County Hazards

States › Missouri › Carroll County

Carroll County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29033 · 8,376 residents (2021) · 695 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 113Tornado · 16Flood · 76Wind · 74Winter · 41
1955-06-05: Hail1955-03-14: Hail1967-05-07: Hail1968-05-08: Hail1968-05-08: Hail1969-09-06: Hail1969-06-04: Hail1969-06-04: Hail1970-06-12: Hail1971-05-05: Hail1971-05-05: Hail1971-06-22: Hail1973-10-03: Hail1973-05-24: Hail1975-05-06: Hail1975-04-23: Hail1975-04-23: Hail1975-04-23: Hail1981-04-13: Hail1983-03-06: Hail1992-07-02: Hail1998-10-04: Hail1998-10-04: Hail1998-05-23: Hail1998-06-20: Hail1998-06-20: Hail1998-06-18: Hail1999-04-20: Hail1999-04-21: Hail1999-04-20: Hail2000-03-26: Hail2000-04-19: Hail2000-04-19: Hail2000-05-26: Hail2000-06-20: Hail2000-10-14: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2001-05-17: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2002-05-08: Hail2002-05-08: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-05-06: Hail2003-04-28: Hail2003-05-04: Hail2004-06-14: Hail2004-07-13: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2006-04-18: Hail2006-03-30: Hail2006-06-27: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2007-06-07: Hail2007-08-16: Hail2007-02-28: Hail2007-02-28: Hail2007-02-24: Hail2007-03-22: Hail2007-03-22: Hail2007-10-18: Hail2008-06-27: Hail2008-04-25: Hail2008-05-30: Hail2008-05-30: Hail2008-05-30: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2009-05-13: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2009-05-07: Hail2010-05-02: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2011-06-27: Hail2011-05-23: Hail2013-05-19: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-05-10: Hail2015-04-07: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-04-17: Hail2019-05-14: Hail2021-09-20: Hail2026-05-04: Hail1955-05-26: Tornado1961-05-07: Tornado1961-05-07: Tornado1965-05-26: Tornado1965-09-20: Tornado1970-06-12: Tornado1970-06-12: Tornado1970-06-12: Tornado1973-04-20: Tornado1977-05-04: Tornado1999-04-08: Tornado2000-05-26: Tornado2000-06-20: Tornado2006-03-12: Tornado2007-08-16: Tornado2017-03-06: Tornado2003-05-10: Flood2007-05-11: Flood2007-05-07: Flood2008-07-30: Flood2008-07-30: Flood2008-12-27: Flood2008-02-17: Flood2008-03-17: Flood2008-06-24: Flood2008-06-24: Flood2008-06-24: Flood2008-06-25: Flood2008-07-02: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-08-17: Flood2010-06-08: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-07-13: Flood2016-09-14: Flood2016-09-14: Flood2016-09-13: Flood2018-08-31: Flood2018-08-31: Flood2019-04-01: Flood2019-06-01: Flood2019-05-01: Flood2019-05-21: Flood2021-06-25: Flood1958-05-27: Wind1958-05-31: Wind1959-03-14: Wind1962-05-22: Wind1963-06-28: Wind1964-04-06: Wind1966-03-22: Wind1969-06-25: Wind1970-09-04: Wind1970-06-20: Wind1970-09-04: Wind1975-06-25: Wind1980-08-04: Wind1982-06-07: Wind1986-04-27: Wind1989-08-27: Wind1992-07-15: Wind1996-07-28: Wind1998-06-14: Wind1998-08-27: Wind1999-02-11: Wind2000-03-26: Wind2000-05-26: Wind2000-09-11: Wind2000-10-14: Wind2000-10-14: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2000-08-07: Wind2001-06-20: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-09-07: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-05-08: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2004-06-12: Wind2005-08-19: Wind2005-07-03: Wind2006-03-12: Wind2006-08-02: Wind2006-08-25: Wind2006-07-13: Wind2007-03-22: Wind2007-06-07: Wind2007-06-07: Wind2008-06-27: Wind2008-06-27: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2010-04-04: Wind2010-04-06: Wind2010-06-18: Wind2014-04-27: Wind2014-04-27: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2018-06-02: Wind2019-05-24: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-03: Wind2025-07-11: Wind2026-05-04: Wind
Carroll County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 366 storm events in Carroll County, Missouri, led by hail.

