2013-11-17: Wind2015-05-26: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2016-07-21: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-02-28: Wind2018-06-09: Wind2018-05-09: Wind2018-05-09: Wind2018-05-09: Wind2018-05-30: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2022-03-06: Wind2023-08-17: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2024-04-17: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-07-26: Wind2025-07-26: Wind2025-07-12: Wind
Jay County within Indiana. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 258 events for Jay County, Indiana, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 67.2 events per 100 square miles, below the Indiana figure of 120.7, and 127.4 per 10,000 residents against 63.5 statewide.

12 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 5 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $4.9M and crop damage at $150K.

FEMA has designated the county in 16 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (emergency, 15 Aug 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 43 claims since 1978, of which 32 were paid, totalling $523K (about $16K per paid claim). FEMA counts 13 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.6M a year across 18 hazards).

4 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

12events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
258events since 19502 deaths, 5 injuries recorded
16disaster declarationslast 15 Aug 2026
43NFIP flood claims$523K paid

Compared with Indiana and the United States

MeasureJay CountyIndianaUS
Recorded events since 195025843,2291,977,440
Events per 100 square miles67.2120.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents127.463.559.6
Events in the last 12 months121,59762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI255026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$4.9M$4.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.12.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$16K$20K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.017.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 2Wind: 5
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Wind: 16
Hail: 2Tornado: 4Flood: 3Wind: 15Winter: 3
Hail: 12Tornado: 1Flood: 7Wind: 26Winter: 20Lightning: 1
Hail: 8Tornado: 2Flood: 6Wind: 25Winter: 31Cold: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 5Tornado: 7Flood: 2Wind: 23Winter: 11Cold: 1
51950s21960s111970s211980s271990s672000s762010s492020s
Recorded events in Jay County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdLightning NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 144 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 80 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind113
Winter65
Hail37
Tornado19
Flood18
Cold4
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind113—0.6%detail
■ Winter6521.1%detail
■ Hail37—0.5%detail
■ Tornado19—0.9%detail
■ Flood18—0.3%detail
■ Cold4—0.4%
■ Lightning2—0.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
6 Dec 2008Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
24 Nov 2008Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
28 Jul 1961TornadoTornadoF2$25K——2County
13 Mar 2026High WindWind60 mph$28K——1Forecast zone
13 Mar 2026High WindWind59 mph$15K——1Forecast zone
5 Jan 2005Ice StormWinter————1Forecast zone
28 Feb 2011FloodFlood—$1.5M———County
23 Jun 1994TornadoTornadoF1$500K———County
22 Jul 1998Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
22 Sep 2024TornadoTornadoEF1$500K———County
11 Jun 1998TornadoTornadoF1$300K———County
8 Apr 1980TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
5 Aug 1998Flash FloodFlood—$100K$150K——County
5 Jul 2003Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
11 Mar 2026TornadoTornadoEF0$150K———County
20 Apr 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K———County
1 Aug 2008Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
15 Aug 2026EM-3651EmergencyFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3641EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4515Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3456EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
8 Jun 2008DR-1766Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
12 Mar 2007EM-3274EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3238EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
21 Jan 2005DR-1573Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Jan 2005EM-3197EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
5 Sep 2003DR-1487Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
11 Jul 2003DR-1476Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
25 Sep 2002DR-1433Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
15 Jan 1999EM-3135EmergencySnowstormIn-Winter Storm 12/23/98Public assistance
2 Apr 1996DR-1109Major disasterFloodBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
5 Jan 1991DR-891Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
2 Feb 1977EM-3028EmergencySnowstormSnowstormsPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Jay County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197843
Paid claims32
Total paid$523K
Average paid claim$16K
Repetitive-loss properties40 severe
Residential policies in force130.1% of 10,073 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
2015109$227,575$25,286
201421$45,000$45,000
201321$4,680$4,680
20111614$225,596$16,114
200811$4,927$4,927
200521$2,611$2,611
200353$8,675$2,892
199810$0—
199010$0—
198532$4,325$2,162

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 22.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,157,950
TornadoRelatively Low$1,820,763
Strong windRelatively Moderate$582,410
EarthquakeVery Low$378,835
Cold waveRelatively Low$323,519
HailRelatively Low$178,377
Ice stormRelatively Low$64,404
LightningVery Low$59,050
Heat waveVery Low$42,175
HurricaneVery Low$26,205
Winter weatherVery Low$14,274
WildfireVery Low$1,618
LandslideVery Low$161

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles4
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm192387 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191527 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190224 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189293 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Jay County, IN?

NCEI records 37 hail events in Jay County since 1950, in 23 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 12 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Jay County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 19 tornadoes in Jay County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Jay County?

15 Aug 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a emergency declaration for flood. The county appears in 16 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Jay County, and how much was paid?

43 NFIP claims since 1978, 32 of them paid, for $523K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Jay County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Jay County compare with the rest of Indiana?

67.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.7 statewide, and 2.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.