County Hazards

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Dawson County, Montana

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 30021 · 8,904 residents (2021) · 2,372 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 244Tornado · 15Flood · 32Wind · 337Winter · 92
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Dawson County within Montana. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Dawson County, Montana, has 853 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 36.0 events per 100 square miles, above the Montana figure of 24.9, and 958.0 per 10,000 residents against 328.5 statewide.

26 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 11 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.5M and crop damage at $3.9M.

FEMA has designated the county in 10 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds (major disaster, 7 Apr 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 7 claims since 1978, of which 6 were paid, totalling $145K (about $24K per paid claim). FEMA counts 4 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($21M a year across 18 hazards).

26events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
853events since 19502 deaths, 11 injuries recorded
10disaster declarationslast 7 Apr 2026
7NFIP flood claims$145K paid

Compared with Montana and the United States

MeasureDawson CountyMontanaUS
Recorded events since 195085336,2771,977,440
Events per 100 square miles36.024.956.0
Events per 10,000 residents958.0328.559.6
Events in the last 12 months261,52262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI216626,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.5M$369M$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.82.08.1
Average paid NFIP claim$24K$12K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years50.09.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 6Tornado: 1Wind: 9
Hail: 34Tornado: 5Flood: 5Wind: 27Winter: 8Cold: 1Lightning: 1Fog: 1Other: 1
Hail: 101Tornado: 3Flood: 5Wind: 102Winter: 35Heat: 3Cold: 9Drought: 6Wildfire: 3Lightning: 1Other: 8
Hail: 66Tornado: 1Flood: 20Wind: 102Winter: 35Heat: 2Cold: 12Drought: 7Fog: 11Other: 5
Hail: 28Flood: 2Wind: 90Winter: 14Cold: 11Drought: 35Lightning: 1Fog: 13Other: 2
51950s71960s91970s161980s831990s2762000s2612010s1962020s
Recorded events in Dawson County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 578 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 233 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind337
Hail244
Winter92
Drought48
Cold33
Flood32
Fog25
Other16
Tornado15
Heat5
Wildfire3
Lightning3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind337—2.3%detail
■ Hail244—2.9%detail
■ Winter92—1.1%detail
■ Drought48—6.0%
■ Cold33—3.0%
■ Flood32—2.7%detail
■ Fog25—7.9%
■ Other16—2.1%
■ Tornado15—3.5%detail
■ Heat517.7%
■ Wildfire3—1.1%
■ Lightning315.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
26 Jun 2018Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
31 Jul 2020LightningLightning———1—County
15 Dec 2024Ice StormWinter————4Forecast zone
26 Dec 2003BlizzardWinter————2Forecast zone
29 Jun 1961TornadoTornado—$2.5M——1County
2 Jul 2003Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$380K$120K—1County
5 Apr 2000High WindWind58 mph$16K——1Forecast zone
29 May 1999LightningLightning————1County
17 Dec 2003High WindWind48 mph———1Forecast zone
27 Jul 2015Thunderstorm WindWind120 mph$2.5M———County
7 Jul 2004Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$200K$1.8M——County
14 Jun 2006Thunderstorm WindWind98 mph$2.0M———County
1 May 2004DroughtDrought——$990K——Forecast zone
11 Aug 2000Thunderstorm WindWind84 mph$250K$500K——County
20 Jul 2001Thunderstorm WindWind104 mph$75K$250K——County
28 Jun 2005Flash FloodFlood—$112K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
7 Apr 2026DR-4902Major disasterStraight-Line WindsSevere Winter Storm And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
13 Aug 2021DR-4608Major disasterOtherStraight-Line WindsPublic assistance
31 Mar 2020DR-4508Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3476EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2014DR-4172Major disasterFloodIce Jams And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Jul 2013DR-4127Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
17 Jun 2011DR-1996Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3253EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
25 Jul 1997DR-1183Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Ice Jams, Snow Melt, FloodingPublic assistance
15 Mar 1986DR-761Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Landslides & FloodingPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Dawson County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19787
Paid claims6
Total paid$145K
Average paid claim$24K
Repetitive-loss properties11 severe
Residential policies in force40.1% of 5,381 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202210$0—
201811$110,015$110,015
201411$27,953$27,953
201122$3,864$1,932
197822$2,780$1,390

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 63.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$21MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively High$15,809,886
Inland floodingVery Low$2,992,438
Heat waveRelatively Low$594,097
LightningRelatively Moderate$540,900
Strong windRelatively Low$517,861
TornadoVery Low$334,784
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$248,591
HailRelatively Low$208,095
WildfireVery Low$74,260
DroughtRelatively Low$31,670
EarthquakeVery Low$14,716
Ice stormVery Low$5,793
LandslideVery Low$360

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Dawson County, MT?

NCEI records 244 hail events in Dawson County since 1950, in 43 different years; that is about 3.2 recorded events a year. 49 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Dawson County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 15 tornadoes in Dawson County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Dawson County?

7 Apr 2026: Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds, a major disaster declaration for straight-line winds. The county appears in 10 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Dawson County, and how much was paid?

7 NFIP claims since 1978, 6 of them paid, for $145K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Dawson County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Dawson County compare with the rest of Montana?

36.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 24.9 statewide, and 0.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.0. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.