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Montana
The recorded hazard history of every county in Montana: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, and National Flood Insurance Program claims since 1978.
Montana has 36,277 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950 across 56 counties, led by damaging wind: 24.9 per 100 square miles against 56.0 nationally.
NCEI attributes 166 deaths and 403 injuries to those events, with property damage estimated at $369M. By events per 100 square miles the leading counties are Wibaux, Yellowstone and Cascade.
FEMA lists 113 disaster declarations touching the state since 1953, most recently Sand Creek Fire (14 Aug 2026). NFIP policyholders filed 2,220 flood claims since 1978, $19M paid; 3,070 residential policies are in force.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. Storm records through 30 Jun 2026; declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
Compared with the United States
| Measure | Montana | US |
|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 36,277 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 24.9 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 328.5 | 59.6 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 166 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $369M | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 2.0 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $12K | $43K |
| Residential flood policies in force | 3,070 | 3,139,862 |
Hazard mix
Events by decade
Counties by events per 100 square miles
| County | Events | Last 12 mo | Per 100 sq mi | Per 10k residents | Dominant | Tornadoes | Hail | Declarations | NFIP claims | NRI risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wibaux County | 460 | 8 | 51.7 | 4,925.1 | Wind | 8 | 127 | 5 | 3 | Very Low |
| Yellowstone County | 1,121 | 38 | 42.6 | 67.1 | Hail | 21 | 507 | 14 | 272 | Relatively Moderate |
| Cascade County | 1,114 | 19 | 41.3 | 131.8 | Wind | 12 | 253 | 7 | 257 | Relatively Moderate |
| Sheridan County | 693 | 28 | 41.3 | 1,964.8 | Wind | 10 | 197 | 6 | 1 | Very Low |
| Daniels County | 528 | 16 | 37.0 | 3,131.7 | Hail | 10 | 163 | 8 | 0 | Very Low |
| Richland County | 758 | 29 | 36.4 | 671.8 | Wind | 13 | 217 | 8 | 8 | Relatively Low |
| Dawson County | 853 | 26 | 36.0 | 958.0 | Wind | 15 | 244 | 10 | 7 | Relatively Low |
| Fallon County | 501 | 19 | 30.9 | 1,660.6 | Hail | 14 | 187 | 8 | 1 | Very Low |
| Prairie County | 527 | 17 | 30.3 | 4,830.4 | Hail | 3 | 185 | 7 | 0 | Very Low |
| Judith Basin County | 553 | 5 | 29.6 | 2,705.5 | Wind | 16 | 149 | 9 | 0 | Very Low |
| McCone County | 748 | 32 | 28.3 | 4,353.9 | Wind | 9 | 241 | 10 | 0 | Very Low |
| Roosevelt County | 637 | 13 | 27.1 | 588.7 | Wind | 16 | 248 | 8 | 9 | Relatively Low |
| Valley County | 1,269 | 14 | 25.8 | 1,683.7 | Wind | 44 | 470 | 13 | 250 | Very Low |
| Musselshell County | 474 | 11 | 25.4 | 968.1 | Hail | 5 | 230 | 15 | 60 | Very Low |
| Treasure County | 232 | 5 | 23.7 | 3,020.8 | Hail | 3 | 87 | 11 | 0 | Very Low |
| Petroleum County | 389 | 32 | 23.5 | 7,495.2 | Wind | 8 | 115 | 12 | 0 | Very Low |
| Hill County | 657 | 45 | 22.7 | 406.1 | Wind | 7 | 112 | 13 | 17 | Relatively Low |
| Gallatin County | 582 | 7 | 22.3 | 47.4 | Winter | 4 | 94 | 9 | 76 | Relatively Moderate |
