County Hazards

States › Minnesota › Clay County

Clay County, Minnesota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 27027 · 65,574 residents (2021) · 1,045 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 222Tornado · 43Flood · 57Wind · 222Winter · 180
2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2025-06-28: Hail2025-06-28: Hail2023-09-29: Hail2023-08-08: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-07: Hail2022-08-05: Hail2022-08-05: Hail2022-08-05: Hail2022-07-10: Hail2020-08-13: Hail2020-08-13: Hail2020-06-07: Hail2019-09-21: Hail2019-09-21: Hail2019-09-21: Hail2019-07-14: Hail2019-07-12: Hail2019-06-24: Hail2019-06-24: Hail2019-06-04: Hail2018-08-27: Hail2018-08-26: Hail2018-08-26: Hail2018-07-31: Hail2018-07-08: Hail2018-07-08: Hail2018-07-02: Hail2018-06-15: Hail2018-06-09: Hail2017-07-22: Hail2017-07-21: Hail2017-07-04: Hail2017-06-21: Hail2017-06-17: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2016-08-27: Hail2016-08-27: Hail2016-08-03: Hail2016-06-17: Hail2016-05-25: Hail2015-08-07: Hail2015-08-07: Hail2015-07-15: Hail2015-07-12: Hail2014-09-04: Hail2014-09-01: Hail2014-07-06: Hail2014-07-06: Hail2013-08-25: Hail2013-06-20: Hail2012-07-22: Hail2012-07-12: Hail2012-07-12: Hail2012-07-12: Hail2012-07-12: Hail2012-07-12: Hail2011-08-15: Hail2011-08-12: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2011-05-10: Hail2010-07-13: Hail2010-06-21: Hail2009-06-23: Hail2009-06-13: Hail2008-08-14: Hail2008-07-01: Hail2008-05-31: Hail2007-09-21: Hail2007-09-21: Hail2007-09-21: Hail2007-09-21: Hail2007-09-21: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-06-17: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2007-05-18: Hail2006-08-05: Hail2006-08-05: Hail2005-09-05: Hail2005-09-05: Hail2005-09-05: Hail2005-09-05: Hail2005-09-05: Hail2004-08-29: Hail2004-08-29: Hail2004-08-29: Hail2004-08-08: Hail2004-07-12: Hail2004-07-12: Hail2004-07-12: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2003-06-06: Hail2003-06-06: Hail2003-06-06: Hail2002-09-18: Hail1957-06-20: Tornado1958-08-11: Tornado1959-06-09: Tornado1960-07-24: Tornado1964-09-09: Tornado1966-06-24: Tornado1975-06-28: Tornado1975-08-31: Tornado1975-06-28: Tornado1977-07-04: Tornado1978-07-12: Tornado1981-05-22: Tornado1983-07-02: Tornado1984-06-04: Tornado1987-07-21: Tornado1988-05-07: Tornado1990-06-11: Tornado1991-06-09: Tornado1994-06-25: Tornado1996-06-05: Tornado1997-07-26: Tornado2002-09-18: Tornado2004-07-10: Tornado2004-07-12: Tornado2004-07-12: Tornado2005-06-11: Tornado2005-06-23: Tornado2005-09-05: Tornado2010-07-13: Tornado2011-05-30: Tornado2012-04-21: Tornado2013-06-25: