County Hazards

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Fergus County, Montana

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 30027 · 11,617 residents (2021) · 4,339 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 251Tornado · 27Flood · 16Wind · 362Winter · 122
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Fergus County within Montana. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 822 events for Fergus County, Montana, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 18.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Montana figure of 24.9, and 707.6 per 10,000 residents against 328.5 statewide.

25 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $4.9M and crop damage at $1.7M.

FEMA has designated the county in 10 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm And Flooding (major disaster, 18 Jul 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 27 claims since 1978, of which 16 were paid, totalling $244K (about $15K per paid claim). FEMA counts 32 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).

25events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
822events since 19501 death, 3 injuries recorded
10disaster declarationslast 18 Jul 2024
27NFIP flood claims$244K paid

Compared with Montana and the United States

MeasureFergus CountyMontanaUS
Recorded events since 195082236,2771,977,440
Events per 100 square miles18.924.956.0
Events per 10,000 residents707.6328.559.6
Events in the last 12 months251,52262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI116626,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$4.9M$369M$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.32.08.1
Average paid NFIP claim$15K$12K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years3.19.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 5Wind: 2
Hail: 10Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 8Tornado: 3Wind: 8
Hail: 5Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 34Tornado: 12Wind: 25
Hail: 103Tornado: 9Flood: 3Wind: 82Winter: 54Cold: 2Other: 6
Hail: 53Flood: 10Wind: 126Winter: 51Cold: 3Other: 16
Hail: 33Flood: 3Wind: 110Winter: 17Cold: 6Wildfire: 5Other: 6
71950s161960s191970s111980s711990s2592000s2592010s1802020s
Recorded events in Fergus County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 542 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 230 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind362
Hail251
Winter122
Other28
Tornado27
Flood16
Cold11
Wildfire5
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind362—2.5%detail
■ Hail251—3.0%detail
■ Winter12211.4%detail
■ Other28—3.7%
■ Tornado27—6.3%detail
■ Flood16—1.4%detail
■ Cold11—1.0%
■ Wildfire5—1.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
13 Feb 2008Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
14 Aug 1999TornadoTornadoF2$4.0M——3County
22 Jun 1994HailHail1.00 in$50K$500K——County
22 Jun 1994Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$50K$500K——County
22 Jun 1994HailHail1.50 in—$500K——County
25 May 2023HailHail1.00 in—$200K——County
7 Jun 2023Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
19 May 2011FloodFlood—$125K———County
8 Jul 2002TornadoTornadoF2$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
18 Jul 2024DR-4801Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Oct 2023DR-4745Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
31 Mar 2020DR-4508Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3476EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
10 Jul 2013DR-4127Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
17 Jun 2011DR-1996Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3253EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
30 Aug 2000DR-1340Major disasterFireWildfiresIndividual assistance
15 Mar 1986DR-761Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Landslides & FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jun 1975DR-472Major disasterFloodRains, Showmelt, Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Fergus County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197827
Paid claims16
Total paid$244K
Average paid claim$15K
Repetitive-loss properties20 severe
Residential policies in force320.4% of 8,762 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202310$0—
20111410$198,335$19,834
201022$1,841$920
200710$0—
200610$0—
200321$35,267$35,267
198210$0—
198110$0—
197932$6,899$3,449
197811$1,283$1,283

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 45.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$14MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively High$7,828,034
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,109,744
LightningRelatively Moderate$460,755
Winter weatherRelatively High$442,070
WildfireRelatively Low$404,452
TornadoVery Low$148,596
HailVery Low$101,560
Heat waveVery Low$60,838
Strong windVery Low$59,493
EarthquakeVery Low$46,425
DroughtRelatively Low$29,935
LandslideRelatively Low$6,414
Ice stormVery Low$5,950
AvalancheVery Low$61

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Fergus County, MT?

NCEI records 251 hail events in Fergus County since 1950, in 52 different years; that is about 3.3 recorded events a year. 60 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Fergus County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 27 tornadoes in Fergus County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Fergus County?

18 Jul 2024: Severe Winter Storm And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 10 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Fergus County, and how much was paid?

27 NFIP claims since 1978, 16 of them paid, for $244K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Fergus County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Fergus County compare with the rest of Montana?

18.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 24.9 statewide, and 2.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.0. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.