| Liberty County | 315 | 18 | 22.0 | 1,618.7 | Wind | 4 | 53 | 10 | 4 | Very Low |
| Toole County | 409 | 6 | 21.4 | 816.2 | Wind | 6 | 58 | 12 | 1 | Very Low |
| Powder River County | 703 | 21 | 21.3 | 4,130.4 | Hail | 18 | 377 | 12 | 7 | Very Low |
| Golden Valley County | 241 | 9 | 20.5 | 2,900.1 | Hail | 0 | 123 | 10 | 0 | Very Low |
| Fergus County | 822 | 25 | 18.9 | 707.6 | Wind | 27 | 251 | 10 | 27 | Relatively Low |
| Garfield County | 885 | 27 | 18.9 | 7,320.1 | Wind | 12 | 291 | 13 | 5 | Very Low |
| Carter County | 627 | 16 | 18.8 | 4,390.8 | Hail | 18 | 298 | 8 | 0 | Very Low |
| Stillwater County | 329 | 4 | 18.3 | 363.8 | Hail | 1 | 185 | 16 | 60 | Very Low |
| Custer County | 686 | 19 | 18.1 | 575.7 | Wind | 8 | 239 | 9 | 156 | Very Low |
| Broadwater County | 198 | 9 | 16.6 | 271.7 | Wind | 1 | 27 | 12 | 2 | Very Low |
| Jefferson County | 248 | 4 | 15.0 | 198.9 | Winter | 1 | 56 | 11 | 5 | Very Low |
| Chouteau County | 572 | 16 | 14.4 | 966.9 | Wind | 15 | 152 | 10 | 0 | Very Low |
| Rosebud County | 619 | 19 | 12.4 | 761.9 | Hail | 9 | 333 | 15 | 12 | Relatively Low |
| Phillips County | 624 | 11 | 12.1 | 1,488.5 | Hail | 14 | 276 | 10 | 39 | Very Low |
| Wheatland County | 172 | 5 | 12.1 | 835.4 | Hail | 7 | 107 | 10 | 19 | Very Low |
| Meagher County | 280 | 1 | 11.7 | 1,425.7 | Winter | 3 | 45 | 10 | 6 | Very Low |
| Sweet Grass County | 214 | 5 | 11.5 | 574.8 | Hail | 2 | 130 | 10 | 10 | Very Low |
| Silver Bow County | 82 | 2 | 11.4 | 23.2 | Hail | 0 | 43 | 7 | 10 | Very Low |
| Blaine County | 474 | 6 | 11.2 | 679.1 | Wind | 7 | 102 | 13 | 50 | Relatively Low |
| Madison County | 395 | 3 | 11.0 | 443.0 | Wind | 2 | 29 | 7 | 6 | Very Low |
| Park County | 300 | 17 | 10.7 | 171.7 | Wind | 2 | 58 | 14 | 141 | Relatively Low |
| Missoula County | 274 | 5 | 10.6 | 22.9 | Hail | 2 | 118 | 21 | 172 | Relatively Low |
| Teton County | 221 | 14 | 9.7 | 352.5 | Hail | 4 | 103 | 12 | 5 | Very Low |
| Big Horn County | 476 | 11 | 9.5 | 367.4 | Hail | 10 | 248 | 9 | 16 | Relatively Low |
| Carbon County | 193 | 4 | 9.4 | 177.9 | Hail | 3 | 118 | 13 | 59 | Relatively Low |
| Lewis and Clark County | 317 | 8 | 9.2 | 43.9 | Hail | 4 | 118 | 16 | 102 | Relatively Low |
| Pondera County | 141 | 6 | 8.7 | 235.2 | Hail | 0 | 76 | 14 | 0 | Very Low |
| Ravalli County | 181 | 5 | 7.6 | 39.4 | Hail | 3 | 85 | 13 | 36 | Relatively Low |
| Lake County | 112 | 2 | 7.5 | 35.0 | Hail | 4 | 48 | 8 | 12 | Relatively Low |
| Beaverhead County | 397 | 11 | 7.2 | 416.8 | Wind | 13 | 53 | 6 | 12 | Relatively Low |
| Deer Lodge County | 46 | 0 | 6.2 | 48.5 | Hail | 1 | 21 | 10 | 9 | Very Low |
| Glacier County | 174 | 5 | 5.8 | 126.2 | Hail | 3 | 75 | 12 | 8 | Relatively Low |
| Powell County | 103 | 1 | 4.4 | 147.2 | Hail | 2 | 65 | 17 | 18 | Very Low |
| Flathead County | 209 | 7 | 4.1 | 19.3 | Hail | 4 | 103 | 15 | 132 | Relatively Moderate |
| Mineral County | 41 | 1 | 3.4 | 84.4 | Wind | 0 | 14 | 10 | 5 | Very Low |
| Granite County | 57 | 1 | 3.3 | 170.5 | Hail | 2 | 31 | 8 | 7 | Very Low |
| Sanders County | 66 | 3 | 2.4 | 50.9 | Wind | 1 | 23 | 16 | 9 | Relatively Low |
| Lincoln County | 71 | 2 | 2.0 | 34.6 | Wind | 0 | 14 | 14 | 39 | Relatively Low |
Events are county-recorded plus zone-recorded events whose zone is named for the county. NRI risk is FEMA's National Risk Index overall rating (December 2025).