Tornado2015-06-27: Tornado2016-05-27: Tornado2016-05-27: Tornado2017-07-11: Tornado2017-07-21: Tornado2019-07-09: Tornado2019-07-09: Tornado2020-07-25: Tornado2022-06-20: Tornado2026-06-29: Tornado2005-06-11: Flood2005-06-02: Flood2005-06-29: Flood2005-08-25: Flood2007-05-18: Flood2009-06-16: Flood2009-06-17: Flood2009-03-21: Flood2009-04-01: Flood2010-08-12: Flood2010-03-12: Flood2010-07-27: Flood2010-06-17: Flood2011-07-19: Flood2011-07-19: Flood2011-07-19: Flood2011-04-03: Flood2011-05-09: Flood2012-05-27: Flood2013-06-26: Flood2013-05-30: Flood2013-05-30: Flood2014-09-04: Flood2014-09-04: Flood2016-07-11: Flood2019-03-28: Flood2019-04-01: Flood2019-07-08: Flood2023-04-16: Flood2023-04-13: Flood2023-04-14: Flood2023-04-13: Flood2023-05-01: Flood2023-08-05: Flood2024-05-24: Flood2026-06-29: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2024-07-13: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-06-18: Wind2024-05-17: Wind2024-05-17: Wind2023-06-06: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-06-24: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-06-20: Wind2022-05-30: Wind2022-05-12: Wind2021-07-24: Wind2021-07-19: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-07: Wind2021-06-07: Wind2021-06-07: Wind2021-06-07: Wind2020-08-14: Wind2020-08-14: Wind2020-07-17: Wind2020-07-17: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-06-07: Wind2020-06-07: Wind2020-06-07: Wind2019-09-02: Wind2019-09-02: Wind2019-09-02: Wind2019-07-09: Wind2019-07-08: Wind2019-07-08: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-29: Wind2019-06-08: Wind2019-06-08: Wind2018-07-04: Wind2018-07-04: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-11: Wind2018-06-05: Wind2018-06-05: Wind2017-07-11: Wind2017-07-11: Wind2017-07-11: Wind2017-06-13: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-07-11: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-06-12: Wind2015-07-15: Wind2014-07-05: Wind2014-06-21: Wind2013-08-25: Wind2013-06-25: Wind2013-05-14: Wind2012-07-12: Wind2012-07-12: Wind2011-07-23: Wind2011-07-19: Wind2011-07-19: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-05-30: Wind2011-05-30: Wind2010-08-12: Wind2010-07-17: Wind2010-07-17: Wind2010-07-14: Wind2010-07-14: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-06-17: Wind2010-06-17: Wind2009-06-27: Wind
Clay County within Minnesota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 823 events for Clay County, Minnesota, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 78.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Minnesota figure of 71.0, and 125.5 per 10,000 residents against 99.0 statewide.

