County Hazards

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Caldwell County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29025 · 8,897 residents (2021) · 426 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 102Tornado · 11Flood · 22Wind · 86Winter · 42
1955-03-14: Hail1956-07-02: Hail1959-05-18: Hail1960-06-29: Hail1966-03-21: Hail1970-05-05: Hail1971-04-26: Hail1975-05-25: Hail1975-04-23: Hail1977-08-08: Hail1991-05-04: Hail1991-05-04: Hail1997-03-24: Hail1997-05-18: Hail1998-04-13: Hail1998-05-23: Hail1998-06-10: Hail1999-07-23: Hail2000-03-26: Hail2000-03-26: Hail2000-05-21: Hail2000-10-14: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2000-06-13: Hail2001-07-12: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2001-06-16: Hail2002-04-27: Hail2003-04-28: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2004-06-12: Hail2005-06-08: Hail2006-04-15: Hail2006-04-15: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2006-03-12: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-01: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2009-06-07: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2010-05-12: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2010-04-06: Hail2010-06-04: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-03-22: Hail2013-07-03: Hail2013-05-27: Hail2014-07-06: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2016-03-23: Hail2018-06-11: Hail2018-07-19: Hail2019-09-27: Hail2021-10-24: Hail2022-03-05: Hail2022-03-05: Hail2023-06-17: Hail2024-03-12: Hail2024-10-24: Hail2026-04-15: Hail2026-04-15: Hail2026-04-15: Hail1955-03-14: Tornado1955-03-14: Tornado1967-01-24: Tornado1974-03-08: Tornado1975-04-23: Tornado1975-12-14: Tornado1991-04-28: Tornado2009-06-07: Tornado2015-05-16: Tornado2018-10-09: Tornado2021-10-24: Tornado2009-06-17: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-08-17: Flood2010-05-12: Flood2010-05-12: Flood2010-05-12: Flood2010-06-04: Flood2010-06-04: Flood2015-05-17: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-09-14: Flood2016-09-13: Flood2016-09-13: Flood2016-09-14: Flood2017-04-05: Flood2017-04-05: Flood2019-05-21: Flood2021-06-25: Flood2021-06-25: Flood2021-06-25: Flood1958-06-12: Wind1958-06-12: Wind1960-06-29: Wind1964-06-29: Wind1969-06-11: Wind1969-07-26: Wind1970-04-18: Wind1971-04-26: Wind1971-06-06: Wind1972-05-23: Wind1973-04-21: Wind1973-06-16: Wind1974-05-13: Wind1976-02-20: Wind1977-11-08: Wind1996-06-16: Wind1998-10-04: Wind1998-04-13: Wind1998-06-14: Wind1999-07-23: Wind2000-05-11: Wind2000-09-11: Wind2000-09-22: Wind2000-08-06: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2000-09-11: Wind2000-07-05: Wind2001-05-17: Wind2001-06-20: Wind2001-07-12: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-09-07: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-08-27: Wind2005-08-18: Wind2005-08-18: Wind2005-08-18: Wind2005-11-27: Wind2006-04-15: Wind2006-03-12: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2009-06-07: Wind2009-06-07: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-07-10: Wind2010-06-04: Wind2010-04-02: Wind2010-04-06: Wind2010-08-13: Wind2010-08-13: Wind2010-08-13: Wind2010-08-13: Wind2010-06-19: Wind2010-06-19: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-06-20: Wind2011-07-12: Wind2011-08-18: Wind2011-08-18: Wind2012-05-06: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2014-06-03: Wind2015-05-16: Wind2016-06-20: Wind2017-03-06: Wind2018-08-06: Wind2020-07-01: Wind2021-05-08: Wind2022-07-07: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2024-10-24: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-05-19: Wind2025-03-14: Wind2025-03-14: Wind
Caldwell County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 308 storm events in Caldwell County, Missouri, led by hail.

That is 72.2 events per 100 square miles, below the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 346.2 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

3 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 10 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.6M and crop damage at $20K.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 1 Sep 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1 claim since 1978, of which 1 were paid, totalling $271 (about $271 per paid claim). FEMA counts 1 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.9M a year across 18 hazards).

3events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
308events since 19501 death, 10 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2021
1NFIP flood claims$271 paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureCaldwell CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195030873,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles72.2106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents346.2118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months31,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI11,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.6M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.18.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$271$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.051.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Wind: 9
Hail: 15Tornado: 1Wind: 7Winter: 4Heat: 1Cold: 1
Hail: 42Tornado: 1Flood: 4Wind: 28Winter: 16Heat: 13Cold: 3Drought: 1
Hail: 26Tornado: 2Flood: 15Wind: 23Winter: 20Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 14
Hail: 9Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 13Winter: 2Heat: 1Cold: 5Drought: 4
71950s71960s171970s01980s291990s1082000s1022010s382020s
Recorded events in Caldwell County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDrought NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 182 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 92 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail102
Wind86
Winter42
Flood22
Drought19
Heat16
Tornado11
Cold10
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail102—0.5%detail
■ Wind86—0.4%detail
■ Winter42—0.6%detail
■ Flood22—0.2%detail
■ Drought19—0.8%
■ Heat16—0.4%
■ Tornado1110.4%detail
■ Cold10—0.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
23 Apr 1975TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M—13County
13 Dec 2013Winter WeatherWinter————6Forecast zone
14 Mar 1955TornadoTornadoF3$250K——1County
14 Mar 1955TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
30 Jan 2002Winter StormWinter—$200K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2021DR-4612Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
9 Jul 2019DR-4451Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Mar 2011DR-1961Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Aug 2010DR-1934Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
27 Dec 2007DR-1736Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
11 Jun 2007DR-1708Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
11 Jun 2004DR-1524Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 Feb 2002DR-1403Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance
14 Oct 1998DR-1253Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And TornadoesPublic assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jun 1984DR-713Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
3 May 1975DR-466Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, High Winds & HailIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Jun 1974DR-439Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Nov 1973DR-407Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Jul 1965DR-203Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Caldwell County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781
Paid claims1
Total paid$271
Average paid claim$271
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force10.0% of 5,870 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
199811$271$271

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 14.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.9MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,191,079
Cold waveRelatively Low$898,525
TornadoRelatively Low$644,978
DroughtRelatively Moderate$367,572
Heat waveRelatively Low$308,297
HailRelatively Low$176,604
Strong windRelatively Low$157,843
LightningVery Low$66,626
Ice stormRelatively Low$38,913
EarthquakeVery Low$38,265
WildfireVery Low$29,597
Winter weatherRelatively Low$23,623
LandslideVery Low$1,010

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Caldwell County, MO?

NCEI records 102 hail events in Caldwell County since 1950, in 39 different years; that is about 1.3 recorded events a year. 23 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Caldwell County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Caldwell County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Caldwell County?

1 Sep 2021: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Caldwell County, and how much was paid?

1 NFIP claim since 1978, 1 of them paid, for $271 in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Caldwell County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Caldwell County compare with the rest of Missouri?

72.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.