Counties by flood claims per 100 policies in force
| County | Claims, last 10 years | Policies in force | Claims per 100 policies | Claims since 1978 | Paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis and Clark County | 40 | 176 | 22.7 | 102 | $432K |
| Yellowstone County | 46 | 233 | 19.7 | 272 | $2.3M |
| Missoula County | 38 | 215 | 17.7 | 172 | $973K |
| Cascade County | 16 | 246 | 6.5 | 257 | $855K |
| Gallatin County | 13 | 323 | 4.0 | 76 | $340K |
| Flathead County | 11 | 372 | 3.0 | 132 | $690K |
| Custer County | 6 | 687 | 0.9 | 156 | $400K |
Counties with at least 100 residential policies in force. Claims by year of loss in the ten years to 2026, divided by residential policies in force as of 3 Aug 2026; a rough ratio, since policies in force today differ from those in force when the losses occurred.
Federal disaster declarations by year
| Incident type | Declarations |
|---|---|
| Fire | 68 |
| Flood | 19 |
| Severe Storm | 14 |
| Straight-Line Winds | 3 |
| Biological | 3 |
| Winter Storm | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| Tornado | 1 |
| Hurricane | 1 |
| Drought | 1 |
Most recent declarations (each disaster number once, with the number of counties designated):
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Counties |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | FM-5671 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Sand Creek Fire | 1 |
| 29 May 2026 | DR-4915 | Major disaster | Straight-Line Winds | Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds | 0 |
| 29 May 2026 | DR-4914 | Major disaster | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds | 0 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | DR-4902 | Major disaster | Straight-Line Winds | Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds | 28 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | DR-4901 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding | 1 |
| 19 Dec 2025 | EM-3630 | Emergency | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding | 2 |
| 11 Sep 2025 | DR-4887 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding | 0 |
| 26 Aug 2025 | FM-5611 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Windy Rock Fire | 1 |
| 14 Nov 2024 | DR-4847 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storm And Straight-Line Winds | 0 |
| 23 Aug 2024 | DR-4813 | Major disaster | Straight-Line Winds | Straight-Line Winds | 2 |
| 18 Jul 2024 | DR-4801 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm And Flooding | 10 |
| 12 Jul 2024 | FM-5507 | Fire management assistance | Fire | Horse Gulch Fire | 2 |
| 11 Oct 2023 | DR-4745 | Major disaster | Flood | Flooding | 10 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | FM-5480 | Fire management assistance | Fire | River Road East Fire | 1 |
| 12 Aug 2023 | DR-4726 | Major disaster | Flood | Flooding | 7 |
Flood insurance claims by year
2,220 claims, 1,641 paid, $19M in total; 88 repetitive-loss and 3 severe repetitive-loss properties. ZIP codes in Montana with flood claims (82).
Year by year
Each year's events, declarations and claims: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014 · 2013 · 2012 · 2011 · 2010 · 2009 · 2008 · 2007 · 2006 · 2005 · 2004 · 2003 · 2002 · 2001 · 2000 · 1999 · 1998 · 1997 · and earlier years back to 1952
- 1996
- 1995
- 1994
- 1993
- 1992
- 1991
- 1990
- 1989
- 1988
- 1987
- 1986
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- 1962
- 1961
- 1960
- 1959
- 1958
- 1957
- 1956
- 1955
- 1954
- 1953
- 1952
Questions and answers
Which Montana counties have the most recorded tornadoes?
Valley (44), Fergus (27) and Yellowstone (21), by NCEI count since 1950. Larger counties record more events; the state table also ranks by events per 100 square miles.
Which Montana counties have the most flood insurance claims?
Yellowstone (272), Cascade (257) and Valley (250) since 1978, in the OpenFEMA NFIP claims file.
How many federal disaster declarations has Montana had?
113 declarations since 1953 (major disaster, emergency and fire management assistance declarations combined), 5 of them in 2026 so far.
How does Montana compare with the national rate?
24.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 56.0 nationally; 2.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.1.
Provenance
NOAA NCEI Storm Events through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2 refreshed 29 Sep 2026; OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026); FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; US Census Bureau 2021 population and area. Built 30 Sep 2026. Methodology.