That is 52.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 437.0 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

3 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.8M and crop damage at $1.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 29 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 30 Jun 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 179 claims since 1978, of which 155 were paid, totalling $3.7M (about $24K per paid claim). FEMA counts 15 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($9.4M a year across 18 hazards).

3events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
366events since 19501 death, 1 injury recorded
29disaster declarationslast 30 Jun 2026
179NFIP flood claims$3.7M paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureCarroll CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195036673,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles52.7106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents437.0118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months31,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI11,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.8M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents21.48.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$24K$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years233.351.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 6Tornado: 4Wind: 5
Hail: 10Tornado: 5Wind: 4
Hail: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 17Tornado: 1Flood: 22Wind: 8Winter: 4Heat: 1Cold: 1
Hail: 58Tornado: 4Flood: 40Wind: 34Winter: 15Heat: 12Cold: 3Drought: 1
Hail: 16Tornado: 1Flood: 13Wind: 9Winter: 18Heat: 2Cold: 1Drought: 11Other: 1
Hail: 2Flood: 1Wind: 7Winter: 4Heat: 1Cold: 5Drought: 7
61950s151960s191970s61980s541990s1672000s722010s272020s
Recorded events in Carroll County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 170 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 150 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail113
Flood76
Wind74
Winter41
Drought19
Tornado16
Heat16
Cold10
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail113—0.6%detail
■ Flood76—0.7%detail
■ Wind74—0.3%detail
■ Winter4110.6%detail
■ Drought19—0.8%
■ Tornado16—0.5%detail
■ Heat16—0.4%
■ Cold10—0.6%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
11 Jan 2019Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
26 May 1955TornadoTornadoF0$25K——1County
4 May 1977TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M———County
23 Apr 1999FloodFlood——$1.0M——Forecast zone
8 Apr 1999TornadoTornadoF2$300K$100K——County
30 Jan 2002Ice StormWinter—$250K———Forecast zone
12 Mar 2006TornadoTornadoF0$250K———County
14 Oct 2000Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$200K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
30 Jun 2026DR-4924Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Sep 2021DR-4612Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
9 Jul 2019DR-4451Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 May 2019DR-4435Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Aug 2011DR-4012Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
30 Jun 2011EM-3325EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
23 Mar 2011DR-1961Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Aug 2010DR-1934Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Jun 2008DR-1773Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
11 Jun 2007DR-1708Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Mar 2006DR-1631Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
11 Jun 2004DR-1524Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2002DR-1403Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Oct 1998DR-1253Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jun 1995DR-1054Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 May 1977DR-535Major disasterTornadoTornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
10 Jun 1974DR-439Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Nov 1973DR-407Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Jul 1965DR-203Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carroll County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978179
Paid claims155
Total paid$3.7M
Average paid claim$24K
Repetitive-loss properties207 severe
Residential policies in force150.3% of 5,786 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202310$0—
202144$231,590$57,897
202011$7,765$7,765
20192926$806,235$31,009
201654$50,463$12,616
2011107$98,422$14,060
200911$940$940
200843$34,016$11,339
20071413$309,619$23,817
200232$1,271$636
19983030$1,038,543$34,618
19951311$75,502$6,864
19933933$943,111$28,579
199011$7,449$7,449
198564$21,229$5,307
198332$2,461$1,231
1982109$39,372$4,375
198154$19,700$4,925

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 32.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$9.4MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$5,185,976
TornadoRelatively Low$1,397,580
Cold waveRelatively Low$971,918
DroughtRelatively Moderate$919,453
Heat waveRelatively Low$399,341
Strong windRelatively Low$158,730
HailVery Low$123,105
EarthquakeVery Low$110,604
LightningRelatively Low$87,726
Winter weatherRelatively Low$33,544
WildfireVery Low$29,399
Ice stormRelatively Low$26,507
LandslideVery Low$1,414

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carroll County, MO?

NCEI records 113 hail events in Carroll County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.5 recorded events a year. 32 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carroll County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 16 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carroll County?

30 Jun 2026: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 29 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carroll County, and how much was paid?

179 NFIP claims since 1978, 155 of them paid, for $3.7M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carroll County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carroll County compare with the rest of Missouri?

52.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 21.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.