27 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 5 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $56M and crop damage at $11M.

FEMA has designated the county in 29 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 19 Jul 2023).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,358 claims since 1978, of which 1,195 were paid, totalling $14M (about $12K per paid claim). FEMA counts 177 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($42M a year across 18 hazards).

27events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
823events since 19502 deaths, 5 injuries recorded
29disaster declarationslast 19 Jul 2023
1,358NFIP flood claims$14M paid

Compared with Minnesota and the United States

MeasureClay CountyMinnesotaUS
Recorded events since 195082356,5241,977,440
Events per 100 square miles78.771.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents125.599.059.6
Events in the last 12 months271,95662,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI229326,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$56M$5.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents20.72.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$12K$16K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.113.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 3
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Wind: 4
Hail: 11Tornado: 5Wind: 13
Hail: 18Tornado: 5Wind: 11
Hail: 34Tornado: 5Flood: 3Wind: 24Winter: 23Cold: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 79Tornado: 8Flood: 28Wind: 53Winter: 53Cold: 17Drought: 2Lightning: 1
Hail: 52Tornado: 11Flood: 19Wind: 61Winter: 65Heat: 2Cold: 28Drought: 6Other: 11
Hail: 22Tornado: 3Flood: 7Wind: 56Winter: 39Heat: 1Cold: 20Drought: 5Lightning: 1Other: 1
41950s121960s291970s341980s931990s2412000s2552010s1552020s
Recorded events in Clay County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 470 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 262 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail222
Wind222
Winter180
Cold68
Flood57
Tornado43
Drought13
Other12
Heat3
Lightning3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail222—1.4%detail
■ Wind222—1.5%detail
■ Winter180—1.5%detail
■ Cold6811.6%
■ Flood5712.1%detail
■ Tornado43—1.8%detail
■ Drought13—0.9%
■ Other12—0.9%
■ Heat3—0.4%
■ Lightning3—1.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
3 Dec 2007Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
3 Apr 2011FloodFlood———1—County
11 Aug 1958TornadoTornadoF1$25K——3County
16 Apr 1997FloodFlood—$25M———Forecast zone
14 May 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$10K——2County
19 Jun 2000FloodFlood——$10M——Forecast zone
21 Sep 2007HailHail3.00 in$10M———County
5 Apr 1997BlizzardWinter—$5.0M———Forecast zone
19 Jun 2000Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
6 Apr 2001FloodFlood—$3.0M———Forecast zone
4 Apr 1997Ice StormWinter—$2.0M———Forecast zone
27 Nov 2005Winter StormWinter—$1.3M———Forecast zone
1 Apr 2006FloodFlood—$996K———County
11 Jul 2017Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$250K$350K——County
19 Jun 2000Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
11 Jul 2017Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$150K$250K——County
5 Jun 1996TornadoTornadoF2$250K$50K——County
20 Jun 1957TornadoTornadoF5$250K———County
9 Jun 1959TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
28 Jun 1975TornadoTornadoF4$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
19 Jul 2023DR-4722Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2020DR-4531Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3453EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Jun 2019DR-4442Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
10 May 2011DR-1982Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Apr 2010DR-1900Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
19 Mar 2010EM-3310EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
9 Apr 2009DR-1830Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Mar 2009EM-3304EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Jun 2006DR-1648Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
4 Jan 2006DR-1622Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3242EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
14 Jun 2002DR-1419Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 May 2001DR-1370Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Jun 2000DR-1333Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Jul 1999DR-1283Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
8 Apr 1997DR-1175Major disasterFloodSevere Flooding, High Winds,Severe StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Jan 1997DR-1158Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
1 Jun 1996DR-1116Major disasterFloodFlooding And Severe StormsPublic assistance
18 Aug 1995DR-1064Major disasterSevere StormSevere Thunderstorms, Winds, Flooding, Tornadoes, And HeatPublic assistance
11 Jun 1993DR-993Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 May 1989DR-824Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Apr 1979DR-582Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Apr 1978DR-555Major disasterFloodStorms, Ice Jams, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Jun 1976EM-3013EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
17 Jul 1975DR-476Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Jun 1974DR-440Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-255Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Mar 1966DR-215Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Clay County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,358
Paid claims1,195
Total paid$14M
Average paid claim$12K
Repetitive-loss properties355 severe
Residential policies in force1770.7% of 24,108 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201922$65,296$32,648
201620$0—
201511$734$734
201410$0—
201332$1,718$859
20117467$234,419$3,499
20107461$146,739$2,406
2009334298$6,323,430$21,220
200810$0—
20063531$222,133$7,166
200511$1,304$1,304
20015144$60,777$1,381
20003226$106,600$4,100
199933$232,474$77,491
199874$130,663$32,666
1997460422$4,781,513$11,331
199611$1,188$1,188
199522$5,681$2,841
19933116$53,286$3,330
19896054$221,096$4,094
198810$0—
198442$930$465
198310$0—
198211$743$743
198121$2,392$2,392

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 73.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$42MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$28,263,318
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$6,562,370
TornadoRelatively Low$2,462,585
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,609,666
HailRelatively Moderate$1,168,050
Winter weatherRelatively High$1,008,131
Heat waveVery Low$277,554
DroughtRelatively Low$180,184
WildfireRelatively Low$164,536
LightningRelatively Low$142,437
Ice stormRelatively Low$114,586
EarthquakeVery Low$20,293
LandslideVery Low$1,500

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Clay County, MN?

NCEI records 222 hail events in Clay County since 1950, in 50 different years; that is about 2.9 recorded events a year. 57 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Clay County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 43 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Clay County?

19 Jul 2023: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for flood. The county appears in 29 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Clay County, and how much was paid?

1,358 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,195 of them paid, for $14M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Clay County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Clay County compare with the rest of Minnesota?

78.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 71.0 statewide, and 20.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.